Marshall Burke
@marshallburke.bsky.social
unsolicited commentary on economics and the environment. Stanford prof, +co-founder AtlasAI
Reposted by Marshall Burke
Analysis from @marshallburke.bsky.social and colleagues indicates that while mitigating further global warming can reduce heat mortality, mass mortality events remain plausible at near-future temperatures despite current adaptations to heat.
📄 READ HERE: ow.ly/CPRy50XtOnv
📄 READ HERE: ow.ly/CPRy50XtOnv
Increasing risk of mass human heat mortality if historical weather patterns recur - Nature Climate Change
The authors couple calculations of historical heatwave intensity at present and future global temperatures with exposure–response functions to quantify mortality from extreme heat events in Europe. Th...
ow.ly
November 20, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Analysis from @marshallburke.bsky.social and colleagues indicates that while mitigating further global warming can reduce heat mortality, mass mortality events remain plausible at near-future temperatures despite current adaptations to heat.
📄 READ HERE: ow.ly/CPRy50XtOnv
📄 READ HERE: ow.ly/CPRy50XtOnv
Reposted by Marshall Burke
Analysis from @marshallburke.bsky.social confirms that ambient temperature is among the largest external threats to human health, and is responsible for hundreds of thousands of deaths per year in both the U.S. and EU.
📄 READ THE PAPER: ow.ly/ufQH50X8C2y
📄 READ THE PAPER: ow.ly/ufQH50X8C2y
October 10, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Analysis from @marshallburke.bsky.social confirms that ambient temperature is among the largest external threats to human health, and is responsible for hundreds of thousands of deaths per year in both the U.S. and EU.
📄 READ THE PAPER: ow.ly/ufQH50X8C2y
📄 READ THE PAPER: ow.ly/ufQH50X8C2y
Reposted by Marshall Burke
I love it when papers have accompanying websites!
also, neat when i found out @stanfordimpactlabs.bsky.social had a small role in supporting this work!
📄 & 💻by @marshallburke.bsky.social & a impressive team!
adaptationatlas.org/...
www.nber.org/papers/...
also, neat when i found out @stanfordimpactlabs.bsky.social had a small role in supporting this work!
📄 & 💻by @marshallburke.bsky.social & a impressive team!
adaptationatlas.org/...
www.nber.org/papers/...
October 6, 2025 at 5:50 PM
I love it when papers have accompanying websites!
also, neat when i found out @stanfordimpactlabs.bsky.social had a small role in supporting this work!
📄 & 💻by @marshallburke.bsky.social & a impressive team!
adaptationatlas.org/...
www.nber.org/papers/...
also, neat when i found out @stanfordimpactlabs.bsky.social had a small role in supporting this work!
📄 & 💻by @marshallburke.bsky.social & a impressive team!
adaptationatlas.org/...
www.nber.org/papers/...
Cool and timely paper
New research by Pierre Azoulay, Danielle Li, Bhaven Sampat and me.
Earlier this year, the President’s budget proposed a 40% cut to the budget of the NIH. This motivated us to ask: what if the NIH had been 40% smaller?
Earlier this year, the President’s budget proposed a 40% cut to the budget of the NIH. This motivated us to ask: what if the NIH had been 40% smaller?
September 26, 2025 at 4:28 AM
Cool and timely paper
Reposted by Marshall Burke
🚨 NCA5 is now LIVE! 🚨
They took it down, but we've brought it back at: nca5.climate.us
Bookmark. 👏 this. 👏 page. 👏
This is just our first step in restoring trusted science information that Americans need to understand what's happening with the climate.
They took it down, but we've brought it back at: nca5.climate.us
Bookmark. 👏 this. 👏 page. 👏
This is just our first step in restoring trusted science information that Americans need to understand what's happening with the climate.
September 23, 2025 at 6:18 PM
🚨 NCA5 is now LIVE! 🚨
They took it down, but we've brought it back at: nca5.climate.us
Bookmark. 👏 this. 👏 page. 👏
This is just our first step in restoring trusted science information that Americans need to understand what's happening with the climate.
They took it down, but we've brought it back at: nca5.climate.us
Bookmark. 👏 this. 👏 page. 👏
This is just our first step in restoring trusted science information that Americans need to understand what's happening with the climate.
Reposted by Marshall Burke
A new study led by @marshallburke.bsky.social estimates that wildfire smoke emissions caused 41,380 excess deaths per year from 2011 to 2020, and rising temperatures could increase U.S. deaths from wildfire smoke more than 70% by 2050. ow.ly/RAp050WYWia
U.S. faces rising death toll from wildfire smoke, study finds
Wildfire smoke increasingly threatens lives across the country. A new study shows smoke exposure in the coming decades will cause tens of thousands of excess deaths and predicts where exposure will oc...
ow.ly
September 19, 2025 at 7:04 PM
A new study led by @marshallburke.bsky.social estimates that wildfire smoke emissions caused 41,380 excess deaths per year from 2011 to 2020, and rising temperatures could increase U.S. deaths from wildfire smoke more than 70% by 2050. ow.ly/RAp050WYWia
Reposted by Marshall Burke
This is startling. The number of deaths every year tied to wildfire smoke now outnumber traffic fatalities, according to @washingtonpost.com coverage of a new @nature.com study from @marshallburke.bsky.social and others.
Excellent coverage of our study out today on climate impacts on wildfire smoke and related health impacts.
It's not your imagination: Wildfire smoke in the U.S. has dramatically worsened since 2019. According to a new study, it's already killing 41,000 people a year - and it's poised to get much worse.
new from me @johnmuyskens.bsky.social and @sadbumblebee.buzz
www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
new from me @johnmuyskens.bsky.social and @sadbumblebee.buzz
www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
September 18, 2025 at 10:26 PM
This is startling. The number of deaths every year tied to wildfire smoke now outnumber traffic fatalities, according to @washingtonpost.com coverage of a new @nature.com study from @marshallburke.bsky.social and others.
Reposted by Marshall Burke
Important new paper from
@marshallburke.bsky.social
on the devastating toll of wildfire smoke in
@nature.com
"climate-driven smoke deaths result in economic damages that exceed existing estimates of climate-driven damages from all other causes combined in the US"
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
@marshallburke.bsky.social
on the devastating toll of wildfire smoke in
@nature.com
"climate-driven smoke deaths result in economic damages that exceed existing estimates of climate-driven damages from all other causes combined in the US"
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
September 18, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Important new paper from
@marshallburke.bsky.social
on the devastating toll of wildfire smoke in
@nature.com
"climate-driven smoke deaths result in economic damages that exceed existing estimates of climate-driven damages from all other causes combined in the US"
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
@marshallburke.bsky.social
on the devastating toll of wildfire smoke in
@nature.com
"climate-driven smoke deaths result in economic damages that exceed existing estimates of climate-driven damages from all other causes combined in the US"
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Excellent coverage of our study out today on climate impacts on wildfire smoke and related health impacts.
It's not your imagination: Wildfire smoke in the U.S. has dramatically worsened since 2019. According to a new study, it's already killing 41,000 people a year - and it's poised to get much worse.
new from me @johnmuyskens.bsky.social and @sadbumblebee.buzz
www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
new from me @johnmuyskens.bsky.social and @sadbumblebee.buzz
www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
Record wildfire smoke kills more people each year than car crashes. It’s about to get worse.
The past six summers have been the smokiest on record. New research shows that smoke could become the costliest consequence of climate change for Americans.
www.washingtonpost.com
September 18, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Excellent coverage of our study out today on climate impacts on wildfire smoke and related health impacts.
Reposted by Marshall Burke
An extraordinary new tool from @marshallburke.bsky.social, SIEPR senior fellow @stanforddoerr.bsky.social, and Andrew Wilson. If you've got the evidence they're looking for, they want to hear from you. 👇
We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread
Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas | ECHO Lab | Stanford University
Studying the impacts of environmental change on human health and well-being
adaptationatlas.org
September 16, 2025 at 7:34 PM
An extraordinary new tool from @marshallburke.bsky.social, SIEPR senior fellow @stanforddoerr.bsky.social, and Andrew Wilson. If you've got the evidence they're looking for, they want to hear from you. 👇
We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread
Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas | ECHO Lab | Stanford University
Studying the impacts of environmental change on human health and well-being
adaptationatlas.org
September 16, 2025 at 4:49 PM
We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread
We at @stanforddoerr.bsky.social are excited to announce a new PhD program in Global Environmental Policy, accepting applications this fall for Sept 2026 start. We're looking for folks with interest in social sciences, data science, and enviro science and who have strong quant training 1/
August 25, 2025 at 4:53 PM
We at @stanforddoerr.bsky.social are excited to announce a new PhD program in Global Environmental Policy, accepting applications this fall for Sept 2026 start. We're looking for folks with interest in social sciences, data science, and enviro science and who have strong quant training 1/
Reposted by Marshall Burke
Wildfire smoke is spreading pollutants more widely than ever before.
@marshallburke.bsky.social spoke with @emilypont.bsky.social of @heatmap.news about what’s driving the increase, and what can be done to prevent and mitigate the risks: ow.ly/5ILx50WIv7w
@marshallburke.bsky.social spoke with @emilypont.bsky.social of @heatmap.news about what’s driving the increase, and what can be done to prevent and mitigate the risks: ow.ly/5ILx50WIv7w
Wildfires Have Crashed the East Coast’s Air Quality
Same goes for the Midwest, according to Stanford air quality researcher Marshall Burke.
ow.ly
August 21, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Wildfire smoke is spreading pollutants more widely than ever before.
@marshallburke.bsky.social spoke with @emilypont.bsky.social of @heatmap.news about what’s driving the increase, and what can be done to prevent and mitigate the risks: ow.ly/5ILx50WIv7w
@marshallburke.bsky.social spoke with @emilypont.bsky.social of @heatmap.news about what’s driving the increase, and what can be done to prevent and mitigate the risks: ow.ly/5ILx50WIv7w
Reposted by Marshall Burke
"Nothing else compares in the U.S."
@marshallburke.bsky.social explains exactly why wildfires have made the East Coast's air quality so much worse to @emilypont.bsky.social. Full interview below.
@marshallburke.bsky.social explains exactly why wildfires have made the East Coast's air quality so much worse to @emilypont.bsky.social. Full interview below.
Wildfires Have Crashed the East Coast’s Air Quality
Same goes for the Midwest, according to Stanford air quality researcher Marshall Burke.
heatmap.news
August 18, 2025 at 6:55 PM
"Nothing else compares in the U.S."
@marshallburke.bsky.social explains exactly why wildfires have made the East Coast's air quality so much worse to @emilypont.bsky.social. Full interview below.
@marshallburke.bsky.social explains exactly why wildfires have made the East Coast's air quality so much worse to @emilypont.bsky.social. Full interview below.
Stanford Doerr School is hiring at assistant prof level in Global Environmental Policy. Search is broadly scoped and aimed at anyone in quantitative social sciences or related fields, including econ, polisci, env policy, or data science as applied to env policy. Plz share, RT!
tinyurl.com/3enzuubc
tinyurl.com/3enzuubc
Stanford | Faculty Positions: Details - Assistant Professor, Department of Environmental Social Sciences (Global Environmental Policy)
tinyurl.com
August 15, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Stanford Doerr School is hiring at assistant prof level in Global Environmental Policy. Search is broadly scoped and aimed at anyone in quantitative social sciences or related fields, including econ, polisci, env policy, or data science as applied to env policy. Plz share, RT!
tinyurl.com/3enzuubc
tinyurl.com/3enzuubc
Reposted by Marshall Burke
I read EPA’s 302-page proposal to nuke the endangered endangerment finding so that you don’t have to, and wrote about what the insanity all means for @climateconnections.bsky.social. Thanks to @gregdotson.bsky.social, @hausfath.bsky.social, @michaelemann.bsky.social for the input. Article & 🧵(1/14):
The Republican campaign to stop the U.S. EPA from protecting the climate » Yale Climate Connections
An audacious effort to destroy climate regulations is likely headed for a showdown at the Supreme Court.
yaleclimateconnections.org
August 1, 2025 at 3:30 PM
I read EPA’s 302-page proposal to nuke the endangered endangerment finding so that you don’t have to, and wrote about what the insanity all means for @climateconnections.bsky.social. Thanks to @gregdotson.bsky.social, @hausfath.bsky.social, @michaelemann.bsky.social for the input. Article & 🧵(1/14):
Reposted by Marshall Burke
All famines are man-made, all famines are political. Historians of empire and humanitarianism have known this forever. Gaza is not starving, Gaza is being starved, by Israel, and this starvation is enabled by our government and by every other government that does not step in to force food and aid.
July 24, 2025 at 1:48 PM
All famines are man-made, all famines are political. Historians of empire and humanitarianism have known this forever. Gaza is not starving, Gaza is being starved, by Israel, and this starvation is enabled by our government and by every other government that does not step in to force food and aid.
Reposted by Marshall Burke
I am sickened by what we’re seeing in Gaza right now. The IDF has blocked aid while shooting people waiting in food lines for what little aid is actually coming from the sham Gaza Humanitarian Foundation. Israel needs to lift its blockade and the U.S. needs to stop sending bombs.
More than 100 aid groups warn of 'mass starvation' in Gaza amid Israel's war with Hamas
A statement released by the 115 aid groups warned of "record rates of acute malnutrition" in the Gaza Strip.
abcnews.go.com
July 24, 2025 at 8:52 PM
I am sickened by what we’re seeing in Gaza right now. The IDF has blocked aid while shooting people waiting in food lines for what little aid is actually coming from the sham Gaza Humanitarian Foundation. Israel needs to lift its blockade and the U.S. needs to stop sending bombs.
Reposted by Marshall Burke
Gaza faces a severe humanitarian crisis as Israeli restrictions on aid lead to widespread malnutrition and starvation, with hospitals overwhelmed by malnourished children.
Mass starvation stalks Gaza as deaths from hunger rise
Aid agencies warned for months that Israel’s harsh limits on food aid would bring acute malnutrition and widespread suffering to Gaza’s 2.1 million people.
www.washingtonpost.com
July 24, 2025 at 11:30 AM
Gaza faces a severe humanitarian crisis as Israeli restrictions on aid lead to widespread malnutrition and starvation, with hospitals overwhelmed by malnourished children.
Does planting trees reduce the health impacts of extreme heat? As part of a review/meta-analysis we're writing, I think the answer, perhaps surprisingly, is "we don't actually know". Blog and short thread below:
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/does-pl...
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/does-pl...
does tree planting improve health — ECHO: Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab | Stanford University
Perhaps surprisingly, I don’t think we actually know. By: Marshall Burke
www.stanfordecholab.com
July 24, 2025 at 12:03 AM
Does planting trees reduce the health impacts of extreme heat? As part of a review/meta-analysis we're writing, I think the answer, perhaps surprisingly, is "we don't actually know". Blog and short thread below:
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/does-pl...
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/does-pl...
Excited to announce a new funding opportunity for research on "what works" in climate adaptation. We are specifically looking for strong causal designs that tell us what interventions work (or don't) to reduce impacts of a changing climate. Plz share + apply!
seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4
seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4
Evaluation of climate adaptation interventions using observational data | Stanford Seed Funding
seedfunding.stanford.edu
July 22, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Excited to announce a new funding opportunity for research on "what works" in climate adaptation. We are specifically looking for strong causal designs that tell us what interventions work (or don't) to reduce impacts of a changing climate. Plz share + apply!
seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4
seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4
Reposted by Marshall Burke
In February, the US gov shut down the Demographic & Health Surveys.
It was the only data source on maternal & child health, births, household structure in many countries – making it crucial for research.
In a new article I explain why it should be rescued.
ourworldindata.org/demographic-...
It was the only data source on maternal & child health, births, household structure in many countries – making it crucial for research.
In a new article I explain why it should be rescued.
ourworldindata.org/demographic-...
July 21, 2025 at 7:18 AM
In February, the US gov shut down the Demographic & Health Surveys.
It was the only data source on maternal & child health, births, household structure in many countries – making it crucial for research.
In a new article I explain why it should be rescued.
ourworldindata.org/demographic-...
It was the only data source on maternal & child health, births, household structure in many countries – making it crucial for research.
In a new article I explain why it should be rescued.
ourworldindata.org/demographic-...
Does prescribed burning reduce overall smoke from wildfire? We have 2 new papers that try to quantify. Answer: each acre Rx burned yields ≥3x more reduction in future wildfire smoke than is emitted in the Rx burn. But can take years to realize benefits.
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
smoke impacts of prescribed burning — ECHO: Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab | Stanford University
Yes, it almost certainly does, but benefits in terms of net smoke reductions take a few years to be realized. By: Marshall Burke Wildfire smoke is a rapidly growing environmental health haz...
www.stanfordecholab.com
July 15, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Does prescribed burning reduce overall smoke from wildfire? We have 2 new papers that try to quantify. Answer: each acre Rx burned yields ≥3x more reduction in future wildfire smoke than is emitted in the Rx burn. But can take years to realize benefits.
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...
Nice WaPo article on air quality in National Parks, showing improvements in many parks followed by wildfire-driven reversals. Among the many impacts of wildfires, incl. directly loss of infrastructure as in Grand Canyon fires right now, smoke will make them way less enjoyable.
July 14, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Nice WaPo article on air quality in National Parks, showing improvements in many parks followed by wildfire-driven reversals. Among the many impacts of wildfires, incl. directly loss of infrastructure as in Grand Canyon fires right now, smoke will make them way less enjoyable.
Wildfire season really picking up (again, for east coast + midwest). NorCal and Canadian fires sending smoke south.
July 12, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Wildfire season really picking up (again, for east coast + midwest). NorCal and Canadian fires sending smoke south.