Geomastery Advisory
@geomastery.bsky.social
Advising at the intersection of geostrategic issues, national security, the economy and emerging technologies. You can also find us at https://www.geomastery.au, https://geomastery.substack.com/ and on LinkedIn, Instagram and Threads
"Done sequentially, these would consume a decade or more. Australia may not have a decade. Yet moving too hastily creates brittle systems that fracture under pressure. This is the cruel mathematics of strategic catch-up."
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Deep Dive: AUKUS—Time for a Pivot
It's been four years since the AUKUS announcement, but Australia hasn't seen much change...
open.substack.com
December 12, 2025 at 10:15 PM
"Done sequentially, these would consume a decade or more. Australia may not have a decade. Yet moving too hastily creates brittle systems that fracture under pressure. This is the cruel mathematics of strategic catch-up."
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Later than we'd like, but as we mentioned last week, our focus is in Australia's "new" approaches to AI and Defence procurement. It's not encouraging.
#WeeklyUpdate #Australia #AI #DDA
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#WeeklyUpdate #Australia #AI #DDA
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Weekly Update: AI, Defence and Saturation
Australia's internal reforms are questionable, even as China's pressure in the South China Seas swells...
open.substack.com
December 10, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Later than we'd like, but as we mentioned last week, our focus is in Australia's "new" approaches to AI and Defence procurement. It's not encouraging.
#WeeklyUpdate #Australia #AI #DDA
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#WeeklyUpdate #Australia #AI #DDA
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
"Even taking the lesser ‘deterrence by denial’—preventing gain by stopping aggression—Australia is found wanting in a world now shaped by antagonistic great powers: it lacks credibility."
#DeepDive #Australia #Resilience #Deterrence
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#DeepDive #Australia #Resilience #Deterrence
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Deep Dive: The Fragility Beneath
Australia's deterrence doesn't seem to be deterring anyone, and Australia is missing the point...
open.substack.com
December 5, 2025 at 10:00 PM
"Even taking the lesser ‘deterrence by denial’—preventing gain by stopping aggression—Australia is found wanting in a world now shaped by antagonistic great powers: it lacks credibility."
#DeepDive #Australia #Resilience #Deterrence
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#DeepDive #Australia #Resilience #Deterrence
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
This week we're taking quick looks at the ongoing resource competition in Africa, BRICS moving to reduce the threat of US sanctions, and a look ahead to Australia's under-16 social media ban.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Weekly Update: Resources, Gold and Data
Global resource competition continues, while economic strategy threatens cornerstones...
open.substack.com
December 2, 2025 at 10:15 PM
This week we're taking quick looks at the ongoing resource competition in Africa, BRICS moving to reduce the threat of US sanctions, and a look ahead to Australia's under-16 social media ban.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
"The real damage, however, isn’t simply that slogans have replaced policy. It’s that sloganism – a form of semi-religious cant – has nearly made legitimate opposition and rational policy discussions nearly impossible."
#democracy #activism
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#democracy #activism
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Deep Dive: Descent of Democracy into "Sloganism"
"So this is how democracy dies, with thunderous applause"...
open.substack.com
November 27, 2025 at 10:15 PM
"The real damage, however, isn’t simply that slogans have replaced policy. It’s that sloganism – a form of semi-religious cant – has nearly made legitimate opposition and rational policy discussions nearly impossible."
#democracy #activism
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#democracy #activism
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Some quick thoughts about events in Australia, and the continuing roadblocks that still need to be addressed, including the Liberal's fracture, Australia's soft landing, and ongoing regional diplomacy.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Weekly Update: Down Under
It's not all bad news, but defining it as good news...? Yeah. Nah.
open.substack.com
November 25, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Some quick thoughts about events in Australia, and the continuing roadblocks that still need to be addressed, including the Liberal's fracture, Australia's soft landing, and ongoing regional diplomacy.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
"They will pose problems for Western governments that pursue such partisan use of those tools. As...Robert Pape argues, partisan and populist attitudes towards domestic violence–support for one side and suppression of the other–produces more, not less violence."
Deep Dive: The Politicisation of Terrorism
Breaking the impartiality of counter-terrorism causes more problems than it solves...
open.substack.com
November 20, 2025 at 10:15 PM
"They will pose problems for Western governments that pursue such partisan use of those tools. As...Robert Pape argues, partisan and populist attitudes towards domestic violence–support for one side and suppression of the other–produces more, not less violence."
Our review of consequences following international inaction in Sudan, as well as some considerations of the Australian Coalition's departure from Net Zero.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Weekly Update: Sudan and Dropping Net Zero
Amidst the horror, there are some observations going unsaid...
open.substack.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Our review of consequences following international inaction in Sudan, as well as some considerations of the Australian Coalition's departure from Net Zero.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
"Australia doesn’t have the pre-existing industrial base – indeed, aside from small, often niche sectors, our economic complexity has declined markedly since we sat back, reaping (and spending) the easy benefits of digging and exporting coal and minerals."
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Why Big Builds Challenge Australia
Australia's approach is systemically flawed, and remains seemingly ignorant of mounting strategic perils...
open.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 10:00 PM
"Australia doesn’t have the pre-existing industrial base – indeed, aside from small, often niche sectors, our economic complexity has declined markedly since we sat back, reaping (and spending) the easy benefits of digging and exporting coal and minerals."
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
It's been a while since we've done a free post, so here we are with considerations about the ADIO/NRFC deal, how the rare earth landscape is shaping following Aus/US meeting, and the fallout from the APEC summit.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
Weekly Update: A Return to Tempo
How countries are navigating an increasingly fragmented political landscape...
open.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 10:30 PM
It's been a while since we've done a free post, so here we are with considerations about the ADIO/NRFC deal, how the rare earth landscape is shaping following Aus/US meeting, and the fallout from the APEC summit.
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
“Australia has been diverging away from such an approach over the last decade, with the first major change happening in 2015, ironically around the same time the US, UK and EU felt the desire to curtail expansive surveillance.”
Deep Dive: Australian Surveillance
How Australia is losing its citizen's freedom...
open.substack.com
October 31, 2025 at 4:45 AM
“Australia has been diverging away from such an approach over the last decade, with the first major change happening in 2015, ironically around the same time the US, UK and EU felt the desire to curtail expansive surveillance.”
#GeoMissive #WeeklyDrop 1 Jul 2025
Israel vs Iran, JNIM and Australia's dependence
…what a fortnight. n this week's drop, we focus on three topics, all with potentially long aftereffects... open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#nationalsecurity #economicsecurity #emergingtech #geostrategy
Israel vs Iran, JNIM and Australia's dependence
…what a fortnight. n this week's drop, we focus on three topics, all with potentially long aftereffects... open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#nationalsecurity #economicsecurity #emergingtech #geostrategy
Israel vs Iran, JNIM and Australia's dependence
Two spotlight areas and one quieter ones, all with potentially long aftereffects...
open.substack.com
July 1, 2025 at 1:37 AM
#GeoMissive #WeeklyDrop 1 Jul 2025
Israel vs Iran, JNIM and Australia's dependence
…what a fortnight. n this week's drop, we focus on three topics, all with potentially long aftereffects... open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#nationalsecurity #economicsecurity #emergingtech #geostrategy
Israel vs Iran, JNIM and Australia's dependence
…what a fortnight. n this week's drop, we focus on three topics, all with potentially long aftereffects... open.substack.com/pub/geomaste...
#nationalsecurity #economicsecurity #emergingtech #geostrategy
*Special Post* geomastery.substack.com/p/australia-...
Australia and 'Stable Nuclear Deterrence'
A piece by former ASPI senior fellow Dr Rod Lyon on why Australia's approach to nuclear deterrence has been increasingly impractical over the last 40 years.
geomastery.substack.com
June 3, 2025 at 3:53 AM
*Special Post* geomastery.substack.com/p/australia-...
Reposted by Geomastery Advisory
The Qatari "gift" to Trump is actually only one in a long list of the administration's corrupt acts and conflicts of interest.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Kleptocracy, Inc.
Under Trump, conflicts of interest are just part of the system.
www.theatlantic.com
May 12, 2025 at 4:10 PM
The Qatari "gift" to Trump is actually only one in a long list of the administration's corrupt acts and conflicts of interest.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
