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agris

agris

@agris1144.bsky.social

910 followers 440 following 7.5K posts

Latvian NAFO Fella reporting on the war in Ukraine since 4:04 AM, February 24th, 2022. Self-appointed chronicler of the Russian-Ukrainian war of 2022-20XX.

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agris @agris1144.bsky.social · Nov 11

🧵...
After a fair bit of deliberation & convincing by some followers I have decided to create my own Patreon page.

This wasn't an easy decision & I'll explain my reasoning as well as what this means for the future of my content below.

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agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

Though it must be noted that it has cost them heavily - time, manpower and equipment.
Well, would have cost in that scenario - for now, as we head into the weekend, the race is still on..

18/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

The loss of Pokrovsk at this point would be primarily a morale hit to the Ukrainians.
It has not served as a supply hub for some time.
For the Russians this would be a morale boost, create a new supply hub and open the opportunity for other operations & new directions.

17/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

Meanwhile, on the Dobropillya front, it is still difficult to tell who is winning the race for Pokrovsk, but, for now, it looks to be the Russians.
They have now, in effect, cut all of the main supply routes heading into the Pokrovsk-Lysivka-Myrnohrad area.

16/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

While likely diversionary groups for now, this action is consistent with what they would need to do to cut off Ukrainian forces on the eastern side of the Oskil river.

15/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

Also troubling news from Sadove on the Oskil front.
The confirmation here comes from Ukrainian sources reporting that they are attacking in the direction of this settlement from Osynovo.

14/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

To end the week we have more of what we had at its start - problems.
Today marks the beginning of the 2nd battle of Lyman, with Russian forces entering it from the forest southeast of it & securing positions there.

13/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Shooting at military enlistment office at Kremenchuk (2 civilians wounded as of writing).

12/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-No significant actions reported on these fronts (Kharkiv front-Sumy front).

11/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Russian attacks at Ambarne (Velykyi Burluk front).

10/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-No significant actions reported on this front (Dvorichna front).

9/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Russian attacks at Kupyansk. Russian diversionary group activity noted at Sadove. Russian gains at Kupyansk (Oskil front).

8/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Russian attacks at Lyman. Russian gains at Lyman (entered the settlement from the southeast) (Lyman front).

7/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Russian attacks at Zvanivka, along the west from Vyimka-northwest of Vyimka axis and at Yampil. Russian gains at Zvanivka (entered the settlement from the south) and along the west from Vyimka-northwest of Vyimka axis (Siversk-Bakhmut front).

6/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

~ Ukrainian gains at Dorozhnje (liberated by Ukrainian forces) and towards Shakhove (west) (Dobropillya front).

5.25/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

~ Hnativka, Myrnohrad (moved up northwest from gains northwest of Balahan and south from north of highway H-32 in the northeast) and south along the Rodynske-Chervonyi Lyman axis (moved up to the highway T-05-15-Olimpiyska street intersection). ~

5.15/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Russian attacks at Pokrovsk, Rih, Hnativka, Myrnohrad and south along the Rodynske-Chervonyi Lyman axis. Ukrainian attacks at Dorozhnje and towards Shakhove (west). Russian gains at Pokrovsk (fully secured the northwestern industrial area, moved up east north of Rih), Rih, ~

5/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Russian attacks along the Vesele-southwest of Poltavka axis, north of Okhotnyche and at Krasnohirske. Russian gains along the Vesele-southwest of Poltavka axis, north of Okhotnyche and at Krasnohirske (occupied by Russian forces) (Velyka Novosilka front).

4/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-No significant actions reported on these fronts (Kherson front-Zaporizhzhia front).

3/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Ukrainian drone strikes at substation, Vladimir, Vladimir region, Russia.
-Ukrainian drone strikes at oil refinery, Yaroslavl, Yaroslavl region, Russia.

2.15/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

-Explosions at Sumy.
-Ukrainian drone strikes at power station, Oryol, Oryol region, Russia.
-Ukrainian drone strike at Zhukovsky, Moscow region, Russia (blackout reported following strike).

2/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 4h

Summary of day 1346 of the war (The 2nd battle of Lyman):

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#NAFO
#Fellas
#Fella

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 21h

Most defensible strongpoint positions in the city have already been lost & it has not served as a supply hub for a while.

Rest assured that it will serve as a supply hub for the Russians once they fully occupy it.
And there is also no doubt this has cost the Russians dearly.
Time, men & equipment.

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 21h

My main issue with Pokrovsk as of now (to be seen in the report about today to be posted tomorrow) is the threat of encirclement of quite a few good units in the Myrnohrad-Lysivka area further southeast & the morale loss for the Ukrainians & morale boost for the Russians it will cause.

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 1d

~ 2 cruise missiles Iskander-K (1 shot down), 30 cruise missiles Kh-101 (21 shot down), 2 guided aircraft missiles Kh-59/69 (2 shot down), 1 guided aircraft missile Kh-31P.
Total - 624/705 shot down, diverted via EW means and/or lost in location.

9.15/

agris @agris1144.bsky.social · 1d

The statistics are as follows:
653 strike & simulator UAVs (592 shot down, diverted via EW means and/or lost in location), 4 aeroballistic missiles Kh-47M2 ''Kinzhal'' , 5 ballistic missiles Iskander-M/KN-23, 8 cruise missiles ''Kalibr'' (7 shot down), ~

9/