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leftiestats.bsky.social
Stats for Lefties πŸ‰πŸ³οΈβ€βš§οΈ
@leftiestats.bsky.social
www.statsforlefties.com

Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman πŸ³οΈβ€βš§οΈ
Pinned
Israel is a violently racist nation packed with bloodthirsty child killers, and by allying with them Labour is directly complicit in the mass murder of tens of thousands of innocents.

This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
πŸ—³οΈ As Starmer's leadership teeters on the brink, his approval rating falls to an all-time low of -50

βœ… Approve: 17%
❌ Disapprove: 67%

(Rolling average of approval polling)
February 9, 2026 at 2:02 PM
18-24
February 8, 2026 at 10:45 AM
πŸ—³οΈ How young women would vote in #GE2029:

🟒 Grn: 44% (+21)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 21% (-21)
🟠 Lib: 19% (+3)
πŸ”΅ Con: 8% (+2)
➑️ Ref: 5% (-1)

Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan
(+/- vs GE2024)
February 8, 2026 at 10:44 AM
πŸ—³οΈ How young men would vote in #GE2029:

🟒 Grn: 30% (+18)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 21% (-19)
🟠 Lib: 17% (+1)
πŸ”΅ Con: 12% (+2)
➑️ Ref: 12% (=)

Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
February 8, 2026 at 10:43 AM
πŸ—³οΈ MRP | Gorton and Denton:

➑️ Ref: 33% (+19)
🟒 Grn: 24% (+10)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 20% (-31)
πŸ”΅ Con: 10% (+2)
🟠 Lib: 5% (+1)

Via @ElectCalculus / @FindoutnowUK, 1-8 Dec
(+/- vs GE2024)
February 7, 2026 at 12:56 PM
πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Reform lead by 13pts

➑️ Ref: 31% (+2)
🟒 Grn: 18% (-1)
πŸ”΅ Con: 18% (+1)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 16% (-1)
🟠 Lib: 11% (=)

-- Seats --
➑️ Ref: 370
🟒 Grn: 76
🟠 Lib: 72
🟑 SNP: 46
πŸ”΅ Con: 38
πŸ”΄ Lab: 14

Poll: @FindOutNowUK, 4 Feb (+/- vs 28 Jan)
February 5, 2026 at 5:21 PM
🚨 BREAKING: Filton 6 defendants have been given a "not guilty" verdict or "no verdict" by a jury on ALL charges.

Not a single defendant was convicted of any offence.

The jury also refused to convict Samuel Corner on the charge of committing GBH against a cop

Via @RealMediaGB
February 4, 2026 at 12:28 PM
πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts

➑️ Ref: 30% (-3)
πŸ”΅ Con: 22% (+3)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 17% (-2)
🟒 Grn: 14% (+2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (+2)

-- Seats --
➑️ Ref: 318
πŸ”΅ Con: 99
🟠 Lib: 80
🟒 Grn: 46
🟑 SNP: 42
πŸ”΄ Lab: 39

Poll: Freshwater, 30 Jan-1 Feb (+/- vs 11 Jan)
February 4, 2026 at 9:25 AM
‼️ BREAKING | Zarah Sultana has announced she's backing Greens in Gorton and Denton

Sultana said her long-term goal is to build "a mass working-class party", but said "defeating fascism" is the priority. She is thus giving her "personal critical support" to Hannah Spencer (Green).
February 3, 2026 at 6:29 PM
Proud to back this Conference motion by @greens4palestine.bsky.social which would commit Greens to opposing Zionism

It demands dissolution of the terrorist state of "Israel", endorses a single Palestinian state, backs sanctions, backs the
P4P demands and more

Greens - go endorse it!
February 3, 2026 at 10:11 AM
πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Reform lead by 7pts

➑️ Ref: 26% (+1)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 19% (-2)
πŸ”΅ Con: 18% (+1)
🟒 Grn: 17% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)

-- Seats --
➑️ Ref: 305
🟠 Lib: 87
πŸ”΄ Lab: 70
🟒 Grn: 65
πŸ”΅ Con: 48
🟑 SNP: 46

Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Feb (+/- vs 26 Jan)
February 3, 2026 at 9:55 AM
basically yeah. It also says a lot about the Greens that the SWP and Trot sects have never bothered trying to infiltrate it; they know their style of adversarial hateful politics would get laughed out of the room
February 2, 2026 at 9:01 PM
The party's statement refuses to even acknowledge the existence of the Green Party. The party mentions both Labour and Reform, but in a bizarre omission opts to pretend that the Green Party simply does not exist.
February 2, 2026 at 7:50 PM
🚨 BREAKING | Your Party confirms they will not be standing in the Gorton and Denton by-election.

But they REFUSED to endorse Green candidate Hannah Spencer, saying they prefer "a mass party that can elect socialist and anti-war candidates".

(Source: @ThisIsYourParty)
February 2, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Est. GE2029 result if Streeting becomes PM:

➑️ Ref: 385 (+380)
🟒 Grn: 99 (+95)
🟠 Lib: 72 (=)
🟑 SNP: 48 (+39)
πŸ”΅ Con: 13 (-108)
🏴󠁧󠁒󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Plaid: 7 (+3)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 5 (-406)

Based on @YouGov polling, Jan 2026
February 2, 2026 at 2:17 PM
πŸ—³οΈ #GE2029 with [ x ] as Labour leader:

-- Streeting --
➑️ Ref: 32%
🟒 Grn: 21%
πŸ”΄ Lab: 15%
πŸ”΅ Con: 15%
🟠 Lib: 11%

-- Starmer --
➑️ Ref: 31%
🟒 Grn: 19%
πŸ”΄ Lab: 19%
πŸ”΅ Con: 16%
🟠 Lib: 10%

Poll: @YouGov, Jan 2026 (excluding undecideds)
February 2, 2026 at 2:13 PM
πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Reform lead by 8pts

➑️ Ref: 30% (-3)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 22% (+4)
πŸ”΅ Con: 19% (+3)
🟒 Grn: 12% (-3)*
🟠 Lib: 12% (=)

-- Seats --
➑️ Ref: 321
πŸ”΄ Lab: 122
🟠 Lib: 76
🟑 SNP: 46
πŸ”΅ Con: 43
🟒 Grn: 15

Poll: @IpsosUK, 22-27 Jan (+/- vs Nov)

*Greens not prompted
February 2, 2026 at 8:57 AM
πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Reform rise to 12pt lead

➑️ Ref: 32% (+2)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 20% (-2)
πŸ”΅ Con: 17% (-3)
🟒 Grn: 13% (+1)
🟠 Lib: 11% (-1)

-- Seats --
➑️ Ref: 378
🟠 Lib: 71
πŸ”΄ Lab: 68
🟑 SNP: 47
🟒 Grn: 26
πŸ”΅ Con: 25

Poll: @BMGResearch, 28-29 Jan (+/- vs 27 Nov)
January 31, 2026 at 12:10 PM
πŸ—³οΈ New Holyrood poll:

-- FPTP --
🟑SNP: 34% (-14)
➑️Ref: 20% (+20)
πŸ”΄Lab: 15% (-7)
πŸ”΅Con: 10% (-12)
🟠Lib: 10% (+3)
🟒Grn: 9% (+8)

-- PR --
🟑SNP: 29% (-11)
➑️Ref: 20% (+20)
πŸ”΄Lab: 15% (-3)
🟒Grn: 12% (+4)
πŸ”΅Con: 11% (-12)
🟠Lib: 9% (+4)

Poll: @YouGov, 8-14 Jan (+/- vs 2021)
January 30, 2026 at 1:20 PM
Because it's a factual piece of information and I am under no obligation to keep something secret when it is public info
January 30, 2026 at 12:28 AM
a) How
b) How does that make me "horrible"
January 30, 2026 at 12:28 AM
Also, I'd love to hear what about me is "horrible". This should be good.
January 30, 2026 at 12:25 AM
How exactly was I supposed to know it was embargoed? I am not a journalist who gets sent press releases, I see things on Twitter and I share them.
January 30, 2026 at 12:24 AM
🚨 BREAKING | Hannah Spencer, a local councillor and plumber, has been nominated as the Green Party candidate for the Gorton and Denton by-election.

Spencer endorsed Zack Polanski in the leader election. She won the selection with ~80% of ballots.

(Via @tomorrowsmps)
January 29, 2026 at 11:19 PM
πŸ—³οΈ POLL | Greens rise to **2nd place**

➑️ Ref: 29% (-3)
🟒 Grn: 19% (+2)
πŸ”΅ Con: 17% (-1)
πŸ”΄ Lab: 17% (+3)
🟠 Lib: 11% (=)

-- Seats --
➑️ Ref: 355
🟒 Grn: 85
🟠 Lib: 75
🟑 SNP: 48
πŸ”΅ Con: 34
πŸ”΄ Lab: 20

Based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 28 Jan (+/- vs 21 Jan)
January 29, 2026 at 4:11 PM