Brun
@brunfpl.bsky.social
Analytically (ill) informed sports fan. FPL player. Inaugural winner of Elite Analytic 64 League. EV chaser, jam hoarder, variance hugger.
GW5: 49 and a green of ~100k. 2FTs already used for GW6 with FH and Wc to fall back on if issues arise.
September 23, 2025 at 10:33 PM
GW5: 49 and a green of ~100k. 2FTs already used for GW6 with FH and Wc to fall back on if issues arise.
GW5: Rolling. Will have 2 FTs in 6 which leaves lots of paths open to me and that’s far more valuable than any singular move I can make this week. Good luck all, especially those with the same team or a triple Leeds stack.
September 20, 2025 at 8:52 AM
GW5: Rolling. Will have 2 FTs in 6 which leaves lots of paths open to me and that’s far more valuable than any singular move I can make this week. Good luck all, especially those with the same team or a triple Leeds stack.
GW4: 74 points and a green arrow. Not sure how sustainable relying on Salah injury time returns will continue to be but happy to take the points. Rolling into GW6 would be ideal but will be dependent on Murillo’s injury. FH6, WC6 or saving those chips for later all on the table
September 14, 2025 at 9:30 PM
GW4: 74 points and a green arrow. Not sure how sustainable relying on Salah injury time returns will continue to be but happy to take the points. Rolling into GW6 would be ideal but will be dependent on Murillo’s injury. FH6, WC6 or saving those chips for later all on the table
GW3: Green arrow to just outside top 1mil. 3FTs to see what crops up at end of transfer window and through the IB. Can fall back to WC in worst case scenarios. Enjoy the break all
August 31, 2025 at 8:48 PM
GW3: Green arrow to just outside top 1mil. 3FTs to see what crops up at end of transfer window and through the IB. Can fall back to WC in worst case scenarios. Enjoy the break all
GW3: Rollin. Variance will determine whether this is Chamillionaire or Weird Al Yankovic version of the early 2000’s classic. May be valuing info too high but hoping the squad is strong enough for this GW. Will review paths in GW4 post window closing & IB. Kermit gif ready incase
August 30, 2025 at 11:12 AM
GW3: Rollin. Variance will determine whether this is Chamillionaire or Weird Al Yankovic version of the early 2000’s classic. May be valuing info too high but hoping the squad is strong enough for this GW. Will review paths in GW4 post window closing & IB. Kermit gif ready incase
GW2: FPL is so back baby. Not gonna complain as many very good players have been FPL’d far worse than I so far this season. Stay safe out there everyone and remember there are cup games midweek too before so don’t start getting all twitchy with that transfer finger
August 25, 2025 at 9:30 PM
GW2: FPL is so back baby. Not gonna complain as many very good players have been FPL’d far worse than I so far this season. Stay safe out there everyone and remember there are cup games midweek too before so don’t start getting all twitchy with that transfer finger
GW2: Rolling, Palmer captain and benching Paq over Thiago after bringing my own mins to the party. Good luck gang.
August 22, 2025 at 5:06 PM
GW2: Rolling, Palmer captain and benching Paq over Thiago after bringing my own mins to the party. Good luck gang.
Reposted by Brun
New football season got me thinking about the difference in difficulty between the English Premier League and Championship.
I took a look at how teams' ratios of goals scored to goals conceded changed between seasons over the last 10 years:
I took a look at how teams' ratios of goals scored to goals conceded changed between seasons over the last 10 years:
August 19, 2025 at 4:07 PM
New football season got me thinking about the difference in difficulty between the English Premier League and Championship.
I took a look at how teams' ratios of goals scored to goals conceded changed between seasons over the last 10 years:
I took a look at how teams' ratios of goals scored to goals conceded changed between seasons over the last 10 years:
GW1: Took the ~14EV on BB which sets me down a flexible path with a bit of a hybrid team. BB didn’t come through in terms of RP but rest of the squad carried me to an OK week. Aim is to roll as much as possible with GW4 a nice point to assess timings for other chips
August 19, 2025 at 8:48 AM
GW1: Took the ~14EV on BB which sets me down a flexible path with a bit of a hybrid team. BB didn’t come through in terms of RP but rest of the squad carried me to an OK week. Aim is to roll as much as possible with GW4 a nice point to assess timings for other chips
Someone talk me round on Leeds’ business so far please. Early in the window I know but feeling pretty underwhelmed (not only with the actual signings but some of the rumours too).
July 15, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Someone talk me round on Leeds’ business so far please. Early in the window I know but feeling pretty underwhelmed (not only with the actual signings but some of the rumours too).
Good luck to my fellow sickos playing any version of CWC fantasy. May never touch grass at this rate
June 14, 2025 at 10:24 PM
Good luck to my fellow sickos playing any version of CWC fantasy. May never touch grass at this rate
If there was ever a time for Blue Sky to launch group messsges…
May 23, 2025 at 3:48 PM
If there was ever a time for Blue Sky to launch group messsges…
Logging back in just to say Leeds United are massive and free Largie Ramazani
April 28, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Logging back in just to say Leeds United are massive and free Largie Ramazani
Been a while since I’ve posted for a variety of reasons but if anyone still cares (please touch grass and reassess your life) I’ve dropped to 50k and will be going into GW34 with the below. Now drop this here a like and seriously, go touch some grass
April 25, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Been a while since I’ve posted for a variety of reasons but if anyone still cares (please touch grass and reassess your life) I’ve dropped to 50k and will be going into GW34 with the below. Now drop this here a like and seriously, go touch some grass
Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves
February 12, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Logging in after the longest GW ever. Enjoying the TC posvar and a green back into top 100k. Decisions for this week rest on Watkins’ fitness and chip strategy. Been an age since I whirred up the Dell Inspiron but could be time to dust it off once again for some heavy solves
Reposted by Brun
FPL Double and Blank Gameweeks
Viz dump + logic explained 🧵
Viz dump + logic explained 🧵
January 24, 2025 at 2:28 PM
FPL Double and Blank Gameweeks
Viz dump + logic explained 🧵
Viz dump + logic explained 🧵
Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting
January 22, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Real life getting in the way of an update for last 2 GWs.You’ve not missed much. Horror show in 21 has me almost tripling my rank in that time period. Solanke injury taken me off initial path and means a certain Swede has finally joined the lineup up front. No FH so navigating 29 will be interesting
GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.
January 6, 2025 at 10:24 PM
GW20: Return of the posvar. 50% green. EV isn’t great next week but really hoping to roll for next couple going into a period of both high EV (doubles, AM chip?!) and low EV events (blanks and some low scoring GWs). With FH spent already will likely need more FTs than paths other people are on.
GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play
January 4, 2025 at 10:57 AM
GW20: Went early to bring Trent in for Gabriel. Price changes & it meaning less transfers down the line vs ~EV paths were main reasons. The way my recent transfers have gone this all but guarantees the Pool game will be off due to snow. EV of 45 in that case. Warra game we play
Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so
January 1, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Reposting as OR hadn’t updated for me. 65k red after a big captaincy swing. Posvar almost fully gone vs AE64. Injuries, bans and some poor moves have impacted predicted EV gains over last few too. Trent already in so no Isak for foreseeable. Hoping to pump these rookie numbers in next month or so
Reposted by Brun
GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace
December 28, 2024 at 11:54 PM
GW19: Flekken to Becker with 1FT. Team bad, EV bad. Captaincy not finalised but likely to go Palmer because why not. Time to throw up some serious prayers to the FPL Gods for a Raul start and a cheeky brace
Anyone else own Flekken, Fabianski, Raul, Bruno & Dibling and have only 1FT? Interested to see where others are going but appreciate I might be the only one suboptimal enough to be in this predicament
December 28, 2024 at 5:56 PM
Anyone else own Flekken, Fabianski, Raul, Bruno & Dibling and have only 1FT? Interested to see where others are going but appreciate I might be the only one suboptimal enough to be in this predicament
GW18: Bruno red, GKers injured & don’t own the only 2 forwards doing the points. Chunky red arrow & team is a mess with only 1 FT. Tis the season to fire up the Kermit gifs
December 27, 2024 at 10:31 PM
GW18: Bruno red, GKers injured & don’t own the only 2 forwards doing the points. Chunky red arrow & team is a mess with only 1 FT. Tis the season to fire up the Kermit gifs
New achievement unlocked: have both GKers get injured in the same GW
December 27, 2024 at 8:14 PM
New achievement unlocked: have both GKers get injured in the same GW