Bobby Allyn
@bobbyallyn.bsky.social
In prediction market spaces, traders are debating whether the person who has placed a $115k Polymarket bet on the US striking Iran tonight is a pseudonymous military insider or a “degen,” a degenerate nihilist trader. If the strike happens, the payout is $4M.
February 10, 2026 at 1:40 AM
In prediction market spaces, traders are debating whether the person who has placed a $115k Polymarket bet on the US striking Iran tonight is a pseudonymous military insider or a “degen,” a degenerate nihilist trader. If the strike happens, the payout is $4M.
Days ago someone bet $500k on Kalshi Gaga would perform at halftime show. Wow what luck. Had to be random!!
February 9, 2026 at 1:30 AM
Days ago someone bet $500k on Kalshi Gaga would perform at halftime show. Wow what luck. Had to be random!!
Reposted by Bobby Allyn
The Super Bowl in Silicon Valley "is tech billionaires who got picked last in gym class paying $50,000 to pretend they’re friends with the guys who got picked first in gym class." Ken Belson @mikeisaac.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2026/02/07/b...
A Super Bowl in Silicon Valley Filled With Valley Billionaires
www.nytimes.com
February 8, 2026 at 3:55 AM
The Super Bowl in Silicon Valley "is tech billionaires who got picked last in gym class paying $50,000 to pretend they’re friends with the guys who got picked first in gym class." Ken Belson @mikeisaac.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2026/02/07/b...
He’s best known in internet lore for
his infamous 2018 “female presenting nipples” memo. Now he will ensure democracy doesn’t die in darkness www.buzzfeednews.com/article/remy...
his infamous 2018 “female presenting nipples” memo. Now he will ensure democracy doesn’t die in darkness www.buzzfeednews.com/article/remy...
People Are Saying That They’re Leaving Tumblr Because Of Its New Ban On Adult Content
“Tumblr dies for good on December the 17th.”
www.buzzfeednews.com
February 8, 2026 at 12:33 AM
He’s best known in internet lore for
his infamous 2018 “female presenting nipples” memo. Now he will ensure democracy doesn’t die in darkness www.buzzfeednews.com/article/remy...
his infamous 2018 “female presenting nipples” memo. Now he will ensure democracy doesn’t die in darkness www.buzzfeednews.com/article/remy...
OK so now the former CEO of Tumblr is running the Washington Post. Tumblr. A company whose history is a textbook case study in corporate value destruction.
February 7, 2026 at 11:13 PM
OK so now the former CEO of Tumblr is running the Washington Post. Tumblr. A company whose history is a textbook case study in corporate value destruction.
Investors' legal team intend to play for the jury "Isaacson’s deposition confirming that Musk made a 4-sentence statement to him" -- interesting that Isaacson sat for a deposition in this case 👀
February 6, 2026 at 3:40 AM
Investors' legal team intend to play for the jury "Isaacson’s deposition confirming that Musk made a 4-sentence statement to him" -- interesting that Isaacson sat for a deposition in this case 👀
In a separate motion, Musk's lawyers are trying to ban Walter Isaacson's book from the courtroom. "Plaintiffs should not be
allowed to bandy the 700+ page Book or its decorative jacket, around in front of the jury"
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
allowed to bandy the 700+ page Book or its decorative jacket, around in front of the jury"
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
www.documentcloud.org
February 6, 2026 at 3:37 AM
In a separate motion, Musk's lawyers are trying to ban Walter Isaacson's book from the courtroom. "Plaintiffs should not be
allowed to bandy the 700+ page Book or its decorative jacket, around in front of the jury"
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
allowed to bandy the 700+ page Book or its decorative jacket, around in front of the jury"
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
"The Court should exclude all evidence of: (1) Musk’s 2024-2025 political activities; (2) Musk’s
management and content moderation changes; (3) the 2022-2023 layoffs; and (4) the October 27, 2022
executive terminations."
management and content moderation changes; (3) the 2022-2023 layoffs; and (4) the October 27, 2022
executive terminations."
February 6, 2026 at 3:30 AM
"The Court should exclude all evidence of: (1) Musk’s 2024-2025 political activities; (2) Musk’s
management and content moderation changes; (3) the 2022-2023 layoffs; and (4) the October 27, 2022
executive terminations."
management and content moderation changes; (3) the 2022-2023 layoffs; and (4) the October 27, 2022
executive terminations."
(Musk's lawyers asking a judge ahead of a major Twitter securities fraud case to exclude Musk's politics, Musk's content moderation policies and DOGE from the trial because it might bias the jury)
February 6, 2026 at 3:30 AM
(Musk's lawyers asking a judge ahead of a major Twitter securities fraud case to exclude Musk's politics, Musk's content moderation policies and DOGE from the trial because it might bias the jury)
This is a doozy: "If Plaintiffs want to argue Musk bought Twitter to make money rather than to promote free speech, they may do so without dragging DOGE, Trump, and allegations of racism into the courtroom."
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
MOTION IN LIMINE NO. 3
www.documentcloud.org
February 6, 2026 at 3:29 AM
This is a doozy: "If Plaintiffs want to argue Musk bought Twitter to make money rather than to promote free speech, they may do so without dragging DOGE, Trump, and allegations of racism into the courtroom."
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
Reposted by Bobby Allyn
One of @ering.bsky.social's great file finds: Epstein tried to help create an tech fund shortly before he was arrested in 2019 with two tech types. One of his partners, however, was worried about the "optics" of telling founders that Epstein was involved.
So they suggested Epstein conceal himself.
So they suggested Epstein conceal himself.
February 5, 2026 at 3:46 PM
One of @ering.bsky.social's great file finds: Epstein tried to help create an tech fund shortly before he was arrested in 2019 with two tech types. One of his partners, however, was worried about the "optics" of telling founders that Epstein was involved.
So they suggested Epstein conceal himself.
So they suggested Epstein conceal himself.
not that time in 2013 when someone strongly recommended Epstein go to Berghain…
February 5, 2026 at 5:29 PM
not that time in 2013 when someone strongly recommended Epstein go to Berghain…
wonder what Bezos could possibly want from the WH
February 5, 2026 at 1:32 AM
wonder what Bezos could possibly want from the WH
Reposted by Bobby Allyn
Today, the Washington Post laid off more than 300 people.
If you think this is abt Jeff Bezos's concern that the paper losing money, you're wrong.
So wrong that you should be disqualified from expressing opinions in public.
Billionaires *like* losses. They *need* losses.
If you think this is abt Jeff Bezos's concern that the paper losing money, you're wrong.
So wrong that you should be disqualified from expressing opinions in public.
Billionaires *like* losses. They *need* losses.
February 5, 2026 at 12:13 AM
Today, the Washington Post laid off more than 300 people.
If you think this is abt Jeff Bezos's concern that the paper losing money, you're wrong.
So wrong that you should be disqualified from expressing opinions in public.
Billionaires *like* losses. They *need* losses.
If you think this is abt Jeff Bezos's concern that the paper losing money, you're wrong.
So wrong that you should be disqualified from expressing opinions in public.
Billionaires *like* losses. They *need* losses.
Reposted by Bobby Allyn
My story on Elon Musk cutting safeguards at xAI is on the front page of today's @washingtonpost.com. I’m also among 100’s of reporters laid off. I absolutely loved my job my brilliant coworkers & the thrill of reporting @ the center of forces upending the world: AI & Silicon Valley’s political power
February 4, 2026 at 7:40 PM
My story on Elon Musk cutting safeguards at xAI is on the front page of today's @washingtonpost.com. I’m also among 100’s of reporters laid off. I absolutely loved my job my brilliant coworkers & the thrill of reporting @ the center of forces upending the world: AI & Silicon Valley’s political power
Reposted by Bobby Allyn
A retiree wrote this email to a DHS attorney. Within five hours, DHS demanded Google turn over records for his account.
A Kafkaesque form of domestic surveillance, intimidating Americans for lawful speech.
New from us at the Post: www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio... @johnwoodrowcox.bsky.social
A Kafkaesque form of domestic surveillance, intimidating Americans for lawful speech.
New from us at the Post: www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio... @johnwoodrowcox.bsky.social
February 3, 2026 at 3:15 PM
A retiree wrote this email to a DHS attorney. Within five hours, DHS demanded Google turn over records for his account.
A Kafkaesque form of domestic surveillance, intimidating Americans for lawful speech.
New from us at the Post: www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio... @johnwoodrowcox.bsky.social
A Kafkaesque form of domestic surveillance, intimidating Americans for lawful speech.
New from us at the Post: www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio... @johnwoodrowcox.bsky.social
"Every American should be worried about that, because if they can lie about this, what else could they lie about? And if it's your family member who gets killed, what recourse do you have?"
www.npr.org/2026/01/31/n...
www.npr.org/2026/01/31/n...
DHS keeps making false claims about people. It's part of a broader pattern
Trump administration officials have falsely linked Alex Pretti and Renee Macklin Good to domestic terrorism. It's part of a larger pattern by the Department of Homeland Security.
www.npr.org
January 31, 2026 at 5:13 PM
"Every American should be worried about that, because if they can lie about this, what else could they lie about? And if it's your family member who gets killed, what recourse do you have?"
www.npr.org/2026/01/31/n...
www.npr.org/2026/01/31/n...
Link to the amicus brief: www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
AMICUS BRIEF IN KALSHI CASE FROM STATES
www.documentcloud.org
January 30, 2026 at 11:21 PM
Link to the amicus brief: www.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
39 states and DC today in an amicus brief to the Ninth Circuit, which has a big case about the future of Kalshi in the U.S: Kalshi's legality is "far fetched" and permitting it would leave states no ability "to protect their citizens from predatory practices and other problematic behavior."
January 30, 2026 at 11:21 PM
39 states and DC today in an amicus brief to the Ninth Circuit, which has a big case about the future of Kalshi in the U.S: Kalshi's legality is "far fetched" and permitting it would leave states no ability "to protect their citizens from predatory practices and other problematic behavior."
Reposted by Bobby Allyn
Jeffrey Epstein asks Elon Musk if Solar City can electrify his island or ranch. www.justice.gov/epstein/file...
January 30, 2026 at 7:52 PM
Jeffrey Epstein asks Elon Musk if Solar City can electrify his island or ranch. www.justice.gov/epstein/file...
And add to the mix how Don Jr. is an adviser to both Kalshi and Polymarket, TruthSocial wants to launch its own prediction market and the new chairman of the CFTC suggested yesterday that the agency will fight states that try to regulate the platforms www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/Sp...
January 30, 2026 at 7:54 PM
And add to the mix how Don Jr. is an adviser to both Kalshi and Polymarket, TruthSocial wants to launch its own prediction market and the new chairman of the CFTC suggested yesterday that the agency will fight states that try to regulate the platforms www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/Sp...
Kalshi's legal battles are a proxy for the WHOLE prediction market industry. It's a the leader of the pack right now, and since it has boomed, it's spawned an arms race: : Robinhood, Coinbase, FanDuel and DraftKings and others are now launching their own prediction markets.
January 30, 2026 at 4:47 PM
Kalshi's legal battles are a proxy for the WHOLE prediction market industry. It's a the leader of the pack right now, and since it has boomed, it's spawned an arms race: : Robinhood, Coinbase, FanDuel and DraftKings and others are now launching their own prediction markets.
The cases are also over regulatory authority, Kalshi says Trump's CFTC is its sole regulator, whereas, states, Indian tribes and others say they are operating as an unlicensed gaming commission, flouting strict sports gambling laws nationwide.
January 30, 2026 at 4:46 PM
The cases are also over regulatory authority, Kalshi says Trump's CFTC is its sole regulator, whereas, states, Indian tribes and others say they are operating as an unlicensed gaming commission, flouting strict sports gambling laws nationwide.
But now, Kalshi has dispatched high-profile lawyers to courtrooms across the country to argue that sports betting is not a game. Here's Neal Katyal, who Kalshi has hired in one of its appeals: "Defendants’ real complaint is with the CFTC, which allowed Kalshi to list its sports contracts."
January 30, 2026 at 4:44 PM
But now, Kalshi has dispatched high-profile lawyers to courtrooms across the country to argue that sports betting is not a game. Here's Neal Katyal, who Kalshi has hired in one of its appeals: "Defendants’ real complaint is with the CFTC, which allowed Kalshi to list its sports contracts."