Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective
@burgoynetec.bsky.social
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Psychology of Successful Trading Podcast
How to make your psychology work for you in markets instead of against you
open.substack.com
Psychology of Successful Trading Podcast
Tariff cuts aren’t altruism. They’re strategic moves to shift profits — a boon for Hyundai and GM. Pricing power increases; competition wanes. Who benefits most? Just follow the margins. The market rewards efficiency, not sentiment. Are we surprised? Of course not… #markets
December 5, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Tariff cuts aren’t altruism. They’re strategic moves to shift profits — a boon for Hyundai and GM. Pricing power increases; competition wanes. Who benefits most? Just follow the margins. The market rewards efficiency, not sentiment. Are we surprised? Of course not… #markets
Argan, Inc. shows growth. But growth often masks deeper issues. Revenue up, margins tight. What's driving the expansion? Price increases or just volume? Investors should watch for sustainability — or will the next quarter reveal cracks? #markets
December 5, 2025 at 5:20 AM
Argan, Inc. shows growth. But growth often masks deeper issues. Revenue up, margins tight. What's driving the expansion? Price increases or just volume? Investors should watch for sustainability — or will the next quarter reveal cracks? #markets
Mobile payments expand — but at what cost? Xsolla’s MVola integration in Madagascar targets market share in a card-free landscape. Instant transactions attract gamers, but margins will tighten as competition heats up. Can they sustain pricing power in a price-sensitive market? Stakes are high…
December 5, 2025 at 3:58 AM
Mobile payments expand — but at what cost? Xsolla’s MVola integration in Madagascar targets market share in a card-free landscape. Instant transactions attract gamers, but margins will tighten as competition heats up. Can they sustain pricing power in a price-sensitive market? Stakes are high…
Cultural blind spots have shaped wars more than we realize. The Unknown Enemy uncovers the role of misinterpretation in conflict: buff.ly/3CmP4IR #MilitaryHistory #CulturalStudies
December 5, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Cultural blind spots have shaped wars more than we realize. The Unknown Enemy uncovers the role of misinterpretation in conflict: buff.ly/3CmP4IR #MilitaryHistory #CulturalStudies
Wall Street loves ignoring warnings from regulators about leverage risks, dismissing them as “doom-mongering.” Reactive devaluation doesn’t stop the margin calls. #Finance #BehavioralBiases stuff you don't like can still be true even if it also comes from people you don't like
December 4, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Wall Street loves ignoring warnings from regulators about leverage risks, dismissing them as “doom-mongering.” Reactive devaluation doesn’t stop the margin calls. #Finance #BehavioralBiases stuff you don't like can still be true even if it also comes from people you don't like
Markets aren’t fooled by lies—they’re funded by them. Deception is a liquidity service, not a crime.
December 4, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Markets aren’t fooled by lies—they’re funded by them. Deception is a liquidity service, not a crime.
A weathered blue door stands defiant against the passage of time, hinting at a history that's more valuable than its peeling paint suggests.
December 4, 2025 at 11:34 AM
A weathered blue door stands defiant against the passage of time, hinting at a history that's more valuable than its peeling paint suggests.
Brussels didn’t just freeze Russian reserves — it rewrote every adversary’s definition of “safe”.
December 4, 2025 at 5:55 AM
Brussels didn’t just freeze Russian reserves — it rewrote every adversary’s definition of “safe”.
Cuts help bond prices.
Politicised cuts help bond prices now.
Long-term credibility risk helps nothing.
Politicised cuts help bond prices now.
Long-term credibility risk helps nothing.
December 4, 2025 at 5:29 AM
Cuts help bond prices.
Politicised cuts help bond prices now.
Long-term credibility risk helps nothing.
Politicised cuts help bond prices now.
Long-term credibility risk helps nothing.
If bonds lose you money slowly while preventing you from losing it quickly elsewhere, they are not betraying you.
They’re doing exactly what you hired them for.
They’re doing exactly what you hired them for.
December 4, 2025 at 4:38 AM
If bonds lose you money slowly while preventing you from losing it quickly elsewhere, they are not betraying you.
They’re doing exactly what you hired them for.
They’re doing exactly what you hired them for.
behaviour under constraint is an honest signal
Therefore
revealed preferences > aspirations
Therefore
revealed preferences > aspirations
December 4, 2025 at 4:34 AM
behaviour under constraint is an honest signal
Therefore
revealed preferences > aspirations
Therefore
revealed preferences > aspirations
Hassett as Fed chair? A nod to political loyalty over economic rigor. Bond investors are jittery — and rightly so. The Fed's credibility hinges on expertise, not connections. Price stability demands a steady hand, not appeasement. Will they prioritize profits or politics? The market's unforgiving...
December 4, 2025 at 2:29 AM
Hassett as Fed chair? A nod to political loyalty over economic rigor. Bond investors are jittery — and rightly so. The Fed's credibility hinges on expertise, not connections. Price stability demands a steady hand, not appeasement. Will they prioritize profits or politics? The market's unforgiving...
Overestimating capabilities, underestimating opponents—these errors have shaped military history. Learn more in The Unknown Enemy: buff.ly/419gnRe #Strategy #Military
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
buff.ly
December 4, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Overestimating capabilities, underestimating opponents—these errors have shaped military history. Learn more in The Unknown Enemy: buff.ly/419gnRe #Strategy #Military
Ask an investor about their biggest loss a year later and you'll hear a watered-down tale. We unconsciously sand off extreme highs and lows (regressive bias). This comfy rewriting of history leaves them ill-prepared for the actual magnitude of future booms and busts. #finance #markets
December 3, 2025 at 11:15 AM
An infinity pool reflects a tranquil sky, hinting at leisure investments with a view.
December 3, 2025 at 9:00 AM
An infinity pool reflects a tranquil sky, hinting at leisure investments with a view.
A desolate stretch of rocky shoreline meets a distant line of indistinct coastal development, where real estate dreams are as washed out as the tide.
December 3, 2025 at 8:53 AM
A desolate stretch of rocky shoreline meets a distant line of indistinct coastal development, where real estate dreams are as washed out as the tide.
A bottle of Suntory Whisky Toki promises a 43% escape route from London's overvaluation.
December 3, 2025 at 8:12 AM
A bottle of Suntory Whisky Toki promises a 43% escape route from London's overvaluation.
The disaster at Siverskyi Donets reveals how continuation bias undermines military strategy. Ignoring the cost of failure turned a tactical setback into a strategic catastrophe.
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
tinyurl.com
December 3, 2025 at 2:24 AM
The disaster at Siverskyi Donets reveals how continuation bias undermines military strategy. Ignoring the cost of failure turned a tactical setback into a strategic catastrophe.
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
Leaked info creates a market of speculation. Misconceptions breed mispricing. The OBR’s complaints — a futile dance with transparency. Who benefits? Those who trade on uncertainty. Distortions in the narrative can be more valuable than truth. When will they learn? #markets
December 3, 2025 at 12:38 AM
Leaked info creates a market of speculation. Misconceptions breed mispricing. The OBR’s complaints — a futile dance with transparency. Who benefits? Those who trade on uncertainty. Distortions in the narrative can be more valuable than truth. When will they learn? #markets
Rue Saint-Timothée stakes its claim in Montreal, where even the street signs aspire to urban chic amid the looming glass of commerce.
December 2, 2025 at 5:39 AM
Rue Saint-Timothée stakes its claim in Montreal, where even the street signs aspire to urban chic amid the looming glass of commerce.
Continuing a failing plan doesn’t show strength—it reveals bias. Continuation bias keeps leaders from pivoting when it matters most. Learn how this mindset has altered the course of wars.
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
tinyurl.com
December 2, 2025 at 2:24 AM
Continuing a failing plan doesn’t show strength—it reveals bias. Continuation bias keeps leaders from pivoting when it matters most. Learn how this mindset has altered the course of wars.
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
#ContinuationBias #MilitaryHistory
👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
Swiss prosecutors targeting Credit Suisse and UBS over the ‘tuna bonds’ scandal isn’t surprising. Risk mismanagement is a feature not a bug. When profit margins are at stake ethical lines blur. Accountability? A fleeting illusion in finance. What’s next? A reckoning or just another round of fines…
December 1, 2025 at 11:20 PM
Swiss prosecutors targeting Credit Suisse and UBS over the ‘tuna bonds’ scandal isn’t surprising. Risk mismanagement is a feature not a bug. When profit margins are at stake ethical lines blur. Accountability? A fleeting illusion in finance. What’s next? A reckoning or just another round of fines…