Stats for Lefties ๐๐ณ๏ธโโง๏ธ
@leftiestats.bsky.social
www.statsforlefties.com
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman ๐ณ๏ธโโง๏ธ
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman ๐ณ๏ธโโง๏ธ
Pinned
Israel is a violently racist nation packed with bloodthirsty child killers, and by allying with them Labour is directly complicit in the mass murder of tens of thousands of innocents.
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
๐จ BREAKING: Filton 6 defendants have been given a "not guilty" verdict or "no verdict" by a jury on ALL charges.
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
February 4, 2026 at 12:28 PM
๐จ BREAKING: Filton 6 defendants have been given a "not guilty" verdict or "no verdict" by a jury on ALL charges.
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ต Con: 22% (+3)
๐ด Lab: 17% (-2)
๐ข Grn: 14% (+2)
๐ Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 318
๐ต Con: 99
๐ Lib: 80
๐ข Grn: 46
๐ก SNP: 42
๐ด Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ต Con: 22% (+3)
๐ด Lab: 17% (-2)
๐ข Grn: 14% (+2)
๐ Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 318
๐ต Con: 99
๐ Lib: 80
๐ข Grn: 46
๐ก SNP: 42
๐ด Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
February 4, 2026 at 9:25 AM
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ต Con: 22% (+3)
๐ด Lab: 17% (-2)
๐ข Grn: 14% (+2)
๐ Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 318
๐ต Con: 99
๐ Lib: 80
๐ข Grn: 46
๐ก SNP: 42
๐ด Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ต Con: 22% (+3)
๐ด Lab: 17% (-2)
๐ข Grn: 14% (+2)
๐ Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 318
๐ต Con: 99
๐ Lib: 80
๐ข Grn: 46
๐ก SNP: 42
๐ด Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
โผ๏ธ BREAKING | Zarah Sultana has announced she's backing Greens in Gorton and Denton
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
February 3, 2026 at 6:29 PM
โผ๏ธ BREAKING | Zarah Sultana has announced she's backing Greens in Gorton and Denton
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
Proud to back this Conference motion by @greens4palestine.bsky.social which would commit Greens to opposing Zionism
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
February 3, 2026 at 10:11 AM
Proud to back this Conference motion by @greens4palestine.bsky.social which would commit Greens to opposing Zionism
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform lead by 7pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 26% (+1)
๐ด Lab: 19% (-2)
๐ต Con: 18% (+1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (+1)
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 305
๐ Lib: 87
๐ด Lab: 70
๐ข Grn: 65
๐ต Con: 48
๐ก SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 26% (+1)
๐ด Lab: 19% (-2)
๐ต Con: 18% (+1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (+1)
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 305
๐ Lib: 87
๐ด Lab: 70
๐ข Grn: 65
๐ต Con: 48
๐ก SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
February 3, 2026 at 9:55 AM
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform lead by 7pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 26% (+1)
๐ด Lab: 19% (-2)
๐ต Con: 18% (+1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (+1)
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 305
๐ Lib: 87
๐ด Lab: 70
๐ข Grn: 65
๐ต Con: 48
๐ก SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 26% (+1)
๐ด Lab: 19% (-2)
๐ต Con: 18% (+1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (+1)
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 305
๐ Lib: 87
๐ด Lab: 70
๐ข Grn: 65
๐ต Con: 48
๐ก SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
basically yeah. It also says a lot about the Greens that the SWP and Trot sects have never bothered trying to infiltrate it; they know their style of adversarial hateful politics would get laughed out of the room
February 2, 2026 at 9:01 PM
basically yeah. It also says a lot about the Greens that the SWP and Trot sects have never bothered trying to infiltrate it; they know their style of adversarial hateful politics would get laughed out of the room
The party's statement refuses to even acknowledge the existence of the Green Party. The party mentions both Labour and Reform, but in a bizarre omission opts to pretend that the Green Party simply does not exist.
February 2, 2026 at 7:50 PM
The party's statement refuses to even acknowledge the existence of the Green Party. The party mentions both Labour and Reform, but in a bizarre omission opts to pretend that the Green Party simply does not exist.
๐จ BREAKING | Your Party confirms they will not be standing in the Gorton and Denton by-election.
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
February 2, 2026 at 7:49 PM
๐จ BREAKING | Your Party confirms they will not be standing in the Gorton and Denton by-election.
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
Est. GE2029 result if Streeting becomes PM:
โก๏ธ Ref: 385 (+380)
๐ข Grn: 99 (+95)
๐ Lib: 72 (=)
๐ก SNP: 48 (+39)
๐ต Con: 13 (-108)
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Plaid: 7 (+3)
๐ด Lab: 5 (-406)
Based on @YouGov polling, Jan 2026
โก๏ธ Ref: 385 (+380)
๐ข Grn: 99 (+95)
๐ Lib: 72 (=)
๐ก SNP: 48 (+39)
๐ต Con: 13 (-108)
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Plaid: 7 (+3)
๐ด Lab: 5 (-406)
Based on @YouGov polling, Jan 2026
February 2, 2026 at 2:17 PM
Est. GE2029 result if Streeting becomes PM:
โก๏ธ Ref: 385 (+380)
๐ข Grn: 99 (+95)
๐ Lib: 72 (=)
๐ก SNP: 48 (+39)
๐ต Con: 13 (-108)
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Plaid: 7 (+3)
๐ด Lab: 5 (-406)
Based on @YouGov polling, Jan 2026
โก๏ธ Ref: 385 (+380)
๐ข Grn: 99 (+95)
๐ Lib: 72 (=)
๐ก SNP: 48 (+39)
๐ต Con: 13 (-108)
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Plaid: 7 (+3)
๐ด Lab: 5 (-406)
Based on @YouGov polling, Jan 2026
๐ณ๏ธ #GE2029 with [ x ] as Labour leader:
-- Streeting --
โก๏ธ Ref: 32%
๐ข Grn: 21%
๐ด Lab: 15%
๐ต Con: 15%
๐ Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
โก๏ธ Ref: 31%
๐ข Grn: 19%
๐ด Lab: 19%
๐ต Con: 16%
๐ Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
-- Streeting --
โก๏ธ Ref: 32%
๐ข Grn: 21%
๐ด Lab: 15%
๐ต Con: 15%
๐ Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
โก๏ธ Ref: 31%
๐ข Grn: 19%
๐ด Lab: 19%
๐ต Con: 16%
๐ Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
February 2, 2026 at 2:13 PM
๐ณ๏ธ #GE2029 with [ x ] as Labour leader:
-- Streeting --
โก๏ธ Ref: 32%
๐ข Grn: 21%
๐ด Lab: 15%
๐ต Con: 15%
๐ Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
โก๏ธ Ref: 31%
๐ข Grn: 19%
๐ด Lab: 19%
๐ต Con: 16%
๐ Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
-- Streeting --
โก๏ธ Ref: 32%
๐ข Grn: 21%
๐ด Lab: 15%
๐ต Con: 15%
๐ Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
โก๏ธ Ref: 31%
๐ข Grn: 19%
๐ด Lab: 19%
๐ต Con: 16%
๐ Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ด Lab: 22% (+4)
๐ต Con: 19% (+3)
๐ข Grn: 12% (-3)*
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 321
๐ด Lab: 122
๐ Lib: 76
๐ก SNP: 46
๐ต Con: 43
๐ข Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ด Lab: 22% (+4)
๐ต Con: 19% (+3)
๐ข Grn: 12% (-3)*
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 321
๐ด Lab: 122
๐ Lib: 76
๐ก SNP: 46
๐ต Con: 43
๐ข Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
February 2, 2026 at 8:57 AM
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ด Lab: 22% (+4)
๐ต Con: 19% (+3)
๐ข Grn: 12% (-3)*
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 321
๐ด Lab: 122
๐ Lib: 76
๐ก SNP: 46
๐ต Con: 43
๐ข Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
โก๏ธ Ref: 30% (-3)
๐ด Lab: 22% (+4)
๐ต Con: 19% (+3)
๐ข Grn: 12% (-3)*
๐ Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 321
๐ด Lab: 122
๐ Lib: 76
๐ก SNP: 46
๐ต Con: 43
๐ข Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform rise to 12pt lead
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+2)
๐ด Lab: 20% (-2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 13% (+1)
๐ Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 378
๐ Lib: 71
๐ด Lab: 68
๐ก SNP: 47
๐ข Grn: 26
๐ต Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+2)
๐ด Lab: 20% (-2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 13% (+1)
๐ Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 378
๐ Lib: 71
๐ด Lab: 68
๐ก SNP: 47
๐ข Grn: 26
๐ต Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
January 31, 2026 at 12:10 PM
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Reform rise to 12pt lead
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+2)
๐ด Lab: 20% (-2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 13% (+1)
๐ Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 378
๐ Lib: 71
๐ด Lab: 68
๐ก SNP: 47
๐ข Grn: 26
๐ต Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+2)
๐ด Lab: 20% (-2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 13% (+1)
๐ Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 378
๐ Lib: 71
๐ด Lab: 68
๐ก SNP: 47
๐ข Grn: 26
๐ต Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
๐ณ๏ธ New Holyrood poll:
-- FPTP --
๐กSNP: 34% (-14)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-7)
๐ตCon: 10% (-12)
๐ Lib: 10% (+3)
๐ขGrn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
๐กSNP: 29% (-11)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 12% (+4)
๐ตCon: 11% (-12)
๐ Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
-- FPTP --
๐กSNP: 34% (-14)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-7)
๐ตCon: 10% (-12)
๐ Lib: 10% (+3)
๐ขGrn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
๐กSNP: 29% (-11)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 12% (+4)
๐ตCon: 11% (-12)
๐ Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
January 30, 2026 at 1:20 PM
๐ณ๏ธ New Holyrood poll:
-- FPTP --
๐กSNP: 34% (-14)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-7)
๐ตCon: 10% (-12)
๐ Lib: 10% (+3)
๐ขGrn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
๐กSNP: 29% (-11)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 12% (+4)
๐ตCon: 11% (-12)
๐ Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
-- FPTP --
๐กSNP: 34% (-14)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-7)
๐ตCon: 10% (-12)
๐ Lib: 10% (+3)
๐ขGrn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
๐กSNP: 29% (-11)
โก๏ธRef: 20% (+20)
๐ดLab: 15% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 12% (+4)
๐ตCon: 11% (-12)
๐ Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
Because it's a factual piece of information and I am under no obligation to keep something secret when it is public info
January 30, 2026 at 12:28 AM
Because it's a factual piece of information and I am under no obligation to keep something secret when it is public info
a) How
b) How does that make me "horrible"
b) How does that make me "horrible"
January 30, 2026 at 12:28 AM
a) How
b) How does that make me "horrible"
b) How does that make me "horrible"
Also, I'd love to hear what about me is "horrible". This should be good.
January 30, 2026 at 12:25 AM
Also, I'd love to hear what about me is "horrible". This should be good.
How exactly was I supposed to know it was embargoed? I am not a journalist who gets sent press releases, I see things on Twitter and I share them.
January 30, 2026 at 12:24 AM
How exactly was I supposed to know it was embargoed? I am not a journalist who gets sent press releases, I see things on Twitter and I share them.
๐จ BREAKING | Hannah Spencer, a local councillor and plumber, has been nominated as the Green Party candidate for the Gorton and Denton by-election.
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
January 29, 2026 at 11:19 PM
๐จ BREAKING | Hannah Spencer, a local councillor and plumber, has been nominated as the Green Party candidate for the Gorton and Denton by-election.
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Greens rise to **2nd place**
โก๏ธ Ref: 29% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 19% (+2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 17% (+3)
๐ Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 355
๐ข Grn: 85
๐ Lib: 75
๐ก SNP: 48
๐ต Con: 34
๐ด Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 29% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 19% (+2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 17% (+3)
๐ Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 355
๐ข Grn: 85
๐ Lib: 75
๐ก SNP: 48
๐ต Con: 34
๐ด Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
January 29, 2026 at 4:11 PM
๐ณ๏ธ POLL | Greens rise to **2nd place**
โก๏ธ Ref: 29% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 19% (+2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 17% (+3)
๐ Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 355
๐ข Grn: 85
๐ Lib: 75
๐ก SNP: 48
๐ต Con: 34
๐ด Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 29% (-3)
๐ข Grn: 19% (+2)
๐ต Con: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 17% (+3)
๐ Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
โก๏ธ Ref: 355
๐ข Grn: 85
๐ Lib: 75
๐ก SNP: 48
๐ต Con: 34
๐ด Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
๐จ BREAKING | Former RESPECT leader Salma Yaqoob endorses Greens in Gorton & Denton.
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
January 26, 2026 at 11:25 PM
๐จ BREAKING | Former RESPECT leader Salma Yaqoob endorses Greens in Gorton & Denton.
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
๐จ GE2029 projection | Gorton & Denton:
๐ด Lab: 28% (-23)
โก๏ธ Ref: 27% (+13)
๐ข Grn: 26% (+12)
โซ๏ธ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
๐ด Lab: 28% (-23)
โก๏ธ Ref: 27% (+13)
๐ข Grn: 26% (+12)
โซ๏ธ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
January 26, 2026 at 4:32 PM
๐จ GE2029 projection | Gorton & Denton:
๐ด Lab: 28% (-23)
โก๏ธ Ref: 27% (+13)
๐ข Grn: 26% (+12)
โซ๏ธ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
๐ด Lab: 28% (-23)
โก๏ธ Ref: 27% (+13)
๐ข Grn: 26% (+12)
โซ๏ธ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
๐จ 50% of Labour voters (17pts) have walked away. Where did they go?
๐ดLab ->๐ขGrn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
๐ดLab ->โก๏ธRef: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ตCon: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
๐ดLab ->๐ขGrn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
๐ดLab ->โก๏ธRef: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ตCon: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
January 26, 2026 at 2:15 PM
๐จ 50% of Labour voters (17pts) have walked away. Where did they go?
๐ดLab ->๐ขGrn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
๐ดLab ->โก๏ธRef: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ตCon: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
๐ดLab ->๐ขGrn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
๐ดLab ->โก๏ธRef: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
๐ดLab ->๐ตCon: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
๐จ Voting intention in Greater Manchester:
โก๏ธ Ref: 36% (+19)
๐ด Lab: 24% (-19)
๐ข Grn: 18% (+10)
๐ Lib: 10% (+1)
๐ต Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
โก๏ธ Ref: 36% (+19)
๐ด Lab: 24% (-19)
๐ข Grn: 18% (+10)
๐ Lib: 10% (+1)
๐ต Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
January 25, 2026 at 5:13 PM
๐จ Voting intention in Greater Manchester:
โก๏ธ Ref: 36% (+19)
๐ด Lab: 24% (-19)
๐ข Grn: 18% (+10)
๐ Lib: 10% (+1)
๐ต Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
โก๏ธ Ref: 36% (+19)
๐ด Lab: 24% (-19)
๐ข Grn: 18% (+10)
๐ Lib: 10% (+1)
๐ต Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
๐จ Voting intention amongst poorest/richest:
-- Poorest --
โก๏ธRef: 34% (+17)
๐ตCon: 18% (-6)
๐ดLab: 15% (-18)
๐ขGrn: 14% (+6)
๐ LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
๐ดLab: 23% (-17)
๐ LD: 19% (+3)
๐ตCon: 19% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 17% (+11)
โก๏ธRef: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
-- Poorest --
โก๏ธRef: 34% (+17)
๐ตCon: 18% (-6)
๐ดLab: 15% (-18)
๐ขGrn: 14% (+6)
๐ LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
๐ดLab: 23% (-17)
๐ LD: 19% (+3)
๐ตCon: 19% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 17% (+11)
โก๏ธRef: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
January 24, 2026 at 4:05 PM
๐จ Voting intention amongst poorest/richest:
-- Poorest --
โก๏ธRef: 34% (+17)
๐ตCon: 18% (-6)
๐ดLab: 15% (-18)
๐ขGrn: 14% (+6)
๐ LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
๐ดLab: 23% (-17)
๐ LD: 19% (+3)
๐ตCon: 19% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 17% (+11)
โก๏ธRef: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
-- Poorest --
โก๏ธRef: 34% (+17)
๐ตCon: 18% (-6)
๐ดLab: 15% (-18)
๐ขGrn: 14% (+6)
๐ LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
๐ดLab: 23% (-17)
๐ LD: 19% (+3)
๐ตCon: 19% (-3)
๐ขGrn: 17% (+11)
โก๏ธRef: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
๐จ NEW | Reform leads by 14pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+4)
๐ต Con: 18% (-1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 14% (-1)
๐ LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+4)
๐ต Con: 18% (-1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 14% (-1)
๐ LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
January 22, 2026 at 4:13 PM
๐จ NEW | Reform leads by 14pts
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+4)
๐ต Con: 18% (-1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 14% (-1)
๐ LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
โก๏ธ Ref: 32% (+4)
๐ต Con: 18% (-1)
๐ข Grn: 17% (-1)
๐ด Lab: 14% (-1)
๐ LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)