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The Global Think Tank.

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President Trump’s attack on Venezuela has created “a perverse strategic dilemma” across Latin America, writes @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social: governments in the region would benefit from a stabilized Venezuela, but at what cost?

More in @time.com: time.com/7344650/trum...
How Trump’s Venezuela Gamble Will Transform Latin America
The U.S. intervention has alarmed the region—and created a perverse strategic dilemma, writes Oliver Stuenkel.
time.com
January 9, 2026 at 9:13 PM
Drones aren't the future of warfare anymore. Conflicts from Ukraine to Sudan have made it clear: they're the present. Can states (and non-states) keep up?

@stevenfeldstein.bsky.social discusses with Jon Bateman on this week's World Unpacked: www.youtube.com/watch?v=49sg...
Every War Is Now a Drone War
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
www.youtube.com
January 9, 2026 at 3:05 PM
While it’s tempting to blame the backlash against gender equality on specific leaders like Hungary’s Viktor Orbán or the U.S.’s Donald Trump, it’s a global problem – and solving it requires a new playbook.

@saskiabr.bsky.social explains in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/world/how-sa...
How to Save the Fight for Women’s Rights
The backlash against democracy calls for new strategies.
www.foreignaffairs.com
January 8, 2026 at 8:11 PM
At the end of 2025, tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE came to a head over conflict in Yemen. What exactly happened, and what does it mean for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the region?

@andrewleber.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/URKId...
Why Did Saudi-UAE Tensions Escalate?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtube.com
January 7, 2026 at 9:02 PM
Reposted by Carnegie Endowment
U.S. norm-breaking will shape illiberal rivals’ behavior.

For China, the Venezuela attack is likely to harden Beijing’s security calculus.

My latest analysis for @carnegieendowment.org:

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The U.S. Venezuela Operation Will Harden China’s Security Calculation
Especially on Taiwan.
carnegieendowment.org
January 7, 2026 at 6:43 PM
As the fallout continues from President Trump’s attack on Venezuela, Beijing is keeping tabs on the U.S. military. The emerging conclusion is that the U.S. may be a “paper tiger,” says @tongzhao.bsky.social, “but its fangs can still bite.”

More in Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The U.S. Venezuela Operation Will Harden China’s Security Calculation
Especially on Taiwan.
carnegieendowment.org
January 7, 2026 at 7:02 PM
“The decision to use military force to topple a disfavored government will not stop with the United States,” writes @oonahathaway.bsky.social. “We can count on others to follow our example.”

More in @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/06/o...
Opinion | The Great Unraveling Has Begun
www.nytimes.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:54 PM
Is China looking to become a truly expeditionary military power? If so, to what extent?

Lt. Gen. Charles W. Hooper explains in a new video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMMW...
How Far Will China Project Its Military Power?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
www.youtube.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:10 PM
As the Trump administration races to undo previous U.S. policy across a multitude of areas, the fight against corruption at home and abroad has emerged as one of its top targets.

Thomas Carothers and McKenzie Carrier explain: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
The Startling Reversal of U.S. Global Anti-Corruption Policy
The Trump administration is erasing gains in anti-corruption made under previous presidencies. Despite the harsh disruption, sources of domestic and international resilience still exist.
carnegieendowment.org
January 6, 2026 at 6:14 PM
In brushing aside both international and domestic law to capture Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration has provoked “scary” implications about presidential power.

@oonahathaway.bsky.social discussed with @ichotiner.bsky.social in @newyorker.com: www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
The Brazen Illegality of Trump’s Venezuela Operation
A scholar of international law on the implications of the U.S. arrest of President Nicolás Maduro.
www.newyorker.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:41 PM
The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro is “a watershed moment,”, writes @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social. But why is Maduro’s ouster so significant? And how will regional leaders respond?

More from Oliver in @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2026/01/03/v...
A Strategic Break for South America
In the wake of Maduro’s capture, governments across the continent are facing uncomfortable questions about deterrence and autonomy.
foreignpolicy.com
January 5, 2026 at 3:52 PM
After months of repeated strikes, President Trump has managed to “decapitate” the Maduro regime. Now what?

@stephenwertheim.bsky.social on what the attacks in Venezuela could mean for the world, in @theguardian.com: www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Today, Trump’s target was Caracas. What tomorrow? | Stephen Wertheim
He took office promising to annex Greenland and take back the Panama Canal. Now that he has ousted Maduro, other countries could be next
www.theguardian.com
January 5, 2026 at 3:01 PM
What do Californians think of global affairs? Carnegie California’s Ian Klaus, Mark Baldassare, Marissa Jordan, and Abigail Manalese surveyed Californians on today’s most important issues, from migration to democracy.

See their findings here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
2025 Carnegie California Global Affairs Survey
California is acutely aware of the intense renegotiation happening almost daily in domestic and international politics.
carnegieendowment.org
December 23, 2025 at 8:01 PM
"Like Ebenezer Scrooge," write Stewart Patrick and Gustavo Romero, the G20 must face "the ghosts of its legacy and past ambitions, the realities of its current limitations amid geopolitical contestation, and the uncertain contours of its future role."

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The G20 Agenda Is Shifting from the Global South to America First
For four years, the G20’s emerging economies used the rotating presidency to set an unprecedented agenda. With the United States now at the helm, that’s about to dramatically change.
carnegieendowment.org
December 23, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Carnegie's 2025 podcast picks are here!

We asked our podcast hosts and producers for their favorite podcast episodes of the year.

For a roundup of their choices, including episodes from their shows and others, see here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Carnegie Podcast Hosts and Producers’ Favorite Episodes of 2025
They pick their best work of the year and the episodes from other shows that resonated most.
carnegieendowment.org
December 23, 2025 at 3:29 PM
ICYMI: @sarahlabo.bsky.social discussed the state of FEMA and its possible paths forward with Deanne Criswell, Pete Gaynor, Michael Coen, and Danielle Aymond.

Read the takeaways here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
December 22, 2025 at 9:11 PM
💡 Carnegie's 2025 must-reads: We asked Carnegie’s directors to select one piece each that they felt stood out or best represented the program’s work for the year.

See their selections here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Carnegie’s Must-Read Pieces of 2025
Program directors share the analysis and research that stood out this year.
carnegieendowment.org
December 22, 2025 at 7:57 PM
How is China reshaping its security strategy in light of the war in Ukraine and other global lessons?

Lt. Gen. Charles Hooper breaks down Beijing’s goals (and more): www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYtD...
China’s Evolving Security Policy Explained
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
www.youtube.com
December 22, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Yemen’s civil war is back in the news. Why? @andrewleber.bsky.social unpacks what’s going on in Yemen (and beyond): youtube.com/shorts/sIQBF...
What's New in Yemen's Civil War?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtube.com
December 19, 2025 at 3:50 PM
The Trump administration is apparently looking for regime change in Venezuela. But policymakers haven't been (openly) explicit about their intentions. What's going on, and what's really at stake?

Jon Bateman hosts Amb. James Story to discuss on today's World Unpacked: youtu.be/nZIsLawm_54
Testing the Case for Regime Change in Venezuela
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
youtu.be
December 19, 2025 at 3:28 PM
The crises that have rocked the Arab world in recent years may have “paradoxically” driven historic levels of coordination and diplomacy, write Amr Hamzawy and Nathan J. Brown.

More here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Is the Arab World Finally Discovering Collective Security and Multilateral Diplomacy?
Two big diplomatic wins from this year offer lessons for future Arab efforts toward constructive multilateral action.
carnegieendowment.org
December 17, 2025 at 7:15 PM
“Haiti’s struggle is not only with armed gangs but also with a state stretched beyond its limits,” says Christopher Shell. So how can the international community contribute most effectively to a solution?

Christopher outlines a possible response here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Haiti Is in a Crisis of State Capacity
Perhaps the most consequential contribution the international community can make is not an enlarged foreign military footprint, but equipping Haitian institutions to manage their own security.
carnegieendowment.org
December 17, 2025 at 6:46 PM
“Wars never evolve the way the aggressor thinks they will at the beginning of the war,” says Lt. Gen. Charles W. Hooper. How does that principle apply to the war in Ukraine and what China learns from it?

Lt. Gen. Hooper explains: youtu.be/2kB_ru6k4rE
How Ukraine Is Shaping China's Approach to Warfighting
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtu.be
December 16, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Not sure what to make of President Trump’s latest AI executive order? Jon Bateman, @antonleicht.bsky.social, Alasdair Phillips-Robins, and Scott Singer broke down the details in a new Q+A.

More here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The Most Likely Outcomes of Trump’s Order Targeting State AI Laws
In a way, it puts even more of a spotlight on Congress.
carnegieendowment.org
December 15, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Reposted by Carnegie Endowment
Can Democrats tell a compelling story about America's role in the world?
December 15, 2025 at 9:17 PM