Caitlin Myers
@caitlinmyers.bsky.social
1.7K followers 250 following 23 posts
Econ prof @Middlebury. Applied micro, causal inference, health, public, labor, economics of abortion. Widow. Wife. Mom of 4.
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caitlinmyers.bsky.social
No reason to think Texas is unique. But we're getting the data to directly test this question soon. Stay tuned!
Reposted by Caitlin Myers
shefali.bsky.social
Fascinating new research from @caitlinmyers.bsky.social and others shows that when laws restrict abortion, we see a jump in property crimes such as car theft, burglary.

It underscores how financially destabilizing unplanned pregnancy can be — and how ill-equipped our safety net is to address it.
When abortion access shrinks, property crime rises, new research finds
Researchers found a “strikingly large” relationship between restrictions on abortion and property crime, underscoring the connection between abortion bans and poverty.
19thnews.org
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
@oaldridge.bsky.social @npr.org covered our new paper on the surprisingly large effects of abortion access on crime. Totally agree with Jonathan Gruber: we've got to follow this up and see if it replicates outside of Texas. On it!

(with @erdaltekin.bsky.social , Erkmen Aslim, Wei Fu, and Ben Xue)
'Natural experiment' in Texas shows property crime went up when abortion access fell
A working paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research finds property crime went up in Texas after a 2013 law closed half the state's clinics that provide abortion.
www.npr.org
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
Takeaway: When abortion access is restricted, the consequences extend past fertility—into labor markets, family finances, and property crime.
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
Findings:

- Abortions ↓, births ↑

- Labor force participation ↓

- Debt burdens ↑

- Income inequality ↑

- Housing insecurity ↑

- Property crime ↑ (burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft)
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
We exploit a natural experiment: clinic closures in Texas after HB-2 (2013) that sharply increased travel distances to the nearest abortion provider.

This lets us study how access shocks affect reproductive behavior, household economic well-being, and public safety.
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
Any economists out there who might be interested in writing about choosing a childfree life? I'm editing an upcoming CSWEP newsletter on fertility choices and hoping to include this perspective. Shoot me a message if you might be my person!
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
And I'm going to shamelessly present my very first Sankey diagram (showing flows of OBGYNS between states). Thanks to the awesome bsky.app/profile/asja... for the Stata Sankey package used to make it!
Reposted by Caitlin Myers
societyfp.bsky.social
Society members @caitlinmyers.bsky.social; Suzanne Bell, PhD, MPH; Diana Foster, PhD; and Alison Norris, MD, PhD contributed their expertise to a NY Times article spotlighting new research from Dr. Myers and Society Changemaker Mayra Pineda-Torres, PhD.

www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/u...
The Women Most Affected by Abortion Bans
After the Dobbs decision, births rose in states with bans, but more for some women than others.
www.nytimes.com
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
It's taken years to collect these data. More than 40 research assistants called every abortion facility in the country for appointment availability information...repeatedly. Gratitude to these hard-working students and to the Society of Family Planning for funding the data collection. [10/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
The effects of bans don't appear to decrease after shield laws came online and expanded telehealth access. One explanation is that people substitute from driving to telehealth abortion. The populations who are “trapped” by distance might not be reached by shield law provision. [9/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
Black and Hispanic women, unmarried women, and less educated women are the most affected by abortion bans. [8/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
We throw fancier models at the data and essentially see the same thing: distance and appointment availability mediate the effects of abortion bans. [7/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
Within ban states, births increased the most where distances increased the most. The effects were additionally mediated by appointment availability in the destination. [6/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
We use a county-level analysis to learn who is most affected by the bans. Texas’ ban left Houstonians with a 600-mile drive to Kansas, where appointment availability was constrained. But residents of El Paso had less than 30 miles to drive to New Mexico, where appointments were available. [5/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
These abortion numbers don't capture abortion pills being mailed into these states. With incomplete abortion surveillance, we turn to births and see a corresponding pattern, suggesting that everyone who wanted an abortion was not finding a way to get one. [4/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
We use estimates of state resident abortions from @imaddowzimet.bsky.social to show that the national rise in abortions is driven by increases in abortions in states where abortion access expanded after Dobbs. Meanwhile, resident abortions fell in states that restricted access. [3/10]
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
Despite post-Dobbs bans, abortions actually increased 11% in 2023. Do abortion bans actually stop anyone from getting abortions? [2/10] www.guttmacher.org/2024/03/desp...
caitlinmyers.bsky.social
The effects of abortion bans vary tremendously across counties and demographic groups. New @nber.org working paper with Daniel Dench and @mayrapinedat.bsky.social. [1/10] www.nber.org/papers/w33548