Andrew Levi
banner
andrewprlevi.bsky.social
Andrew Levi
@andrewprlevi.bsky.social
▫️Technology investor ▫️Former diplomat, trade, and national security official, and tech industry executive▫️“Top” New York Times▫️“Leading” Der Spiegel▫️“Senior” BBC▫️“Valued” Financial Times▫️“Persona non grata” Vladimir Putin▫️
Reposted by Andrew Levi
“Charles de Gaulle was wrong. American leadership has been great for Europe. But Trump’s performance at Davos was a clear signal […]. The US can no longer be relied upon to lead”.

Thoughts from me @eastangliabylines.co.uk

eastangliabylines.co.uk/foreign-poli...
After Davos: a world unanchored
Donald Trump’s Davos speech revealed an increasingly unmoored US, forcing allies to confront dangers and to consider costly, overdue responses
eastangliabylines.co.uk
January 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Clip summing up my views, at the end of a discussion on “Europe as superpower”.

Old transatlanticists never die … 🙂

Of course, if Europe & US can’t find a joint way forward, then separation will proceed, maybe quickly.

That’ll lead to increasing geopolitical strains, instability & violence. /1.
January 30, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Trump’s Davos appearance wasn’t just rhetoric. Andrew Levi sets out how coercion over cooperation reshapes alliance politics – and why Europe and the UK now face painful strategic choices.

@eastangliabylines.co.uk @andrewprlevi.bsky.social
After Davos: a world unanchored
Donald Trump’s Davos speech revealed an increasingly unmoored US, forcing allies to confront dangers and to consider costly, overdue responses
eastangliabylines.co.uk
January 26, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Clip summing up my views, at the end of a discussion on “Europe as superpower”.

Old transatlanticists never die … 🙂

Of course, if Europe & US can’t find a joint way forward, then separation will proceed, maybe quickly.

That’ll lead to increasing geopolitical strains, instability & violence. /1.
January 30, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
💥📣 My new book will be out on 7 May! Order your copy now: geni.us/PeaceMakers. It’s the exciting story of the men and women of the Foreign Office in WWII. In a world torn apart by war, they evacuated UK citizens, picked up intel in shadowy corners, corralled allies and organised PoW escape lines.
January 26, 2026 at 11:48 AM
“Charles de Gaulle was wrong. American leadership has been great for Europe. But Trump’s performance at Davos was a clear signal […]. The US can no longer be relied upon to lead”.

Thoughts from me @eastangliabylines.co.uk

eastangliabylines.co.uk/foreign-poli...
After Davos: a world unanchored
Donald Trump’s Davos speech revealed an increasingly unmoored US, forcing allies to confront dangers and to consider costly, overdue responses
eastangliabylines.co.uk
January 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM
How is Andy Burnham’s authority and popularity as Greater Manchester Mayor going to be affected now that everyone knows he doesn’t really want a job which, as his letter clearly indicated, he thinks isn’t big or important enough for him?

Idle Sunday speculation …
January 25, 2026 at 6:36 PM
Without an anchoring force, geopolitics are a deadly game of betrayal & coercion.

The US can’t provide the force alone.

A US-led alliance can & has.

Without that alliance, the US’, allies’ & others’ security, prosperity & well-being will be trashed.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 25, 2026 at 2:27 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Strong alliances constrain aspects of freedom of action for individual members, while amplifying their power and influence. The net effect, not least for the largest, most powerful countries, is massive gain for little pain.

Geopolitical Leadership 101.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 1:25 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
A country, however large and powerful, loses leverage with others, if the belief takes hold that it will fail to honour key obligations toward them.

Unless, that is, coercion is what’s on offer. In that case, very bad things will flow for all concerned.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 12:43 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
“Madman Theory” only works if you’re known not to be mad.

Others have to work out in which directions to hedge, to placate you.

If you’re mad, anything could happen.

No one can hedge in all directions.

Your influence is nil.

Danger is off the scale.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 19, 2026 at 10:40 PM
Strong alliances constrain aspects of freedom of action for individual members, while amplifying their power and influence. The net effect, not least for the largest, most powerful countries, is massive gain for little pain.

Geopolitical Leadership 101.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 1:25 AM
A country, however large and powerful, loses leverage with others, if the belief takes hold that it will fail to honour key obligations toward them.

Unless, that is, coercion is what’s on offer. In that case, very bad things will flow for all concerned.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 12:43 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Main impression after 2 days in London: any politician, official or commentator who now prioritizes party politics, petty scores or their personal career advancement over dealing with this crisis should find a new job.
Time to be serious.
As a lot of serious people have said for a very long time.
January 20, 2026 at 2:28 PM
“Madman Theory” only works if you’re known not to be mad.

Others have to work out in which directions to hedge, to placate you.

If you’re mad, anything could happen.

No one can hedge in all directions.

Your influence is nil.

Danger is off the scale.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 19, 2026 at 10:40 PM
USA, Europe, World.

Much emphatic talk right now about “the end” of the world’s most important alliance, & bitter recrimination about what appears to be happening, with borderline apocalyptic suggestions for action.

We must focus: on nasty truths & harsh realities.

A conversation from earlier ⬇️
What are you proposing? None of the items on my list, as far as I can see. And none which aren’t on it.

For my part, I’m not certain precisely what we should do.

But here’s a short list:

(a) 10% of GDP on defence for 10 years: a crash programme to modernise, expand, and fill gaping holes /1.
January 17, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Great discussion on possible war @mrjamesob.bsky.social

Reminded of our conversation after Putin’s Ukraine invasion:

- Putin’s in an escalatory cycle of theft & violence

- Europe & US need each other

The US is wobbling.

Tinkering with army reserves is a distraction.

youtu.be/l1u2IXkbBvA?...
Putin, Russia, Ukraine - 25 Feb 2022 ▪️ Andrew Levi with James O’Brien, LBC
YouTube video by Andrew Levi
youtu.be
January 16, 2026 at 12:38 PM
This man deserves a professorship forthwith.

He certainly shouldn’t have to give up his medal to get it, even though under the newly established, universally accepted Nobel Precedent, he is fully entitled to cash the medal in for any position of his choice.
Anyone willing to swap a professorship for an under-12 South County Limerick Division C Gaelic Football Winner’s Medal?
January 16, 2026 at 12:03 AM
Venezuela

Every situation is unique.

But there can still be a strong past pattern which reveals deeper trends than any single intervention, however startling or shocking it may be.

This short 🧵 isn’t meant as an analysis of right and wrong.

But let’s first get some historical perspective. /1.
January 3, 2026 at 12:05 PM
Midnight in Edinburgh 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
January 1, 2026 at 12:32 AM
For inauguration day 2025 @eastangliabylines.co.uk kindly published this on the vital, shared interests of the US & Europe.

The US will fail without Europe. And vice versa. Hard though both truths are for some, on either side of the Atlantic, to stomach.

eastangliabylines.co.uk/democracy/am...
America needs us: but does Trump know it?
12 noon in Washington DC on 20 January 2025 will be a key moment in our post-war history. This time, everything is at stake
eastangliabylines.co.uk
December 31, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
In case of interest, a 2025 review of geopolitics under Trump’s presidency, with a focus on Russia/ Ukraine/ Europe and global security. (BBC interview by me, given shortly before posting this).

youtube.com/watch?v=Ivqc...
Andrew Levi BBC interview: 2025 review of Trump, Putin, Ukraine etc., around 12.30 pm, 18 Dec 2025
YouTube video by Andrew Levi
youtube.com
December 19, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
A further BBC interview, which I gave just now, on Russia/ Ukraine/ Europe, with some introductory reporting which might be of interest (along with the interview itself, I hope!).

youtube.com/watch?v=0AiZ...
Andrew Levi BBC interview: Russia/ Ukraine/ Europe + introductory BBC reporting, 4 pm, 18 Dec 2025
YouTube video by Andrew Levi
youtube.com
December 19, 2025 at 4:53 PM
A further BBC interview, which I gave just now, on Russia/ Ukraine/ Europe, with some introductory reporting which might be of interest (along with the interview itself, I hope!).

youtube.com/watch?v=0AiZ...
Andrew Levi BBC interview: Russia/ Ukraine/ Europe + introductory BBC reporting, 4 pm, 18 Dec 2025
YouTube video by Andrew Levi
youtube.com
December 19, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Great analysis by @cerianbond.bsky.social

I’m more glass-half-full.

The EU’s €20T GDP coalition of the willing funds Ukraine for 18 months with an easily affordable €0.09T. The blockers are stymied.

Russian frozen assets aren’t needed. But, crucially, they are sequestered.

A bad day for Putin.
Reflections on the European Council decision to borrow €90 billion and lend it to Ukraine. Tl; dr: Ukraine benefits, but not enough; Putin & Trump will be encouraged; the EU & individual member-states have shown that it’s still too easy to intimidate them. 🧵1/13
December 19, 2025 at 3:13 PM