Adrian Monck
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amonck.bsky.social
Adrian Monck
@amonck.bsky.social
2.1K followers 340 following 3.3K posts
Weekly geopolitical intelligence • Former WEF MD

https://7thin.gs/
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amonck.bsky.social
Adrian Monck @amonck.bsky.social · 11h
🏔️21C Capitalism’s Quriltai. My lookahead to Davos, and what it tells us about the ways of the world. open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
Capitalism’s Quriltai
Davos meets to confirm a new khan. The world may not oblige.
open.substack.com
amonck.bsky.social
Russia’s peace negotiator writes:
Collapse of the transatlantic union. Finally—something actually worth discussing in Davos. Rapid Response 47 @RapidResponse... • 5h Donald J. Trump C @reaDonald Trump We have subsidized Denmark, and all of the Countries of the European Union, and others, for many years by not charging them Tariffs, or any other forms of remuneration. Now, after Centuries, it is time for Denmark to give back - World Peace is at stake! China and Russia want Greenland, and there is not a thing that Denmark can do about it. They currently have two dogsleds as protection, one added recently. Only the United States of America, under PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP, can play in this game, and very successfully, at that! Nobody will touch this sacred piece of Land, especially since the National Security of the United States, and the World at large, is at stake.
January 17, 2026 at 10:08 PM
amonck.bsky.social
Journal’s only running 2.0.0
January 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM
amonck.bsky.social
🏔️21C Capitalism’s Quriltai. My lookahead to Davos, and what it tells us about the ways of the world. open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
Capitalism’s Quriltai
Davos meets to confirm a new khan. The world may not oblige.
open.substack.com
January 17, 2026 at 2:50 PM
amonck.bsky.social
US foreign policy redux.
- Venezuela. We’ll take it.
- Greenland. We want it so 🇷🇺 and 🇨🇳 can’t
- Ukraine. We’ll spilt with 🇷🇺
- Taiwan… who knows?
amonck.bsky.social Adrian Monck @amonck.bsky.social · 2d
“The ‘Donroe’ doctrine taking shape is simpler than Monroe’s ever was. It’s easier to bully your friends than confront your adversaries.”https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/rushmore-revenge?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
Rushmore Revenge
Why Trump wants Greenland – and what it reveals about his second term
open.substack.com
January 16, 2026 at 6:29 AM
amonck.bsky.social
“The ‘Donroe’ doctrine taking shape is simpler than Monroe’s ever was. It’s easier to bully your friends than confront your adversaries.”https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/rushmore-revenge?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
Rushmore Revenge
Why Trump wants Greenland – and what it reveals about his second term
open.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 8:34 AM
amonck.bsky.social
Anti-European “satire” on X.
Living in Europe is Paradise You wake up at 6:57 AM and hear your three roommates are already up. The apartment is 41 square meters and the walls are thin. Even though you're 38 years old, you like living with other people.... 19:58•14/1/26. 1.5M Views Almost the entire car is filled with immigrant families and their screaming kids. You do quick mental math for fun: each mother seems to have on average seven children. You're quietly happy there are so many of them - these kids are the future generation of Europe, filling the continent with life. A group of eight teenagers in puffer jackets riding electric scooters fly past and clip your elbow. They laugh and yell at you in what you're pretty sure is Arabic. "Kids, am I right?' you say to Henrik. You look outside. It's still dark. "Netherlands in winter is so beautiful" you whisper to the passenger next to you. "Sorry habibi, I don't speak Dutch," he responds.
January 15, 2026 at 7:56 AM
amonck.bsky.social
More of a delegation. And yes. A single Brit will join.
davekeating.substack.com Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 3d
It's finally happening.

The Swedish prime minister just announced that a pan-European force is arriving in #Greenland as we speak.

No word yet on whether UK forces are among them.
January 15, 2026 at 5:58 AM
amonck.bsky.social
Watch Iran’s Praetorians, Not Its Protesters
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
Watch Iran’s Praetorians, Not Its Protests
Why autocrats fear their generals more than the mob
open.substack.com
January 13, 2026 at 9:32 AM
amonck.bsky.social
🤔
三 FINANCIAL TIMES ° Opinion Markets Insight The risky bet by AI start-ups Broader, integrated software platforms for business will win out against those selling specific services HOLDEN SPAHT + Add to myFT While Al start-ups struggle to defend narrow territory, broader established platforms such as Microsoft, whose CEO is Satya Nadella, build advantages that grow stronger over time © AP These structural challenges show why we believe established software platforms such as Salesforce, SAP, Microsoft - and portfolio companies like Anaplan and Coupa that we invest in at Thoma Bravo - will be more durable despite the risks of AI disruption to their businesses. The writer is managing partner at Thoma Bravo
January 12, 2026 at 7:55 AM
Reposted by Adrian Monck
cthomasjamh.bsky.social
This is the sort of statement that was expected from every university president and law firm partner over the last year. That those statements weren’t made played a huge part in where we are now and people will remember.
joshuajfriedman.com Joshua J. Friedman @joshuajfriedman.com · 6d
Jerome Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation."
January 12, 2026 at 1:45 AM
amonck.bsky.social
The Telegraph gives voice to a range of views reflecting strands of the British establishment on Greenland.

They foreground the peculiar British conviction that surrendering before you’re asked constitutes diplomatic cunning.
Former MI6 chief backs Trump's plan to run Greenland military Threat to l How Trump can take Greenland without firing a shot Washington has more than military might at its disposal as it seeks to take over the vast Arctic island Greenland belongs in the United States Denmark cannot defend the territory. It is too strategically important for the US to leave it vulnerable to potential Chinese control
January 10, 2026 at 8:36 AM
amonck.bsky.social
Sadly the same tone of distant, amused observation informs much political commentary. There’s a time for seriousness and it passed a long time ago.
emilybell.bsky.social Emily Bell @emilybell.bsky.social · 8d
Few things make me more annoyed than arch, semi ironic jokes from British journalists about the state of the US. What part of ‘the rise of global fascism’ do you think does not affect you?
January 10, 2026 at 8:23 AM
amonck.bsky.social
England’s Glorious Revolution wasn’t a vote. It was seven men signing a letter inviting a foreign army to invade.

Newsletter on why America will need its own elite rescue operation. 👇
7thin.gs/p/americas-n...
America’s Next Project
The elite rescue that saved England – and why the US will need one too
7thin.gs
January 8, 2026 at 8:33 AM
amonck.bsky.social
This is the “diplomatic” explanation, remember.
wsj.com The Wall Street Journal @wsj.com · 11d
Exclusive: Secretary of State Marco Rubio told lawmakers in a closed briefing that President Trump wants to buy Greenland, and that recent threats are meant to push Denmark into negotiations. on.wsj.com/3NaLE12
Exclusive | Rubio Tells Lawmakers Trump Aims to Buy Greenland, Downplays Military Action
The secretary of state said the White House is using rhetoric to pressure Denmark into negotiations.
on.wsj.com
January 6, 2026 at 10:21 PM
Reposted by Adrian Monck
charliebeckett.bsky.social
An enjoyable historic romp across historic civilisational collapses with a knowing nod towards current events from Adrian...
January 5, 2026 at 9:14 AM
amonck.bsky.social
The Last Shipment – From Sutton Hoo to Caracas – on great power exhaustion and the places no one is watching open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
The Last Shipment
From Sutton Hoo to Caracas – on great power exhaustion and the places no one is watching
open.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 8:26 AM
amonck.bsky.social
🇩🇰 Danish PM responds to US threats: “It makes absolutely no sense to talk about the need for the United States to take over Greenland…
Denmark - and thus Greenland - is part of NATO and is therefore covered by the alliance's security guarantee.”
"I have to say this very directly to the United States: It makes absolutely no sense to talk about the need for the United States to take over Greenland. The United States has no right to annex any of the three countries in the Commonwealth. The Kingdom of Denmark - and thus Greenland - is part of NATO and is therefore covered by the alliance's security guarantee. We already have a defense agreement between the Kingdom and the United States today, which gives the United States wide access to Greenland. And we, on the part of the Kingdom, have invested significantly in security in the Arctic. I would therefore strongly urge the United States to stop the threats against a historically close ally and against another country and another people who have said very clearly that they are not for sale."
January 4, 2026 at 9:44 PM
amonck.bsky.social
The MA War Studies programme at King's College London is led by someone who predicts race-based civil war driven by multiculturalism, guests on far-right podcasts, loves Orbán's Hungary, and echoes the Kremlin's talking points. And they say academia is woke...
greyskiesthinking.bsky.social Declan Gaffney @greyskiesthinking.bsky.social · 13d
The worst civil conflict in western Europe since WW2, which ran for thirty years *in the actual UK*, reduced to a 'something like' analogy for race war fantasies by a London academic. No words. www.theguardian.com/society/2026...
January 4, 2026 at 3:29 PM
amonck.bsky.social
A reminder of Fiona Hill’s 2019 testimony on Venezuela and Ukraine.
And I was also told by Amos and other colleagues that they had some linkages, so I also want to, you know, get you to step back at this period. This is, you know, March, April, into May, where we were having a standoff over Venezuela. And the Russians at this particular juncture were signaling very strongly that they wanted to somehow make some very strange swap arrangement between Venezuela and Ukraine. In other words, if we were going to exert some semblance of the Monroe Doctrine of, you know, Russia keeping out of our backyard, because this is after the Russians had sent in these hundred operatives essentially to, you know, basically secure the Venezuelan Government and, you know, to preempt what they were obviously taking to be some kind of U.S. military action, they were basically signaling: You know, you have your Monroe doctrine. You want us out of your backyard. Well, you know, we have our own version of this. You're in our backyard in Ukraine. And we were getting that sent to us, you know, kind of informally through channels. It was in the Russian press, various commentators. UNCLASSIFIED
January 3, 2026 at 11:46 PM
amonck.bsky.social
Von Hammerstein-Equord: “Anyone who is both clever and lazy is qualified for the highest leadership duties, because he possesses the mental clarity and strength of nerve necessary for difficult decisions.”
economist.com The Economist @economist.com · 14d
Those who plagiarised more in their masters theses were more likely to go on to work in the public sector in China, according to a new working paper. Once inside they were likely to be promoted more quickly, too
People of dubious character are more likely to enter public service
A new study shows that customs and tax officials are the dodgiest
econ.st
January 3, 2026 at 1:14 PM
amonck.bsky.social
🧵🇻🇪 THREAD: Venezuela and the Westphalian Exception

I watched the Panama invasion from the foreign desk at CBS News.

Everyone's asking if Maduro is the new Noriega. Wrong question.

The right one? Why do we pretend sovereignty ever applied south of the Rio Grande?
www.nytimes.com/live/2026/01...
Live Updates: U.S. Captures Venezuelan Leader, Trump Says
www.nytimes.com
January 3, 2026 at 12:43 PM
amonck.bsky.social
“Misinformation isn’t universal or a general condition of our media ecosystem.

Instead, it's specifically associated with radical-right populist parties that spread misinformation as a political strategy.”👇
handle.invalid Petter Törnberg @handle.invalid · Jan 14
Misinformation isn't random - it's strategic. 🧵

In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians.

We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties.

with @julianachueri.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/1940...
January 1, 2026 at 10:57 PM
amonck.bsky.social
Happy New Year folks. Here’s what 2026 already has figured out. open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
What 2026 Already Knows
Seven structural trends the forecasts won’t touch
open.substack.com
January 1, 2026 at 9:02 AM
amonck.bsky.social
RIP
a man wearing a hat says " the clay davis "
ALT: a man wearing a hat says " the clay davis "
media.tenor.com
December 31, 2025 at 9:16 PM
amonck.bsky.social
A writer becomes a day labourer and learns something about the fentanyl crisis… which is really, of course, a “no social safety net” crisis
In that moment, I saw before me - with an inner tremor - the path that too many of my neighbors had taken. Without steady, decently paying employment, they took on physically demanding day labor, got hurt, relied on painkillers and slid into a downward spiral.
December 31, 2025 at 8:35 AM