Author | Lightnews

TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 7h

Have to laugh at the MAGAs crowing about the market. The US isn’t doing any better than the rest of the world. And in many notable cases, like Germany, Spain, UK, South Korea, JAPAN (!!!), is performing much worse. Further exacerbating the comparison is US dollar weakness.

STFU, MAGAs.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 1d

I take solace in the fact that I made over $110K this year (pre tax, so take off 50%} and that I had my wits about me to stop betting against the Dodgers.

Post season in general is historically a disaster for me with betting. I make all my $ in the regular season.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 1d

There’s no such thing as a great series when the Dodgers won. That’s a hill I’m willing to die on. I had no money on this outcome, but this outcome destroyed me nonetheless.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 1d

I’ve decided I hate baseball.

Two Trump terms and now back to back Dodgers World Series wins.

I am broken. I don’t know how to process this horror.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 1d

It seems only fair after the Dodgers pitcher intentionally hit a batter for the next Jays batter to smash a 90 mph line drive back into the same pitcher’s leg for a single.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 2d

For my Halloween party tonight, my friend dressed in a slutty Kelly Bundy tank dress, wore an obscene amount of makeup and did a crazy Aquanet 80s hairdo and wore a sash that said “6th place.” Oh, and swim goggles around her neck.

She was Riley Gaines. I’m still laughing.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 2d

Halloween is one of my favorite days of the year and I throw an annual costume party for friends. I won’t even be watching the game. Lasagnas (plural) in the oven now. Oh, it on! Just not for baseball.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 2d

Yes. I’m just mentally preparing for 2026. I friggin love gambling. But this new deduction rule is going to severely curtail my sports / politics gambling hobby. By a whole lot. Vegas I don’t really gamble. I eat and drink and shop. But DK and Kalshi I might even close my accounts.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 2d

I’m as establishment as it gets but this isn’t an ideology thing. Dude has a Nazi tattoo. Equally disqualifying were his misogynistic comments where he cracked jokes and victim blamed women getting raped in the military.

This isn’t hard, folks. Nazis and rape apologists are bad. Period.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 2d

I have to go back to the old fashioned way of going to “my guy.” I really enjoyed the intragame play for this season, but hell no. Not with that 90% deduction for losses. I can’t. There’s no way. Legal gambling is no longer an option for me.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 2d

My girlfriend who’s a very talented seamstress made my Halloween costume for tonight. I’m so excited. My husband will be wearing a bear suit.

TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 3d

Nice. Up 110 bps this month. The Dow/BASF pair trade was mostly a wash, but the longs on gold, palladium and uranium and short on Hertz saved my month.

I went risk off. Interesting that risk off worked for industrials when the market went up. Tells us all the gains are in AI.

TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 3d

It’s all meaningless now. I’m done betting for the year and next year I won’t be able to close intragame as I’ll no longer be using DK or Kalshi. I’ll have to lock my bets in and ride them to the end thanks to the tax rule change in 2026. That tax rule kills sports betting.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 4d

The dodgers bullpen doing what it does best:

Choke

Bwahahahahahahaha!

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 4d

BLUE JAYS!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 4d

Pre tax. Gonna get killed on taxes especially with that tax rule change limiting loss deductions. Might have to change the way I bet next season with these new tax laws.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 4d

Not betting for the rest of the WS. After an absolutely insane +haul in game 3 followed by a $6K loss in game 4, I’m out.

Finished the 2025 MLB season at +$114K and change. A solid year. Better than last year. But nowhere near 2021. I’m very happy.

Go Jays!

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 4d

The defense of the tattoo is wild. “All the marines have them.” Yes, because we have a white nationalist problem in the armed services. [facepalm]

The irony, of course, being that these same people scream about all of Ukraine being Nazis because a few soldiers have — wait for it — Nazi tattoos.

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Reposted by TBR

Sandieglo @sandieglo.bsky.social · 6d

85 500 1.9K

TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 5d

The only time I will ever be happy losing a $6K bet is when it’s the Dodgers losing a World Series game.

This is friggin glorious.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 5d

Dems seem hell bent on losing a winnable race. Platner has a Nazi tattoo and joked about wonen raped in the military, basically blaming the rape on the women.

I just can’t with this shit. Fine. Go lose with the Nazi. I don’t care anymore.

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 5d

I will so happily lose this RL bet on the Dodgers if it means the Jays win. Go Jays!

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 5d

The lady I work with for bassoon coaching keeps hounding me to finally learn this. Ugh. It’s so fast! And it’s not a frequently performed piece so I don’t really need to learn it. But she’s right. I should.

m.youtube.com/shorts/LocTU...

INSANE RAVEL EXCERPT | Ravel Piano Concerto in G Excerpt #bassoon #shorts #shortsfeed

YouTube video by Swiftbassoon

m.youtube.com

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 5d

Can’t believe there’s another game coming up. The last one didn’t end that long ago.

$6K Dodgers RL -1.5 -101

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TBR @tbr78.bsky.social · 6d

I don’t work in the Poly/Kalshi math terms so I’m not sure.

Here’s the math. If you buy at +200, you make $2000 off a $1000 bet if you win. If the odds go to even money, then it’s $1000 off of a $1000 bet if you win. $2K minus $1K =$1K. But normally the intra-inning swings don’t let you do this

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