David Coletto
@davidcoletto.bsky.social
4.8K followers 4K following 230 posts
Founder & CEO of Canada’s most sought-after and influential polling firm, Abacus Data. Prof at Carleton University. Davidcoletto.substack.com 🚴‍♂️🎾🏔️📈📊
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davidcoletto.bsky.social
“Imagine a general election where Ashton stands at the podium between Carney and Poilievre.

One the establishment banker; the other the career politician.

Between them, a dockworker who says both have failed the working class.”

More: open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
Is an NDP Led by Rob Ashton the Worst Nightmare for Both Pierre Poilievre and Mark Carney?
A few thoughts on the disruptive potential of the emergence of class politics in Canada
open.substack.com
davidcoletto.bsky.social
🚨 New from Abacus Data: 9 in 10 Canadians are concerned about the state of housing in Canada today.

This is one of the few issues that cuts across every generation, region, and party line.

Read the full report → abacusdata.ca/9-in-10-cana...
9 in 10 Canadians are Concerned About the State of Housing in Canada Today - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
davidcoletto.bsky.social
I joined the latest episode of Hub Politics to talk about Prime Minister Mark Carney’s trip to Washington — and what his diplomatic approach with President Trump tells us about his leadership style.

You can watch the full episode here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0j5...
Carney's charm offensive in Washington
YouTube video by The Hub Canada
www.youtube.com
davidcoletto.bsky.social
I was thrilled to join Steve Paikin’s Everything Political podcast for the first time.

We talked about my recent Toronto Star column exploring the tension at the heart of Canadian politics — between reassurance and disruption.

You can watch the full conversation here: youtu.be/dNZaTzDNjD8?...
Why Canadian Voters Are Split Between a Disruptor or a “Daddy” | Everything Political
YouTube video by The Paikin Podcast
youtu.be
Reposted by David Coletto
cpac.ca
Why does Mark Carney suffer from a slight dip in his favourable impressions? It's that Canadians are becoming a little bit more unsure if he's the right person to lead the country, says @davidcoletto.bsky.social

Full interview: youtu.be/Ixwja1bphd4?...
davidcoletto.bsky.social
📊 NEW: Conservatives lead by 1, but the big story is underneath.

Cost-of-living concerns are rising again, Carney’s approval is slipping, and Trudeau’s shadow still looms.

abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...
Abacus Data Poll: Liberals and Conservatives Locked in Tight Race as Cost of Living Concerns Surge - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
davidcoletto.bsky.social
The federal budget is just over a month away.

I was on CTV News Question Period with Vassy Kapelos yesterday to share some thoughts on the political implications and some alternative scenarios of it can all play out.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdKz...
Budget discussions continue: ‘There’s risk on all sides’
YouTube video by CTV News
www.youtube.com
davidcoletto.bsky.social
Is Carney setting a political trap for Poilievre on the budget?

Tune into CTV’s Question Period on Sunday to hear my thoughts.

Writing something for my newsletter too #cdnpoli
Reposted by David Coletto
bobmakichuk.bsky.social
This stack is a worthy post for fellow #GCComms professionals to consider as our ministers get ready for their return to Parliament.
Connecting with our audiences is more challenging than ever, especially at a critical time for the government we serve.
davidcoletto.bsky.social
The lesson from Starmer 🇬🇧 for Carney 🇨🇦: managerial centrism without a philosophy is not the middle ground; it’s no man’s land.
davidcoletto.bsky.social
📊 New Abacus Data Poll: Carney’s Liberals edge back into the lead as Canadians grow more uneasy about the economy.

Affordability, housing, & healthcare remain top concerns.

Full results 👉 abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...
Abacus Data Poll: Carney’s Liberals Regain Lead as Economy Woes Grow - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
davidcoletto.bsky.social
In the next two years, what is the bigger threat?

60% say issues like housing affordability, healthcare, and rising costs pose the greatest risk to the country.

40% believe Trump’s policies and unpredictability are the larger danger

abacusdata.ca/canadians-se...
Canadians See Cost of Living, Housing, and Healthcare as Bigger Threat Than Trump’s Policies - Abacus Data
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abacusdata.ca
davidcoletto.bsky.social
The Psychology of Political Endings: When
Support Turns to Disillusionment

What psychological research and polling tells us about when people go from supporters to opponents in politics.

open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...
The Psychology of Political Endings: When Support Turns to Disillusionment
What psychological research and polling tells us about when people go from supporters to opponents in politics.
open.substack.com
davidcoletto.bsky.social
15 years ago, sitting in a TV green room, I was told: “When you want to work for a real polling firm, give me a call.” That comment didn’t discourage me—it fueled me. I wanted to build something different. That’s Abacus Data.
Reposted by David Coletto
aaronwherry.bsky.social
I imagine Poilievre has come to a conclusion similar to @davidcoletto.bsky.social -- and that probably helps explain why post-election Poilievre sounds exactly like pre-election Poilievre.

davidcoletto.substack.com/p/the-durabi...
Built to Last? Why Poilievre’s Coalition Holds While Carney’s Frays
Some thoughts and data from my latest poll
davidcoletto.substack.com