David Alman
@davidalman.bsky.social
2.9K followers 1.2K following 100 posts
Airman + consultant + aero engineer interested in national strategy, domestic policy, environmentalism, good food, and all things aviation. Views = mine alone and not representative of anyone I work for. #airpower
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davidalman.bsky.social
Look it’s not our fault we’re better at playing the game than everyone else…..
Reposted by David Alman
asherelbein.bsky.social
The thing about this that's worth recalling is that it *wouldn't* even offend most Americans: just the group of reactionary grifters who make money by being professionally offended online.
davidalman.bsky.social
AI significant others hate this one task
davidalman.bsky.social
We have met the enemy and he is us
davidalman.bsky.social
Worth every penny for good bed and good sheets
davidalman.bsky.social
Yeah just difficult to think through it all ex ante, and there is the additional difficulty of needing to get people to update their priors that were based on your original analysis

We should still try, but such a wicked problem
davidalman.bsky.social
Better to study it than not, because there may be things that they actually *won’t do* regardless, but probably a bit of analysis that demands constant updating?
davidalman.bsky.social
Unfortunately I don’t think it’s truly a tractable problem? The passion / violence invoked by war kind of negates the prewar thinking to a large degree?

“Will the Americans risk half their carrier force in April of 1942 for a propaganda raid?”
davidalman.bsky.social
Michael Howard would appreciate this whole line of thinking.

“It makes military sense to abandon Paris and withdraw behind the Seine” in 1870

“Yeah cool but that’s not an option for them”
davidalman.bsky.social
That perma free breakfast is the dream
davidalman.bsky.social
It’s super cool in person, wild how much quieter it’s gun is than the Abrams

It’s like a cough, then the Abrams punches you in the chest
davidalman.bsky.social
Hmm, and I guess aircrew get level c so maybe we’re deemed good either way?
davidalman.bsky.social
Oh yeah, 100% sarcasm with my statement lol
davidalman.bsky.social
I’m less concerned about that - unless it’s some macro issue with national will / disinformation (welp…) then I think most units perform about the same? 10% heroes, 10% cowards, 80% just there to do the job
davidalman.bsky.social
Not only that, but you also have to find a new church AND home school your 3 kids!
davidalman.bsky.social
I definitely did not do that lmao
davidalman.bsky.social
More on this - I do not think American policymakers are ready for the USAF / USN / USMC to come back day 2 of a real shooting war and say “well we accomplished your objective, but we lost X jets, worth about Y billion dollars and Z aircrew”

American airpower has been omnipotent for so long
davidalman.bsky.social
American airpower is too good. Policymakers see the most tenuous of connections, develop the most insane plans, and then think America’s aerial might will make it so.

Pape is the king of the strawman, and nobody in the Air Force with a brain thinks like he thinks they think.
davidalman.bsky.social
“Can you launch across the globe to penetrate an advanced IADS and deliver bombs on target with minimal collateral damage?”

“I mean we can but what’s the objecti——“

“Yeah dude shut up I make policy because I have a JD from Yale, you just launch the fleet”
davidalman.bsky.social
American airpower is too good. Policymakers see the most tenuous of connections, develop the most insane plans, and then think America’s aerial might will make it so.

Pape is the king of the strawman, and nobody in the Air Force with a brain thinks like he thinks they think.
davidalman.bsky.social
The resort guests and models tend to prefer more upscale brands; we all have our duties to perform!
davidalman.bsky.social
Lol Clinton and Blinken really doing a lot for the Democratic Party with this appearance.……….
davidalman.bsky.social
We had a dude bring a bottle of this as a joke for a fighter squadron naming….

It did not go over well…especially for them when they also had to drink it….