Dan Neidle
@danneidle.bsky.social
Founder of Tax Policy Associates Ltd. Tax realist. @danneidle on Twitter
I'm joining an FT Budget webinar this Friday lunchtime
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
November 25, 2025 at 10:33 AM
I'm joining an FT Budget webinar this Friday lunchtime
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
I'm joining an FT Budget webinar this Friday lunchtime
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
November 25, 2025 at 10:31 AM
I'm joining an FT Budget webinar this Friday lunchtime
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
Budget happiness 100% guaranteed, or your money back.
(Okay, it's free, whether or not you're an FT subscriber. Registration: buff.ly/JqTpKLx )
These reports the Government could revalue council tax bands F, G and H don't make sense to me. Here's what could actually be going on:
November 25, 2025 at 9:31 AM
These reports the Government could revalue council tax bands F, G and H don't make sense to me. Here's what could actually be going on:
What's happened to council tax over the last 30 years? Has it really doubled?
Yes. Here's how, and here's why: buff.ly/7HSGJij
Yes. Here's how, and here's why: buff.ly/7HSGJij
Has council tax really gone up? The evidence.
We strip out inflation to show how UK council tax has changed in real terms, and explain how funding cuts and social care drove the rise.
buff.ly
November 24, 2025 at 3:21 PM
What's happened to council tax over the last 30 years? Has it really doubled?
Yes. Here's how, and here's why: buff.ly/7HSGJij
Yes. Here's how, and here's why: buff.ly/7HSGJij
In case you missed it: our investigation into how Sky Bet relocated to Malta to avoid £55m of tax/year This kind of thing is often reported as "perfectly proper, and there's no suggestion that any laws were broken".
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
November 23, 2025 at 9:34 AM
In case you missed it: our investigation into how Sky Bet relocated to Malta to avoid £55m of tax/year This kind of thing is often reported as "perfectly proper, and there's no suggestion that any laws were broken".
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
Hope HMRC are investigating whether Gill evaded tax on the bribes he received.
(Bribes are absolutely taxable income, but people tend not to declare them to HMRC...)
(Bribes are absolutely taxable income, but people tend not to declare them to HMRC...)
November 22, 2025 at 2:59 PM
Hope HMRC are investigating whether Gill evaded tax on the bribes he received.
(Bribes are absolutely taxable income, but people tend not to declare them to HMRC...)
(Bribes are absolutely taxable income, but people tend not to declare them to HMRC...)
These "property gurus" charge people a fortune for terrible advice. Here's Samuel Leeds selling a series of tax ideas that don't work. Clueless.
And here's an actual tax adviser explaining why they fail: buff.ly/2hyertH
And here's an actual tax adviser explaining why they fail: buff.ly/2hyertH
November 22, 2025 at 9:34 AM
These "property gurus" charge people a fortune for terrible advice. Here's Samuel Leeds selling a series of tax ideas that don't work. Clueless.
And here's an actual tax adviser explaining why they fail: buff.ly/2hyertH
And here's an actual tax adviser explaining why they fail: buff.ly/2hyertH
New investigation: how Sky Bet relocated to Malta to avoid £55m of tax/year This kind of tax planning is often reported as "clever, but perfectly proper, and there's no suggestion that any laws were broken".
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
November 19, 2025 at 9:19 AM
New investigation: how Sky Bet relocated to Malta to avoid £55m of tax/year This kind of tax planning is often reported as "clever, but perfectly proper, and there's no suggestion that any laws were broken".
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
But here it looks improper. Laws may have been broken.
🧵
Our new report on Sky Bet's relocation to Malta. Full details of what we think they did, whether it was legal, and how HMRC and the Government could stop it: taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/11/18/s...
Betting on tax avoidance - is Sky Bet avoiding £55m tax per year?
ITV News has just published an investigation: gambling company Sky Bet has migrated its business to Malta to avoid around £55m of tax each year. We provided technical support for the investigation…
taxpolicy.org.uk
November 18, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Our new report on Sky Bet's relocation to Malta. Full details of what we think they did, whether it was legal, and how HMRC and the Government could stop it: taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/11/18/s...
If you have any time on your hands (given half the internet is down), and an interest in tax, law or webdesign, we've just redesigned the Tax Policy Associates website.
Any and all feedback gratefully received!
buff.ly/1Avp5U4
Any and all feedback gratefully received!
buff.ly/1Avp5U4
Tax Policy Associates - the independent tax think tank
A think tank dedicated to improving tax policy and the public understanding of tax
taxpolicy.org.uk
November 18, 2025 at 2:21 PM
If you have any time on your hands (given half the internet is down), and an interest in tax, law or webdesign, we've just redesigned the Tax Policy Associates website.
Any and all feedback gratefully received!
buff.ly/1Avp5U4
Any and all feedback gratefully received!
buff.ly/1Avp5U4
Some kind of award for chutzpah should go to the guy who tried to get out of a £5m VAT civil VAT evasion penalty, by pleading The Bill of Rights Act 1689.
(Unsuccessfully)
(Unsuccessfully)
November 17, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Some kind of award for chutzpah should go to the guy who tried to get out of a £5m VAT civil VAT evasion penalty, by pleading The Bill of Rights Act 1689.
(Unsuccessfully)
(Unsuccessfully)
How messed-up is the current UK income tax system? How much worse could it get? And how much more will you pay?
Other tax calculators tell you the tax you pay. Ours also shows the *marginal* rate - how much you'll pay on the next £. For everyone.
taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/11/12/t...
Other tax calculators tell you the tax you pay. Ours also shows the *marginal* rate - how much you'll pay on the next £. For everyone.
taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/11/12/t...
November 16, 2025 at 10:32 AM
How messed-up is the current UK income tax system? How much worse could it get? And how much more will you pay?
Other tax calculators tell you the tax you pay. Ours also shows the *marginal* rate - how much you'll pay on the next £. For everyone.
taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/11/12/t...
Other tax calculators tell you the tax you pay. Ours also shows the *marginal* rate - how much you'll pay on the next £. For everyone.
taxpolicy.org.uk/2025/11/12/t...
Has anyone seen anything by a Florida defamation lawyer commenting on the likely prospects of Trump vs BBC? Lots of speculation, but would be good to see what an actual expert thinks.
November 15, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Has anyone seen anything by a Florida defamation lawyer commenting on the likely prospects of Trump vs BBC? Lots of speculation, but would be good to see what an actual expert thinks.
Fiscal creep has been an amazingly easy way for recent Governments to raise tax without anyone noticing.
Here's the higher rate tax band since 1990.
It rose faster than inflation from 1994 to 2009. Then began a steep decline - with many more people paying higher rate.
Here's the higher rate tax band since 1990.
It rose faster than inflation from 1994 to 2009. Then began a steep decline - with many more people paying higher rate.
November 14, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Fiscal creep has been an amazingly easy way for recent Governments to raise tax without anyone noticing.
Here's the higher rate tax band since 1990.
It rose faster than inflation from 1994 to 2009. Then began a steep decline - with many more people paying higher rate.
Here's the higher rate tax band since 1990.
It rose faster than inflation from 1994 to 2009. Then began a steep decline - with many more people paying higher rate.
NEW - we've data showing huge numbers of people reducing their income to avoid high marginal income tax rates. Not just at the £100k point (as previously reported). But at the £50k point:
November 14, 2025 at 12:47 PM
NEW - we've data showing huge numbers of people reducing their income to avoid high marginal income tax rates. Not just at the £100k point (as previously reported). But at the £50k point:
Here's a chart of the marginal tax rate for someone with two kids. They pay 53% tax on every £ they earn between £60k and £80k. 62% on every £ they earn between £100k and £125k.
9% more if they've a student loan
This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
9% more if they've a student loan
This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
November 13, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Here's a chart of the marginal tax rate for someone with two kids. They pay 53% tax on every £ they earn between £60k and £80k. 62% on every £ they earn between £100k and £125k.
9% more if they've a student loan
This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
9% more if they've a student loan
This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
Loose lips sink growth.
November 13, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Loose lips sink growth.
I proudly present the internet's nerdiest and prettiest tax calculator.
Other calculators just calculate your tax. This one calculates your tax now, and under various Budget proposals. And draws a pretty chart showing the marginal and effective rates for *everyone*.
Other calculators just calculate your tax. This one calculates your tax now, and under various Budget proposals. And draws a pretty chart showing the marginal and effective rates for *everyone*.
November 12, 2025 at 3:47 PM
I proudly present the internet's nerdiest and prettiest tax calculator.
Other calculators just calculate your tax. This one calculates your tax now, and under various Budget proposals. And draws a pretty chart showing the marginal and effective rates for *everyone*.
Other calculators just calculate your tax. This one calculates your tax now, and under various Budget proposals. And draws a pretty chart showing the marginal and effective rates for *everyone*.
The internet is full of tax calculators. They're boring.
Tomorrow we're launching our Budget tax calculator. Prettier and nerdier than all the rest put together.
Tomorrow we're launching our Budget tax calculator. Prettier and nerdier than all the rest put together.
November 11, 2025 at 2:44 PM
The internet is full of tax calculators. They're boring.
Tomorrow we're launching our Budget tax calculator. Prettier and nerdier than all the rest put together.
Tomorrow we're launching our Budget tax calculator. Prettier and nerdier than all the rest put together.
This post went viral on X (but not here or on other platforms)... but I fear many missed my point.
The video is funny and compelling but makes a bad error. It ignores incentives.
The policy proposed would likely *increase* private jet emissions.
The video is funny and compelling but makes a bad error. It ignores incentives.
The policy proposed would likely *increase* private jet emissions.
November 10, 2025 at 10:58 AM
This post went viral on X (but not here or on other platforms)... but I fear many missed my point.
The video is funny and compelling but makes a bad error. It ignores incentives.
The policy proposed would likely *increase* private jet emissions.
The video is funny and compelling but makes a bad error. It ignores incentives.
The policy proposed would likely *increase* private jet emissions.
We reported last week on the uncomfortable reality of doubling council tax on Band G and Band H homes - 80% of the revenues would come from Band G.
New analysis from Chaminda Jayanetti at PoliticsHome shows another real source of unfairness...
New analysis from Chaminda Jayanetti at PoliticsHome shows another real source of unfairness...
November 9, 2025 at 3:10 PM
We reported last week on the uncomfortable reality of doubling council tax on Band G and Band H homes - 80% of the revenues would come from Band G.
New analysis from Chaminda Jayanetti at PoliticsHome shows another real source of unfairness...
New analysis from Chaminda Jayanetti at PoliticsHome shows another real source of unfairness...
This video is brilliant: buff.ly/1zyTWmM
Seems a total slam dunk that owners of private jets should pay fuel duties. Doesn't it?
The answer is annoying.
Thread:
Seems a total slam dunk that owners of private jets should pay fuel duties. Doesn't it?
The answer is annoying.
Thread:
Private jets don't pay fuel tax. Now I don't either.
You pay fuel duty. Why don’t billionaires? This week, we launched WeWingAnyCar.com to help you qualify for the same tax breaks that private jets get.
Because tax loopholes shouldn’t just be for…
www.youtube.com
November 8, 2025 at 9:34 AM
This video is brilliant: buff.ly/1zyTWmM
Seems a total slam dunk that owners of private jets should pay fuel duties. Doesn't it?
The answer is annoying.
Thread:
Seems a total slam dunk that owners of private jets should pay fuel duties. Doesn't it?
The answer is annoying.
Thread:
Shocking article in the Sheffield Tribune. A solicitor, Andrew Milne, buying up freeholds of houses and then making (false) threats to the leaseholders to bully them into buying the freehold at a huge premium.
November 7, 2025 at 9:39 AM
Shocking article in the Sheffield Tribune. A solicitor, Andrew Milne, buying up freeholds of houses and then making (false) threats to the leaseholders to bully them into buying the freehold at a huge premium.
Douglas Barrowman and Michelle Mone made £65m selling faulty PPE to the Government.
HMRC now wants £39m in unpaid tax — and we think we know why: Barrowman and Mone may have avoided tax on their £65m profit.
HMRC now wants £39m in unpaid tax — and we think we know why: Barrowman and Mone may have avoided tax on their £65m profit.
November 6, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Douglas Barrowman and Michelle Mone made £65m selling faulty PPE to the Government.
HMRC now wants £39m in unpaid tax — and we think we know why: Barrowman and Mone may have avoided tax on their £65m profit.
HMRC now wants £39m in unpaid tax — and we think we know why: Barrowman and Mone may have avoided tax on their £65m profit.
What if there was a consensus on the tax reforms the UK needs?
What if it was backed by policy experts from think tanks across the political spectrum, from the Adam Smith Institute to the Resolution Foundation?
The consensus is real. The question is: will anyone act on it?
What if it was backed by policy experts from think tanks across the political spectrum, from the Adam Smith Institute to the Resolution Foundation?
The consensus is real. The question is: will anyone act on it?
November 5, 2025 at 9:51 AM
What if there was a consensus on the tax reforms the UK needs?
What if it was backed by policy experts from think tanks across the political spectrum, from the Adam Smith Institute to the Resolution Foundation?
The consensus is real. The question is: will anyone act on it?
What if it was backed by policy experts from think tanks across the political spectrum, from the Adam Smith Institute to the Resolution Foundation?
The consensus is real. The question is: will anyone act on it?