Maximilian Kasy
@maxkasy.bsky.social
Econ prof at Oxford.
Machine learning, politics, econometrics, inequality, random reading recs.
maxkasy.github.io/home/
Machine learning, politics, econometrics, inequality, random reading recs.
maxkasy.github.io/home/
Pinned
Maximilian Kasy
@maxkasy.bsky.social
· Jun 5
The Means of Prediction
An eye-opening examination of how power—not technology—will define life with AI. AI is inescapable, from its mundane uses online to its increasingly consequential decision-making in courtrooms,…
press.uchicago.edu
💥 📚 Next step on the book journey:📚💥
"The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)"
is now in the UChicago Press catalog, and available for pre-order online!!!
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
"The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)"
is now in the UChicago Press catalog, and available for pre-order online!!!
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
The means of prediction and the production function of AI
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
2/2
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
2/2
maxkasy.github.io
February 6, 2026 at 4:38 PM
The means of prediction and the production function of AI
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
2/2
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
2/2
Now with correct links - forthcoming policy-papers and essays:
Individual property rights or collective democratic governance? Privacy in the age of AI
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Welfare for the 21st century: Basic income and job guarantee policies
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
1/2
Individual property rights or collective democratic governance? Privacy in the age of AI
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Welfare for the 21st century: Basic income and job guarantee policies
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
1/2
maxkasy.github.io
February 6, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Now with correct links - forthcoming policy-papers and essays:
Individual property rights or collective democratic governance? Privacy in the age of AI
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Welfare for the 21st century: Basic income and job guarantee policies
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
1/2
Individual property rights or collective democratic governance? Privacy in the age of AI
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
Welfare for the 21st century: Basic income and job guarantee policies
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...
1/2
What is “mechanistic interpretability” (MI) of neural networks?
This paper gives a great introduction:
arxiv.org/abs/2404.14082
MI empirically explores “how neural networks work,” in a spirit similar to neuroscience - without the ethical constraints on manipulating living brains.
This paper gives a great introduction:
arxiv.org/abs/2404.14082
MI empirically explores “how neural networks work,” in a spirit similar to neuroscience - without the ethical constraints on manipulating living brains.
Mechanistic Interpretability for AI Safety -- A Review
Understanding AI systems' inner workings is critical for ensuring value alignment and safety. This review explores mechanistic interpretability: reverse engineering the computational mechanisms and…
arxiv.org
February 6, 2026 at 2:22 PM
What is “mechanistic interpretability” (MI) of neural networks?
This paper gives a great introduction:
arxiv.org/abs/2404.14082
MI empirically explores “how neural networks work,” in a spirit similar to neuroscience - without the ethical constraints on manipulating living brains.
This paper gives a great introduction:
arxiv.org/abs/2404.14082
MI empirically explores “how neural networks work,” in a spirit similar to neuroscience - without the ethical constraints on manipulating living brains.
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
Large scale conversion of warehouses into camps to concentrate migrants is taking place:
ICE Begins Buying ‘Mega’ Warehouse Detention Centers Across US
Plans for such centers and jails in nearly two dozen communities have sparked protests over suitability, proximity to homes and schools.
www.bloomberg.com
January 30, 2026 at 3:30 PM
Large scale conversion of warehouses into camps to concentrate migrants is taking place:
Large scale conversion of warehouses into camps to concentrate migrants is taking place:
ICE Begins Buying ‘Mega’ Warehouse Detention Centers Across US
Plans for such centers and jails in nearly two dozen communities have sparked protests over suitability, proximity to homes and schools.
www.bloomberg.com
January 30, 2026 at 3:30 PM
Large scale conversion of warehouses into camps to concentrate migrants is taking place:
What is the backdrop for recent protests in Iran?
Between concentration of economic power in semi-private foundations, intra-elite fractures, rising precarity, poverty, food and fuel prices, and state repression, this article provides excellent analysis:
Between concentration of economic power in semi-private foundations, intra-elite fractures, rising precarity, poverty, food and fuel prices, and state repression, this article provides excellent analysis:
Iran in Revolt | Kayhan Valadbaygi
Deep political-economic transformations are causing recurrent waves of unrest, with no long-term solution in sight.
www.phenomenalworld.org
January 26, 2026 at 2:23 PM
What is the backdrop for recent protests in Iran?
Between concentration of economic power in semi-private foundations, intra-elite fractures, rising precarity, poverty, food and fuel prices, and state repression, this article provides excellent analysis:
Between concentration of economic power in semi-private foundations, intra-elite fractures, rising precarity, poverty, food and fuel prices, and state repression, this article provides excellent analysis:
Looking forward to the workshop on “Causal Machine Learning for the Social Sciences” at the Newton Institute/Cambridge:
www.newton.ac.uk/event/cifw05/
I will discuss the big picture of possible research agendas at the intersection of ML, causality, and econ:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
www.newton.ac.uk/event/cifw05/
I will discuss the big picture of possible research agendas at the intersection of ML, causality, and econ:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Causal Machine Learning for the Social Sciences - Isaac Newton Institute
Causal inference and machine learning are profoundly transforming the social sciences by enabling researchers to move beyond mere correlation to identify...
www.newton.ac.uk
January 25, 2026 at 3:45 PM
Looking forward to the workshop on “Causal Machine Learning for the Social Sciences” at the Newton Institute/Cambridge:
www.newton.ac.uk/event/cifw05/
I will discuss the big picture of possible research agendas at the intersection of ML, causality, and econ:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
www.newton.ac.uk/event/cifw05/
I will discuss the big picture of possible research agendas at the intersection of ML, causality, and econ:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
January 21, 2026 at 3:30 PM
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
Do you like charts? Oh yes you do. I've just published hundreds of them, as I do every year. www.nathanielbullard.com/presentations
January 15, 2026 at 12:59 PM
Do you like charts? Oh yes you do. I've just published hundreds of them, as I do every year. www.nathanielbullard.com/presentations
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
Dani Rodrik and Suresh Naidu say economists need to adopt a broader view of prosperity, one that includes metrics of wellbeing like access to health, democratic participation, and a livable planet. Listen to the new Economics for Inclusive Prosperity podcast. #EfiP podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Economics for Inclusive Prosperity
Government Podcast · Updated Biweekly · We need an alternative vision of economics to replace failed neoliberalism and rising economic nationalism. In a world facing record inequality, climate peril, ...
podcasts.apple.com
January 15, 2026 at 7:36 PM
Dani Rodrik and Suresh Naidu say economists need to adopt a broader view of prosperity, one that includes metrics of wellbeing like access to health, democratic participation, and a livable planet. Listen to the new Economics for Inclusive Prosperity podcast. #EfiP podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
amazing how the entire machine can pivot within 24 hours. no need to slowly upsell the argument; just issue new marching orders
January 5, 2026 at 6:50 AM
amazing how the entire machine can pivot within 24 hours. no need to slowly upsell the argument; just issue new marching orders
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
What is the intersection of machine learning, causal inference, and economics?
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
maxkasy.github.io
December 27, 2025 at 5:34 PM
What is the intersection of machine learning, causal inference, and economics?
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
What is the intersection of machine learning, causal inference, and economics?
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
maxkasy.github.io
December 27, 2025 at 5:34 PM
What is the intersection of machine learning, causal inference, and economics?
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
What are promising avenues for research at this intersection?
I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions:
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
Thoughts and comments welcome!
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
In a new blog post, I contrast two flavors of empiricism: the one practiced in the social sciences and the one practiced in ML/CS.
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
December 26, 2025 at 12:40 PM
In a new blog post, I contrast two flavors of empiricism: the one practiced in the social sciences and the one practiced in ML/CS.
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts.
doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵
Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...
Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...
December 19, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵
Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...
Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...
🎄 📕 Looking for a last-minute gift for the AI-curious or AI-worried person in your life? 📕🎄
Consider "The means of prediction"!
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
Consider "The means of prediction"!
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
December 16, 2025 at 5:30 AM
🎄 📕 Looking for a last-minute gift for the AI-curious or AI-worried person in your life? 📕🎄
Consider "The means of prediction"!
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
Consider "The means of prediction"!
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
Eye scans, licence plate readers, spyware: technology used to catch criminals and terrorists is being repurposed to fulfil Trump's pledge to deport 1mn undocumented migrants this year. Critics fear it’s the thin end of the authoritarian wedge.
An #FTEdit thread on America’s new surveillance state 👇
An #FTEdit thread on America’s new surveillance state 👇
December 10, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Eye scans, licence plate readers, spyware: technology used to catch criminals and terrorists is being repurposed to fulfil Trump's pledge to deport 1mn undocumented migrants this year. Critics fear it’s the thin end of the authoritarian wedge.
An #FTEdit thread on America’s new surveillance state 👇
An #FTEdit thread on America’s new surveillance state 👇
Reposted by Maximilian Kasy
One more round of booktalks on “The means of prediction:”
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
Maximilian Kasy: "The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)" - Social Science Matrix
Join us on December 2, 2025 at 4:00pm for a talk by Maximilian Kasy, Professor of Economics at the University of Oxford, presenting his book "The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who…
matrix.berkeley.edu
December 1, 2025 at 4:01 PM
One more round of booktalks on “The means of prediction:”
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
One more round of booktalks on “The means of prediction:”
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
Maximilian Kasy: "The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)" - Social Science Matrix
Join us on December 2, 2025 at 4:00pm for a talk by Maximilian Kasy, Professor of Economics at the University of Oxford, presenting his book "The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who…
matrix.berkeley.edu
December 1, 2025 at 4:01 PM
One more round of booktalks on “The means of prediction:”
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix):
matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim...
Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive):
events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka...
Dec 5 UC Davis (econ).
Come by if you are in the Bay Area!
My colleagues are organizing a workshop on
*AI for economic research*
next March.
Paper submission is open now!
icms.ac.uk/activities/w...
*AI for economic research*
next March.
Paper submission is open now!
icms.ac.uk/activities/w...
AI and Economics - ICMS
Workshop Template
icms.ac.uk
November 22, 2025 at 2:17 PM
My colleagues are organizing a workshop on
*AI for economic research*
next March.
Paper submission is open now!
icms.ac.uk/activities/w...
*AI for economic research*
next March.
Paper submission is open now!
icms.ac.uk/activities/w...
🕸️ 🔢 Presenting tomorrow at UCL: 🔢 🕸️
"Causal inference on endogenous social network formation"
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
@ucleconomics.bsky.social
"Causal inference on endogenous social network formation"
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
@ucleconomics.bsky.social
November 17, 2025 at 3:30 PM
🕸️ 🔢 Presenting tomorrow at UCL: 🔢 🕸️
"Causal inference on endogenous social network formation"
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
@ucleconomics.bsky.social
"Causal inference on endogenous social network formation"
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...
@ucleconomics.bsky.social