Chad Skelton
@chadskelton.bsky.social
1.1K followers 730 following 94 posts
Instructor at Kwantlen Polytechnic University in Vancouver, Canada. Data journalist. Nerd for hire: charts, maps, Tableau training. Past: Vancouver Sun he/him [email protected] http://www.chadskelton.com/
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chadskelton.bsky.social
Huge loss for FVC/Overstory but congrats on the new Tyee gig Tyler! Thanks for all your hard work over the years mentoring KPU's students! 😀
Reposted by Chad Skelton
emollick.bsky.social
One way to make AI do good things in education is to actively experiment in creating good things and share the results (whether they work or not) so others can build on those.

Mitigating bad outcomes are important, but good outcomes are not automatic either, and will take collective work.
Reposted by Chad Skelton
jmcelroy.bsky.social
Road for a majority for the Liberals is there, but it's slim.

There need to pick up 5 seats, and they're down by less than 400 votes in the following places:

- Vancouver Kingsway
- New West-Burnaby-Maillardville
- Nunavut
- Terrebonne
- Milton East-Halton Hills South
- Miramichi-Grand Lake
chadskelton.bsky.social
I'm calling it a night but I see (at least) two possible scenarios in the final count:

1. The closest races are mainly ones where the Libs are leading. That means their seat count is more vulnerable.

2. If they count advance polls last and those tilt left, Libs could strengthen their position.
chadskelton.bsky.social
Now, having said all that, CBC's David Cochrane is saying on TV right now that they're pretty sure that straggling polls are mainly advance polls and special ballots which seem to tilt Liberal. And Lib (167) + NDP (7) margin has been inching up. So who knows...
chadskelton.bsky.social
@kevinmilligan.bsky.social has a nice spreadsheet of the closest races, and it shows how some of the tightest ones are Lib-Con where the Libs are leading. That's a fragile place to be. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by Chad Skelton
kevinmilligan.bsky.social
For the late-nighters, I made a google doc with the close outstanding races.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Just hand updating it so it's already like 30 mins out of date...

...but a lot of ridings could still flip.
docs.google.com
chadskelton.bsky.social
In fairness, Liberals still have a few shots at turning a few blue seats red.
chadskelton.bsky.social
And a couple of other razor-thin Liberal margins in Metro Vancouver with a few polls left to count.
chadskelton.bsky.social
Wouldn't take much for the Liberals to lose their (razor thin) lead in Kelowna. Though only a handful of polls left to report.
chadskelton.bsky.social
And there seem to be at least a few B.C. seats where the tide is shifting against the Liberals in late vote count. bsky.app/profile/chad...
chadskelton.bsky.social
Been keeping an eye on Skeena-Bulkley Valley (BC). Amazing how much the NDP's margin of victory has narrowed from earlier in the night. Shows how poorly early results can predict final count.
chadskelton.bsky.social
Lib (165) + NDP (7) has a razor thin 172-seat majority at the moment. I'd guess there's a good chance that won't hold. Significantly more of the Liberal seat count is 'leading' rather than elected compared to Conservatives. A decent risk Liberal count will go down before the night is over.
chadskelton.bsky.social
And just 7 minutes later, Conservative Ellis Ross has a strong lead. Early votes and late-counted votes must have come from very different areas.
chadskelton.bsky.social
Overall, Liberals did worse than expected based on the polls. But this post of mine from earlier today on my own riding aged pretty well. 😀
chadskelton.bsky.social
CBC site now saying Liberal Ernie Klassen is elected in South Surrey-White Rock. A flip from Conservative to Liberal.
chadskelton.bsky.social
Been keeping an eye on Skeena-Bulkley Valley (BC). Amazing how much the NDP's margin of victory has narrowed from earlier in the night. Shows how poorly early results can predict final count.
Reposted by Chad Skelton
carlbergstrom.com
1. Can you figure out where I was standing when I took this picture?

ChatGPT could. Given the photograph (scrubbed of all header information), the new chain of thought model, ChatGPT o.3, was able to pinpoint the location with a few meters.
A cityscape at twilight, from the middle of a street.
Reposted by Chad Skelton
jmcelroy.bsky.social
"We denied the Liberals and NDP the chance to form a coalition government."

That's fundamentally untrue. They're literally at a combined 172 seats right now, which is enough for a majority.

(even though such an arrangement is unlikely)
Reposted by Chad Skelton
jmcelroy.bsky.social
Liberals + NDP + Green = 170 seats leading and elected

Conservatives + Bloc = 173 seats

Mark Carney looks set to be Prime Minister for a good while.

But at this moment, the unique math of this election could give the Bloc with a lot of leverage in the next parliament.