@datawithbliss.bsky.social
Luck dashboard thru week 6:
Most impactful plays:
- DEN recovers own fumble in Q4 (+17.3% for DEN, -17.3% for NYJ)
- CAR dropped pass to int in Q1 (+16.5% for DAL)
- CHI game-winning FG in Q4 (-14.5% for WAS)
Most impactful plays:
- DEN recovers own fumble in Q4 (+17.3% for DEN, -17.3% for NYJ)
- CAR dropped pass to int in Q1 (+16.5% for DAL)
- CHI game-winning FG in Q4 (-14.5% for WAS)
October 14, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Luck dashboard thru week 6:
Most impactful plays:
- DEN recovers own fumble in Q4 (+17.3% for DEN, -17.3% for NYJ)
- CAR dropped pass to int in Q1 (+16.5% for DAL)
- CHI game-winning FG in Q4 (-14.5% for WAS)
Most impactful plays:
- DEN recovers own fumble in Q4 (+17.3% for DEN, -17.3% for NYJ)
- CAR dropped pass to int in Q1 (+16.5% for DAL)
- CHI game-winning FG in Q4 (-14.5% for WAS)
New dynamic kickoff -- where have teams kicked the ball thru week 4?
October 2, 2025 at 11:24 PM
New dynamic kickoff -- where have teams kicked the ball thru week 4?
Luck dashboard thru wk 4.
Most impactful plays:
- GB made FG at end of Q4 to tie (-22% for DAL)
- SEA made FG at end of Q4 to win (-18% for ARI)
- ARI dropped pass to interception in Q2 (+17% for SEA)
Most impactful plays:
- GB made FG at end of Q4 to tie (-22% for DAL)
- SEA made FG at end of Q4 to win (-18% for ARI)
- ARI dropped pass to interception in Q2 (+17% for SEA)
October 1, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Luck dashboard thru wk 4.
Most impactful plays:
- GB made FG at end of Q4 to tie (-22% for DAL)
- SEA made FG at end of Q4 to win (-18% for ARI)
- ARI dropped pass to interception in Q2 (+17% for SEA)
Most impactful plays:
- GB made FG at end of Q4 to tie (-22% for DAL)
- SEA made FG at end of Q4 to win (-18% for ARI)
- ARI dropped pass to interception in Q2 (+17% for SEA)
The 2026 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl is live!
Participants can sign up for two competitions:
- leaderboard
- traditional analytics competition
This year's task: predict/understand player movement when the ball is in the air
Participants can sign up for two competitions:
- leaderboard
- traditional analytics competition
This year's task: predict/understand player movement when the ball is in the air
September 25, 2025 at 4:01 PM
The 2026 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl is live!
Participants can sign up for two competitions:
- leaderboard
- traditional analytics competition
This year's task: predict/understand player movement when the ball is in the air
Participants can sign up for two competitions:
- leaderboard
- traditional analytics competition
This year's task: predict/understand player movement when the ball is in the air
Reposted
🏈 The 8th annual NFL Big Data Bowl is here!
This year, we’re excited to launch two competitions in collaboration with NFL. Participants will use NFL player tracking (Next Gen Stats) to generate insights that enhance the game.
Pro tip: you can compete in both 😎
More info 👇
This year, we’re excited to launch two competitions in collaboration with NFL. Participants will use NFL player tracking (Next Gen Stats) to generate insights that enhance the game.
Pro tip: you can compete in both 😎
More info 👇
September 25, 2025 at 3:11 PM
🏈 The 8th annual NFL Big Data Bowl is here!
This year, we’re excited to launch two competitions in collaboration with NFL. Participants will use NFL player tracking (Next Gen Stats) to generate insights that enhance the game.
Pro tip: you can compete in both 😎
More info 👇
This year, we’re excited to launch two competitions in collaboration with NFL. Participants will use NFL player tracking (Next Gen Stats) to generate insights that enhance the game.
Pro tip: you can compete in both 😎
More info 👇
2025 Luck dashboard thru wk 3.
Most impactful plays:
- W1: PIT 60-yd FG in Q4 (-57% for NYJ)
- W2: DAL 64-yd FG in Q4 (-43% for NYG)
- W1: CLE dropped pass to int in Q4 (+43% for CIN)
- W1: DAL dropped pass in Q4 (+40% for PHI)
- W2: KC dropped pass to int in Q4 (+34% for PHI)
Most impactful plays:
- W1: PIT 60-yd FG in Q4 (-57% for NYJ)
- W2: DAL 64-yd FG in Q4 (-43% for NYG)
- W1: CLE dropped pass to int in Q4 (+43% for CIN)
- W1: DAL dropped pass in Q4 (+40% for PHI)
- W2: KC dropped pass to int in Q4 (+34% for PHI)
September 23, 2025 at 3:27 PM
2025 Luck dashboard thru wk 3.
Most impactful plays:
- W1: PIT 60-yd FG in Q4 (-57% for NYJ)
- W2: DAL 64-yd FG in Q4 (-43% for NYG)
- W1: CLE dropped pass to int in Q4 (+43% for CIN)
- W1: DAL dropped pass in Q4 (+40% for PHI)
- W2: KC dropped pass to int in Q4 (+34% for PHI)
Most impactful plays:
- W1: PIT 60-yd FG in Q4 (-57% for NYJ)
- W2: DAL 64-yd FG in Q4 (-43% for NYG)
- W1: CLE dropped pass to int in Q4 (+43% for CIN)
- W1: DAL dropped pass in Q4 (+40% for PHI)
- W2: KC dropped pass to int in Q4 (+34% for PHI)
Here is how non-Power conferences would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams (17 teams per conf).
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 625 miles
- Optimal: 516 miles
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 625 miles
- Optimal: 516 miles
September 22, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Here is how non-Power conferences would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams (17 teams per conf).
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 625 miles
- Optimal: 516 miles
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 625 miles
- Optimal: 516 miles
When trailing by one score on the last play of a game, offenses face a choice: attempt a Hail Mary (deep pass to the end zone) or a Hook & Ladder (lateralling between teammates moving towards end zone).
Here's how often teams chose each strategy since 2018, by field position:
Here's how often teams chose each strategy since 2018, by field position:
September 16, 2025 at 5:05 PM
When trailing by one score on the last play of a game, offenses face a choice: attempt a Hail Mary (deep pass to the end zone) or a Hook & Ladder (lateralling between teammates moving towards end zone).
Here's how often teams chose each strategy since 2018, by field position:
Here's how often teams chose each strategy since 2018, by field position:
With the college football returning, here is how Power 4 conferences would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams (17 teams per conf).
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 787 miles
- Optimal: 479 miles
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 787 miles
- Optimal: 479 miles
August 29, 2025 at 2:23 PM
With the college football returning, here is how Power 4 conferences would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams (17 teams per conf).
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 787 miles
- Optimal: 479 miles
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 787 miles
- Optimal: 479 miles
Correlation between preseason and regular season performance in NFL has decreased significantly in the last 5 years.
My friend Michael Mackelvie put together an IG short summarizing this finding:
www.instagram.com/reel/DN0oUFX...
My friend Michael Mackelvie put together an IG short summarizing this finding:
www.instagram.com/reel/DN0oUFX...
August 28, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Correlation between preseason and regular season performance in NFL has decreased significantly in the last 5 years.
My friend Michael Mackelvie put together an IG short summarizing this finding:
www.instagram.com/reel/DN0oUFX...
My friend Michael Mackelvie put together an IG short summarizing this finding:
www.instagram.com/reel/DN0oUFX...
#USOpen 🎾 weekend! Here's a comparison of observed vs optimal WTA player travel between WTA 1000s & Grand Slams:
- Tournament Schedule route: 4,503 km/2,798 mi average b/w tournaments
- Optimal route: 2,621 km/1,629 mi average b/w tournaments
- Tournament Schedule route: 4,503 km/2,798 mi average b/w tournaments
- Optimal route: 2,621 km/1,629 mi average b/w tournaments
August 22, 2025 at 1:48 PM
#USOpen 🎾 weekend! Here's a comparison of observed vs optimal WTA player travel between WTA 1000s & Grand Slams:
- Tournament Schedule route: 4,503 km/2,798 mi average b/w tournaments
- Optimal route: 2,621 km/1,629 mi average b/w tournaments
- Tournament Schedule route: 4,503 km/2,798 mi average b/w tournaments
- Optimal route: 2,621 km/1,629 mi average b/w tournaments
With the NFL season starting in two weeks, here is how NFL conferences would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams.
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 1103 miles
- Optimal: 785 miles
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 1103 miles
- Optimal: 785 miles
August 19, 2025 at 5:55 PM
With the NFL season starting in two weeks, here is how NFL conferences would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams.
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 1103 miles
- Optimal: 785 miles
Avg distance between teams in same conference:
- Current: 1103 miles
- Optimal: 785 miles
How has preseason playtime impacted the link between preseason and regular season performance?
From 2000–2017, there was a weak positive correlation (R = 0.24) between preseason and regular season net points per game.
From 2017–2024, that correlation dropped to just 0.05.
From 2000–2017, there was a weak positive correlation (R = 0.24) between preseason and regular season net points per game.
From 2017–2024, that correlation dropped to just 0.05.
August 4, 2025 at 5:41 PM
How has preseason playtime impacted the link between preseason and regular season performance?
From 2000–2017, there was a weak positive correlation (R = 0.24) between preseason and regular season net points per game.
From 2017–2024, that correlation dropped to just 0.05.
From 2000–2017, there was a weak positive correlation (R = 0.24) between preseason and regular season net points per game.
From 2017–2024, that correlation dropped to just 0.05.
With the MLB All-Star game tonight, here is how MLB divisions would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams.
Avg distance between teams in same division:
- Current: 606 miles
- Optimal: 421 miles
Avg distance between teams in same division:
- Current: 606 miles
- Optimal: 421 miles
July 15, 2025 at 2:00 PM
With the MLB All-Star game tonight, here is how MLB divisions would look if they were created purely to minimize the average distance between teams.
Avg distance between teams in same division:
- Current: 606 miles
- Optimal: 421 miles
Avg distance between teams in same division:
- Current: 606 miles
- Optimal: 421 miles
Instructions for folks who want feedback on their 2025 #BigDataBowl Submissions:
www.kaggle.com/competitions...
www.kaggle.com/competitions...
NFL Big Data Bowl 2025
Help use pre-snap behavior to predict and better understand NFL team and player tendencies
www.kaggle.com
March 18, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Instructions for folks who want feedback on their 2025 #BigDataBowl Submissions:
www.kaggle.com/competitions...
www.kaggle.com/competitions...
Baker Mayfield boasted the highest EPA/play, Success Rate and Completion % Over Expected for all passers in the 2025 #ProBowlGames .
Gardner Minshew still leads in career EPA/Play & Success Rate from his 2023 appearance.
Gardner Minshew still leads in career EPA/Play & Success Rate from his 2023 appearance.
February 2, 2025 at 11:07 PM
Baker Mayfield boasted the highest EPA/play, Success Rate and Completion % Over Expected for all passers in the 2025 #ProBowlGames .
Gardner Minshew still leads in career EPA/Play & Success Rate from his 2023 appearance.
Gardner Minshew still leads in career EPA/Play & Success Rate from his 2023 appearance.
Reposted
Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
January 29, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
Reposted
Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
January 29, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
Reposted
2025 Big Data Bowl finalists will be announced tomorrow, Weds 1/29, at 12 noon EST #BigDataBowl
January 29, 2025 at 3:36 AM
2025 Big Data Bowl finalists will be announced tomorrow, Weds 1/29, at 12 noon EST #BigDataBowl