Britain Elects
@britainelects.com
Britain's leading aggregator for polling, forecasts and election results. Run by @bwalker.uk. Est. 2013 with the late, great, Lily Jayne Summers.
📊 Ref lead of 6pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 25, 2025 at 2:28 PM
📊 Ref lead of 6pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
❗ Conservative GAIN from Green
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 21, 2025 at 7:15 AM
❗ Conservative GAIN from Green
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Green GAIN from Labour
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 21, 2025 at 7:01 AM
❗ Green GAIN from Labour
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Labour HOLD
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 20, 2025 at 11:34 PM
✅ Labour HOLD
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 19, 2025 at 11:21 AM
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:21 PM
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
❗ Green GAIN from Liberal Democrat
Last week's Wincheap (Canterbury) council by-election result:
GRN: 39.1% (+24.1)
LDEM: 24.1% (-12.2)
REF: 16.3% (+16.3)
LAB: 12.8% (-25.5)
CON: 7.7% (-2.6)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-9)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Wincheap (Canterbury) council by-election result:
GRN: 39.1% (+24.1)
LDEM: 24.1% (-12.2)
REF: 16.3% (+16.3)
LAB: 12.8% (-25.5)
CON: 7.7% (-2.6)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-9)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 17, 2025 at 12:30 PM
❗ Green GAIN from Liberal Democrat
Last week's Wincheap (Canterbury) council by-election result:
GRN: 39.1% (+24.1)
LDEM: 24.1% (-12.2)
REF: 16.3% (+16.3)
LAB: 12.8% (-25.5)
CON: 7.7% (-2.6)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-9)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Wincheap (Canterbury) council by-election result:
GRN: 39.1% (+24.1)
LDEM: 24.1% (-12.2)
REF: 16.3% (+16.3)
LAB: 12.8% (-25.5)
CON: 7.7% (-2.6)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-9)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Green HOLD
Last week's Long Ashton (North Somerset) council by-election result:
GRN: 55.7% (+25.1)
CON: 17.7% (-7.2)
REF: 15.5% (+15.5)
LDEM: 5.7% (-28.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-4.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~33% (-37)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Long Ashton (North Somerset) council by-election result:
GRN: 55.7% (+25.1)
CON: 17.7% (-7.2)
REF: 15.5% (+15.5)
LDEM: 5.7% (-28.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-4.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~33% (-37)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 17, 2025 at 12:28 PM
✅ Green HOLD
Last week's Long Ashton (North Somerset) council by-election result:
GRN: 55.7% (+25.1)
CON: 17.7% (-7.2)
REF: 15.5% (+15.5)
LDEM: 5.7% (-28.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-4.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~33% (-37)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Long Ashton (North Somerset) council by-election result:
GRN: 55.7% (+25.1)
CON: 17.7% (-7.2)
REF: 15.5% (+15.5)
LDEM: 5.7% (-28.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-4.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~33% (-37)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD
Last week's Ridgeway (Vale of White Horse) council by-election result:
LDEM: 43.1% (-15.0)
CON: 24.4% (-17.6)
REF: 19.9% (+19.9)
GRN: 11.9% (+11.9)
LAB: 0.8% (+0.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~39% (-5)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Ridgeway (Vale of White Horse) council by-election result:
LDEM: 43.1% (-15.0)
CON: 24.4% (-17.6)
REF: 19.9% (+19.9)
GRN: 11.9% (+11.9)
LAB: 0.8% (+0.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~39% (-5)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 17, 2025 at 12:27 PM
✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD
Last week's Ridgeway (Vale of White Horse) council by-election result:
LDEM: 43.1% (-15.0)
CON: 24.4% (-17.6)
REF: 19.9% (+19.9)
GRN: 11.9% (+11.9)
LAB: 0.8% (+0.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~39% (-5)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Ridgeway (Vale of White Horse) council by-election result:
LDEM: 43.1% (-15.0)
CON: 24.4% (-17.6)
REF: 19.9% (+19.9)
GRN: 11.9% (+11.9)
LAB: 0.8% (+0.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~39% (-5)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative
Last week's Chapel St Leonards (East Lindsey) council by-election result:
REF: 65.8% (+65.8)
CON: 15.6% (-20.7)
IND: 6.7% (-23.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-27.7)
LDEM: 4.7% (+4.7)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Chapel St Leonards (East Lindsey) council by-election result:
REF: 65.8% (+65.8)
CON: 15.6% (-20.7)
IND: 6.7% (-23.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-27.7)
LDEM: 4.7% (+4.7)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 17, 2025 at 12:26 PM
❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative
Last week's Chapel St Leonards (East Lindsey) council by-election result:
REF: 65.8% (+65.8)
CON: 15.6% (-20.7)
IND: 6.7% (-23.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-27.7)
LDEM: 4.7% (+4.7)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Chapel St Leonards (East Lindsey) council by-election result:
REF: 65.8% (+65.8)
CON: 15.6% (-20.7)
IND: 6.7% (-23.8)
LAB: 5.4% (-27.7)
LDEM: 4.7% (+4.7)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Plaid Cymru HOLD
Last week's Bethel a'r Felinheli (Gwynedd) council by-election result:
PC: 59.2% (-25.0)
IND: 33.2% (+33.2)
REF: 6.8% (+6.8)
CON: 0.8% (+0.8)
No LDem (-15.8) as prev.
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Bethel a'r Felinheli (Gwynedd) council by-election result:
PC: 59.2% (-25.0)
IND: 33.2% (+33.2)
REF: 6.8% (+6.8)
CON: 0.8% (+0.8)
No LDem (-15.8) as prev.
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 17, 2025 at 12:25 PM
✅ Plaid Cymru HOLD
Last week's Bethel a'r Felinheli (Gwynedd) council by-election result:
PC: 59.2% (-25.0)
IND: 33.2% (+33.2)
REF: 6.8% (+6.8)
CON: 0.8% (+0.8)
No LDem (-15.8) as prev.
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Last week's Bethel a'r Felinheli (Gwynedd) council by-election result:
PC: 59.2% (-25.0)
IND: 33.2% (+33.2)
REF: 6.8% (+6.8)
CON: 0.8% (+0.8)
No LDem (-15.8) as prev.
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (-1)
LAB: 19% (-1)
CON: 18% (+2)
GRN: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 09 - 10 Nov
Chgs. w/ 03 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (-1)
LAB: 19% (-1)
CON: 18% (+2)
GRN: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 09 - 10 Nov
Chgs. w/ 03 Nov
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 11, 2025 at 10:52 AM
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (-1)
LAB: 19% (-1)
CON: 18% (+2)
GRN: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 09 - 10 Nov
Chgs. w/ 03 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (-1)
LAB: 19% (-1)
CON: 18% (+2)
GRN: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 09 - 10 Nov
Chgs. w/ 03 Nov
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 13pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+3)
LAB: 20% (-)
CON: 17% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 11% (-1)
via @OpiniumResearch, 05 - 07 Nov
Chgs. w/ 24 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+3)
LAB: 20% (-)
CON: 17% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 11% (-1)
via @OpiniumResearch, 05 - 07 Nov
Chgs. w/ 24 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 9, 2025 at 3:03 PM
📊 Ref lead of 13pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+3)
LAB: 20% (-)
CON: 17% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 11% (-1)
via @OpiniumResearch, 05 - 07 Nov
Chgs. w/ 24 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+3)
LAB: 20% (-)
CON: 17% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 11% (-1)
via @OpiniumResearch, 05 - 07 Nov
Chgs. w/ 24 Oct
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
‼️ Grns 3pts ahead of Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+1)
GRN: 18% (+1)
CON: 16% (-)
LAB: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 05 - 06 Nov
Chgs. w/ 29 Oct
britainelects.com
‼️ Grns 3pts ahead of Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+1)
GRN: 18% (+1)
CON: 16% (-)
LAB: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 05 - 06 Nov
Chgs. w/ 29 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 7, 2025 at 11:25 AM
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
‼️ Grns 3pts ahead of Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+1)
GRN: 18% (+1)
CON: 16% (-)
LAB: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 05 - 06 Nov
Chgs. w/ 29 Oct
britainelects.com
‼️ Grns 3pts ahead of Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (+1)
GRN: 18% (+1)
CON: 16% (-)
LAB: 15% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 05 - 06 Nov
Chgs. w/ 29 Oct
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 12pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-2)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-3)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-2)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-3)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 6, 2025 at 2:35 PM
📊 Ref lead of 12pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-2)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-3)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-2)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-3)
LDEM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (-)
LAB: 20% (+3)
CON: 16% (-1)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 02 - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (-)
LAB: 20% (+3)
CON: 16% (-1)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 02 - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 4, 2025 at 11:29 AM
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (-)
LAB: 20% (+3)
CON: 16% (-1)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 02 - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (-)
LAB: 20% (+3)
CON: 16% (-1)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 02 - 03 Nov
Chgs. w/ 27 Oct
britainelects.com
How the most and least deprived parts of England and Wales voted in 2024, and would vote in an election today
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
October 31, 2025 at 11:29 AM
How the most and least deprived parts of England and Wales voted in 2024, and would vote in an election today
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
‼️ Grns 1pt behind Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (+1)
CON: 17% (-)
LAB: 17% (-3)
GRN: 16% (+1)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 26 - 27 Oct
Chgs. w/ 20 Oct
britainelects.com
‼️ Grns 1pt behind Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (+1)
CON: 17% (-)
LAB: 17% (-3)
GRN: 16% (+1)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 26 - 27 Oct
Chgs. w/ 20 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.substack.com
October 28, 2025 at 9:55 AM
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
‼️ Grns 1pt behind Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (+1)
CON: 17% (-)
LAB: 17% (-3)
GRN: 16% (+1)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 26 - 27 Oct
Chgs. w/ 20 Oct
britainelects.com
‼️ Grns 1pt behind Lab
Westminster voting intention
REF: 27% (+1)
CON: 17% (-)
LAB: 17% (-3)
GRN: 16% (+1)
LDEM: 15% (-)
via @YouGov, 26 - 27 Oct
Chgs. w/ 20 Oct
britainelects.com
The polls, compared to two months ago:
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
October 26, 2025 at 3:02 PM
The polls, compared to two months ago:
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
Britain Elects poll tracker:
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
October 26, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Britain Elects poll tracker:
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 18% (-)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+2)
via @OpiniumResearch, 22 - 24 Oct
Chgs. w/ 10 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 18% (-)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+2)
via @OpiniumResearch, 22 - 24 Oct
Chgs. w/ 10 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
October 25, 2025 at 7:41 PM
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 18% (-)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+2)
via @OpiniumResearch, 22 - 24 Oct
Chgs. w/ 10 Oct
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 18% (-)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+2)
via @OpiniumResearch, 22 - 24 Oct
Chgs. w/ 10 Oct
britainelects.com
❗ Reform GAIN from Independent Group
Paulsgrove (Portsmouth) council by-election result:
REF: 64.2% (+64.2)
CON: 11.3% (-14.9)
LAB: 10.5% (-4.3)
LDEM: 8.7% (+4.6)
GRN: 5.3% (+5.3)
No IndGrp (-55.0) as prev.
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~27% (+0)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Paulsgrove (Portsmouth) council by-election result:
REF: 64.2% (+64.2)
CON: 11.3% (-14.9)
LAB: 10.5% (-4.3)
LDEM: 8.7% (+4.6)
GRN: 5.3% (+5.3)
No IndGrp (-55.0) as prev.
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~27% (+0)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
October 24, 2025 at 12:17 PM
❗ Reform GAIN from Independent Group
Paulsgrove (Portsmouth) council by-election result:
REF: 64.2% (+64.2)
CON: 11.3% (-14.9)
LAB: 10.5% (-4.3)
LDEM: 8.7% (+4.6)
GRN: 5.3% (+5.3)
No IndGrp (-55.0) as prev.
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~27% (+0)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Paulsgrove (Portsmouth) council by-election result:
REF: 64.2% (+64.2)
CON: 11.3% (-14.9)
LAB: 10.5% (-4.3)
LDEM: 8.7% (+4.6)
GRN: 5.3% (+5.3)
No IndGrp (-55.0) as prev.
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~27% (+0)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Labour HOLD
New Town and Christ Church (Colchester) council by-election result:
LAB: 29.7% (-27.6)
LDEM: 24.4% (+12.2)
REF: 22.2% (+22.2)
GRN: 14.9% (+5.3)
CON: 7.4% (-8.9)
IND: 1.4% (-3.1)
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-2)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
New Town and Christ Church (Colchester) council by-election result:
LAB: 29.7% (-27.6)
LDEM: 24.4% (+12.2)
REF: 22.2% (+22.2)
GRN: 14.9% (+5.3)
CON: 7.4% (-8.9)
IND: 1.4% (-3.1)
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-2)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
October 24, 2025 at 12:16 PM
✅ Labour HOLD
New Town and Christ Church (Colchester) council by-election result:
LAB: 29.7% (-27.6)
LDEM: 24.4% (+12.2)
REF: 22.2% (+22.2)
GRN: 14.9% (+5.3)
CON: 7.4% (-8.9)
IND: 1.4% (-3.1)
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-2)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
New Town and Christ Church (Colchester) council by-election result:
LAB: 29.7% (-27.6)
LDEM: 24.4% (+12.2)
REF: 22.2% (+22.2)
GRN: 14.9% (+5.3)
CON: 7.4% (-8.9)
IND: 1.4% (-3.1)
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-2)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD
Moseley (Birmingham) council by-election result:
LDEM: 34.7% (-11.9)
LAB: 24.4% (-14.1)
IND: 19.6% (+19.6)
GRN: 10.1% (+1.5)
REF: 7.3% (+7.3)
CON: 2.1% (-4.1)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~30% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Moseley (Birmingham) council by-election result:
LDEM: 34.7% (-11.9)
LAB: 24.4% (-14.1)
IND: 19.6% (+19.6)
GRN: 10.1% (+1.5)
REF: 7.3% (+7.3)
CON: 2.1% (-4.1)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~30% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
October 24, 2025 at 12:14 PM
✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD
Moseley (Birmingham) council by-election result:
LDEM: 34.7% (-11.9)
LAB: 24.4% (-14.1)
IND: 19.6% (+19.6)
GRN: 10.1% (+1.5)
REF: 7.3% (+7.3)
CON: 2.1% (-4.1)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~30% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Moseley (Birmingham) council by-election result:
LDEM: 34.7% (-11.9)
LAB: 24.4% (-14.1)
IND: 19.6% (+19.6)
GRN: 10.1% (+1.5)
REF: 7.3% (+7.3)
CON: 2.1% (-4.1)
IND: 1.7% (+1.7)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~30% (-11)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Conservative HOLD
Whittlesey North West (Fenland) council by-election result:
CON: 47.5% (-9.8)
REF: 34.1% (+34.1)
IND: 12.5% (+12.5)
LAB: 5.9% (-16.2)
No Grn (-20.5) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Whittlesey North West (Fenland) council by-election result:
CON: 47.5% (-9.8)
REF: 34.1% (+34.1)
IND: 12.5% (+12.5)
LAB: 5.9% (-16.2)
No Grn (-20.5) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
October 24, 2025 at 12:13 PM
✅ Conservative HOLD
Whittlesey North West (Fenland) council by-election result:
CON: 47.5% (-9.8)
REF: 34.1% (+34.1)
IND: 12.5% (+12.5)
LAB: 5.9% (-16.2)
No Grn (-20.5) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Whittlesey North West (Fenland) council by-election result:
CON: 47.5% (-9.8)
REF: 34.1% (+34.1)
IND: 12.5% (+12.5)
LAB: 5.9% (-16.2)
No Grn (-20.5) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews