Election Maps UK
@electionmaps.uk
🗳️ Mapping UK Elections & Collating Polling Data
nowcast / posters / much more @ electionmaps.uk
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nowcast / posters / much more @ electionmaps.uk
support my work @ https://ko-fi.com/electionmapsuk
Pinned
📌 Pinned | Check Out electionmaps.uk for all your Psephological Needs:
🗺️ Nowcast Model: electionmaps.uk/nowcast
🧮 Custom Nowcast: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
🗳️ Council By-Election Results: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
📈 Voting Intention Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
🗺️ Nowcast Model: electionmaps.uk/nowcast
🧮 Custom Nowcast: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
🗳️ Council By-Election Results: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
📈 Voting Intention Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (+3)
CON: 23% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
LDM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 2-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 19-23 Dec.
RFM: 31% (+3)
CON: 23% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
LDM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 2-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 19-23 Dec.
January 7, 2026 at 8:35 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (+3)
CON: 23% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
LDM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 2-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 19-23 Dec.
RFM: 31% (+3)
CON: 23% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
LDM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 2-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 19-23 Dec.
Westminster Voting Intention [Greater London]:
LAB: 31% (-1)
RFM: 19% (-4)
GRN: 18% (+8)
CON: 17% (-3)
LDM: 13% (+2)
Via @savanta.bsky.social, 13-21 Dec.
Changes w/ 30 Oct - 7 Nov.
LAB: 31% (-1)
RFM: 19% (-4)
GRN: 18% (+8)
CON: 17% (-3)
LDM: 13% (+2)
Via @savanta.bsky.social, 13-21 Dec.
Changes w/ 30 Oct - 7 Nov.
January 6, 2026 at 6:43 PM
Westminster Voting Intention [Greater London]:
LAB: 31% (-1)
RFM: 19% (-4)
GRN: 18% (+8)
CON: 17% (-3)
LDM: 13% (+2)
Via @savanta.bsky.social, 13-21 Dec.
Changes w/ 30 Oct - 7 Nov.
LAB: 31% (-1)
RFM: 19% (-4)
GRN: 18% (+8)
CON: 17% (-3)
LDM: 13% (+2)
Via @savanta.bsky.social, 13-21 Dec.
Changes w/ 30 Oct - 7 Nov.
My Seat Model:
PLC: 39
RFM: 30
LAB: 11
CON: 10
GRN: 4
LDM: 2
49 Needed for a Majority (PLC+LAB = 50).
PLC: 39
RFM: 30
LAB: 11
CON: 10
GRN: 4
LDM: 2
49 Needed for a Majority (PLC+LAB = 50).
January 6, 2026 at 4:40 PM
My Seat Model:
PLC: 39
RFM: 30
LAB: 11
CON: 10
GRN: 4
LDM: 2
49 Needed for a Majority (PLC+LAB = 50).
PLC: 39
RFM: 30
LAB: 11
CON: 10
GRN: 4
LDM: 2
49 Needed for a Majority (PLC+LAB = 50).
Senedd (Welsh Parliament) Voting Intention:
PLC: 30% (+3)
RFM: 29% (=)
LAB: 12% (-6)
CON: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (+2)
LDM: 7% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 16 Dec - 4 Jan.
Changes w/ 5-16 Jun 2025.
PLC: 30% (+3)
RFM: 29% (=)
LAB: 12% (-6)
CON: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (+2)
LDM: 7% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 16 Dec - 4 Jan.
Changes w/ 5-16 Jun 2025.
January 6, 2026 at 4:34 PM
Senedd (Welsh Parliament) Voting Intention:
PLC: 30% (+3)
RFM: 29% (=)
LAB: 12% (-6)
CON: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (+2)
LDM: 7% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 16 Dec - 4 Jan.
Changes w/ 5-16 Jun 2025.
PLC: 30% (+3)
RFM: 29% (=)
LAB: 12% (-6)
CON: 12% (+1)
GRN: 9% (+2)
LDM: 7% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 16 Dec - 4 Jan.
Changes w/ 5-16 Jun 2025.
clap if you feel safe.
January 6, 2026 at 11:24 AM
clap if you feel safe.
Have a very limited amount of A2 posters (1945, 1979, 1997, 2024) leftover from last months release available on Etsy now!
www.etsy.com/shop/Electio...
www.etsy.com/shop/Electio...
www.etsy.com
January 6, 2026 at 10:48 AM
Have a very limited amount of A2 posters (1945, 1979, 1997, 2024) leftover from last months release available on Etsy now!
www.etsy.com/shop/Electio...
www.etsy.com/shop/Electio...
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (=)
LAB: 17% (-3)
LDM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 15% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 4-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 21-22 Dec.
RFM: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (=)
LAB: 17% (-3)
LDM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 15% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 4-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 21-22 Dec.
January 6, 2026 at 8:47 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (=)
LAB: 17% (-3)
LDM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 15% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 4-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 21-22 Dec.
RFM: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (=)
LAB: 17% (-3)
LDM: 16% (+1)
GRN: 15% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 4-5 Jan.
Changes w/ 21-22 Dec.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (+1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 15% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 31 Dec.
Changes w/ 24 Dec.
RFM: 31% (+1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 15% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 31 Dec.
Changes w/ 24 Dec.
January 5, 2026 at 11:26 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (+1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 15% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 31 Dec.
Changes w/ 24 Dec.
RFM: 31% (+1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 15% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 31 Dec.
Changes w/ 24 Dec.
🚨 | NEW: Holyrood Nowcast:
🎗️ SNP: 61 (-3) - 34.7% | 28.7%
🌹 LAB: 17 (-5) - 15.6% | 16.1%
➡️ RFM: 20 (+20) - 19.9% | 18.8%
🌳 CON: 11 (-20) - 9.5% | 11.0%
🌍 GRN: 10 (+6) - 8.1% | 12.6%
🔶 LDM: 10 (+6) - 9.7% | 9.5%
Changes w/ 2021.
Explore: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holy...
🎗️ SNP: 61 (-3) - 34.7% | 28.7%
🌹 LAB: 17 (-5) - 15.6% | 16.1%
➡️ RFM: 20 (+20) - 19.9% | 18.8%
🌳 CON: 11 (-20) - 9.5% | 11.0%
🌍 GRN: 10 (+6) - 8.1% | 12.6%
🔶 LDM: 10 (+6) - 9.7% | 9.5%
Changes w/ 2021.
Explore: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holy...
January 5, 2026 at 9:25 AM
🚨 | NEW: Holyrood Nowcast:
🎗️ SNP: 61 (-3) - 34.7% | 28.7%
🌹 LAB: 17 (-5) - 15.6% | 16.1%
➡️ RFM: 20 (+20) - 19.9% | 18.8%
🌳 CON: 11 (-20) - 9.5% | 11.0%
🌍 GRN: 10 (+6) - 8.1% | 12.6%
🔶 LDM: 10 (+6) - 9.7% | 9.5%
Changes w/ 2021.
Explore: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holy...
🎗️ SNP: 61 (-3) - 34.7% | 28.7%
🌹 LAB: 17 (-5) - 15.6% | 16.1%
➡️ RFM: 20 (+20) - 19.9% | 18.8%
🌳 CON: 11 (-20) - 9.5% | 11.0%
🌍 GRN: 10 (+6) - 8.1% | 12.6%
🔶 LDM: 10 (+6) - 9.7% | 9.5%
Changes w/ 2021.
Explore: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holy...
Nowcast Update - Reform fall short of a majority for the first time since July.
RFM: 310 (+305), 27.3% (26 Short)
LAB: 86 (-325), 18.3%
LDM: 80 (+8), 13.6%
CON: 72 (-49), 20.0%
SNP: 44 (+35), 2.8%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 0.9%
Oth: 7 (+2), 3.4%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
RFM: 310 (+305), 27.3% (26 Short)
LAB: 86 (-325), 18.3%
LDM: 80 (+8), 13.6%
CON: 72 (-49), 20.0%
SNP: 44 (+35), 2.8%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 0.9%
Oth: 7 (+2), 3.4%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
January 4, 2026 at 12:22 PM
Nowcast Update - Reform fall short of a majority for the first time since July.
RFM: 310 (+305), 27.3% (26 Short)
LAB: 86 (-325), 18.3%
LDM: 80 (+8), 13.6%
CON: 72 (-49), 20.0%
SNP: 44 (+35), 2.8%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 0.9%
Oth: 7 (+2), 3.4%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
RFM: 310 (+305), 27.3% (26 Short)
LAB: 86 (-325), 18.3%
LDM: 80 (+8), 13.6%
CON: 72 (-49), 20.0%
SNP: 44 (+35), 2.8%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 0.9%
Oth: 7 (+2), 3.4%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
More In Common MRP Poll:
➡️ RFM: 381 (+376) | 31%
🌹 LAB: 85 (-326) | 21%
🌳 CON: 70 (-51) | 19%
🎗️ SNP: 40 (+31) | 3%
🔶 LDM: 35 (-37) | 11%
🌍 GRN: 9 (+5) | 8%
🌼 PLC: 5 (+1) | 1%
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 27 Nov - 16 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
➡️ RFM: 381 (+376) | 31%
🌹 LAB: 85 (-326) | 21%
🌳 CON: 70 (-51) | 19%
🎗️ SNP: 40 (+31) | 3%
🔶 LDM: 35 (-37) | 11%
🌍 GRN: 9 (+5) | 8%
🌼 PLC: 5 (+1) | 1%
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 27 Nov - 16 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
January 4, 2026 at 1:31 AM
More In Common MRP Poll:
➡️ RFM: 381 (+376) | 31%
🌹 LAB: 85 (-326) | 21%
🌳 CON: 70 (-51) | 19%
🎗️ SNP: 40 (+31) | 3%
🔶 LDM: 35 (-37) | 11%
🌍 GRN: 9 (+5) | 8%
🌼 PLC: 5 (+1) | 1%
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 27 Nov - 16 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
➡️ RFM: 381 (+376) | 31%
🌹 LAB: 85 (-326) | 21%
🌳 CON: 70 (-51) | 19%
🎗️ SNP: 40 (+31) | 3%
🔶 LDM: 35 (-37) | 11%
🌍 GRN: 9 (+5) | 8%
🌼 PLC: 5 (+1) | 1%
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 27 Nov - 16 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
Finally completed my Holyrood Nowcast Model, will be out early next week!
January 3, 2026 at 10:54 AM
Finally completed my Holyrood Nowcast Model, will be out early next week!
🔵 Mike Nesbitt MLA is standing down as leader of the Ulster Unionist Party.
January 2, 2026 at 12:44 PM
🔵 Mike Nesbitt MLA is standing down as leader of the Ulster Unionist Party.
Westminster Voting Intention [1st Jan 2025 / 31st Dec 2025]:
➡️ RFM: 22.3% / 27.5% 🔺 5.2%
🌳 CON: 24.5% / 20.1% 🔻 4.4%
🌹 LAB: 27.2% / 18.4% 🔻 8.8%
🌍 GRN: 8.1% / 13.9% 🔺 5.8%
🔶 LDM: 12.1% / 13.8% 🔺 1.7%
➡️ RFM: 22.3% / 27.5% 🔺 5.2%
🌳 CON: 24.5% / 20.1% 🔻 4.4%
🌹 LAB: 27.2% / 18.4% 🔻 8.8%
🌍 GRN: 8.1% / 13.9% 🔺 5.8%
🔶 LDM: 12.1% / 13.8% 🔺 1.7%
December 31, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Westminster Voting Intention [1st Jan 2025 / 31st Dec 2025]:
➡️ RFM: 22.3% / 27.5% 🔺 5.2%
🌳 CON: 24.5% / 20.1% 🔻 4.4%
🌹 LAB: 27.2% / 18.4% 🔻 8.8%
🌍 GRN: 8.1% / 13.9% 🔺 5.8%
🔶 LDM: 12.1% / 13.8% 🔺 1.7%
➡️ RFM: 22.3% / 27.5% 🔺 5.2%
🌳 CON: 24.5% / 20.1% 🔻 4.4%
🌹 LAB: 27.2% / 18.4% 🔻 8.8%
🌍 GRN: 8.1% / 13.9% 🔺 5.8%
🔶 LDM: 12.1% / 13.8% 🔺 1.7%
No Council By-Elections this week or next, by the way.
The first contests of the year take place on Thursday 15th January.
The first contests of the year take place on Thursday 15th January.
December 30, 2025 at 1:55 PM
No Council By-Elections this week or next, by the way.
The first contests of the year take place on Thursday 15th January.
The first contests of the year take place on Thursday 15th January.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 24 Dec.
Changes w/ 17 Dec.
RFM: 30% (-3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 24 Dec.
Changes w/ 17 Dec.
December 27, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 24 Dec.
Changes w/ 17 Dec.
RFM: 30% (-3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 24 Dec.
Changes w/ 17 Dec.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
December 24, 2025 at 11:57 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
December 23, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
The Liberal Democrats held 82% of seats they defended in Council By-Elections in 2025 #ByElectionsWrapped
1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
December 23, 2025 at 9:35 AM
The Liberal Democrats held 82% of seats they defended in Council By-Elections in 2025 #ByElectionsWrapped
1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
More seats were GAINED (56%) than HELD (44%) in Council By-Elections in 2025 #ByElectionsWrapped.
December 23, 2025 at 9:30 AM
More seats were GAINED (56%) than HELD (44%) in Council By-Elections in 2025 #ByElectionsWrapped.
The largest winning margin in a council by-election in 2025 was Reform over the Conservatives in Paulsgrove (Portsmouth). #ByElectionsWrapped
December 23, 2025 at 9:25 AM
The largest winning margin in a council by-election in 2025 was Reform over the Conservatives in Paulsgrove (Portsmouth). #ByElectionsWrapped
Two council by-elections in 2025 were won by 1 vote - both times in favour of Labour #ByElectionsWrapped.
December 23, 2025 at 9:20 AM
Two council by-elections in 2025 were won by 1 vote - both times in favour of Labour #ByElectionsWrapped.
The average turnout in council by-elections in 2025 was 30.0% #ByElectionsWrapped.
Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
December 23, 2025 at 9:15 AM
The average turnout in council by-elections in 2025 was 30.0% #ByElectionsWrapped.
Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
Reform UK made a net gain of 94 seats in 2025, the most of any party (next closest was the Lib Dems on +21). #ByElectionsWrapped
December 23, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Reform UK made a net gain of 94 seats in 2025, the most of any party (next closest was the Lib Dems on +21). #ByElectionsWrapped
The Liberal Democrats won 106 Council By-Elections in 2025, more than any other party #ByElectionsWrapped
1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24
1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24
December 23, 2025 at 9:05 AM
The Liberal Democrats won 106 Council By-Elections in 2025, more than any other party #ByElectionsWrapped
1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24
1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24