@alphastreet.bsky.social
🧩 #1 Rule for 2026: Asset Allocation > Stock Selection. In this volatility, your mix of Stocks/Bonds/Gold will drive ~90% of returns. #PortfolioManagement
December 16, 2025 at 6:23 PM
🧩 #1 Rule for 2026: Asset Allocation > Stock Selection. In this volatility, your mix of Stocks/Bonds/Gold will drive ~90% of returns. #PortfolioManagement
This rotation feels like the early 2000s: tech's speculative excess cools, while "old economy" stocks regain favor. History doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. #FinancialHistory
December 12, 2025 at 5:26 PM
This rotation feels like the early 2000s: tech's speculative excess cools, while "old economy" stocks regain favor. History doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. #FinancialHistory
What's the biggest risk to the AI bubble? According to a Chinese securities firm, it's the "liquidity uncertainty" from the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. When the cost of capital (driven by politics/ policy) changes, the math on these long-duration, debt-fueled investments breaks down fast.
December 11, 2025 at 6:12 PM
What's the biggest risk to the AI bubble? According to a Chinese securities firm, it's the "liquidity uncertainty" from the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. When the cost of capital (driven by politics/ policy) changes, the math on these long-duration, debt-fueled investments breaks down fast.
Industrial AI: IBM buying Confluent proves that Data Infrastructure is the next AI gold rush. It's not just about LLMs; it's about moving the data to the LLM. Long Data Infra. 🏗️ #DataEngineering #AI #TechStocks
December 9, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Industrial AI: IBM buying Confluent proves that Data Infrastructure is the next AI gold rush. It's not just about LLMs; it's about moving the data to the LLM. Long Data Infra. 🏗️ #DataEngineering #AI #TechStocks
New US admin = New Tariffs? The market hates uncertainty. Trade barriers mean higher costs and lower global growth. Defensive sectors (Healthcare, Utilities) look attractive as a hedge. 🛡️ #TradeWar #DefensiveStocks
November 28, 2025 at 4:34 PM
New US admin = New Tariffs? The market hates uncertainty. Trade barriers mean higher costs and lower global growth. Defensive sectors (Healthcare, Utilities) look attractive as a hedge. 🛡️ #TradeWar #DefensiveStocks
💎 The race for resources is on. Europe is terrified of its reliance on China for minerals. Expect massive CAPEX in mining and refining outside of China. This is a multi-year secular trend. Follow the government grants. 💰⛏️ #Minerals #GreenEnergy #Mining
November 25, 2025 at 12:58 PM
💎 The race for resources is on. Europe is terrified of its reliance on China for minerals. Expect massive CAPEX in mining and refining outside of China. This is a multi-year secular trend. Follow the government grants. 💰⛏️ #Minerals #GreenEnergy #Mining
Psychological check: Did you sell the dip last week? The quick rebound in Tech proves that sentiment is fragile but the trend is strong. In a bull market, corrections are for adding, not panicking. Stay the course. 🧘♂️📈 #TradingPsychology #BullMarket #Stocks
November 24, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Psychological check: Did you sell the dip last week? The quick rebound in Tech proves that sentiment is fragile but the trend is strong. In a bull market, corrections are for adding, not panicking. Stay the course. 🧘♂️📈 #TradingPsychology #BullMarket #Stocks
Geopolitical Alpha: 🇨🇳⚔️🇯🇵 PM Takaichi’s Taiwan comments sparked a crisis. China retaliates with travel bans. Result? Tourist-heavy stocks like Shiseido & Isetan are crashing. The "Peace Dividend" is gone. Geopolitics is now a primary valuation factor. 📉🗺️ #Geopolitics #StockMarket #China
November 23, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Geopolitical Alpha: 🇨🇳⚔️🇯🇵 PM Takaichi’s Taiwan comments sparked a crisis. China retaliates with travel bans. Result? Tourist-heavy stocks like Shiseido & Isetan are crashing. The "Peace Dividend" is gone. Geopolitics is now a primary valuation factor. 📉🗺️ #Geopolitics #StockMarket #China
Everyone loves the Nikkei at 50k, but keep an eye on yields. 🧐 If global bond yields spike due to US fiscal deficits, the equity risk premium evaporates. Enjoy the rally, but keep stops tight. 🛑📉 #RiskManagement #Bonds
November 21, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Everyone loves the Nikkei at 50k, but keep an eye on yields. 🧐 If global bond yields spike due to US fiscal deficits, the equity risk premium evaporates. Enjoy the rally, but keep stops tight. 🛑📉 #RiskManagement #Bonds
🏗️ Housing & Rates: "Higher for longer" is a nightmare for real estate. Mortgage rates won't normalize anytime soon. $HD (Home Depot) weakness confirms the housing freeze is deepening. Avoid rate-sensitive cyclicals. 🏠 #RealEstate #HousingMarket #Economy
November 20, 2025 at 8:59 PM
🏗️ Housing & Rates: "Higher for longer" is a nightmare for real estate. Mortgage rates won't normalize anytime soon. $HD (Home Depot) weakness confirms the housing freeze is deepening. Avoid rate-sensitive cyclicals. 🏠 #RealEstate #HousingMarket #Economy
US waiving tariffs for the Philippines 🇵🇭 while threatening others? It's a "Threat-and-Compromise" strategy. Creates uncertainty but opportunity in favored Emerging Markets. Watch the ASEAN block. 🌏 #Geopolitics #EmergingMarkets
November 20, 2025 at 1:24 PM
US waiving tariffs for the Philippines 🇵🇭 while threatening others? It's a "Threat-and-Compromise" strategy. Creates uncertainty but opportunity in favored Emerging Markets. Watch the ASEAN block. 🌏 #Geopolitics #EmergingMarkets
Death Cross: Bitcoin is confirming bearish technical indicators. When fundamentals (Fed) align with technicals (Death Cross), the selling pressure intensifies. #TechnicalAnalysis
November 18, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Death Cross: Bitcoin is confirming bearish technical indicators. When fundamentals (Fed) align with technicals (Death Cross), the selling pressure intensifies. #TechnicalAnalysis
Strategy: The environment demands selectivity. Trim speculative AI bets (Thiel's move) and hold core infrastructure leaders ($GOOG, $MSFT). Quality over pure momentum. #InvestingStrategy
November 17, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Strategy: The environment demands selectivity. Trim speculative AI bets (Thiel's move) and hold core infrastructure leaders ($GOOG, $MSFT). Quality over pure momentum. #InvestingStrategy
Risk Aversion: The sentiment shift is towards risk aversion. Focus on companies with low debt and stable revenue—the ones that weather economic storms. 🛡️ #RiskManagement
November 16, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Risk Aversion: The sentiment shift is towards risk aversion. Focus on companies with low debt and stable revenue—the ones that weather economic storms. 🛡️ #RiskManagement
My Take: The Dow's record is a distraction. The SoftBank sale is the key signal: AI valuation risk is peaking. Increase defensive positions (Healthcare, Staples). Protect capital first. #AnalystOpinion
November 12, 2025 at 10:30 PM
My Take: The Dow's record is a distraction. The SoftBank sale is the key signal: AI valuation risk is peaking. Increase defensive positions (Healthcare, Staples). Protect capital first. #AnalystOpinion
Final Hurdle: The Senate passed the spending bill. The House vote is the last key policy risk. If passed, all focus shifts back to delayed economic data (jobs, inflation). #PolicyRisk #CapitolHill
November 12, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Final Hurdle: The Senate passed the spending bill. The House vote is the last key policy risk. If passed, all focus shifts back to delayed economic data (jobs, inflation). #PolicyRisk #CapitolHill
My Take: The Dow's record high masks the most important story: Tech is fragile. Focus on $MRK and $AMGN's defensive gains. The market is whispering "caution" despite the headlines. #AnalystView
November 11, 2025 at 10:01 PM
My Take: The Dow's record high masks the most important story: Tech is fragile. Focus on $MRK and $AMGN's defensive gains. The market is whispering "caution" despite the headlines. #AnalystView
Risk Appetite Returns! The $SPX rally shows historical trend holds: shutdowns cause volatility, but their long-term impact on equities is minimal. Buyers look past the headlines. 🧠 #MarketHistory #RiskOn
November 11, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Risk Appetite Returns! The $SPX rally shows historical trend holds: shutdowns cause volatility, but their long-term impact on equities is minimal. Buyers look past the headlines. 🧠 #MarketHistory #RiskOn
The UBS Target: Strategists now eye $SPX 7500 by 2026, driven by robust earnings. A strong outlook, but is it priced for another strong year? Long-term positioning is key. #MarketOutlook #UBS
November 10, 2025 at 3:35 PM
The UBS Target: Strategists now eye $SPX 7500 by 2026, driven by robust earnings. A strong outlook, but is it priced for another strong year? Long-term positioning is key. #MarketOutlook #UBS
Analyst Take: This is a NORMAL CORRECTION after months of exuberance. Systemic risk is low, but valuation risk is high. Use the weakness strategically. #StockMarketAnalysis
November 9, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Analyst Take: This is a NORMAL CORRECTION after months of exuberance. Systemic risk is low, but valuation risk is high. Use the weakness strategically. #StockMarketAnalysis
Energy Check: International oil prices declined on oversupply/weak demand. Lower energy costs could ease inflation pressure, offering a tiny silver lining to the macro picture. ⛽ #OilPrices #Energy
November 7, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Energy Check: International oil prices declined on oversupply/weak demand. Lower energy costs could ease inflation pressure, offering a tiny silver lining to the macro picture. ⛽ #OilPrices #Energy
OUTLOOK: J.P. Morgan projects $S&P500 at 6,000 by year-end, driven by earnings. The risk? A faltering AI narrative could trigger a mild 2026 recession. Protect your downside! 🛡️ #MarketOutlook #JPMM
November 6, 2025 at 2:57 PM
OUTLOOK: J.P. Morgan projects $S&P500 at 6,000 by year-end, driven by earnings. The risk? A faltering AI narrative could trigger a mild 2026 recession. Protect your downside! 🛡️ #MarketOutlook #JPMM
Quote of the Day: "Size Does Not Matter Anymore—Only Density Does." (Referencing Nebius/AI). This week proves only the most efficient companies will survive the valuation reset. Focus on quality. #QualityStocks
November 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Quote of the Day: "Size Does Not Matter Anymore—Only Density Does." (Referencing Nebius/AI). This week proves only the most efficient companies will survive the valuation reset. Focus on quality. #QualityStocks
Three years back — you brushed off what I said.
Apple — $124 → $239 (+92.7%)
Nvidia — $10 → $167 (+1,570%)
Netflix — $162 → $1,243 (+667.9%)
AMD — $55 → $151 (+174.6%)
Meta — $87 → $752 (+764.4%)
Microsoft — $207 → $495 (+139.1%)
I pointed it out back then — you just didn’t act.
Apple — $124 → $239 (+92.7%)
Nvidia — $10 → $167 (+1,570%)
Netflix — $162 → $1,243 (+667.9%)
AMD — $55 → $151 (+174.6%)
Meta — $87 → $752 (+764.4%)
Microsoft — $207 → $495 (+139.1%)
I pointed it out back then — you just didn’t act.
November 4, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Three years back — you brushed off what I said.
Apple — $124 → $239 (+92.7%)
Nvidia — $10 → $167 (+1,570%)
Netflix — $162 → $1,243 (+667.9%)
AMD — $55 → $151 (+174.6%)
Meta — $87 → $752 (+764.4%)
Microsoft — $207 → $495 (+139.1%)
I pointed it out back then — you just didn’t act.
Apple — $124 → $239 (+92.7%)
Nvidia — $10 → $167 (+1,570%)
Netflix — $162 → $1,243 (+667.9%)
AMD — $55 → $151 (+174.6%)
Meta — $87 → $752 (+764.4%)
Microsoft — $207 → $495 (+139.1%)
I pointed it out back then — you just didn’t act.