Michael Keen
@michaelkeen.bsky.social
Strategic Management Consultant | Enterprise Architect | Scaling Businesses with People, Process, Data & Tech | Wine Enthusiast | Former Pro Alpinist |
Big earnings “beat.”
The market still said no.
Oracle’s numbers looked strong, but the cash burn and debt math told a different story.
AI demand isn’t in question.
AI economics are.
This graphic shows why the market flinched.
#Oracle #AIInfrastructure #CreditMarkets #Earnings
The market still said no.
Oracle’s numbers looked strong, but the cash burn and debt math told a different story.
AI demand isn’t in question.
AI economics are.
This graphic shows why the market flinched.
#Oracle #AIInfrastructure #CreditMarkets #Earnings
December 12, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Big earnings “beat.”
The market still said no.
Oracle’s numbers looked strong, but the cash burn and debt math told a different story.
AI demand isn’t in question.
AI economics are.
This graphic shows why the market flinched.
#Oracle #AIInfrastructure #CreditMarkets #Earnings
The market still said no.
Oracle’s numbers looked strong, but the cash burn and debt math told a different story.
AI demand isn’t in question.
AI economics are.
This graphic shows why the market flinched.
#Oracle #AIInfrastructure #CreditMarkets #Earnings
The Q1 Quarterly Intelligence Briefing is almost ready. The signals this quarter are sharper than anything I have tracked in the past year. AI has moved from experiments to production load, and the strain is real. Capital is flowing to firms w/ discipline and scale. #Intelligence #Quarterly #Outlook
December 12, 2025 at 8:37 PM
The Q1 Quarterly Intelligence Briefing is almost ready. The signals this quarter are sharper than anything I have tracked in the past year. AI has moved from experiments to production load, and the strain is real. Capital is flowing to firms w/ discipline and scale. #Intelligence #Quarterly #Outlook
Oracle’s debt story is now part of the AI infrastructure narrative. What that means for credit quality and sector risk: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#AIInfrastructure #CreditQuality #Investing #Analysis
#AIInfrastructure #CreditQuality #Investing #Analysis
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 12, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Oracle’s debt story is now part of the AI infrastructure narrative. What that means for credit quality and sector risk: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#AIInfrastructure #CreditQuality #Investing #Analysis
#AIInfrastructure #CreditQuality #Investing #Analysis
A 5 bps CDS widening after an earnings beat? That’s not normal. Here’s what credit markets are pricing: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#EarningsBeat #MarketSignals #CDS #Risk
#EarningsBeat #MarketSignals #CDS #Risk
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 11:15 PM
A 5 bps CDS widening after an earnings beat? That’s not normal. Here’s what credit markets are pricing: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#EarningsBeat #MarketSignals #CDS #Risk
#EarningsBeat #MarketSignals #CDS #Risk
Software revenue down, cloud growth up, and debt markets unconvinced. My take on Oracle’s results: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Software #Cloud #CreditMarkets #Finance
#Software #Cloud #CreditMarkets #Finance
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Software revenue down, cloud growth up, and debt markets unconvinced. My take on Oracle’s results: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Software #Cloud #CreditMarkets #Finance
#Software #Cloud #CreditMarkets #Finance
The biggest RPO backlog in history yet a revenue miss. Why the disconnect matters for cash flow and credit risk: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Revenue #Backlog #Debt #Analysis
#Revenue #Backlog #Debt #Analysis
December 11, 2025 at 9:15 PM
The biggest RPO backlog in history yet a revenue miss. Why the disconnect matters for cash flow and credit risk: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Revenue #Backlog #Debt #Analysis
#Revenue #Backlog #Debt #Analysis
Oracle’s CDS spread hit its highest level since 2009. What’s driving this and what it could mean? My detailed analysis: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Oracle #CDS #CreditRisk #MarketInsights
#Oracle #CDS #CreditRisk #MarketInsights
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Oracle’s CDS spread hit its highest level since 2009. What’s driving this and what it could mean? My detailed analysis: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Oracle #CDS #CreditRisk #MarketInsights
#Oracle #CDS #CreditRisk #MarketInsights
Is AI infrastructure debt becoming a stress point? Oracle’s CapEx and cash flow tell a story the headlines missed. See my full write-up: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#AI #CapEx #Credit #Markets
#AI #CapEx #Credit #Markets
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 7:30 PM
Is AI infrastructure debt becoming a stress point? Oracle’s CapEx and cash flow tell a story the headlines missed. See my full write-up: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#AI #CapEx #Credit #Markets
#AI #CapEx #Credit #Markets
I walked through five anomalies in Oracle’s numbers and why the stock and credit spreads diverged. This matters for investors and credit analysts alike. buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Earnings #CreditAnalysis #Investing #Risk
#Earnings #CreditAnalysis #Investing #Risk
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 6:16 PM
I walked through five anomalies in Oracle’s numbers and why the stock and credit spreads diverged. This matters for investors and credit analysts alike. buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Earnings #CreditAnalysis #Investing #Risk
#Earnings #CreditAnalysis #Investing #Risk
What happens when an earnings beat doesn’t calm the debt market? Oracle’s CDS response may be a warning signal for tech capital cycles. Full breakdown: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#CDS #FixedIncome #TechEarnings #DebtMarkets
#CDS #FixedIncome #TechEarnings #DebtMarkets
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 4:45 PM
What happens when an earnings beat doesn’t calm the debt market? Oracle’s CDS response may be a warning signal for tech capital cycles. Full breakdown: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#CDS #FixedIncome #TechEarnings #DebtMarkets
#CDS #FixedIncome #TechEarnings #DebtMarkets
If you want to understand how fixed income markets interpret tech earnings differently than equities, this Oracle analysis is worth reading: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#FixedIncome #Earnings #Oracle #Insight
#FixedIncome #Earnings #Oracle #Insight
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 3:45 PM
If you want to understand how fixed income markets interpret tech earnings differently than equities, this Oracle analysis is worth reading: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#FixedIncome #Earnings #Oracle #Insight
#FixedIncome #Earnings #Oracle #Insight
Oracle beat earnings, but credit markets are screaming otherwise. The CDS spread tells a different story on AI infrastructure economics. Read my analysis: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Oracle #CreditRisk #AIInfrastructure #Finance
#Oracle #CreditRisk #AIInfrastructure #Finance
Oracle's December 10, 2025 Earnings and the Credit Default Swap Verdict
Anomalies, Contradictions, and What the Debt Market Is Really Saying
buff.ly
December 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Oracle beat earnings, but credit markets are screaming otherwise. The CDS spread tells a different story on AI infrastructure economics. Read my analysis: buff.ly/VkaaxVw
#Oracle #CreditRisk #AIInfrastructure #Finance
#Oracle #CreditRisk #AIInfrastructure #Finance
Most companies do not lose ground because they missed the big signals. They lose ground because they saw the signals, but their decision system could not translate uncertainty into action. www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-fu... #Foresight #Strategy #CEO #COO #CTO #CIO #Insights #Signals #Systems
Why the Future Doesn’t Care About Your Plan
Most companies do not lose ground because they missed the big signals. They lose ground because they saw the signals, but their decision system could not translate uncertainty into action.
www.linkedin.com
December 8, 2025 at 8:29 PM
Most companies do not lose ground because they missed the big signals. They lose ground because they saw the signals, but their decision system could not translate uncertainty into action. www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-fu... #Foresight #Strategy #CEO #COO #CTO #CIO #Insights #Signals #Systems
Intel’s struggles were not a single company’s failure. They were a preview of what happens when execution slips inside a strategic industry tied to national competitiveness.
#Semiconductors #Innovation #Leadership #TechPolicy
#Semiconductors #Innovation #Leadership #TechPolicy
Semiconductors at a Strategic Inflection Point
Geopolitics, Supply Chains, and the Future of Technological Power
buff.ly
December 5, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Intel’s struggles were not a single company’s failure. They were a preview of what happens when execution slips inside a strategic industry tied to national competitiveness.
#Semiconductors #Innovation #Leadership #TechPolicy
#Semiconductors #Innovation #Leadership #TechPolicy
The global chip supply chain was optimized for cost, not resilience. That tradeoff made sense until the world ran on AI and strategy depended on fabrication geography.
#SupplyChainRisk #TSMC #CHIPSAct #AdvancedManufacturing
#SupplyChainRisk #TSMC #CHIPSAct #AdvancedManufacturing
Semiconductors at a Strategic Inflection Point
Geopolitics, Supply Chains, and the Future of Technological Power
buff.ly
December 4, 2025 at 11:30 PM
The global chip supply chain was optimized for cost, not resilience. That tradeoff made sense until the world ran on AI and strategy depended on fabrication geography.
#SupplyChainRisk #TSMC #CHIPSAct #AdvancedManufacturing
#SupplyChainRisk #TSMC #CHIPSAct #AdvancedManufacturing
Semiconductors are no longer components. They are the infrastructure of national power. The next decade will be defined by who builds, who designs, and who controls access to compute.
#Semiconductors #Geopolitics #AIInfrastructure #NationalSecurity buff.ly/ib62yZD
#Semiconductors #Geopolitics #AIInfrastructure #NationalSecurity buff.ly/ib62yZD
Semiconductors at a Strategic Inflection Point
Geopolitics, Supply Chains, and the Future of Technological Power
buff.ly
December 4, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Semiconductors are no longer components. They are the infrastructure of national power. The next decade will be defined by who builds, who designs, and who controls access to compute.
#Semiconductors #Geopolitics #AIInfrastructure #NationalSecurity buff.ly/ib62yZD
#Semiconductors #Geopolitics #AIInfrastructure #NationalSecurity buff.ly/ib62yZD
AI capex is expected to reach $600 billion next year. Operating cash flow covers only a fraction. The math forces debt, and debt forces discipline. This is where the next phase of the AI cycle will be decided. buff.ly/zDD5quH
#AIInvestment #BondMarkets #TechMacro #RiskSignals
#AIInvestment #BondMarkets #TechMacro #RiskSignals
AI Infrastructure and the Credit Market Warning Signal
Oracle CDS Becomes the Most Important AI Barometer of 2025
buff.ly
November 22, 2025 at 2:01 AM
AI capex is expected to reach $600 billion next year. Operating cash flow covers only a fraction. The math forces debt, and debt forces discipline. This is where the next phase of the AI cycle will be decided. buff.ly/zDD5quH
#AIInvestment #BondMarkets #TechMacro #RiskSignals
#AIInvestment #BondMarkets #TechMacro #RiskSignals
The bond market is early. Always has been. When CDS spreads double in ten weeks, you pay attention. Oracle has become the credit barometer for the entire AI buildout. Ignore the noise and watch the debt curve. buff.ly/zDD5quH
November 22, 2025 at 12:16 AM
The bond market is early. Always has been. When CDS spreads double in ten weeks, you pay attention. Oracle has become the credit barometer for the entire AI buildout. Ignore the noise and watch the debt curve. buff.ly/zDD5quH
If you want to understand where the AI infrastructure cycle is heading, ignore the noise and watch the credit markets. #AI #CEO #COO #CxO #CreditMarkets #Infrastructure
michaelkeen1.substack.com/p/ai-infrast...
michaelkeen1.substack.com/p/ai-infrast...
AI Infrastructure and the Credit Market Warning Signal
Oracle CDS Becomes the Most Important AI Barometer of 2025
michaelkeen1.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 9:00 PM
If you want to understand where the AI infrastructure cycle is heading, ignore the noise and watch the credit markets. #AI #CEO #COO #CxO #CreditMarkets #Infrastructure
michaelkeen1.substack.com/p/ai-infrast...
michaelkeen1.substack.com/p/ai-infrast...
Our crisis is not abstract. It’s about whether we still see one another as human. Camus challenges us to choose humanity over hate. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #Compassion #Humanity #Rebellion
#Camus #Compassion #Humanity #Rebellion
September 16, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Our crisis is not abstract. It’s about whether we still see one another as human. Camus challenges us to choose humanity over hate. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #Compassion #Humanity #Rebellion
#Camus #Compassion #Humanity #Rebellion
The corruption of a society begins when we shrug off the killing of its thinkers and leaders. Camus said it in 1946. It’s true in 2025. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #Democracy #HumanCrisis #Violence
#Camus #Democracy #HumanCrisis #Violence
September 16, 2025 at 3:09 PM
The corruption of a society begins when we shrug off the killing of its thinkers and leaders. Camus said it in 1946. It’s true in 2025. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #Democracy #HumanCrisis #Violence
#Camus #Democracy #HumanCrisis #Violence
Every act of political violence is a wound to our shared humanity. Camus knew the danger. His words echo today. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #PoliticalViolence #Humanity #HumanCrisis
#Camus #PoliticalViolence #Humanity #HumanCrisis
September 16, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Every act of political violence is a wound to our shared humanity. Camus knew the danger. His words echo today. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #PoliticalViolence #Humanity #HumanCrisis
#Camus #PoliticalViolence #Humanity #HumanCrisis
Rebellion, in Camus’s sense, is not about overthrowing power. It’s about saying no to hate and yes to human dignity. We need that now more than ever. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #Rebellion #Humanity #Compassion
#Camus #Rebellion #Humanity #Compassion
Lessons from Camus for a Fractured World
Why the words of a 1946 speech feel written for this moment in America
buff.ly
September 16, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Rebellion, in Camus’s sense, is not about overthrowing power. It’s about saying no to hate and yes to human dignity. We need that now more than ever. buff.ly/ytiBQHK
#Camus #Rebellion #Humanity #Compassion
#Camus #Rebellion #Humanity #Compassion
Reposted by Michael Keen
RFK Jr.'s hand-picked panel of vaccine advisors is expected to vote to delay the hepatitis B shot for newborns. Doctors warn that could fuel a return of a disease virtually eradicated in U.S. kids.
Kennedy's vaccine panel expected to recommend delaying hepatitis B shot in children
RFK Jr.'s hand-picked panel of vaccine advisors is expected to vote to delay the hepatitis B shot for newborns. Doctors warn that could fuel a return of a disease virtually eradicated in U.S. kids.
n.pr
September 16, 2025 at 12:12 PM
RFK Jr.'s hand-picked panel of vaccine advisors is expected to vote to delay the hepatitis B shot for newborns. Doctors warn that could fuel a return of a disease virtually eradicated in U.S. kids.
Camus warned that when we reduce people to symbols, violence follows. We are seeing it happen in real time. My reflections here. michaelkeen1.substack.com/p/lessons-fr...
#Camus #HumanCrisis #Violence #Democracy
#Camus #HumanCrisis #Violence #Democracy
Lessons from Camus for a Fractured World
Why the words of a 1946 speech feel written for this moment in America
michaelkeen1.substack.com
September 16, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Camus warned that when we reduce people to symbols, violence follows. We are seeing it happen in real time. My reflections here. michaelkeen1.substack.com/p/lessons-fr...
#Camus #HumanCrisis #Violence #Democracy
#Camus #HumanCrisis #Violence #Democracy