Andrew Levi
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andrewprlevi.bsky.social
Andrew Levi
@andrewprlevi.bsky.social
▫️Technology investor ▫️Former diplomat, trade, and national security official, and tech industry executive▫️“Top” New York Times▫️“Leading” Der Spiegel▫️“Senior” BBC▫️“Valued” Financial Times▫️“Persona non grata” Vladimir Putin▫️
Latest thoughts on Russia - Ukraine, in case of interest.

youtube.com/watch?v=ahRZ...
Russia - Ukraine, Andrew Levi BBC interview 4 February 2026
YouTube video by Andrew Levi
youtube.com
February 4, 2026 at 12:47 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
The MAGA 5 dimensional master strategists around Colby and Anton are playing Risk when they should be playing Railroad Tycoon
February 4, 2026 at 11:45 AM
Many thanks to the German Consul General in Edinburgh, Christiane Hullmann @uk.diplo.de, @wienerlibrary.bsky.social & other speakers the Holocaust Memorial Day event at the New Town Church.

I attach a contribution, one among so many, to the “individual stories” aspect of Holocaust education.
As we again approach Holocaust Memorial Day, we again ask:

“Are we there yet?”

Forget excuses, deflections, “Godwin’s Law”…

No, we’re not there yet.

But we will be.

Unless we stop those working to take us there.

Here’s a letter from Peter, to his sister and her husband, to remind us.

A🧵/1.
February 3, 2026 at 6:56 PM
“Real conspiracies, sometimes major, exist.

“Conspiracy theorists say real conspiracies, sometimes major, exist.

“Therefore this real (major) conspiracy proves the conspiracy theorists right”.

If we can’t overcome this sort of category error in our thinking, we really are sunk.

Must do better.
February 3, 2026 at 3:14 PM
“A vote is only a tool for us […] We do not want to join this pile of manure. We are coming to shovel it out”.

Joseph Goebbels, 1928

Need to hear more?
“We enter the Reichstag to arm ourselves […]. If democracy is foolish enough to give us free railway passes and salaries, that is its problem. […] Any way of bringing about the revolution is fine by us. […] the state itself will pay for our fighting organisation”.

Joseph Goebbels, 1928
“Do not believe that parliament is our goal. […] We are coming neither as friends nor neutrals. We come as enemies! As the wolf attacks the sheep, so come we”.

Joseph Goebbels, 1928
February 2, 2026 at 9:27 PM
“We enter the Reichstag to arm ourselves […]. If democracy is foolish enough to give us free railway passes and salaries, that is its problem. […] Any way of bringing about the revolution is fine by us. […] the state itself will pay for our fighting organisation”.

Joseph Goebbels, 1928
“Do not believe that parliament is our goal. […] We are coming neither as friends nor neutrals. We come as enemies! As the wolf attacks the sheep, so come we”.

Joseph Goebbels, 1928
Both experience and logic tell us that a democracy cannot be expected survive if it allows sweeping power to be granted to people whose intention is to subvert the democratic and constitutional functioning of the state.

It isn’t “democratic” to allow such people to take power.

It’s suicidal.
February 2, 2026 at 9:23 PM
“Do not believe that parliament is our goal. […] We are coming neither as friends nor neutrals. We come as enemies! As the wolf attacks the sheep, so come we”.

Joseph Goebbels, 1928
Both experience and logic tell us that a democracy cannot be expected survive if it allows sweeping power to be granted to people whose intention is to subvert the democratic and constitutional functioning of the state.

It isn’t “democratic” to allow such people to take power.

It’s suicidal.
February 2, 2026 at 9:17 PM
Both experience and logic tell us that a democracy cannot be expected survive if it allows sweeping power to be granted to people whose intention is to subvert the democratic and constitutional functioning of the state.

It isn’t “democratic” to allow such people to take power.

It’s suicidal.
February 2, 2026 at 8:07 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
“Charles de Gaulle was wrong. American leadership has been great for Europe. But Trump’s performance at Davos was a clear signal […]. The US can no longer be relied upon to lead”.

Thoughts from me @eastangliabylines.co.uk

eastangliabylines.co.uk/foreign-poli...
After Davos: a world unanchored
Donald Trump’s Davos speech revealed an increasingly unmoored US, forcing allies to confront dangers and to consider costly, overdue responses
eastangliabylines.co.uk
January 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Clip summing up my views, at the end of a discussion on “Europe as superpower”.

Old transatlanticists never die … 🙂

Of course, if Europe & US can’t find a joint way forward, then separation will proceed, maybe quickly.

That’ll lead to increasing geopolitical strains, instability & violence. /1.
January 30, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Trump’s Davos appearance wasn’t just rhetoric. Andrew Levi sets out how coercion over cooperation reshapes alliance politics – and why Europe and the UK now face painful strategic choices.

@eastangliabylines.co.uk @andrewprlevi.bsky.social
After Davos: a world unanchored
Donald Trump’s Davos speech revealed an increasingly unmoored US, forcing allies to confront dangers and to consider costly, overdue responses
eastangliabylines.co.uk
January 26, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Clip summing up my views, at the end of a discussion on “Europe as superpower”.

Old transatlanticists never die … 🙂

Of course, if Europe & US can’t find a joint way forward, then separation will proceed, maybe quickly.

That’ll lead to increasing geopolitical strains, instability & violence. /1.
January 30, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
💥📣 My new book will be out on 7 May! Order your copy now: geni.us/PeaceMakers. It’s the exciting story of the men and women of the Foreign Office in WWII. In a world torn apart by war, they evacuated UK citizens, picked up intel in shadowy corners, corralled allies and organised PoW escape lines.
January 26, 2026 at 11:48 AM
“Charles de Gaulle was wrong. American leadership has been great for Europe. But Trump’s performance at Davos was a clear signal […]. The US can no longer be relied upon to lead”.

Thoughts from me @eastangliabylines.co.uk

eastangliabylines.co.uk/foreign-poli...
After Davos: a world unanchored
Donald Trump’s Davos speech revealed an increasingly unmoored US, forcing allies to confront dangers and to consider costly, overdue responses
eastangliabylines.co.uk
January 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM
How is Andy Burnham’s authority and popularity as Greater Manchester Mayor going to be affected now that everyone knows he doesn’t really want a job which, as his letter clearly indicated, he thinks isn’t big or important enough for him?

Idle Sunday speculation …
January 25, 2026 at 6:36 PM
Without an anchoring force, geopolitics are a deadly game of betrayal & coercion.

The US can’t provide the force alone.

A US-led alliance can & has.

Without that alliance, the US’, allies’ & others’ security, prosperity & well-being will be trashed.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 25, 2026 at 2:27 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Strong alliances constrain aspects of freedom of action for individual members, while amplifying their power and influence. The net effect, not least for the largest, most powerful countries, is massive gain for little pain.

Geopolitical Leadership 101.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 1:25 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
A country, however large and powerful, loses leverage with others, if the belief takes hold that it will fail to honour key obligations toward them.

Unless, that is, coercion is what’s on offer. In that case, very bad things will flow for all concerned.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 12:43 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
“Madman Theory” only works if you’re known not to be mad.

Others have to work out in which directions to hedge, to placate you.

If you’re mad, anything could happen.

No one can hedge in all directions.

Your influence is nil.

Danger is off the scale.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 19, 2026 at 10:40 PM
Strong alliances constrain aspects of freedom of action for individual members, while amplifying their power and influence. The net effect, not least for the largest, most powerful countries, is massive gain for little pain.

Geopolitical Leadership 101.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 1:25 AM
A country, however large and powerful, loses leverage with others, if the belief takes hold that it will fail to honour key obligations toward them.

Unless, that is, coercion is what’s on offer. In that case, very bad things will flow for all concerned.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 21, 2026 at 12:43 AM
Reposted by Andrew Levi
Main impression after 2 days in London: any politician, official or commentator who now prioritizes party politics, petty scores or their personal career advancement over dealing with this crisis should find a new job.
Time to be serious.
As a lot of serious people have said for a very long time.
January 20, 2026 at 2:28 PM
“Madman Theory” only works if you’re known not to be mad.

Others have to work out in which directions to hedge, to placate you.

If you’re mad, anything could happen.

No one can hedge in all directions.

Your influence is nil.

Danger is off the scale.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
January 19, 2026 at 10:40 PM
USA, Europe, World.

Much emphatic talk right now about “the end” of the world’s most important alliance, & bitter recrimination about what appears to be happening, with borderline apocalyptic suggestions for action.

We must focus: on nasty truths & harsh realities.

A conversation from earlier ⬇️
What are you proposing? None of the items on my list, as far as I can see. And none which aren’t on it.

For my part, I’m not certain precisely what we should do.

But here’s a short list:

(a) 10% of GDP on defence for 10 years: a crash programme to modernise, expand, and fill gaping holes /1.
January 17, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Great discussion on possible war @mrjamesob.bsky.social

Reminded of our conversation after Putin’s Ukraine invasion:

- Putin’s in an escalatory cycle of theft & violence

- Europe & US need each other

The US is wobbling.

Tinkering with army reserves is a distraction.

youtu.be/l1u2IXkbBvA?...
Putin, Russia, Ukraine - 25 Feb 2022 ▪️ Andrew Levi with James O’Brien, LBC
YouTube video by Andrew Levi
youtu.be
January 16, 2026 at 12:38 PM