Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️
@leftiestats.bsky.social
www.statsforlefties.com
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
Pinned
Israel is a violently racist nation packed with bloodthirsty child killers, and by allying with them Labour is directly complicit in the mass murder of tens of thousands of innocents.
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
🚨 BREAKING: Filton 6 defendants have been given a "not guilty" verdict or "no verdict" by a jury on ALL charges.
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
February 4, 2026 at 12:28 PM
🚨 BREAKING: Filton 6 defendants have been given a "not guilty" verdict or "no verdict" by a jury on ALL charges.
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.
The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop
Via @RealMediaGB
🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔵 Con: 22% (+3)
🔴 Lab: 17% (-2)
🟢 Grn: 14% (+2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 318
🔵 Con: 99
🟠 Lib: 80
🟢 Grn: 46
🟡 SNP: 42
🔴 Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔵 Con: 22% (+3)
🔴 Lab: 17% (-2)
🟢 Grn: 14% (+2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 318
🔵 Con: 99
🟠 Lib: 80
🟢 Grn: 46
🟡 SNP: 42
🔴 Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
February 4, 2026 at 9:25 AM
🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔵 Con: 22% (+3)
🔴 Lab: 17% (-2)
🟢 Grn: 14% (+2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 318
🔵 Con: 99
🟠 Lib: 80
🟢 Grn: 46
🟡 SNP: 42
🔴 Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔵 Con: 22% (+3)
🔴 Lab: 17% (-2)
🟢 Grn: 14% (+2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (+2)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 318
🔵 Con: 99
🟠 Lib: 80
🟢 Grn: 46
🟡 SNP: 42
🔴 Lab: 39
Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
‼️ BREAKING | Zarah Sultana has announced she's backing Greens in Gorton and Denton
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
February 3, 2026 at 6:29 PM
‼️ BREAKING | Zarah Sultana has announced she's backing Greens in Gorton and Denton
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
Proud to back this Conference motion by @greens4palestine.bsky.social which would commit Greens to opposing Zionism
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
February 3, 2026 at 10:11 AM
Proud to back this Conference motion by @greens4palestine.bsky.social which would commit Greens to opposing Zionism
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more
Greens - go endorse it!
🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 7pts
➡️ Ref: 26% (+1)
🔴 Lab: 19% (-2)
🔵 Con: 18% (+1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 305
🟠 Lib: 87
🔴 Lab: 70
🟢 Grn: 65
🔵 Con: 48
🟡 SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 26% (+1)
🔴 Lab: 19% (-2)
🔵 Con: 18% (+1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 305
🟠 Lib: 87
🔴 Lab: 70
🟢 Grn: 65
🔵 Con: 48
🟡 SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
February 3, 2026 at 9:55 AM
🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 7pts
➡️ Ref: 26% (+1)
🔴 Lab: 19% (-2)
🔵 Con: 18% (+1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 305
🟠 Lib: 87
🔴 Lab: 70
🟢 Grn: 65
🔵 Con: 48
🟡 SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 26% (+1)
🔴 Lab: 19% (-2)
🔵 Con: 18% (+1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 305
🟠 Lib: 87
🔴 Lab: 70
🟢 Grn: 65
🔵 Con: 48
🟡 SNP: 46
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
🚨 BREAKING | Your Party confirms they will not be standing in the Gorton and Denton by-election.
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
February 2, 2026 at 7:49 PM
🚨 BREAKING | Your Party confirms they will not be standing in the Gorton and Denton by-election.
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".
(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
🗳️ #GE2029 with [ x ] as Labour leader:
-- Streeting --
➡️ Ref: 32%
🟢 Grn: 21%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🔵 Con: 15%
🟠 Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
➡️ Ref: 31%
🟢 Grn: 19%
🔴 Lab: 19%
🔵 Con: 16%
🟠 Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
-- Streeting --
➡️ Ref: 32%
🟢 Grn: 21%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🔵 Con: 15%
🟠 Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
➡️ Ref: 31%
🟢 Grn: 19%
🔴 Lab: 19%
🔵 Con: 16%
🟠 Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
February 2, 2026 at 2:13 PM
🗳️ #GE2029 with [ x ] as Labour leader:
-- Streeting --
➡️ Ref: 32%
🟢 Grn: 21%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🔵 Con: 15%
🟠 Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
➡️ Ref: 31%
🟢 Grn: 19%
🔴 Lab: 19%
🔵 Con: 16%
🟠 Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
-- Streeting --
➡️ Ref: 32%
🟢 Grn: 21%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🔵 Con: 15%
🟠 Lib: 11%
-- Starmer --
➡️ Ref: 31%
🟢 Grn: 19%
🔴 Lab: 19%
🔵 Con: 16%
🟠 Lib: 10%
Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔴 Lab: 22% (+4)
🔵 Con: 19% (+3)
🟢 Grn: 12% (-3)*
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 321
🔴 Lab: 122
🟠 Lib: 76
🟡 SNP: 46
🔵 Con: 43
🟢 Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔴 Lab: 22% (+4)
🔵 Con: 19% (+3)
🟢 Grn: 12% (-3)*
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 321
🔴 Lab: 122
🟠 Lib: 76
🟡 SNP: 46
🔵 Con: 43
🟢 Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
February 2, 2026 at 8:57 AM
🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔴 Lab: 22% (+4)
🔵 Con: 19% (+3)
🟢 Grn: 12% (-3)*
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 321
🔴 Lab: 122
🟠 Lib: 76
🟡 SNP: 46
🔵 Con: 43
🟢 Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
➡️ Ref: 30% (-3)
🔴 Lab: 22% (+4)
🔵 Con: 19% (+3)
🟢 Grn: 12% (-3)*
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 321
🔴 Lab: 122
🟠 Lib: 76
🟡 SNP: 46
🔵 Con: 43
🟢 Grn: 15
Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)
*Greens not prompted
🗳️ POLL | Reform rise to 12pt lead
➡️ Ref: 32% (+2)
🔴 Lab: 20% (-2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 13% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 378
🟠 Lib: 71
🔴 Lab: 68
🟡 SNP: 47
🟢 Grn: 26
🔵 Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
➡️ Ref: 32% (+2)
🔴 Lab: 20% (-2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 13% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 378
🟠 Lib: 71
🔴 Lab: 68
🟡 SNP: 47
🟢 Grn: 26
🔵 Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
January 31, 2026 at 12:10 PM
🗳️ POLL | Reform rise to 12pt lead
➡️ Ref: 32% (+2)
🔴 Lab: 20% (-2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 13% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 378
🟠 Lib: 71
🔴 Lab: 68
🟡 SNP: 47
🟢 Grn: 26
🔵 Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
➡️ Ref: 32% (+2)
🔴 Lab: 20% (-2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 13% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 11% (-1)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 378
🟠 Lib: 71
🔴 Lab: 68
🟡 SNP: 47
🟢 Grn: 26
🔵 Con: 25
Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
🗳️ New Holyrood poll:
-- FPTP --
🟡SNP: 34% (-14)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-7)
🔵Con: 10% (-12)
🟠Lib: 10% (+3)
🟢Grn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
🟡SNP: 29% (-11)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-3)
🟢Grn: 12% (+4)
🔵Con: 11% (-12)
🟠Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
-- FPTP --
🟡SNP: 34% (-14)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-7)
🔵Con: 10% (-12)
🟠Lib: 10% (+3)
🟢Grn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
🟡SNP: 29% (-11)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-3)
🟢Grn: 12% (+4)
🔵Con: 11% (-12)
🟠Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
January 30, 2026 at 1:20 PM
🗳️ New Holyrood poll:
-- FPTP --
🟡SNP: 34% (-14)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-7)
🔵Con: 10% (-12)
🟠Lib: 10% (+3)
🟢Grn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
🟡SNP: 29% (-11)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-3)
🟢Grn: 12% (+4)
🔵Con: 11% (-12)
🟠Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
-- FPTP --
🟡SNP: 34% (-14)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-7)
🔵Con: 10% (-12)
🟠Lib: 10% (+3)
🟢Grn: 9% (+8)
-- PR --
🟡SNP: 29% (-11)
➡️Ref: 20% (+20)
🔴Lab: 15% (-3)
🟢Grn: 12% (+4)
🔵Con: 11% (-12)
🟠Lib: 9% (+4)
Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
🚨 BREAKING | Hannah Spencer, a local councillor and plumber, has been nominated as the Green Party candidate for the Gorton and Denton by-election.
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
January 29, 2026 at 11:19 PM
🚨 BREAKING | Hannah Spencer, a local councillor and plumber, has been nominated as the Green Party candidate for the Gorton and Denton by-election.
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.
(Via @tomorrowsmps)
🗳️ POLL | Greens rise to **2nd place**
➡️ Ref: 29% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 19% (+2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 17% (+3)
🟠 Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 355
🟢 Grn: 85
🟠 Lib: 75
🟡 SNP: 48
🔵 Con: 34
🔴 Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 29% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 19% (+2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 17% (+3)
🟠 Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 355
🟢 Grn: 85
🟠 Lib: 75
🟡 SNP: 48
🔵 Con: 34
🔴 Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
January 29, 2026 at 4:11 PM
🗳️ POLL | Greens rise to **2nd place**
➡️ Ref: 29% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 19% (+2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 17% (+3)
🟠 Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 355
🟢 Grn: 85
🟠 Lib: 75
🟡 SNP: 48
🔵 Con: 34
🔴 Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 29% (-3)
🟢 Grn: 19% (+2)
🔵 Con: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 17% (+3)
🟠 Lib: 11% (=)
-- Seats --
➡️ Ref: 355
🟢 Grn: 85
🟠 Lib: 75
🟡 SNP: 48
🔵 Con: 34
🔴 Lab: 20
Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
🚨 BREAKING | Former RESPECT leader Salma Yaqoob endorses Greens in Gorton & Denton.
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
January 26, 2026 at 11:25 PM
🚨 BREAKING | Former RESPECT leader Salma Yaqoob endorses Greens in Gorton & Denton.
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
Despite being a prominent member of Your Party, Yaqoob is calling on people to vote Green. "The Greens are best placed to win", she said, adding: "The Left should work together to support them"
🚨 GE2029 projection | Gorton & Denton:
🔴 Lab: 28% (-23)
➡️ Ref: 27% (+13)
🟢 Grn: 26% (+12)
⚫️ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
🔴 Lab: 28% (-23)
➡️ Ref: 27% (+13)
🟢 Grn: 26% (+12)
⚫️ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
January 26, 2026 at 4:32 PM
🚨 GE2029 projection | Gorton & Denton:
🔴 Lab: 28% (-23)
➡️ Ref: 27% (+13)
🟢 Grn: 26% (+12)
⚫️ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
🔴 Lab: 28% (-23)
➡️ Ref: 27% (+13)
🟢 Grn: 26% (+12)
⚫️ WPB: 9% (-1)
Labour HOLD (+/- vs GE2024)
🚨 50% of Labour voters (17pts) have walked away. Where did they go?
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
January 26, 2026 at 2:15 PM
🚨 50% of Labour voters (17pts) have walked away. Where did they go?
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
🚨 Voting intention in Greater Manchester:
➡️ Ref: 36% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 24% (-19)
🟢 Grn: 18% (+10)
🟠 Lib: 10% (+1)
🔵 Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
➡️ Ref: 36% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 24% (-19)
🟢 Grn: 18% (+10)
🟠 Lib: 10% (+1)
🔵 Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
January 25, 2026 at 5:13 PM
🚨 Voting intention in Greater Manchester:
➡️ Ref: 36% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 24% (-19)
🟢 Grn: 18% (+10)
🟠 Lib: 10% (+1)
🔵 Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
➡️ Ref: 36% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 24% (-19)
🟢 Grn: 18% (+10)
🟠 Lib: 10% (+1)
🔵 Con: 9% (-7)
Via @FindOutNowUK, 23-24 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🚨 Voting intention amongst poorest/richest:
-- Poorest --
➡️Ref: 34% (+17)
🔵Con: 18% (-6)
🔴Lab: 15% (-18)
🟢Grn: 14% (+6)
🟠LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
🔴Lab: 23% (-17)
🟠LD: 19% (+3)
🔵Con: 19% (-3)
🟢Grn: 17% (+11)
➡️Ref: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
-- Poorest --
➡️Ref: 34% (+17)
🔵Con: 18% (-6)
🔴Lab: 15% (-18)
🟢Grn: 14% (+6)
🟠LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
🔴Lab: 23% (-17)
🟠LD: 19% (+3)
🔵Con: 19% (-3)
🟢Grn: 17% (+11)
➡️Ref: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
January 24, 2026 at 4:05 PM
🚨 Voting intention amongst poorest/richest:
-- Poorest --
➡️Ref: 34% (+17)
🔵Con: 18% (-6)
🔴Lab: 15% (-18)
🟢Grn: 14% (+6)
🟠LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
🔴Lab: 23% (-17)
🟠LD: 19% (+3)
🔵Con: 19% (-3)
🟢Grn: 17% (+11)
➡️Ref: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
-- Poorest --
➡️Ref: 34% (+17)
🔵Con: 18% (-6)
🔴Lab: 15% (-18)
🟢Grn: 14% (+6)
🟠LD: 12% (+1)
-- Richest --
🔴Lab: 23% (-17)
🟠LD: 19% (+3)
🔵Con: 19% (-3)
🟢Grn: 17% (+11)
➡️Ref: 16% (+6)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE24)
🚨 NEW | Reform leads by 14pts
➡️ Ref: 32% (+4)
🔵 Con: 18% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 14% (-1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 32% (+4)
🔵 Con: 18% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 14% (-1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
January 22, 2026 at 4:13 PM
🚨 NEW | Reform leads by 14pts
➡️ Ref: 32% (+4)
🔵 Con: 18% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 14% (-1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
➡️ Ref: 32% (+4)
🔵 Con: 18% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 17% (-1)
🔴 Lab: 14% (-1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutNowUK, 21 Jan (+/- vs 14 Jan)
🚨 MEGAPOLL | Greens lead with renters
🟢 Grn: 25% (+13)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-21)
➡️ Ref: 20% (+7)
🟠 LD: 14% (=)
🔵 Con: 13% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🟢 Grn: 25% (+13)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-21)
➡️ Ref: 20% (+7)
🟠 LD: 14% (=)
🔵 Con: 13% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
January 21, 2026 at 9:05 PM
🚨 MEGAPOLL | Greens lead with renters
🟢 Grn: 25% (+13)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-21)
➡️ Ref: 20% (+7)
🟠 LD: 14% (=)
🔵 Con: 13% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🟢 Grn: 25% (+13)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-21)
➡️ Ref: 20% (+7)
🟠 LD: 14% (=)
🔵 Con: 13% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🚨 MEGAPOLL | Greens lead with 18-24s
🟢 Grn: 37% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-20)
🟠 LD: 18% (+2)
🔵 Con: 10% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 9% (=)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🟢 Grn: 37% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-20)
🟠 LD: 18% (+2)
🔵 Con: 10% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 9% (=)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
January 21, 2026 at 8:14 PM
🚨 MEGAPOLL | Greens lead with 18-24s
🟢 Grn: 37% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-20)
🟠 LD: 18% (+2)
🔵 Con: 10% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 9% (=)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🟢 Grn: 37% (+19)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-20)
🟠 LD: 18% (+2)
🔵 Con: 10% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 9% (=)
Via @YouGov, 9-14 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
#GE2029 | SNP lead by 11pts
🟡 SNP: 32% (+1)
➡️ REF: 21% (-2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-1)
🔵 CON: 11% (=)
🟠 LD: 9% (=)
🟢 GRN: 7% (=)
Via Norstat, 13-16 Jan (+/- vs 25 Sep)
🟡 SNP: 32% (+1)
➡️ REF: 21% (-2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-1)
🔵 CON: 11% (=)
🟠 LD: 9% (=)
🟢 GRN: 7% (=)
Via Norstat, 13-16 Jan (+/- vs 25 Sep)
January 19, 2026 at 6:54 PM
#GE2029 | SNP lead by 11pts
🟡 SNP: 32% (+1)
➡️ REF: 21% (-2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-1)
🔵 CON: 11% (=)
🟠 LD: 9% (=)
🟢 GRN: 7% (=)
Via Norstat, 13-16 Jan (+/- vs 25 Sep)
🟡 SNP: 32% (+1)
➡️ REF: 21% (-2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-1)
🔵 CON: 11% (=)
🟠 LD: 9% (=)
🟢 GRN: 7% (=)
Via Norstat, 13-16 Jan (+/- vs 25 Sep)
🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
➡️ REF: 29% (=)
🔴 LAB: 21% (-1)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
🟢 GRN: 11% (=)
Via @Survation, 10-14 Jan (+/- vs 20 Nov)
➡️ REF: 29% (=)
🔴 LAB: 21% (-1)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
🟢 GRN: 11% (=)
Via @Survation, 10-14 Jan (+/- vs 20 Nov)
January 17, 2026 at 7:01 PM
🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 8pts
➡️ REF: 29% (=)
🔴 LAB: 21% (-1)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
🟢 GRN: 11% (=)
Via @Survation, 10-14 Jan (+/- vs 20 Nov)
➡️ REF: 29% (=)
🔴 LAB: 21% (-1)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟠 LD: 11% (-1)
🟢 GRN: 11% (=)
Via @Survation, 10-14 Jan (+/- vs 20 Nov)
🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 9pts
➡️ REF: 28% (-4)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 15% (=)
🟠 LD: 12% (=)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Jan (+/- vs 8 Jan)
➡️ REF: 28% (-4)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 15% (=)
🟠 LD: 12% (=)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Jan (+/- vs 8 Jan)
January 15, 2026 at 7:05 PM
🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 9pts
➡️ REF: 28% (-4)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 15% (=)
🟠 LD: 12% (=)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Jan (+/- vs 8 Jan)
➡️ REF: 28% (-4)
🔵 CON: 19% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 15% (=)
🟠 LD: 12% (=)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Jan (+/- vs 8 Jan)
🚨 #GE2029 poll | SNP lead by 10pts
🟡 SNP: 31% (-4)
➡️ REF: 21% (+2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-2)
🔵 CON: 12% (-2)
🟠 LD: 9% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 8% (+4)
Via @Survation, 8-12 Jan (+/- vs 16 Sep)
🟡 SNP: 31% (-4)
➡️ REF: 21% (+2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-2)
🔵 CON: 12% (-2)
🟠 LD: 9% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 8% (+4)
Via @Survation, 8-12 Jan (+/- vs 16 Sep)
January 15, 2026 at 12:31 PM
🚨 #GE2029 poll | SNP lead by 10pts
🟡 SNP: 31% (-4)
➡️ REF: 21% (+2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-2)
🔵 CON: 12% (-2)
🟠 LD: 9% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 8% (+4)
Via @Survation, 8-12 Jan (+/- vs 16 Sep)
🟡 SNP: 31% (-4)
➡️ REF: 21% (+2)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-2)
🔵 CON: 12% (-2)
🟠 LD: 9% (+1)
🟢 GRN: 8% (+4)
Via @Survation, 8-12 Jan (+/- vs 16 Sep)
🚨 Senedd poll | Plaid lead by 14pts
🟢 PLAID: 37% (+4)
➡️ REF: 23% (-7)
🟢 GRN: 13% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 10% (=)
🔵 CON: 10% (=)
🟠 LD: 5% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 5-12 Jan (+/- vs 10 Dec)
🟢 PLAID: 37% (+4)
➡️ REF: 23% (-7)
🟢 GRN: 13% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 10% (=)
🔵 CON: 10% (=)
🟠 LD: 5% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 5-12 Jan (+/- vs 10 Dec)
January 13, 2026 at 8:16 PM
🚨 Senedd poll | Plaid lead by 14pts
🟢 PLAID: 37% (+4)
➡️ REF: 23% (-7)
🟢 GRN: 13% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 10% (=)
🔵 CON: 10% (=)
🟠 LD: 5% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 5-12 Jan (+/- vs 10 Dec)
🟢 PLAID: 37% (+4)
➡️ REF: 23% (-7)
🟢 GRN: 13% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 10% (=)
🔵 CON: 10% (=)
🟠 LD: 5% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 5-12 Jan (+/- vs 10 Dec)