Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
‼️ Greens tied with Labour
➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
‼️ Greens tied with Labour
➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
🔴 LAB – 30% (-14)
🔵 CON – 28% (-4)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+9)
➡️ REF – 11% (+8)
🟠 LD – 9% (+1)
Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)
🔴 LAB – 30% (-14)
🔵 CON – 28% (-4)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+9)
➡️ REF – 11% (+8)
🟠 LD – 9% (+1)
Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)
✅ Favourable – 19% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1)
Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)
✅ Favourable – 19% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1)
Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)
Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".
Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".
➡️ REF: 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 19% (-)
🟢 GRN: 17% (+2)
🔵 CON: 17% (-1)
🟠 LD: 13% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)
➡️ REF: 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB: 19% (-)
🟢 GRN: 17% (+2)
🔵 CON: 17% (-1)
🟠 LD: 13% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)
✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1)
❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1)
❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
➡️ REF – 33% (-1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 16% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 15% (+3)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
➡️ REF – 33% (-1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 16% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 15% (+3)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)
➡️ REF – 33% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (-1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)
➡️ REF – 33% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (-1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)
Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)
Projected majority = 46 seats
➡️ REF – 31% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (+2)
🔵 CON – 19% (-)
🟠 LD – 14% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (-)
Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)
Projected majority = 46 seats
➡️ REF – 31% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (+2)
🔵 CON – 19% (-)
🟠 LD – 14% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (-)
Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)
🟢 GRN – 32% (+16)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-18)
➡️ REF – 20% (+7)
🔵 CON – 11% (-1)
🟠 LD – 9% (-3)
This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample.
Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)
🟢 GRN – 32% (+16)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-18)
➡️ REF – 20% (+7)
🔵 CON – 11% (-1)
🟠 LD – 9% (-3)
This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample.
Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)
‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge
➡️ REF – 32% (-3)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+5)
🟠 LD – 13% (-1)
Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)
‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge
➡️ REF – 32% (-3)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+5)
🟠 LD – 13% (-1)
Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+3)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
🟢 GRN – 11% (-1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+3)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
🟢 GRN – 11% (-1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)
Three years ago, Reform were polling 1%. Today they seem poised for a landslide GE win. How did this happen? And how did Labour fumble an easy layup so badly? Find out in my latest piece: www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
Three years ago, Reform were polling 1%. Today they seem poised for a landslide GE win. How did this happen? And how did Labour fumble an easy layup so badly? Find out in my latest piece: www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
➡️ REF – 33% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-1)
🟠 LD – 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔵 CON – 16% (-)
🔴 LAB – 15% (-1)
🟠 LD – 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)
➡️ REF – 31% (-2)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-3)
🟠 LD – 13% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)
➡️ REF – 31% (-2)
🔵 CON – 19% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-3)
🟠 LD – 13% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 12% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)
➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354)
🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11)
🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339)
🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90)
🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36)
🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15)
This uses my NEW seat projection method.
➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354)
🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11)
🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339)
🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90)
🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36)
🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15)
This uses my NEW seat projection method.
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 16% (-)
🔵 CON – 16% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 16% (-)
🔵 CON – 16% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)
🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48%
⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32%
🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17%
Based on polls conducted in October 2025
🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48%
⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32%
🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17%
Based on polls conducted in October 2025
➡️ REF – 33% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 21% (-1)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 11% (+1)
Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 33% (+2)
🔴 LAB – 21% (-1)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟠 LD – 12% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 11% (+1)
Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟢 GRN – 16% (+1)
🟠 LD – 15% (-)
Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 27% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 17% (-3)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟢 GRN – 16% (+1)
🟠 LD – 15% (-)
Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)
➡️ REF – 28% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+4)
🟠 LD – 11% (+1)
Via @LordAPolls, 16-20 Oct (+/- vs 11-15 Sep)
➡️ REF – 28% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-4)
🔵 CON – 18% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 17% (+4)
🟠 LD – 11% (+1)
Via @LordAPolls, 16-20 Oct (+/- vs 11-15 Sep)
🟡 SNP – 66 seats (+2)
➡️ REF – 16 seats (+16)
🟢 GRN – 15 seats (+7)
🔴 LAB – 14 seats (-8)
🟠 LD – 9 seats (+5)
🔵 CON – 9 seats (-22)
My estimate based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 14 Oct
🟡 SNP – 66 seats (+2)
➡️ REF – 16 seats (+16)
🟢 GRN – 15 seats (+7)
🔴 LAB – 14 seats (-8)
🟠 LD – 9 seats (+5)
🔵 CON – 9 seats (-22)
My estimate based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 14 Oct
🔴 Connolly (IND) – 63.4%
🔵 Humphreys (FG) – 29.5%
🟢 Gavin (FF) – 7.1%
*Note: President of Ireland is the head of state but is NOT the head of government like in US/France etc.
🔴 Connolly (IND) – 63.4%
🔵 Humphreys (FG) – 29.5%
🟢 Gavin (FF) – 7.1%
*Note: President of Ireland is the head of state but is NOT the head of government like in US/France etc.
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🔴 LAB – 16% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 22 Oct (+/- vs 15 Oct)
➡️ REF – 32% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🔴 LAB – 16% (+1)
🟢 GRN – 15% (-)
🟠 LD – 12% (-)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 22 Oct (+/- vs 15 Oct)