Efe Tokdemir
@efetokdemir.bsky.social
2.1K followers 440 following 35 posts
Assoc. Prof @bilkentuniv.bsky.social IR, Director of Research @cfppr.bsky.social, PhD @bingpolisci.bsky.social Research on peace&conflict processes, strategic use of force, foreign policy & public opinion, Türkiye www.efetokdemir.com
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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
conflictmanagement.bsky.social
First, Latife Kınay-Kılıç, Ersel Aydınlı and @efetokdemir.bsky.social investigate how states respond to external support for rebel groups during civil wars, finding that strategic rivalry drives the most severe responses.
Just a moment...
journals.sagepub.com
efetokdemir.bsky.social
My advisees Özge Karban and Deniz Özdemir have successfully defended their MA theses during the Summer 2025. Özge will pursue her PhD at PennState, and Deniz will do at Binghamton University

Keep an eye on them in the upcoming years - two great scholars in the making

Congratulations!
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
aysenurdal.bsky.social
Based on a nationwide survey in Türkiye, we demonstrate how exposure to violence resulting from conflict conditions (i.e., involvement) and perceptions of state efficacy in security provision (i.e., blame attribution) shape trust in legacy vs. social media.
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
aysenurdal.bsky.social
Our coauthored article with Seden Akçınaroğlu and
@efetokdemir.bsky.social is published online first in Media, War & Conflict. We explore the impact of exposure to conflict-related violence on trust in different media types regarding conflict-related information and news. @mwcjournal.bsky.social
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Do sanction threats work? We find that threats—even if credibly backed—do not increase support for concessions in the target public (Turkiye case). Plus, positive inducements provoke backlash in some groups, highlighting coercive diplomacy’s limits

Check out our research note: shrturl.app/3l4wWJ
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Don’t forget to add our forum article into your reading list:

www.allazimuth.com/2024/11/25/f...
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Saldırı ABD-İran nükleer görüşmeleriyle kesişti, ABD kamuoyu ve Trump da görüşmelerin olumlu sonuçlanabileceği düşüncesi vardı. ABD açıktan İsrail’e karşı çıkmaz, ama Trump’ın uzayan süreçlere ve alternatif planlara tahammülsüzlüğü ise bilindik.Rubio “tek taraflı” açıklamaları buradan okunmalı
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
allazimuth.bsky.social
Publication Alert – Our latest article titled, "All Azimuth Debate: Gradual Reform or Revolution? Pathways to Global IR," by
@aysezarakol.bsky.social l and Ersel Aydınlı is now online !

www.allazimuth.com/2025/02/06/a...
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Had a great time giving a guest talk at University of Washington International Security Colloquium. Grateful for kind invitation, insightful discussion, awesome Seattle weather. Big thanks to the Dept of Polisci and @aslicansunar.bsky.social for hosting me at the campus 🙏
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
pstaniland.bsky.social
Indian accounts plugged into BJP on other site saying possibly ~25 dead. very very much TBD, but targeting of tourists, possible death toll, Vance visit, relative calm prior all suggest a potential crisis moment:
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
ipc-ipm.bsky.social
Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman’ı anmak ve onun akademi ve düşünce dünyasına değerli katkılarını hatırlamak için 15-16 Mayıs'ta "Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman: Bilimin İzinde Bir Ömür" anma toplantısını düzenlenecektir.
Program detayları, ilerleyen günlerde tüm sosyal medya hesaplarımızdan paylaşılacaktır.
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Since my graduation back in 2017, I was in @bingpolisci.bsky.social for the first time as a guest speaker. A great audience with tough questions as always.

It was really good to be back home, and walk through the corridors of the department once again. Truly thankful for their invitation…
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Glad to be part of “What do we know about Terrorism” edited volume. Truly learned a lot from my colleagues during the workshop! Thanks @brianjphillips.bsky.social and @sbmitche.bsky.social for leading and ırganizing such a great initiative
brianjphillips.bsky.social
2 days of workshopping chapters at Iowa for the edited volume "What Do We Know About Terrorism?" A great group of folks! (Only some are pictured. 23 authors total.) The workshop was hosted by Sara Mitchell, outstanding host, editor of the series. I'm editing the book, which will be out in 2026! 📚
some workshop members pose on steps at the University of Iowa
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Przeworski (1991) demokrasileri bugünün kaybedenlerinin yarın kazanma ihtimaline sahip olduğu rejimler olarak tanımlar. Muhaliflerin kazanma ihtimallerinin yok edildiğini, kazanma şanslarının olmadığını düşündüğü bir ortamda demokrasiden bahsedilemez. Yaşasın demokrasi!
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
aysenurdal.bsky.social
Here are the list of articles in the special issue. We thank all of the authors for their valuable contribution to our initiative🌞
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
aysenurdal.bsky.social
The Global Perspectives on Science, Polarization, and Populism Special Issue we co-edited with Erik C. Nisbet is out in the International Journal of Public Opinion Research. Here is the link to our Introduction chapter: academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Reposted by Efe Tokdemir
bjpir.bsky.social
📈 Trending in BJPIR this week

'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social

🔓 Read the article available in #OpenAccess here: buff.ly/4hGnS7l

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
buff.ly
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Bonus: PKK-leader's address does not mention any other offshoots of PKK - such as YPG/PYD operating in Syria. PKK was not very active in last 2-3 years, and most of their members had already joined the ranks of YPG/PYD. So, we should not read this call as end of the conflict per se.
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Sure, the whole story is way more nuanced, this is just some updates in bullet points for those who are not an ardent follower of Turkish politics and Turkiye-PKK conflict - which is one of the longest and deadliest in the world
efetokdemir.bsky.social
Domestic: need for a constitutional change for reelection of Erdogan, then need for support of Kurds. International: Once Kurds in N. Iraq emerging as a separate entity, and now it is the Northern Syria - Turkiye repositioning itself regarding the upcoming developments for Middle Eastern Politics
efetokdemir.bsky.social
7) Main difference between two attempts: ultra-nationalist party was anti-Kurdish peace process back then, but pro-peace process this time. This is critical regarding the electoral politics.
8) Why now? Well, this is to speculate with some known facts regarding domestic and international politics:
efetokdemir.bsky.social
4) Back in 2013, Ocalan made a similar declaration asking PKK to lay down the arms and engage in politics
5) The first process halted following PKK attacks after a non-violent period
6) Some argued that the end of process was also related to incumbent government's electoral failure on June 2015