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BSF 🐀🇬🇧

@bsf42069.bsky.social

250 followers 130 following 8K posts

My enemies are many, my equals are none Calling me a troll when I’ve made a valid argument doesn’t make me a troll. Grow up

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BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 1m

And there wouldn’t be a need to go to bunkers. It wouldn’t be an apocalyptic event on earth itself

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 1m

For LEO a cascade would need to be rapid for it to persist. Otherwise debris would start to degrade and the growth rate would drop stagnating it

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 1m

Yes, it means essentially that a cascade would mean more and more objects being impacted every day.

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 3m

Instruments would see a cascade. It would also be apparent when multiple satellites start dying randomly very fast

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 4m

It’s unlikely there would be a meteor shower. Debris would enter way more frequently

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 4m

You’d need to really track spaceflight closely. The press would immediately jump on it though

Obviously they’d be dramatic as fuck but they’d love the bad news money farm it would create

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BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 6m

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 7m

No actually

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 7m

No one could.

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 8m

He knows SpaceX was dealt a bad hand with HLS and is pushing a narrative to boost a proposal for traditional contractors to get a cost+ contract

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 8m

I mean that’s not actually what was said. Duffy is planning on opening the Artemis 3 contract to more providers

Not cutting SpaceX’s contract. Duffy is also playing political games here

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 10m

An actual cascade. As in a collision or event that creates debris that then impacts other objects creating more debris that exponentially increases

It wouldn’t be subtle

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 11m

That would be a disaster for US spaceflight. Period

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 13m

The debris here is from a Chinese rocket stage that they left on orbit to decay. It has nothing to do with Kessler syndrome and isn’t a sign that there’s a cascade

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BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 14m

SpaceX also wasn’t given enough time. Period.

The OIG and GAO repeatedly stated this. Procurement was way too late and delays because of HLS will still be nothing compared to what delays (and billions in overruns) SLS and Orion have seen

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 14m

The alternative Duffy is being pulled into is by traditional defence contractors based on a bullshit claim they can get it done in 30 months with a cost+ contract (one where they are paid EVERYTHING including any over runs and delays they cause)

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 14m

SpaceX gets fixed cost, milestone based contracts. They literally cannot milk them

They get a set award (any overruns and delays need to paid for by SpaceX), have to invest a minimum 50% of dev themselves (for HLS it was way more than this) and are legally tied to their contract

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 17m

No actually

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 19m

It’s Chinese

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 19m

This isn’t

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 20m

It’s Chinese. Because unlike SpaceX and most western launchers

China doesn’t care about being good neighbours on orbit and will happily leave stages on orbit for not valid reason

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 21m

SpaceX actually invests heavily on debris mitigation too

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 24m

Lecturer needs educating on the very fruitful relationship both have had over the past decade+

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 27m

“Rapid free fall”

BSF 🐀🇬🇧 @bsf42069.bsky.social · 28m

Or, idk, done procurement at a reasonable time instead of leaving it till the last minute