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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 1d

𝗜𝘁'𝘀 𝗢𝗰𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗣𝗵𝗼𝘁𝗼 𝗙𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗮𝘆 where I invite you to a 15 second ocean meditation with a photo. (This week: Múlafossur Waterfall, Vágar Island, Faroe Islands)

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 1d

Wochenwerte in lin und log Achse

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 1d

Ich teile @martin46er1.bsky.social’s Einschätzung, dass der Peak bereits ca. Mitte November sein könnte. Damit wäre der Vorjahresverlauf grob nachgefahren.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 1d

Jetzt schlägt auch das Signal bei der @dgina.bsky.social Notaufnahmeampel an: basierend auf den COVID-Hospitalisierungen der meldenden ZNAs zeigt meine Schätzung aktuell eine Inzidenz von ca. 700-900, etwas höher als was @rv-enigma.bsky.social unten schätzt (aber kein tatsächlich anderes Ergebnis).

RV @rv-enigma.bsky.social · 1d

Covid-19 am 10.10.25: R↗️1,15-1,17

R_Berichte (FT-korr) 1,15
R_Meldungen (adj, ohne FT-Korr.) 1,17
R_Hospitalisierung: 1,17

Inkl. DZF ↘️105‼️:
Fälle (7T-M, korr): 84.000
Inzidenz: 700 (540)

Verdopplungszeit: 18-20 Tage
Infiziert: 1 von ~100

Die Grafik zeigt oben die 7T-Mittel der Fallmeldungen nach Berichtsdatum (ohne Nachmeldungen für mehr als 30 Tage zurück liegende Daten und um geschätzte Daten für Feiertage korrigiert) sowie die Fallzahl nach Meldedatum, adjustiert mit einem Nowcast der erwarteten Nachmeldungen. Außerdem ist die aus der NICHT NORMALISIERTEN Abwasser-Viruslast (derzeit wie auch normalisiert 105) berechnete Inzidenz sowie der aktuelle Dunkelzifferfaktor und die Inzidenz (nach Berichtsdatum) inkl. DZF aufgetragen.

Im unteren Bereich stehen gestrichelt R-Werte (d.h. geglättete 4-Tages-Änderungen):
Fälle nach Berichts- und Meldedatum, Viruslast (AMELAG LOESS) und ITS-Belegung.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

Link to The Economist article: www.economist.com/business/202...

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

So to anyone feeling disillusioned by the headlines: don’t mistake silence for surrender.

There’s real progress happening behind the scenes.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

This doesn’t mean we’re on track (we’re not, by a large margin), but the idea that ambition is evaporating ignores the full picture. The quieter truth is, decarbonization is still moving forward, just less loudly than before.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

Yes, there are political setbacks, and some companies are scaling back the marketing of their sustainability work to avoid backlash. But in the background, many are giving the culture wars the finger and continuing anyway.

I find that… oddly encouraging.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

• Record sales of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) credits in 2025, surpassing all previous years combined (cdr.fyi)

In other words: less noise, more action.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

• Scope 3 targets (the hard stuff) are booming: 67% of firms have them, up from just 28% in 2022
• Companies with targets cut emissions intensity by 8%, compared to 3% for those without (MSCI)

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

Instead, they’re flying under the radar and quietly doubling down.

Let’s look at the numbers:

• 37% of companies actually increased their climate ambition last year (PwC)
• 67% are on track to hit their targets, up from 64% in 2023

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

In short, companies are doing the work (i.e. cutting emissions, setting ambitious targets, cleaning up their supply chains), but they’re talking about it less—not because they’ve given up, but because public attention is noisy and politicized.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

Projects are getting defunded. People are losing jobs. The mood? Anxious, frustrated, even apocalyptic.

But zoom out, and the data tell a different story.

The Economist recently spotlighted a new trend in corporate climate strategy, which they called greenhushing.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 2d

If you scroll through climate headlines right now, it’s easy to feel discouraged.

BP scaling back its wind plans. Big banks pulling out of net-zero alliances. Google’s emissions go up instead of down. In the US, political winds are blowing hard against decarbonization efforts.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 4d

Read the full story in our newsletter: www.carbon-drawdown.de/blog/2025-9-...

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 4d

The result was more uniform germination, healthier root-to-mineral contact (accelerating CO₂ capture), and better soil resilience in real-world agriculture

It’s a reminder that in enhanced rock weathering (ERW), chemistry matters, but physics can make or break the outcome.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 4d

Why such a disparity? The superfine silt in glacial flour fills the big gaps between sand grains, forming “mesopores.” These tiny spaces hold water against gravity (think of a paper towel effect), distributing moisture evenly across the soil.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 4d

• 𝗚𝗹𝗮𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗥𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝗙𝗹𝗼𝘂𝗿 from Greenland (90% smaller than 4 microns) created dense, even plant growth.

• 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗼𝘁𝗶𝘁𝗲 and 𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗻𝗲, with coarser grains (200–360 microns), led to patchy germination and weak cover.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 4d

In our latest greenhouse experiment, we saw something striking:

Three pots with the same sandy soil, light, water, and temperature. But one pot flourished, while the others grew slower.

The difference? Particle size.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 5d

If you are spreading rock dust and want to sell certificates, you can not certify these yourself (this requires a third party), and you must also concentrate on sheer scale of operations, which doesn’t go well with the development processes for tools or services.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 5d

If you provide great tech or products for EW companies, you can’t do big EW projects yourself (you would be competition to your customers).

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 5d

As we are very early in the development of this industry, some companies are partially crossing over into the other categories in part, but I expect the industry to eventually separate in these three categories.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 5d

Finally, the accountants are standard and certification organizations like Isometric, Puro, CSI, and Cascade, as well as marketplaces like Carbonfuture.

Ideally, a company belongs to one of these three groups. This avoids internal conflicts of interest.

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 5d

The shovel makers are companies that provide tech for the stone throwers, for example measurements (e.g. sub-surface alkalinity sensors, like Everest), material science (e.g. Sequestra, Qmineral), bacterial-based improvement (e.g. Syntopa) or rock supply (e.g. Rock Flour Company).

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Dirk Paessler @dpaessler.bsky.social · 5d

The stone throwers are the companies that actually buy rocks, move rocks and spread rock dust on fields. They are doing the hard, heavy, dirty work. Like @inplanet.bsky.social, Flux, Lithos, Eion, Silicate, Cotierra and Silica, all from our CDR portfolio.

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