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Dan Cassino

@dancassino.bsky.social

4.6K followers 790 following 3.8K posts

Political scientist at FDU, Executive Director of the FDU Poll, studying masculinities and research methods.

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Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 8h

Tony Gwynn and Roberto Alomar! Taking the Padres for all they were worth, I see.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 11h

The rarely seen Type III Error.

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 13h

RFK Jr on Tylenol and autism: "It is not proof. We're doing the studies to make the proof."

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 16h

Dems asking for the Sherrill campaign to get aggressive and take some initiative.

a man in a red and white striped shirt is saying no no not like that

ALT: a man in a red and white striped shirt is saying no no not like that

media.tenor.com

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 16h

Bad for democracy- campaigns are supposed to inform the public, and this one is getting worse at that over time- but not necessarily bad strategy. This becomes the talking point of the debate, put Ciattarelli on the defensive.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 18h

I’m not sure I’m ok with the Nobel in literature going to someone who committed a serious crime. I don’t know what he did, but I read that he has a very lengthy sentence.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 18h

Well, that’s never happened before. Apparently this article on the long term stability of masculinity/femininity measures is going to be open access.

EDITOR: PLEASE CHECK THE OPEN ACCESS OPTION ON THE LICENSING FORM. FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON UNIVERSITY HAS ONE OF THE AGREEMENTS DESCRIBED BELOW, SO YOU CAN PUBLISH OPEN ACCESS AT NO CHARGE.

As Politics & Gender offers Open Access (OA) publication, you can now decide whether you would like to publish your manuscript as OA.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

She had hits land that he wasn’t ready for, certainly.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

I don’t think it won over anyone who is well informed on the issue. But it could work with voters who see his comments as moderate.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

In theory it’s a good hit on Sherrill, who promised to bring back the SALT deduction, but voted against the Trump budget. But voters do not seem to care. The rest of the budget is unpopular enough that it doesn’t hit.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

The fact that Ciattarelli is unable or unwilling to put any distance between himself and Trump is really holding him back. What in the world is a “Road to Recognition”???

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

Both sides did what they needed to do, and there was no knock out punch. This is NJ: Ciattarelli needs to convince Dems that Sherrill is unacceptable. He didn’t do that tonight.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

Sherrill had the biggest moment of the night, resurrecting the charge that Ciattarelli was taking money from big pharma during the opioid crisis to downplay the harms.
Ciattarelli was visibly upset at the charge, and didn’t have a response.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

We did poll that line in an experiment earlier this year: doesn’t help support for the budget at all.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

Ciattarelli’s best moment came from placing himself as a moderate on abortion: “We’re not Texas.”
He also was trying to salvage support for the Trump budget by bringing up the temporary increase in the SALT cap.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

The NJ Gov debate tonight reflected the increasing nastiness of the race.
The moderators kept bringing up Trump, putting Ciattarelli in a tough position.
Sherrill was sharper than in the past, with some scripted attacks that hit well.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

In this case, the Sherrill campaign is seeing some Dem leaders getting nervous, and this is supposed to reassure them.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

I’m not saying these numbers are wrong, I’m just saying that these numbers are not evidence for that.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

Reminder: never trust internals. Even if they conform to what you think is happening in the race, they are always released strategically.

There will be real, independent poll numbers soon, I promise.

Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 1d

A Dem internal with Sherrill up 49/43 www.nationaljournal.com/s/729829/exc...

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 1d

All funded by the passport fees, so the shutdown doesn’t impact it at all. And the new passports look really cool!

Reposted by Dan Cassino

Mara Novak @maranovak.bsky.social · 1d

Newark

Merriam-Webster @merriam-webster.com · 1d

What’s the word where you’re from that, when pronounced exactly as it looks, identifies a tourist immediately?

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 2d

It’s 2025.

a woman says i have my own fun while standing in a hallway

ALT: a woman says i have my own fun while standing in a hallway

media.tenor.com

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 2d

Inordinately proud of getting this quote in the paper today.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 2d

In talking about our research, we adopted the code word “poetry” for talking about “genres of poetry,” for instance, or PoetryHub, the county’s largest poetry site.

Dan Cassino @dancassino.bsky.social · 2d

Inspired by 70s Japanese fair play - but super complicated- mysteries, but a little less complex than those, with heavy use of pictures and diagrams to help the reader keep up. Fast read, a little creepy, but entry level for the genre.

Reposted by Dan Cassino

Efrén Pérez @efrenpolipsy.bsky.social · 2d

👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽

Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social · 2d

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?

Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):