Florida Tropics
@floridatropics1.bsky.social
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Florida Wx throughout the year, with a special focus on the tropics during Hurricane Season. For official information, please refer to the NWS & NHC.
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floridatropics1.bsky.social
This has been a really strange hurricane season. We just had the furthest north forming storm in 150 years, and now we are potentially looking at a Caribbean cruiser in mid-October. The 18z Google Deep Mind ensembles are shown here. Next name on the list is Lorenzo.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Cape May is forecast to see higher levels than Sandy and Atlantic City could see one of its top 10 high tides (records go back to at least 1944).
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Coastal flooding continues to be a major concern along the eastern seaboard this weekend. Major flooding is forecast in Chesapeake Bay, Delaware Bay and the Jersey Shore.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Latest update from WPC on the weekend nor’easter.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
JUST IN: New Jersey declares state of emergency as nor’easter is expected to bring major coastal flooding this weekend.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
The latest drought monitor for Florida was released yesterday. The severe drought expanded eastward slightly, while the moderate drought has been fully abated in SE Florida.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Major coastal flooding for much of the Delaware and Jersey shoreline is increasingly likely on Sunday and Monday. Inundation of structures and evacuations are possible.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Good morning! Latest update on the significant nor’easter for the east coast from the WPC.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Subtropical Storm Karen has formed in the North Atlantic. Word has it she is unhappy and wants to speak with the manager! 🤣
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Cape May is actually forecast to exceed the high water mark seen in Sandy (8.67') 😬
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Major coastal flooding now forecast for Sunday along the Jersey Shore in Atlantic City and Ocean City as a result of the nor'easter. These would be the highest levels recorded since Sandy.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Latest forecast track for #Jerry as it makes its closest approach to the islands tonight.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Localized amounts of 3-5 inches of rain may result in flash flooding this afternoon.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect for Anguilla, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin and Sint Maarten. #Jerry
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Latest forecast track for Jerry. A tropical storm warning has now been issued for Barbuda.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Latest update from the Weather Prediction Center on the strong coastal system for this weekend.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Jerry now has winds of 65 mph as of the 8 PM advisory.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Latest update on the significant east coast storm for this weekend from NWS Newport/Morehead City.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Missed posting the Global Tropics Hazards Outlook yesterday. Focus is shifting towards the Caribbean for potential storm development. Medium chances of development over the next few weeks. There is nothing imminent but climatologically that is where we would look for development
floridatropics1.bsky.social
The WPC has begun messaging the impactful coastal system coming this weekend.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
Hurricane Hunters have scheduled two more flights into Jerry for tomorrow evening and Friday morning.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
The 12z GFS has Jerry passing comfortably east of the islands.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
12z ICON brings heavy rains from Jerry over the Leeward Islands tomorrow night and Friday.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
#Jerry now has winds of 60 MPH as per the 11 AM Advisory.
floridatropics1.bsky.social
6z hurricane models for #Jerry. HWRF is out to lunch with its depiction in my opinion. The HMON, HAFS-A and HAFS-B are much more realistic based on current conditions.