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Centre for Economic Policy Research
@cepr.org
9.9K followers 1.6K following 630 posts
CEPR, established in 1983, is an independent, non‐partisan, pan‐European non‐profit organization. Its mission is to enhance the quality of policy decisions through providing policy‐relevant research, based soundly in economic theory.
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Centre for Economic Policy Research @cepr.org · Dec 14
go.bsky.app/FumzhXZ
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
cepr.org
📢 #CallforPapers for the 11th European Workshop on #Household #Finance joint with @bundesbank.de on 6-8 May 2026
📝 Submission deadline: 29 Jan 2026
For more information, visit: cepr.org/events/cepr-...

@haliassos.bsky.social #EconSky
December 10, 2025 at 2:04 PM
cepr.org
⏰Deadline approaching! #CallForPapers - 2nd Workshop on Frontiers in Measurement and Survey Methods
Organised by: CEPR, University of Calabria, University of Naples Federico II & @yale.edu
Deadline: 25 Jan 2026
cepr.org/events/works...
@giannolamichele.bsky.social @armiano.bsky.social
January 12, 2026 at 10:57 AM
cepr.org
⌛One month left to submit a paper!
#CallForPapers - 8th Summer #Conference on Financial Intermediation and Corporate Finance
Theoretical and empirical papers are invited. Submit by 6PM GMT, 15 February 2026.
cepr.org/events/8th-s...
#EconSky #EconConf
January 12, 2026 at 10:54 AM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
pse.bsky.social
📅 Join the 4th PSE-CEPR Policy Forum on Globalization at the Crossroads – June 18 and 19, 2026, in Paris.
With sessions on Internationale Trade in Turbulent Time & the Future of the International Monetary System.
🔗 shorturl.at/NrkBZ
@cepr.org #PSECEPR #Globalization #Event
January 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
voxeu.org
T Chalaux, D Turner, & S Cassimon find that the predictive power of recession indicators changes over the forecast horizon. Beyond the 1st and 2nd quarters, when momentum is most important, variables such as credit & house prices are the most reliable indicators.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
The contributions of each explanatory variable are evaluated according to a formula that ensures that the decomposition of the overall probability into its constituent drivers adds up to the total, despite the non-linearity of the underlying probit functions. These contributions are then averaged across many well-fitting equations at each quarterly horizon. The chart then sums all probabilities at each horizon separately and displays the relative importance of each category of variable to the probability sum at each horizon. A key challenge in predicting recessions is distinguishing which factors matter at different forecasting horizons and across different countries. This column applies machine learning methods to identify recession indicators across 20 OECD countries and eight quarterly horizons. An ensemble of probit models is one of the top-performing methods, harnessing the ‘wisdom of crowds’. In the first and second quarters of the forecast horizon, measures of current economic momentum are the most critical predictors of recession probability. Beyond these quarters, financial cycle variables such as credit and house prices are the most reliable long-range indicators of future downturns.
January 12, 2026 at 10:39 AM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
voxeu.org
Julia Cage, @gallon.bsky.social, Emeric Henry, & @yuchenhuang.bsky.social provide evidence that fact-checking significantly reduced engagement with posts on Facebook rated as false and also decreases users' subsequent activity.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
The figure reports the results of the estimation of an event-study model. An observation is a story*time. Standard errors are clustered at the level of the stories. The dependent variable is the share of deleted posts at date t that were already present at date 0. Fact-checking has emerged as one of the most prominent policy tools to combat the spread of misinformation, but critics have argued that it infringes upon freedom of expression and that it has no meaningful impact on the circulation of misinformation. This column provides evidence from the field that fact-checking significantly reduces engagement with posts on Facebook rated as false and also decreases users' subsequent activity. The findings suggest that the impact of fact-checking primarily results not from Facebook’s actions to hide or demote content, but rather from users’ behavioural responses, challenging the idea that it suppresses free speech.
January 12, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
voxeu.org
On average, acquired start-up innovation declines after acquisition, especially when acquisition is in the same industry & country or when the target has technologies that diverge from the acquiror's focus.
M Berger, S Calligaris, @angrepp.bsky.social, D Kirpichev
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Figure shows that start-up innovation performance declines following an acquisition. Specifically, differences in new patent filings between acquired and non-acquired start-ups fall by 1.5 times their pre-acquisition level. Over the past two decades, start-ups have increasingly turned to acquisition as their preferred exit strategy, but the impact of such acquisitions on innovation is unclear. This column analyses start-up acquisitions across 60 countries and 200 industries between 2001 and 2021 and finds that, on average, acquired start-up innovation declines following an acquisition, especially when the acquisition occurs within the same industry and country or when the target has technologies that diverge from the acquirors’ core focus. The challenge is to sustain an environment where acquisitions contribute to innovation diffusion and scaling rather than its disappearance.
January 12, 2026 at 10:19 AM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
voxeu.org
It is a common hope that Russia's war in Ukraine will erode domestic support for the Kremlin. However, survey data show that the invasion of Ukraine produced a sharp and enduring surge in pro-Kremlin sentiment in Russia.
M Elinder, O Erixson, @ollehammar.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Following the invasion of Ukraine, Putin’s approval jumped by 13 percentage points – an effect echoed in Gallup data showing a 25 percentage point rise between 2021 and 2022. Crucially, this was not confined to any one group: men and women, young and old, rich and poor all showed similar surges. Only Muscovites showed no significant change. It is a common hope that Russia’s war with Ukraine will erode domestic support for the Kremlin. This column uses individual-level survey data to show instead that the invasion produced a sharp and enduring surge in pro-Kremlin sentiment. The subsequent partial mobilisation only briefly depressed support. Russians living abroad, however, became markedly more critical of Putin following the invasion. The findings suggest that hopes for regime change from within, driven by public war-weariness, are likely misplaced at least in the near term.
January 12, 2026 at 10:08 AM
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CEPR Discussion Papers Week Ending 11/01/2026 -

https://ow.ly/6ERb50XVphV
January 12, 2026 at 10:30 AM
cepr.org
#CallforPapers & Applications — ESSET 2026
🗓️ Deadline: 23 Jan 2026
Apply here: cepr.org/events/europ...

The 33rd European Summer Symposium in Economic Theory (organised by CEPR & Study Center Gerzensee) invites applications on Mechanism Design and Economic Narratives.
#EconSky #EconConf
#CallforPapers & Applications — ESSET 2026 🗓️ Deadline: 23 Jan 2026 🔗 Apply here: https://cepr.org/events/european-summer-symposium-economic-theory-esset-2026 The 33rd European Summer Symposium in Economic Theory (organised by CEPR & Study Center Gerzensee) invites applications on Mechanism Design and Economic Narratives.
January 9, 2026 at 2:43 PM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
voxeu.org
New VoxTalks Economics with @talknormal.co.uk
Dame Wendy Carlin (UCL & CEPR) discusses how #AI is reshaping economics education, how the CORE Project is adapting teaching, and why AI can help students build the reasoning skills employers value.
🎧 cepr.org/multimedia/h...
#EconSky
New VoxTalks Economics: Has AI eaten the economics major? Dame Wendy Carlin (UCL & CEPR) discusses how AI is reshaping economics education, how the CORE Project is adapting teaching, and why AI can help students build reasoning skills employers value. Recorded at the CEPR Paris Symposium with Tim Phillips. Listen here: https://cepr.org/multimedia/has-ai-eaten-economics-major
January 9, 2026 at 12:07 PM
Reposted by Centre for Economic Policy Research
kiel.institute
⏳ Three more days to polish your application 👇! We look forward to hearing about your research and goals.
@cepr.org @oxfordecondept.bsky.social #EconSky
kiel.institute Kiel Institut @kiel.institute · 21d
Together with @oxfordecondept.bsky.social, @cepr.org
& IEP@Bocconi, we invite applications to Next-Geo—a unique, new pan-European research & training program in #geoeconomics. For adv. PhD students & early PostDocs in Europe. 🗓️ Extended deadline: Jan 11, 2026 👉 www.kielinstitut.de/institute/ca...
January 8, 2026 at 10:44 AM
cepr.org
The plenary sessions of the STEG Annual Conference 2026 are underway at Strathmore Business School (SBS).

Researchers and policymakers are discussing new evidence on structural transformation, productivity, and growth in low- and middle-income countries.

Join online: steg.cepr.org/events/steg-...
The STEG Annual Conference 7- 10 January 2026 The sixth Annual Conference on Structural Transformation and Economic Growth will showcase keynote talks, academic and policy panels, ongoing projects, and recent research papers related to structural transformation. Along with full-length presentations, shorter sessions will display a wide range of research, particularly by young scholars. We hope to highlight the field's diverse research and disseminate outstanding projects funded by STEG. We also hope to provide networking and engagement opportunities for early-career researchers across various institutions and geographies. The Plenary Sessions on Thursday 8th January and Friday 9th January can be joined online using the link below. Join online on Teams here Join the meeting now Meeting ID: 347 887 786 522 59 Passcode: LX6sQ9dK
January 8, 2026 at 10:26 AM
cepr.org
📢 Call for Papers — CSEF–CEPR Conference on Labor and Finance

The organisers invite submissions on interactions between financial and labour markets.

Deadline: 1 March 2026
cepr.org/events/csef-...

#EconSky
January 7, 2026 at 11:11 AM
cepr.org
New speaker added for the CEPR- World Bank Seminar on the Economics of Nature
8 Jan 📍 World Bank Paris Office.
Featuring:
CEPR President @wederdim.bsky.social, Marie Lam-Frendo (Meridiam), Richard Damania & Martin Raiser (World Bank)
Lear more: mailchi.mp/cepr/cepr-wo...
#EconSky
January 5, 2026 at 3:08 PM
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CEPR Discussion Papers Published over the Winter Break -

https://ow.ly/BnQe50XRUjB
January 5, 2026 at 3:01 PM
cepr.org
The first Economic Policy: Papers on European and Global Issues Conference took place at Sciences Po in Dec 2025. Four new papers presented at the event focused around the question "What is next fro Ukraine?"

Watch the recordings: https://economic-policy.org/december-2025-conference-papers/
January 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM
cepr.org
Top CEPR Publications of 2025
Barcelona 7: Artificial Intelligence in Finance
Thierry Foucault, Leonardo Gambacorta, Wei Jiang, Xavier Vives
https://ow.ly/iMhR50XMa6T
#2025inReview #EconSky
January 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM
cepr.org
Top CEPR Discussion Paper of 2025 - DP19966
#Inflation, Leverage and Stock Returns
Angelo D'Andrea, Andrea Fabiani, Fabio Massimo Piersanti, Anatoli Segura
https://ow.ly/6oIx50XLrea
#CEPR_MEF #CEPR_AP #EconSky #2025inReview
January 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM
cepr.org
Top CEPR Discussion Paper of 2025 - DP19955
Fighting for Resources: A Unified Growth Model of the Great Divergence
Tanguy Le Fur & Etienne Wasmer
https://ow.ly/4lzu50XLr9E
#CEPR_EH #CEPR_MG #CEPR_PoE #EconSky #2025inReview
December 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM
cepr.org
In September 2025, CEPR & the San Francisco Fed launched The Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics series exploring cutting-edge research in monetary policy.
Watch past sessions here: https://cepr.org/events/event-series/virtual-seminar-monetary-economics
December 30, 2025 at 3:30 PM
cepr.org
Top CEPR Publications of 2025
Frontiers of Digital Finance
Dirk Niepelt
https://ow.ly/k6hc50XMa5m
#2025inReview #EconSky
December 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM
cepr.org
Top CEPR Discussion Paper of 2025 - DP19943
Do Temporary Cash Transfers Stimulate the #Macroeconomy? Evidence from Four Case Studies
Valerie Ramey
https://ow.ly/pRhM50XLr81
#CEPR_MG #EconSky #2025inReview
December 29, 2025 at 6:00 PM
cepr.org
The CEPR RPN on Ageing & Longevity Summer Conference took place in July 2025 at London Business School, bringing together leading researchers to discuss the economics of longevity and ageing.
Catch up with the conference highlights: https://cepr.org/events/economics-longevity-and-ageing-2025
December 29, 2025 at 9:00 AM
cepr.org
Top CEPR Discussion Paper of 2025 - DP19913
Estimating Euro Area Output Gap Dynamics: Evidence from the updated Area-Wide Model Database
Mahmut Sefa İpek & Burçin Kısacıkoğlu
https://ow.ly/imYB50XLr56
#CEPR_MEF #EconSky #2025inReview
December 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM