Eric Novik
@ericnovik.bsky.social
Pragmatic Bayesian | Statistics Faculty @ NYU
Vide-coding pentagon tiling "game" and finding it pretty addictive. You can play with it here: ericsgames.tiiny.site
January 10, 2026 at 8:23 PM
Vide-coding pentagon tiling "game" and finding it pretty addictive. You can play with it here: ericsgames.tiiny.site
Probabilistic Modeling and Biomedicine: generable.substack.com
Probabilistic Modeling and Biomedicine | Eric Novik | Substack
Summary of the recent posts and perspectives on probabilistic modeling, Bayesian inference, and their applications in biomedicine from the team at Generable and their collaborators. Click to read Prob...
generable.substack.com
December 29, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Probabilistic Modeling and Biomedicine: generable.substack.com
CVCT 2025 and Bayesian Model Guiding Iterative, Personalized Anticoagulant Dosing Decision-Making www.generable.com/post/cvct-2025
CVCT 2025 and Bayesian Model Guiding Iterative, Personalized Anticoagulant Dosing Decision-Making | Eric Novik | Generable
ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 Trial Reanalysis
www.generable.com
December 15, 2025 at 7:38 PM
CVCT 2025 and Bayesian Model Guiding Iterative, Personalized Anticoagulant Dosing Decision-Making www.generable.com/post/cvct-2025
Beware of lower limits of detection or quantification by Nikolas Siccha
www.generable.com/post/lloqs
www.generable.com/post/lloqs
Lower limits of detection or quantification | Nikolas Siccha | Generable
Where more data can be bad (if you don’t handle them right)
www.generable.com
December 3, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Beware of lower limits of detection or quantification by Nikolas Siccha
www.generable.com/post/lloqs
www.generable.com/post/lloqs
Remarkable that Igor Savelyev credits Lenin with the definition of matter! Being a Soviet scientist was a tricky business -- even physics books needed to pass the censor.
November 27, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Remarkable that Igor Savelyev credits Lenin with the definition of matter! Being a Soviet scientist was a tricky business -- even physics books needed to pass the censor.
Modeling and numerics: could we do something better? by Juho Timonen.
www.generable.com/post/modelin...
www.generable.com/post/modelin...
Modeling and numerics: could we do something better? | Juho Timonen | Generable
The issues of the traditional ODE solvers in probabilistic models
www.generable.com
November 5, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Modeling and numerics: could we do something better? by Juho Timonen.
www.generable.com/post/modelin...
www.generable.com/post/modelin...
Personalized dosing decisions beyond clinical trials: www.generable.com/post/improvi...
Improving dosing decisions | Jacqueline Buros | Generable
Using a multistate model and patient utilities to improve dosing decisions
www.generable.com
October 17, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Personalized dosing decisions beyond clinical trials: www.generable.com/post/improvi...
Nonparametric statistics: Gaussian processes and their approximations by Nikolas Siccha
www.generable.com/post/nonpara...
www.generable.com/post/nonpara...
Nonparametric statistics: Gaussian processes and their approximations | Nikolas Siccha | Generable
www.generable.com
October 2, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Nonparametric statistics: Gaussian processes and their approximations by Nikolas Siccha
www.generable.com/post/nonpara...
www.generable.com/post/nonpara...
Reposted by Eric Novik
If you are interested in meta-analysis (Bayesian or non-Bayesian), check out @rlgrant.bsky.social Robert Grant's nice StanBio Connect talk available at
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbZ1...
in which he also advertises his soon-to-be shipping book "Bayesian meta-analysis"
www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Met...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbZ1...
in which he also advertises his soon-to-be shipping book "Bayesian meta-analysis"
www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Met...
StanBio Connect 2025
YouTube video by Stan
www.youtube.com
June 18, 2025 at 2:39 PM
If you are interested in meta-analysis (Bayesian or non-Bayesian), check out @rlgrant.bsky.social Robert Grant's nice StanBio Connect talk available at
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbZ1...
in which he also advertises his soon-to-be shipping book "Bayesian meta-analysis"
www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Met...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbZ1...
in which he also advertises his soon-to-be shipping book "Bayesian meta-analysis"
www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Met...
Reposted by Eric Novik
StanBio Connect 2025 free online conference May 30 stanbio.org
... Stan in biomedicine including drug discovery and development, bioinformatics, medical devices, health economics, real-world evidence, and decision-making under uncertainty
... Stan in biomedicine including drug discovery and development, bioinformatics, medical devices, health economics, real-world evidence, and decision-making under uncertainty
StanBio Connect 2025 – StanBio
Advancing Biomedical Research with Stan
stanbio.org
May 21, 2025 at 12:43 PM
StanBio Connect 2025 free online conference May 30 stanbio.org
... Stan in biomedicine including drug discovery and development, bioinformatics, medical devices, health economics, real-world evidence, and decision-making under uncertainty
... Stan in biomedicine including drug discovery and development, bioinformatics, medical devices, health economics, real-world evidence, and decision-making under uncertainty
Things I read listened to, and saw in 2024: ericnovik.com/2025/03/book...
Books and more in 2024 - Unnatural Consequences
These books and plays left an impression on me in 2024, with summaries compiled with the help of Perplexity and ChatGPT. Books The Accidental President. Harry S. Truman and the Four Months That Change...
ericnovik.com
March 22, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Things I read listened to, and saw in 2024: ericnovik.com/2025/03/book...
The Scientific Method Vs. AI: Is There Still Room For Theory? My take here: www.forbes.com/councils/for...
The Scientific Method Vs. AI: Is There Still Room For Theory?
It may seem that all scientific tasks will soon be outsourced to AI—not so fast.
www.forbes.com
March 18, 2025 at 1:17 AM
The Scientific Method Vs. AI: Is There Still Room For Theory? My take here: www.forbes.com/councils/for...
Reposted by Eric Novik
StanConnects are a series of one-day online conferences for the application of Stan to specific areas. This year, we're kicking off with Stan for biology (broadly defined), co-organized by @ericnovik.bsky.social and @vianeylb.bsky.social, on 30 May '25!!
stanbio.org
stanbio.org
StanBio Connect 2025 – StanBio Connect
Advancing Biomedical Research with Stan
stanbio.org
March 13, 2025 at 3:39 PM
StanConnects are a series of one-day online conferences for the application of Stan to specific areas. This year, we're kicking off with Stan for biology (broadly defined), co-organized by @ericnovik.bsky.social and @vianeylb.bsky.social, on 30 May '25!!
stanbio.org
stanbio.org
“In the fall of 1972, President Nixon announced that the rate of increase of inflation was decreasing. This was the first time a sitting president had used the third derivative to advance his case for re-election.” (Notices of the AMS, Oct. 1996, 43(10), p. 1108.)
January 29, 2025 at 4:06 PM
“In the fall of 1972, President Nixon announced that the rate of increase of inflation was decreasing. This was the first time a sitting president had used the third derivative to advance his case for re-election.” (Notices of the AMS, Oct. 1996, 43(10), p. 1108.)
Turns out there Bayesian BioPharm Meeting 2025. bnp14.org/bbp2025/. Anyone going?
Bayesian BioPharm Meeting 2025 – BNP 14 World Meeting @ UCLA
bnp14.org
January 25, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Turns out there Bayesian BioPharm Meeting 2025. bnp14.org/bbp2025/. Anyone going?
My daughter's pork belly ramen is the best I've ever had.
January 12, 2025 at 9:56 PM
My daughter's pork belly ramen is the best I've ever had.
I was just talking to an experienced probabilistic modeler who said: "After working with a few probabilistic programming languages, Stan is my fave: everything is typed and everything just works." It's a pain to get things in and out of Stan, but it's usually worth it.
January 11, 2025 at 12:14 AM
I was just talking to an experienced probabilistic modeler who said: "After working with a few probabilistic programming languages, Stan is my fave: everything is typed and everything just works." It's a pain to get things in and out of Stan, but it's usually worth it.
2025 is a 2, 3, 4, 5 kind of year. Why? Because 2025 = 3^4 * 5^2
January 8, 2025 at 4:36 PM
2025 is a 2, 3, 4, 5 kind of year. Why? Because 2025 = 3^4 * 5^2
Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 by Kołczyńska et al. ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/...
January 7, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 by Kołczyńska et al. ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/...
"When you are playing a point, it's the most important thing in the world. But when it's behind you, it's behind you..." -- Roger Federer
December 27, 2024 at 4:29 PM
"When you are playing a point, it's the most important thing in the world. But when it's behind you, it's behind you..." -- Roger Federer
Reposted by Eric Novik
Thrilled to share our new @pnas.org paper using active learning 🤖 to optimise disease testing 🦠 and support public health 🌍.
Press release by @imperialsph.bsky.social: imperial.ac.uk/news/259573/...
Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Joint work with some stellar collaborators!
Press release by @imperialsph.bsky.social: imperial.ac.uk/news/259573/...
Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Joint work with some stellar collaborators!
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
www.pnas.org
December 20, 2024 at 3:59 PM
Thrilled to share our new @pnas.org paper using active learning 🤖 to optimise disease testing 🦠 and support public health 🌍.
Press release by @imperialsph.bsky.social: imperial.ac.uk/news/259573/...
Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Joint work with some stellar collaborators!
Press release by @imperialsph.bsky.social: imperial.ac.uk/news/259573/...
Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Joint work with some stellar collaborators!
Reposted by Eric Novik
If you are interested in doing a #PhD with me at Imperial College London and qualify as a home student, please reach out (before end of 2024)! Potential topics: spatial statistics, applied deep generative models, probabilistic programming and more.
December 19, 2024 at 2:21 PM
If you are interested in doing a #PhD with me at Imperial College London and qualify as a home student, please reach out (before end of 2024)! Potential topics: spatial statistics, applied deep generative models, probabilistic programming and more.
Why is a bullshitter worse than a liar? Because he is not even wrong!
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Bull...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_eve...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Bull...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_eve...
December 16, 2024 at 11:49 PM
Why is a bullshitter worse than a liar? Because he is not even wrong!
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Bull...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_eve...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Bull...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_eve...
A lot of people heard about John von Neumann but not about Alexander Craig Aitken, but Aitken was quite remarkable particularly if you are a statistician. For example, he independently derived Cramer-Rao lower bound, a very nice result in (frequentist) statistics.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexand...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexand...
Alexander Aitken - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
December 16, 2024 at 10:01 PM
A lot of people heard about John von Neumann but not about Alexander Craig Aitken, but Aitken was quite remarkable particularly if you are a statistician. For example, he independently derived Cramer-Rao lower bound, a very nice result in (frequentist) statistics.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexand...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexand...
Traveling salesmen are still out of luck, but the commercial movers finally caught a break with this breakthrough!
phys.org/news/2024-12...
phys.org/news/2024-12...
December 13, 2024 at 10:38 PM
Traveling salesmen are still out of luck, but the commercial movers finally caught a break with this breakthrough!
phys.org/news/2024-12...
phys.org/news/2024-12...