Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
@meghanforr.bsky.social
73 followers 99 following 12 posts
Epi research associate + information specialist Former neuro critical care nurse Interested in stroke 🧠 epi research (with/&) causal inference methods she/her 📍 Berlin #EpiSky #Epidemiology #CausalInference #PublicHealth #AcademicSky
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meghanforr.bsky.social
📣 New paper!

We investigated the use of stacked proportional bar graphs (aka "Grotta bars") in observational neurology research & made infographics 🎨📊 to guide proper use & interpretation of these figures.

🔓 Read the OA paper: www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/...

🙈 Spoilers below 👇
Neurology® Journals
www.neurology.org
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
pwgtennant.bsky.social
Excited to be back in Berlin for the second gathering of the Einstein Circle on Causal Inference from Observational Health Data!

With @jlrohmann.bsky.social, @meghanforr.bsky.social, @chisatoito.bsky.social, @mpiccininni3.bsky.social, Venessa Didilez, Toivo Glatz, Rodrigo Huerta, & others!

#EpiSky
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
pwgtennant.bsky.social
SAVE THE DATE: The 2026 IEA European Congress of Epidemiology and 70th @socsocmed.bsky.social Annual Conference will take place in London, UK on 8th-11th September 2026!

#EpiSky #EuroEpi2026
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
dingdingpeng.the100.ci
Causal inference iceberg!
What's missing?
Ice berg meme template. From top to bottom:
Correlation does not imply causation
Third variable adjustment
Just run an experiment
Confounding
Collider bias
Selective mortality
Observational longitudinal data
Mediation analysis is messed up
Posttreatment bias in experiments
Generalization as a causal inference problem
Missing data as a causal inference problem
Measurement as a causal inference problem
Causal foundations of applied probability and statistics
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
ahanff.bsky.social
Before #CausalInferenceIntro:
"Hmm, this association looks unusual" 🤔

After #CausalInferenceIntro:
"Have you considered the possibility of collider bias?" 🤓

@pwgtennant.bsky.social @georgiatomova.bsky.social @jlrohmann.bsky.social @meghanforr.bsky.social
@laurieberrie.bsky.social
Rodrigo
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
pwgtennant.bsky.social
70 people having a curry at the amazing Bengal Brasserie restaurant in Leeds City Centre!

My favourite part of the #CausalIntroCourse!
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
pwgtennant.bsky.social
I *love* teaching collider bias with dice. And seeing the shocked (and angry) faces when the (seemingly) paradoxical results are revealed 😂

#EpiSky #CausalSky
jlrohmann.bsky.social
No one teaches collider bias like @pwgtennant.bsky.social in the #CausalIntroCourse.

Lighthearted dice rolling 🎲 before the big reveal. Puzzled looks. Then 🤯 shock, as the implications for their research fields sank in. You could hear a pin drop during the compelling lecture that followed! 👏🏻
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
pwgtennant.bsky.social
I love the Monday evening social! 😎 #CausalIntroCourse
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
societyforepi.bsky.social
We are very excited to be welcoming 1500 epidemiologists to Boston, next week for our conference!

Share your plans, and connect with other delegates, on LinkedIn or Bluesky using the #SER2025 hashtag or via the Whova conference app.

We are looking forward to seeing you all very soon!

#EpiSky
Simple flyer for the forthcoming #SER2025 conference
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
bemcolloquium.bsky.social
NEXT TALK: We're excited to be joined next week by Martin Lajous, who will be presenting "Estimating effects on all-cause mortality in the presence of COVID-19 deaths"

📅 May 7, 2025
🕓 4pm CEST (Berlin time)
📍 hybrid (Charité Mitte or Zoom)

Registration links 👇
meghanforr.bsky.social
We ♥️ Methods!
This afternoon, Corinna Dressler and I will host our talk “Evidence Synthesis: Types, reproducibility, and best practices“

⏰ 3 pm Berlin CET (9am US EST)
📍online (Zoom)

Info + registration: www.bihealth.org/de/aktuell/l...

#LoveMethods2025

#systematicreview #scopingreview #ebm
meghanforr.bsky.social
🙌 Big shout out to my co-authors
Emma Lieske
Elena Tamayo Cuartero
Elena Fischer
Lydia Jones

🙌 Huge thanks to the team of supervisors & co-authors for the excellent guidance on this project - it was my master’s thesis!
@jlrohmann.bsky.social
@tweissgerber.bsky.social
@mpiccininni3.bsky.social
meghanforr.bsky.social
In observational, causally-aimed neurology research, we investigated 🔎
❓ How often Grotta bars are used
❓ How often are they adjusted
❓ What adjustment methods are used

We also created infographics to help readers interpret these graphs, and guide authors while generating them

#stroke #causalsky
meghanforr.bsky.social
When an observational study has causal aims, unadjusted Grotta bars will show confounded comparisons. This may lead to incorrect interpretation of observational study results.

Therefore…
meghanforr.bsky.social
Simply showing a graph with observed outcome data only (unadjusted visualization) can be very misleading! Like we adjust the effect measures of interest for confounding, so too should we present adjusted versions of these bars alongside the crude/unadjusted ones.

#metaresearch #academicsky #episky
Figure comparing modified Rankin Scale (mRS) distributions for patients discharged home vs. not discharged home, before and after adjustment using inverse probability of treatment weighting.

The figure consists of two stacked bar charts:
	•	Panel A (Unadjusted): Shows the unadjusted distribution of mRS scores for two groups—patients discharged home and not discharged home.
	•	The discharged home group has a higher proportion of patients with lower mRS scores (0–2, represented by dark blue to light blue), while the not discharged home group has a greater proportion of patients with higher mRS scores (3–6, represented by yellow, orange, and red).
	•	The numbers inside the bars indicate percentages of patients in each mRS category.
	•	Panel B (Adjusted using inverse probability of treatment weighting): Shows the same comparison after statistical adjustment.
	•	The differences between groups are reduced, with more similar distributions of mRS scores between the discharged and not discharged home groups.

The color legend on the right corresponds to different mRS scores, ranging from 0 (dark blue, no symptoms) to 6 (dark red, death).
meghanforr.bsky.social
Because randomization (ideally) works wonders, the contrast shown here is a causal one, and shows that tPA was (and still is) a very effective treatment. But what about when randomization is not possible and we are interested in answering causal questions using observational data?
meghanforr.bsky.social
Grotta bars are a powerful tool to visualize and compare ordinal variables. They’re often used to depict functional outcomes in #neurology research. Perhaps the most memorable (and their namesake) is from the original #thrombolysis trials

www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....
Four stacked proportional bar charts comparing the outcomes of stroke patients treated with t-PA versus a placebo. Each of the four graphs has a different functional outcome (NIHSS, Barthel Index, mRS, or Glasgow Outcome Scale). Each chart represents patient percentages across different severity categories, comparing the intervention "t-PA" to placebo.
meghanforr.bsky.social
📣 New paper!

We investigated the use of stacked proportional bar graphs (aka "Grotta bars") in observational neurology research & made infographics 🎨📊 to guide proper use & interpretation of these figures.

🔓 Read the OA paper: www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/...

🙈 Spoilers below 👇
Neurology® Journals
www.neurology.org
meghanforr.bsky.social
Happening now! Hope you can join for Vanessa Didelez's talk "Statistical Methods for Causal Inference with Time-to-Event Data in Epidemiology" @bemcolloquium.bsky.social

Registration: eu01web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
meghanforr.bsky.social
It was such a nice visit!!
pwgtennant.bsky.social
Great #EpiSky Christmas album cover from my recent visit to the Charité Institute of Public Health!

With
@georgiatomova.bsky.social,
@jlrohmann.bsky.social, @meghanforr.bsky.social, @chisatoito.bsky.social,
@rhuerta.bsky.social,
@mpiccininni3.bsky.social,
Toivo Glatz, and others)
Picture of some epidemiologists stood outside a Christmas market!
meghanforr.bsky.social
I was really lucky to have been able to participate in this class in January. It has a great program with great instructors!

Looks like spots are filling up quickly for the July 2025 course!

#EpiSky #CausalInference
pwgtennant.bsky.social
PLEASE SHARE: Registration is now open for the next Introduction to Causal Inference Course for Health & Social Scientists (7-11 July 2025, Leeds, UK).

See more info & register here: www.causal.training

Note, we are not planning any other courses until 2027.

#CausalIntroCourse #EpiSky #CausalSky
Flyer for the Introduction to Causal Inference Course for Health & Social Scientists, taking place on 7th-11th July 2025
Reposted by Meg Forrest 🌳🌲🌳
pubpeer.com
PubPeer @pubpeer.com · Nov 26
We’re encouraging meaningful commentary with $1,000 rewards for selected PubPeer comments. bsky.app/profile/pubp...

Now imagine if @hhmi.bsky.social , NIH, NSF, etc also awarded outstanding public reviews.

These could boost careers and CVs while building a vital layer of scientific evaluation.
pubpeer.com
PubPeer @pubpeer.com · Nov 25
And now for the announcement:
While many of our plans for the award funds will take time to implement, one can start immediately.
To thank our users and encourage scientific debate, we’re introducing $1,000 rewards for selected PubPeer comments!
Yes students and postdocs you read that right: $1000
meghanforr.bsky.social
Super stoked for this talk! Hope to see some of you there next week :)

#EpiSky #CausalInference #Epidemiology #AcademicSky #PublicHealth
bemcolloquium.bsky.social
Announcement: Next week, Georgia Tomova will present "Understanding compositional data with fixed and variable totals using DAGs and data simulations". @georgiatomova.bsky.social

🗓️ Wednesday, November 27
🕔 16:00 - 17:30 Berlin time
📍 Hybrid (Charité Mitte or Zoom)

Registration links 👇
#EpiSky