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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 6h

This shutdown is going to hit different without military pay -- part of why 18-19 went on so long is because military was still funded. It's probably the most painful leverage point

GOP leaders won't do standalone military pay bill ...

@eleanormueller.bsky.social

www.semafor.com/article/10/1...

Republicans sideline military pay bill as shutdown layoffs begin

The federal government layoffs are ‘substantial,’ an OMB spokesperson said.

www.semafor.com

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 6h

The RIFs seem like they might further entrench the Democratic position and prolong shutdown

Rep. Beyer: "harder to get the bipartisan deal that is needed to end this shutdown"

Sen. Murray: “A shutdown does not give Trump or Vought new, special powers to cause more chaos"

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 8h

Thune says if the shutdown keeps dragging on that changing the CR date “could be an option” (what was once a 7-week CR has essentially become a 5-week CR at this point)

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 10h

Rs are adamant they will not negotiate on the CR so it's limiting what they can offer Dems during shutdown

Rounds: "What we’re trying to do is to retain our integrity by not making a promise that we can’t keep.”

(Dems similarly refused to negotiate on CRs in past)

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Senate GOP mulls offering vote to Democrats in shutdown standoff

The proposal would allow for a vote on extending health care subsidies, a sticking point in shutdown talks.

www.semafor.com

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 22h

After passing the NDAA, the Senate is gone until next Tuesday. Next week’s recess is canceled and the shutdown will stretch to 14 days minimum

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

There's *some* shutdown movement

Senate Dem: if Thune could guarantee a vote on ACA subsidies and approps bills, it might be enough to get some Dems

Senate R: ACA subsidies can pass Senate but needs well over 60 votes and buy-in from Trump + Speaker to become law

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Senate Republicans mull a vote offer to Democrats in shutdown standoff

The potential proposal on the table would be a vote on extending expiring health care subsidies.

www.semafor.com

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

Stop me if you've heard this one: The House-passed CR failed, 54-45 (so did the Dem/health care CR). 7th time was not the charm

Shutdown continues

Thune and Schumer may force another vote later before the week is out

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

News: GOP leaders are considering whether to offer Democrats a future vote on extending health care subsidies as a bid to end the deadlock on the government shutdown. Thune says it "might be an off ramp" and Barrasso says there are "discussions" about it

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Senate Republicans mull a vote offer to Democrats in shutdown standoff

The potential proposal on the table would be a vote on extending expiring health care subsidies.

www.semafor.com

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

Wicker says the Senate is ready to go on the NDAA but is waiting on Schumer to agree to move forward

Note: It's pretty unusual for the Senate to continue doing major non-shutdown things during a shutdown, but here we are

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

Schumer is quoting Reps. Massie and Greene and Kiley wanting House to come back in session

"The cracks are showing"

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

The Senate has technically been on NDAA for weeks and weeks. Thune says he's ready to move forward and finish it up in the middle of the shutdown but is waiting on Dems to sign off on a voting deal for about 18 amendments

"We could be voting on it today"

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

Shutdown Day 9 -- This could easily go 14+ days at this point, with Senate possibly leaving for the weekend

Context: 2013 shutdown was 16 days ... 2018-2019 was 35 but a partial shutdown

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

US government shutdown may last into next week

The Senate may head home for the weekend.

www.semafor.com

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 1d

Sen. Young opposed the War Powers resolution but says “I am highly concerned about the legality of recent strikes in the Caribbean and the trajectory of military operations without congressional approval or debate and the support of the American people.”

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

New -- Republicans skeptical Comey will get convicted

In Eastern District of VA "it's difficult to get a consensus that’s not very pro-Democratic," Sen. Grassley says

Person close to WH: “very, very difficult"

Shelby Talcott and @eleanormueller.bsky.social

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

As Trump prosecutes more adversaries, some allies see trouble getting convictions

James Comey is one of more than a half-dozen presidential enemies under DOJ scrutiny, and the list is growing. Making the charges stick won’t be easy.

www.semafor.com

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Rand Paul railing against the strikes on alleged drug boats off coast of Venezuela. He's going to vote for the Kaine/Schiff resolution tonight

"Since we're blowing them to smithereens ... Maybe someone should take the time to explain the evidence of their terrorism?"

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Rubio explained to Senate Republicans this afternoon the legal theory behind the administration’s strikes on the boats off coast of Venezuela, per Sen. Kennedy. “He’s clearly thought it through”

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

No one changed any of their votes on the CRs, which both failed again for the sixth time.

Two more cloture votes possible tomorrow

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Tensions are high: Lawler is getting in the mix now and criticizes Kelly and Gallego for “pontificating”

This is now a two on two cage match

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Speaker Johnson crashes Kelly and Gallego gaggle. Says he’ll swear in Grijalva when they reopen the government

Kelly asking why Fine and Petronis got sworn in on pro forma, Johnson says it has to do with being on recess.

Johnson: “this has nothing to do with Epstein”

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Kelly and Gallego knocking Speaker Johnson for keeping House on recess and not swearing in Adelita Grijalva. Gallego says Johnson wants to “cover-up for pedophiles” by not swearing in Grijalva, who would be 218 for discharge petition on Epstein files

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Best informed guess on Senate schedule is probably a break for weekend and back on Tuesday given the lack of movement on the CR votes

Thune: "if enough Democrats start to come to their senses and want to have conversations about how to get the government open, then I'm certainly open to be here"

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Thune on whether Rs should engage w Dems on ACA before opening government

“The story is getting old. You're trying to find new angles, it's the same conversation we're having: Fund the government"

says when government reopens "first order of business" is appropriations bills then open to ACA talks

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Shutdown Day 8 -- No end in sight

Thune on what happens next:"Vote today and then we'll see"

Schumer is on the floor praising Marjorie Taylor Greene

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 2d

Senate will vote for the sixth time on the House-passed CR and Dems’ CR midday tomorrow, the eighth day of the shutdown

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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 3d

Shaheen and Collins were having a very long convo on the Senate floor this afternoon but it could have just been about the lovely fall weather in New England

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