Arcane Demesne
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arcanedemesne.bsky.social
Arcane Demesne
@arcanedemesne.bsky.social
Below is my 2026 GA midterms prediction, saved here for posterity. Very interested to see if it holds up. Has a lot of data that went into it based on VA.

https://bsky.app/profile/arcanedemesne.bsky.social/post/3m57yfdj6y22u
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
@aftynbehn.bsky.social canvassing! We can flip District 7!
November 26, 2025 at 2:53 AM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social is on track to get see many as 40,000 voters overall turn out inDavidson and she's probably winning them by at least60%. Huge props to GracieFreeman and the team there. At this point we're really only looking at the vote margins in Montgomery and Williamson to see if she wins.
November 26, 2025 at 2:49 AM
@djsoke.bsky.social Well the Trump tweet will certainly cause a ripple in voting tomorrow. Hmm.
November 26, 2025 at 2:08 AM
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
Swamp the vote
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Republicans hitting the all caps Panic button in TN-7

Fitting that the swampiest of all would call on them to “swamp the vote”
November 26, 2025 at 1:58 AM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social For the first time in a month Trump has tweeted on twitter begging his drones to turn out for Matt van Epps. All caps, tons of characters, very scared tweet. The tweet of a coward and a loser. Hope Gavin, as slimy as he is, does a hilarious parody of that tweet. So pathetic...
November 26, 2025 at 1:55 AM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social @kgreenmd.bsky.social @downtowncheribrown.bsky.social Boom. Davidson dropping the late EV atom bomb. That implies tomorrow is going to be even higher. Will Davidson crack 22,000 for EV?
November 25, 2025 Cumulative In-Person Early Voting Total: 17,444
November 26, 2025 at 1:27 AM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social @kgreenmd.bsky.social @downtowncheribrown.bsky.social Boom. Davidson dropping the late EV atom bomb. That implies tomorrow is going to be even higher. Will Davidson crack 22,000 for EV?
November 25, 2025 Cumulative In-Person Early Voting Total: 17,444
November 26, 2025 at 1:25 AM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social @kgreenmd.bsky.social @downtowncheribrown.bsky.social Boom. Davidson dropping the late EV atom bomb. That implies tomorrow is going to be even higher. Will Davidson crack 22,000 for EV?
November 25, 2025 Cumulative In-Person Early Voting Total: 17,444
November 26, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
Hide your couches and your widows!
November 25, 2025 at 11:29 PM
@kgreenmd.bsky.social Can't believe they're flying Vance in to "celebrate Thanksgiving" at Fort Campbell. Guess he and van Epps are both Ohio boys pretending they're from somewhere else? They really are scared. Not sure Vance is the key to better R turnout, though.
November 25, 2025 at 9:53 PM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social JD Vance coming to Ft. Campbell tomorrow? If elected to Congress will you work to prevent this travesty from ever being repeated?
November 25, 2025 at 9:40 PM
@djsoke.bsky.social A true sign of a confident campaign. Although it could be any random billionaire hoping to get favor from Trump I guess.
At least the campaign filed a complaint already. Probably not easy to track down who did it and probably they'll be pardoned by Trump.
November 25, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
If anyone is getting these in the mail, don’t be fooled. Election day is Tuesday, Dec 2. Please check your voter registration at govotetn.gov and cast your ballot for @aftynbehn.bsky.social !
Skullduggery? 7th District mailers with no attribution or return address going out to Democratic Nashville voters, listing the incorrect date for Election Day.
November 25, 2025 at 8:25 PM
I got so lucky today. I have to go have birthday dinner with my family at 5:30, but thankfully our heroes in Davidson County set voting hours to 7PM so I'll be back before they release the daily tally. And as everyone knows, getting the EV results 5 seconds before anyone else is the point of life.
November 25, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
November 25, 2025 at 6:57 PM
Well the daily report for yesterday is out. Quite interesting. Williamson went hard, barely missed beating Davidson. 1,852, vs 1,879. Montgomery at 1,781. Total 8,383 votes, a new record by over 750 votes.

Late stage EV surge definitely kicking in here.
November 25, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Very interesting to see if the vote total for today hits 8,000 in the TNSOS report tomorrow. Should be the highest day so far based on the counties that have already previewed numbers. ~4,330 out of the 3 so far. Could easily expect to see 1,500 out of Williamson, 700-800 for Dickson and Robertson.
November 25, 2025 at 1:05 AM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social Another +1,840 votes today in Davidson, plus 1,780 in Montgomery, and 731 in Cheatham. Curious to see Willaimson, Robertson, and Dickson tomorrow. But fantastic results for Davidson. They are on track for 20,000 early votes.
November 24, 2025 at 11:58 PM
@djsoke.bsky.social WTF was in the water at Cheatham today? 731, so their highest total ever by 119 votes.
November 24, 2025 at 11:20 PM
Slightly more encouraging reports out of Lentz now. Hopefully it picks up in the afternoon/evening vs the morning.
November 24, 2025 at 8:55 PM
With several more potential resignations from House Republicans you might end up being elected into the majority lmao.
November 24, 2025 at 8:25 PM
@aftynbehn.bsky.social On Breaking Points when they asked about holding the seat why didn't you mention how TN-5 is even bluer and can bring energy to Nashville to keep TN-7 Dem and add another Dem seat in 2026?
November 24, 2025 at 6:07 PM
So I'm hearing that Lentz is a little slow today but then again last Monday was the lowest turnout weekday of the election, although a lot of that wasWilliamson's fault. Aftyn really wants a good number out of Davidson today and the next two days. Guess we will see how afternoon reports at Lentz go.
November 24, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
@apeabody.bsky.social fully endorses @aftynbehn4tn and encourage everyone to take advantage of early voting. You can vote today, tomorrow and Wednesday or Election Day (DEC 2). Let's send an amazing Democrat to Congress and send the message that Tennessee is NOT a red state! #aftynbehn #TNblue
November 24, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Reposted by Arcane Demesne
Here's another MS NOW interview with the infamous Rev. Al Sharpton. Are you paying attention, Nashville? Get out and vote early Monday, Tuesday, or Wednesday! She's counting on you to show up! aftynbehn.bksy.social aftynforcongress.com #tn7
Rev. Al Sharpton on Instagram: "This week on #PoliticsNation, I spoke with Tennessee State Representative Aftyn Behn as voters prepare for a special election that has Republicans on edge. A district T...
real_sharpton on November 22, 2025: "This week on #PoliticsNation, I spoke with Tennessee State Representative Aftyn Behn as voters prepare for a special election that has Republicans on edge. A distr...
www.instagram.com
November 24, 2025 at 5:24 AM