Center for Global Development
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Center for Global Development
@cgdev.org
The leading think-and-do tank for #globaldev🌍 Celebrating 20+ years of independent research & ideas for global prosperity.
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Hello from CGD’s official @bsky.app account! 👋

Follow us here for our latest work on reducing global poverty & improving lives through innovative economic research that drives better policy.🌍
www.cgdev.org
Center For Global Development
The Center for Global Development works to reduce global poverty and improve lives through innovative economic research that drives better policy & practice.
www.cgdev.org
In a new blog, Johann Harnoss argues it's time for countries to treat the attraction and retention of highly skilled talent as a core policy lever for growth, global competitiveness, and fiscal resilience:
https://go.cgdev.org/4s9UL28
January 9, 2026 at 10:58 PM
In a new blog, Sanjeev Gupta covers findings from a paper that assesses how IMF surveillance addressed military spending over the period 2008–2023.

He finds that coverage—and the depth of discussion—has been uneven. Read on:
https://go.cgdev.org/4q9M3iP
Military Spending and IMF Surveillance: Evidence from 2008–2023
Beginning in 2014—and accelerating after Russia’s annexation of Crimea—defense spending has risen steadily, particularly in advanced economies, reflecting intensifying geopolitical tensions. This rene...
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January 9, 2026 at 8:47 PM
Eight new US health MOUs with sub-Saharan African governments mark the clearest signal yet of the Trump administration’s approach to global health assistance. Jocilyn Estes and @jmadankeller.bsky.social break down what’s known and what’s at stake:
https://go.cgdev.org/3Y8YDTi
What We Know—and Don’t Know—About the Trump Administration’s Global Health Agreements
The State Department has announced an initial set of bilateral health cooperation agreements, signing eight memorandums of understanding (MOUs) with governments in sub-Saharan Africa. These compacts a...
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January 9, 2026 at 7:40 PM
New CGD podcast!

@rglenner.bsky.social speaks with Seth Berkley, former CEO of @gavi.org Vaccine Alliance, about lessons from COVID-19 and how they should shape future vaccine development and delivery. Tune in ⬇️🎧
https://go.cgdev.org/49duJDJ
CGD Podcast: Vaccines in a Changing Global Health Landscape with Seth Berkley
CGD's Rachel Glennerster speaks with Seth Berkley, former CEO of Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, about lessons from COVID-19 and how they should shape future vaccine development and delivery.
go.cgdev.org
January 9, 2026 at 6:54 PM
Congress has reauthorized the US International Development Finance Corporation, expanding its resources and remit.

@ecollinson.bsky.social explains why translating this firepower into real development impact will depend on leadership, implementation, and oversight:
https://go.cgdev.org/4qt7JX7
DFC Reauthorization: What's New and What It Means
The reauthorization of the US International Development Finance Corporation marks a significant moment for agency, with Congress expanding both its resources and its remit. Whether the agency can leve...
go.cgdev.org
January 9, 2026 at 4:13 PM
In a new study, @eeshani.bsky.social & fellow experts ask: What does life look like for northern Ugandan women who were taken as children and are now adults?

20 years on, the study finds lasting psychological & social impacts that economic measures often miss:
https://go.cgdev.org/49j4n31
From Childhood Abduction to Adulthood: What 20 Years Reveal About Women in Northern Uganda
Two decades after the LRA left northern Uganda, its legacy of abduction lives on in the daily emotional experiences of the girls–now women– that they abducted. Addressing that legacy requires policy c...
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January 8, 2026 at 9:48 PM
Military spending has surged worldwide.

In a new blog, Sanjeev Gupta discusses the likely implications of reallocating public resources toward defense, and why it marks a clear shift in global fiscal priorities 💰⬇️
https://go.cgdev.org/44C9rNk
From Peace Dividend to Defense Buildup: Fiscal Implications of Rising Military Spending
Military spending has surged worldwide in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and growing tensions in Asia and the Middle East. This resurgence comes just as global public debt has climbe...
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January 8, 2026 at 8:52 PM
Pull mechanisms like advance market commitments and prizes can drive innovation—but how large should the incentive be?

A new Pull Incentive Sizing Tool from the Market Shaping Accelerator offers a practical way to translate uncertainty:
https://go.cgdev.org/4bjRl6L
How Big Should a Pull Incentive Be? A New Pull Incentive Sizing Tool to Foster Innovation
Pull mechanisms, like advance market commitments (AMCs) and prizes, that pay for results are having a moment. After the landmark pneumococcal AMC helped accelerate access to lifesaving vaccines, the m...
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January 8, 2026 at 5:39 PM
As aid budgets shrink, allowing refugees to work is more important than ever.

Harrison Tang & @thomasginn.bsky.social highlight Thailand & Malaysia’s recent openness to expanding refugee work rights and what it could mean for self-reliance & development:
https://go.cgdev.org/3MBkOPx
A Breakthrough for Refugees’ Work Rights in Thailand and Malaysia?
CGD’s Migration and Displacement program has highlighted practical, medium-term strategies to benefit Rohingya refugees and host communities in Bangladesh, where refugees face severe limitations on th...
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January 8, 2026 at 4:47 PM
"In this new landscape, Europe has little choice but to pursue new partnerships & forge new strategic alliances."

Jürgen Zattler argues development policy can be a strategic tool for Europe, especially Germany, to build mutually beneficial partnerships:
https://go.cgdev.org/48Lg2HN
Rethinking Development Policy: Reconciling National Interest, Impact, and Partner Priorities
National interests, partner orientation, and development impact are not mutually exclusive. Reconciliation is possible. But achieving it will require substantial changes in how development agencies wo...
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January 8, 2026 at 9:25 AM
@mcdonnell.bsky.social & Asti Shafira have published a paper on what the world currently knows—and doesn’t know—about global vaccine manufacturing capacity.

Here are six issues to worry about before the next pandemic, followed by six actions that could fix them:
https://go.cgdev.org/4s3PAAA
Assessing Global Vaccine Manufacturing Capacity: Six Blind Spots and Six Ways Forward
When the next pandemic hits, the question won’t just be whether scientists can design a vaccine quickly. We’ll also want to know whether the world can manufacture that vaccine at speed and scale, and ...
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January 7, 2026 at 8:10 PM
Earlier estimates suggested USAID program cancellations could lead to up to 700,000 additional deaths annually.

New analysis by @charlesjkenny.bsky.social and @justsand.bsky.social finds the toll could reach 1 million now and 1.6 million with future cuts. Learn more:
https://go.cgdev.org/4s0Z8w7
Update on Lives Lost from USAID Cuts
In this blog, we report on an update to our earlier estimates of the potential mortality impacts of the administration’s aid cuts. A similar approach to our original estimates using financial data to ...
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January 7, 2026 at 6:14 PM
The new year could mark a turning point in the EU’s role on the world stage.🇪🇺

From the next EU budget to member state politics, Anita Käppeli and Mikaela Gavas examine upcoming key moments and what’s at stake:
https://go.cgdev.org/45FPnKe
The EU’s Global Role in 2026: Strategic Drift or Strategic Choice?
For the EU’s global role, 2026 may mark a turning point: either a continued slide toward narrow, transactional partnerships or a deliberate effort to rebuild credibility as a long-term, reliable globa...
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January 7, 2026 at 5:06 PM
💡Born out of discussions at #FfD2025, where leaders agreed the current development cooperation system no longer meets today’s needs, the Future of Development Cooperation Coalition aims to design a system fit for the future. More from Alexia Latortue:
https://go.cgdev.org/48Q7nmg
January 7, 2026 at 3:52 PM
In a recent CGD podcast, Anita Käppeli & @ianmitchell1.bsky.social discuss the 2025 Commitment to Development Index. They cover why countries have slipped in their contributions to dev., where progress is emerging, & how the CDI can guide better policymaking. Learn more:
https://go.cgdev.org/3MoUeJl
CGD Podcast: Inside the 2025 Commitment to Development Index with Ian Mitchell
In this episode, I speak with Ian Mitchell, the lead author of the 2025 Commitment to Development Index (CDI), about what this year’s results reveal. We discuss why many countries have slipped in thei...
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January 7, 2026 at 10:53 AM
The shortage of skilled workers needed to deliver the green transition is growing, w/ an estimated 7m+ required over the next 5yrs.

In an interactive map, CGD experts highlight projects that pair training & migration to expand the clean-energy workforce:
https://go.cgdev.org/3YoNDkA
January 6, 2026 at 7:49 PM
The Trump admin has pledged $3.2 billion to #IDA21 over the next three years.

Nico Martinez and Jocilyn Estes break down what this means for the role of the US, how the financing will work, and what comes next:
https://go.cgdev.org/4pRMa2p
The ABCs of the IFIs: IDA21 Update
The International Development Association (IDA), the World Bank’s concessional window, plays a central role in financing development in low- and lower-middle-income countries. As one of the largest so...
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January 6, 2026 at 6:35 PM
PEPFAR treated 14.4m women in 2024—the largest share of individuals served.

As the program faces major uncertainty, analysis from @eeshani.bsky.social and Brian Webster shows who relies on PEPFAR and what disruptions could mean for women and children:
https://go.cgdev.org/4aaa44f
What PEPFAR’s 2024 Data Reveal About the Mounting Risks For Women and Children
For more than two decades, the U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) has been one of the most successful global health investments in history. Since 2003, it has helped save an esti...
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January 6, 2026 at 5:50 PM
Digitizing social transfers can do more than just improving efficiency.

CGD experts explore new evidence from Bangladesh that shows how digital G2P payments boost women’s empowerment and financial inclusion, and when they fall short:
https://go.cgdev.org/3N46E9K
January 6, 2026 at 4:12 PM
As Germany considers how to implement major aid cuts, experts from CGD and @idos-research.bsky.social explore how it can maximize impact with fewer resources.

A tighter focus on key themes, partner countries, and instruments would, they argue, deliver greater impact:
https://go.cgdev.org/44tX2Lm
How to Deprioritise? Selecting Themes, Countries and Instruments for German Development Policy
Germany is making steep reductions to its aid budget. Historically, it has struggled to deprioritise, with cuts spread evenly across programmes and countries. In this paper, we show how BMZ can deprio...
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January 5, 2026 at 9:10 PM
Despite unprecedented cuts to global aid, there were still bright spots for global health in 2025, including progress on reducing lead exposure.

@rachelbonnifield.bsky.social discusses the decline in Bangladeshi children's blood lead levels in @npr.org:
https://go.cgdev.org/3N2J6Cb
In a year of steep challenges, there were still shining moments in global health
The Trump administration's deep cuts in U.S. foreign health aid had a devastating impact. Yet there were achievements of note in spite of it all.
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January 5, 2026 at 7:13 PM
Congress has reauthorized the US International Development Finance Corporation. Here are some standout provisions, according to @ecollinson.bsky.social:

➡️Provides a $145 billion boost to DFC's portfolio cap
➡️Defines and redefines key positions

And more:
https://go.cgdev.org/4qt7JX7
DFC Reauthorization: What's New and What It Means
The reauthorization of the US International Development Finance Corporation marks a significant moment for agency, with Congress expanding both its resources and its remit. Whether the agency can leve...
go.cgdev.org
January 5, 2026 at 5:48 PM
Eight new US health MOUs with sub-Saharan African governments promise country ownership, but also come with risks surrounding funding mechanisms, service delivery, & more.

Analysis from Jocilyn Estes and @jmadankeller.bsky.social:
https://go.cgdev.org/3Y8YDTi
What We Know—and Don’t Know—About the Trump Administration’s Global Health Agreements
The State Department has announced an initial set of bilateral health cooperation agreements, signing eight memorandums of understanding (MOUs) with governments in sub-Saharan Africa. These compacts a...
go.cgdev.org
January 5, 2026 at 4:51 PM
The Millennium Challenge Corporation’s new scorecard has made indicators less aligned w/ MCC’s goals, disadvantaging the poorest countries where its support can do the most good.

@charlesjkenny.bsky.social urges MCC’s supporters in Congress to revisit the criteria:
https://go.cgdev.org/48yv1EM
The Millennium Challenge Corporation’s New Country Scorecards Discriminate Against Development Impact
The US Millennium Challenge Corporation's scorecard system has long included flawed measures around governance and corruption, but reforms this year have made the impact of these indicators even worse...
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January 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM
The G20 faces high uncertainty over its durability and utility as the US prepares to host in 2026.

Mary Svenstrup argues that if the US can manage its own political turbulence, 2026 could bring needed rightsizing to make the G20 more effective:
https://go.cgdev.org/3XGYfev
G20 2026: Cohesion or Chaos?
The recent G20 summit in Johannesburg was historic—it was the group’s first meeting in Africa and concluded its first rotation. But this summit will also go down as notorious for being boycotted by th...
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January 2, 2026 at 9:05 PM