John Quiggin
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johnquiggin.bsky.social
John Quiggin
@johnquiggin.bsky.social

Economist & blogger @ http://johnquiggin.com, http://crookedtimber.org. http://johnquiggin.substack.com/?utm http://mstdn.social/@johnquiggin
I repost my content, using the #repost hashtag. You can go to settings/filters to avoid seeing the same post. .. more

John Quiggin is an Australian economist, a professor at the University of Queensland. He was formerly an Australian Research Council Laureate Fellow and Federation Fellow and a member of the board of the Climate Change Authority of the Australian Government. .. more

Economics 65%
Business 9%

I think the reporter got the byline and did some interviews on the ground, but the framing comes from DC and NY

Solar PV: Has the irrestible force run out of power?
Solar PV: Has the irrestible force run out of power?
That’s what lots of analysts are saying.
johnquigginblog.substack.com

This narrative dominates the US intelligence “community” from which NYT gets its views. More on this soon, I hope

I’m pretty confident ON will swallow most of the Nats votes at least for the next few months

Ley's resignation presents Libs with a sharp choice right at the outset. The final three candidates will probably be #Liberal, One Nation and independent, and Libs might run third. Do they chase the racist vote and preference One Nation or maintain some credibility and go for independent. #auspol

A better solution: Rename it the Donald J. Trump Bridge and leave it in the state depicted below, as a symbol of the friendship between the US and Canada.
U.S.-Canada bridge brouhaha deepens as White House says Trump could amend a permit for the project
The White House says President Donald Trump has the right to amend a permit for a new bridge between Canada and Michigan.
apnews.com

Reposted by John Quiggin

Here's a link from 2024

www.nytimes.com/2024...

Reposted by Maksym Polyakov

NY Times has been announcing the fall of Pokrovsk regularly since mid-2024. Maybe they are right this time, but it would be good practice to admit previous errors.
Russia Nears Capture of Key Ukrainian Towns After Year of Grinding Assaults
Russian troops have advanced at a glacial pace in recent months, but gains in southern and eastern Ukraine could give Moscow an edge in U.S.-mediated peace talks.
www.nytimes.com

Antarctica massively more livable

Telescopes have discovered planets billions of kilometres away. Flying people 200000km is pointless

I have some self-growing bridges for sale in desirable locations

#Musk has cancelled #Mars and Bezos has announced a pause of "at least two years" (read "forever") on Shepard space tourism. ISS going too. So, we're giving up on humans in Low Earth Orbit & planets. We did the moon 50 years ago - no good reason to go back. Humans belong on Earth and nowhere else.

So, #Musk has abandoned his long promised Mars mission, apparently because he discovered that Mars is a long way nearly all the time. These surprising problems crop up when you are at the scientific frontier.

Now he's pitching cities on the moon, and his fans love it. I was hoping for world peace.

Reposted by John Quiggin

It was great to join pre-conference #AARES2026 6K run along spectaculat River Torrens under the leadership of experienced #AARES runners Lin Crase and @johnquiggin.bsky.social

#econsky

Government buying votes of former students, while disastrous Job Ready Graduates fees swell HECS debts for current students. Jason Clare is worst education minister ever.
The government’s HECS Bill swings and misses on student debt
How the Albanese government continues to shirk action on the worst remnant of the Morrison–era changes to higher education.
www.thenewdaily.com.au

TUSNACO: The US Navy Always Chickens Out
TUSNACO
The US Navy Always Chickens Out
johnquigginblog.substack.com

The protestors are almost always people objecting to infrastructure on other people's land for which those people have been paid (making them happy). Often from km away or even interstate.

The opposite of the pattern for solar PV, where long-term future projections have regularly been surpassed within a few years of being issued.

The IEA finally giving up on carbon capture and storage. 2025 projection for 2050 well below 2021 projection for 2035

Only inertia keeping projected share of emissions reductions (now down to 5 per cent) above rounding error
Minimal role for carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) in IEA's World Energy Outlook 2025 | IEEFA
The IEA’s minimal role for CCUS in the Net Zero Emissions (NZE) by 2050 Scenario reflects a multi-year downgrading of the technology, with renewables, electrification, fuel switching, and energy efficiency projected to contribute over 82% of the emissions reductions needed to achieve net zero.
ieefa.org

Correct lesson for Labor is that there is point pandering to these people. Treat them the way they would like to treat inner city elites

The five-day ~40 hour week seems eternal, but only dates back to about 1950. And until 1980s, everyone assumed working hours would keep on declining. @pluralistic
pluralistic.net/2026...

Russia has made repeated attempts to kill Zelensky, & claimed attempts on Putin. So, not much weight on sovereign immunity these days.
Suggestion of arresting Herzog is not made with thought that it will happen, merely that he deserves it, along with all senior figures in Israeli state (and Hamas)

Sovereign immunity pretty much a dead duck now

Reposted by Huw Price

As Israel’s President visits Australia, genocide continues in Gaza and serious legal concerns remain unanswered. We’re calling on the government to uphold Australian and international law: Detain and investigate Isaac Herzog. ✍️ Add your name getup.to/YmaMqWFlCKVEC4
✍️SIGN: Detain and investigate Herzog
As Israel’s President visits Australia, genocide continues in Gaza and serious legal concerns remain unanswered. We’re calling on the government to uphold Australian and international law: Detain and ...
getup.to

Typo here - Howard introduced Work Choices and Rudd killed it. Hope you are right on Herzog. Photo of him blessing a bomb is pretty damning.

I've been proven wrong almost instantly. Head of Paul Weiss law firm, one of the first to capitulate to Trump, is gone. Will there be more?
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/b...
Brad Karp Resigns as Paul Weiss Chairman Amid Epstein Fallout
www.nytimes.com

The Epstein files are wreaking havoc for the UK ruling elite, while no one in the US has paid a significant price (Even Maxwell is a Brit). Given that Americans voted for a (civilly) convicted rapist and Epstein pal as president, that's no surprise, I guess #uspol
Labour MPs say Starmer’s days as PM are numbered amid fury over Mandelson
MPs say release of papers on Mandelson’s appointment as US ambassador could trigger leadership challenge
www.theguardian.com

They might think that, but Russian experience with the same strategy not encouraging.

I didn't rule out something crazy, just observed that there is nothing to suggest it right now.