Éric Grenier
@ericgrenier.bsky.social
8.3K followers 120 following 550 posts
I cover elections at The Writ (http://thewrit.ca), The Numbers (http://thenumberspod.ca) and Les chiffres (http://leschiffres.ca) Follow me on YouTube: http://youtube.com/@TheWrit
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ericgrenier.bsky.social
The budget schedule is changing. But what about the electoral calendar? Also, differing polls this past week would produce vastly different seat outcomes (and much more in this edition!) www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 10/9: Budgets are moving to the fall, but what about elections?
Will the changing in the budgeting schedule impact the electoral calendar?
www.thewrit.ca
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ericgrenier.bsky.social
This episode has everything: federal polls, NDP leadership, Nfld & Lab election, BC polls and Conservative infighting, New Brunswick byelection, Quebec numbers... www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal?
The Liberals and Conservatives look like they're tied — again. Is it a new normal?
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
This episode has everything: federal polls, NDP leadership, Nfld & Lab election, BC polls and Conservative infighting, New Brunswick byelection, Quebec numbers... www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal?
The Liberals and Conservatives look like they're tied — again. Is it a new normal?
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
Will the two parties being tied somewhere around 40% going to be the new normal? Plus, what the numbers say about John Rustad and the B.C. Conservatives, and where things stand ahead of next week's election in Newfoundland & Lab. Join to listen now, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/could-...
Could a polarized electorate be the new normal? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
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ericgrenier.bsky.social
If the Narrative poll conducted in August reflects the results in next week's election, what would Newfoundland and Labrador's seat map look like? I break it down, plus much more from the campaign: www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 10/6: Will it be a Red Tide in Newfoundland and Labrador?
A poll conducted in August suggests the Liberals would win a landslide. But August was a long time ago.
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
If the Narrative poll conducted in August reflects the results in next week's election, what would Newfoundland and Labrador's seat map look like? I break it down, plus much more from the campaign: www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 10/6: Will it be a Red Tide in Newfoundland and Labrador?
A poll conducted in August suggests the Liberals would win a landslide. But August was a long time ago.
www.thewrit.ca
Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
We had a little fun this week trying to argue for the (deliberately) contrarian hot takes from our members. Would Jean Charest have won where Pierre Poilievre didn't? Was Jagmeet Singh a better NDP leader than Jack Layton? We do our best to make the (flimsy) cases. www.patreon.com/posts/contra...
Contrarian Hot Takes | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
ericgrenier.bsky.social
We had a little fun this week trying to argue for the (deliberately) contrarian hot takes from our members. Would Jean Charest have won where Pierre Poilievre didn't? Was Jagmeet Singh a better NDP leader than Jack Layton? We do our best to make the (flimsy) cases. www.patreon.com/posts/contra...
Contrarian Hot Takes | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
The Liberals made inroads in new parts of the country in the 2025 election while they fell back in some traditional strongholds. Has their path to a majority changed? Plus, a new NL poll! (Sort of?) www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 10/2: Has the Liberal path to a majority changed?
The Liberals made up ground in unexpected places in the last election, potentially giving them more paths to a majority government
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
The Liberals made inroads in new parts of the country in the 2025 election while they fell back in some traditional strongholds. Has their path to a majority changed? Plus, a new NL poll! (Sort of?) www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 10/2: Has the Liberal path to a majority changed?
The Liberals made up ground in unexpected places in the last election, potentially giving them more paths to a majority government
www.thewrit.ca
Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
This week on The Numbers, we dissect the latest polling numbers that suggest the Liberals might be slumping, but also that Poilievre's numbers remain a problem for him. Plus, we chat about the NL election and a rather shocking Alberta poll (and more!). www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties?
Leadership numbers in the polls don't match voting intentions.
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
This week on The Numbers, we dissect the latest polling numbers that suggest the Liberals might be slumping, but also that Poilievre's numbers remain a problem for him. Plus, we chat about the NL election and a rather shocking Alberta poll (and more!). www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties?
Leadership numbers in the polls don't match voting intentions.
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
The leadership and vote intentions numbers don't quite line up. What to make of that? Plus, we chat about the Newfoundland and Labrador election and some wild poll numbers out of Alberta.

Members get early, ad-free access to all episodes. Join and listen here: www.patreon.com/posts/are-ca...
Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
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Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
A look at the candidate slates for the three parties (and Independents) and the latest from the campaign trail in an election where font choices might be the biggest point of differentiation. Plus, The Writ’s Campaign Bus heads to Central Newfoundland. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 9/29: Full slates in Newfoundland and Labrador
For the first time since 2015, voters in all 40 districts will have at least three options on the ballot.
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
A look at the candidate slates for the three parties (and Independents) and the latest from the campaign trail in an election where font choices might be the biggest point of differentiation. Plus, The Writ’s Campaign Bus heads to Central Newfoundland. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 9/29: Full slates in Newfoundland and Labrador
For the first time since 2015, voters in all 40 districts will have at least three options on the ballot.
www.thewrit.ca
Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
The NDP leadership is getting going, but new numbers suggest the party has some work to do as the Liberals beat the NDP in the last election among supporters of its own provincial cousins. Plus leadership reviews, a new direction for the BC Greens and the latest polls: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 9/25: The fight for the soul of the NDP begins
Plus, two provincial leaders hold on after unremarkable leadership review scores.
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
The NDP leadership is getting going, but new numbers suggest the party has some work to do as the Liberals beat the NDP in the last election among supporters of its own provincial cousins. Plus leadership reviews, a new direction for the BC Greens and the latest polls: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 9/25: The fight for the soul of the NDP begins
Plus, two provincial leaders hold on after unremarkable leadership review scores.
www.thewrit.ca
Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
This week on The Numbers, we're talking leadership reviews. First Bonnie Crombie, now Marit Stiles and John Rustad and Pierre Poilievre next. What's the magic number to stay on as leader? Watch or listen here now! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: What's the leadership review magic number?
Marit Stiles and John Rustad get middling results in their leadership reviews. What number does Pierre Poilievre need to survive?
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
This week on The Numbers, we're talking leadership reviews. First Bonnie Crombie, now Marit Stiles and John Rustad and Pierre Poilievre next. What's the magic number to stay on as leader? Watch or listen here now! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: What's the leadership review magic number?
Marit Stiles and John Rustad get middling results in their leadership reviews. What number does Pierre Poilievre need to survive?
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
This week on The Numbers, we're talking leadership reviews. First Bonnie Crombie, now Marit Stiles and John Rustad and Pierre Poilievre next. What's the magic number to stay on as leader? Join now to get early, ad-free access to this episode! www.patreon.com/posts/139558...
(VIDEO) What's the leadership review magic number? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
Reposted by Éric Grenier
ericgrenier.bsky.social
Every Monday during the Newfoundland and Labrador campaign, I'll have a special edition newsletter on the election. Today, I'm looking at the emerging rural/urban divide in NL, plus the open seats that could be harder for the Liberals to hold onto. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
Election Writ 9/22: Is the urban/rural divide coming to Newfoundland & Lab.?
The federal election points to a new emerging trend in the province.
www.thewrit.ca
ericgrenier.bsky.social
Yes, good point. I meant it more in terms of the Liberal/Conservative urban/rural divide we see in the rest of the country.