New for clients: Ishiba looking stronger as the Diet session winds down (6.11.25)

New for clients: Progress in trade talks with US remains elusive as G7 approaches (6.9.25)

New at Observing Japan: after appointing Koizumi and taking a more energetic approach to rice prices, Ishiba gets a sizable bump in his approval ratings.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

New at Observing Japan: What’s at stake for the CDP as Noda weighs a no-confidence motion that Ishiba has promised will lead to a double election.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

New note for Japan Foresight clients:

Despite cajoling, Noda may play it safe on no-confidence motion

New: The Japanese political week starts with a parliamentary debate on rice policy — and a threat from Ishiba on a snap election. All of this and more in a new This Week in Japanese Politics.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

I have a somewhat counterintuitive take at @asia.nikkei.com, on Ishiba's surprising resilience.

asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Ishi...

Some positive news for Ishiba as the pension reform bill advances, cheap rice hits the shelves, and trade talks continue. All of this and more in a new This Week in Japanese Politics.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

New at Observing Japan: the Ishiba government’s approval ratings remain deeply negative, but public opinion is shifting in its favor on key policy issues.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

Welcome to the Bluesky home of Japan Foresight, the Japan-focused political risk consultancy started by @tobiasharris.bsky.social.