Russian seasonal advance
in 2025
Winter: 890km2
Spring: 960km2
Summer: 1631km2
Autumn: 1275km2 (+150km2)*
Russian army size increased from 600K to 730K over this period
in 2025
Winter: 890km2
Spring: 960km2
Summer: 1631km2
Autumn: 1275km2 (+150km2)*
Russian army size increased from 600K to 730K over this period
November 21, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Russian seasonal advance
in 2025
Winter: 890km2
Spring: 960km2
Summer: 1631km2
Autumn: 1275km2 (+150km2)*
Russian army size increased from 600K to 730K over this period
in 2025
Winter: 890km2
Spring: 960km2
Summer: 1631km2
Autumn: 1275km2 (+150km2)*
Russian army size increased from 600K to 730K over this period
Ternopil
Before and After
Before and After
November 19, 2025 at 8:35 AM
Ternopil
Before and After
Before and After
Western Ukraine is under attack.
Ternopil and Lviv were hit.
Will assume Russians are aiming at gas and energy infrastructure.
Paper tiger can only fight with civilians.
Ternopil and Lviv were hit.
Will assume Russians are aiming at gas and energy infrastructure.
Paper tiger can only fight with civilians.
November 19, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Western Ukraine is under attack.
Ternopil and Lviv were hit.
Will assume Russians are aiming at gas and energy infrastructure.
Paper tiger can only fight with civilians.
Ternopil and Lviv were hit.
Will assume Russians are aiming at gas and energy infrastructure.
Paper tiger can only fight with civilians.
Settlements layout around Zaporizhzhia.
November 19, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Settlements layout around Zaporizhzhia.
Deadliest SBS day ever.
November 16, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Deadliest SBS day ever.
The "death of modern war theory" is a strange paradox: two comparable armies have beaten each other down to a point where continuing the war should be impossible, yet the side with even a slight advantage keeps going because it cannot afford to stop.
November 16, 2025 at 3:35 PM
The "death of modern war theory" is a strange paradox: two comparable armies have beaten each other down to a point where continuing the war should be impossible, yet the side with even a slight advantage keeps going because it cannot afford to stop.
At the end of every year Artillery leaving GSUA reports.
Will return by February.
Will return by February.
November 16, 2025 at 12:25 PM
At the end of every year Artillery leaving GSUA reports.
Will return by February.
Will return by February.
Lyman and Beyond
The situation around Lyman is pretty straightforward: secure the flanks, cut the supply routes, and only then take the town. Everything else depends on that. Yarova and Yampil are the keys on the sides, and cutting the roads feeding Lyman is the other half of the job.
The situation around Lyman is pretty straightforward: secure the flanks, cut the supply routes, and only then take the town. Everything else depends on that. Yarova and Yampil are the keys on the sides, and cutting the roads feeding Lyman is the other half of the job.
November 15, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Lyman and Beyond
The situation around Lyman is pretty straightforward: secure the flanks, cut the supply routes, and only then take the town. Everything else depends on that. Yarova and Yampil are the keys on the sides, and cutting the roads feeding Lyman is the other half of the job.
The situation around Lyman is pretty straightforward: secure the flanks, cut the supply routes, and only then take the town. Everything else depends on that. Yarova and Yampil are the keys on the sides, and cutting the roads feeding Lyman is the other half of the job.
GSUA Barrages update
350 shellings using over 1500 munitions, that makes ~4 shells per barrage, significant drop from previously reported 8.
It highlight a significant change in the war approach.
350 shellings using over 1500 munitions, that makes ~4 shells per barrage, significant drop from previously reported 8.
It highlight a significant change in the war approach.
November 15, 2025 at 12:47 PM
GSUA Barrages update
350 shellings using over 1500 munitions, that makes ~4 shells per barrage, significant drop from previously reported 8.
It highlight a significant change in the war approach.
350 shellings using over 1500 munitions, that makes ~4 shells per barrage, significant drop from previously reported 8.
It highlight a significant change in the war approach.
Another November KAB decline.
Average numbers have dropped from 200 to 100 in a month.
The Weather cant explain this drop.
Average numbers have dropped from 200 to 100 in a month.
The Weather cant explain this drop.
November 14, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Another November KAB decline.
Average numbers have dropped from 200 to 100 in a month.
The Weather cant explain this drop.
Average numbers have dropped from 200 to 100 in a month.
The Weather cant explain this drop.
Combined attacked focused on Kyiv this time.
405/430 Drones
6/6 Kalibr
6/9 Iskander
2/3 Kinzhal
0/1 Zirkon
Drones and Missiles directly hit 13 locations, 44 more were damaged with debris.
Numbers magically improves when enemy attack defended locations.
405/430 Drones
6/6 Kalibr
6/9 Iskander
2/3 Kinzhal
0/1 Zirkon
Drones and Missiles directly hit 13 locations, 44 more were damaged with debris.
Numbers magically improves when enemy attack defended locations.
November 14, 2025 at 8:53 AM
Combined attacked focused on Kyiv this time.
405/430 Drones
6/6 Kalibr
6/9 Iskander
2/3 Kinzhal
0/1 Zirkon
Drones and Missiles directly hit 13 locations, 44 more were damaged with debris.
Numbers magically improves when enemy attack defended locations.
405/430 Drones
6/6 Kalibr
6/9 Iskander
2/3 Kinzhal
0/1 Zirkon
Drones and Missiles directly hit 13 locations, 44 more were damaged with debris.
Numbers magically improves when enemy attack defended locations.
Dew point rule
Gusts, Humidity, Percipitation to predict front behavior.
Drones wont fly in a fog due to poor visibility: high humidity, minimal wind, no percipitation.
Drones wont fly in a strong winds, that usually comes with stronger gusts, no matter the percepitation and visibility.
Gusts, Humidity, Percipitation to predict front behavior.
Drones wont fly in a fog due to poor visibility: high humidity, minimal wind, no percipitation.
Drones wont fly in a strong winds, that usually comes with stronger gusts, no matter the percepitation and visibility.
November 9, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Dew point rule
Gusts, Humidity, Percipitation to predict front behavior.
Drones wont fly in a fog due to poor visibility: high humidity, minimal wind, no percipitation.
Drones wont fly in a strong winds, that usually comes with stronger gusts, no matter the percepitation and visibility.
Gusts, Humidity, Percipitation to predict front behavior.
Drones wont fly in a fog due to poor visibility: high humidity, minimal wind, no percipitation.
Drones wont fly in a strong winds, that usually comes with stronger gusts, no matter the percepitation and visibility.
Magyar stats decryption
here are SBS percentage of all the registered monthly hits.
Jan: 20% — 55649
Feb: 18% — 53286
Mar: 18.5% — 64264
Apr: 19.5% — 63010
May: 21% — 63259
Jun: 31.5% — 62247
Jul: 36% — 64624
Aug: 35.5% — 60032
Sep: 35.5% — 66537
Oct: 33.5% — 78000*
here are SBS percentage of all the registered monthly hits.
Jan: 20% — 55649
Feb: 18% — 53286
Mar: 18.5% — 64264
Apr: 19.5% — 63010
May: 21% — 63259
Jun: 31.5% — 62247
Jul: 36% — 64624
Aug: 35.5% — 60032
Sep: 35.5% — 66537
Oct: 33.5% — 78000*
November 7, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Magyar stats decryption
here are SBS percentage of all the registered monthly hits.
Jan: 20% — 55649
Feb: 18% — 53286
Mar: 18.5% — 64264
Apr: 19.5% — 63010
May: 21% — 63259
Jun: 31.5% — 62247
Jul: 36% — 64624
Aug: 35.5% — 60032
Sep: 35.5% — 66537
Oct: 33.5% — 78000*
here are SBS percentage of all the registered monthly hits.
Jan: 20% — 55649
Feb: 18% — 53286
Mar: 18.5% — 64264
Apr: 19.5% — 63010
May: 21% — 63259
Jun: 31.5% — 62247
Jul: 36% — 64624
Aug: 35.5% — 60032
Sep: 35.5% — 66537
Oct: 33.5% — 78000*
1 for Borova
2 in Kupians
3 to Lyman
2 in Kupians
3 to Lyman
November 5, 2025 at 7:41 PM
1 for Borova
2 in Kupians
3 to Lyman
2 in Kupians
3 to Lyman
Terrarasha Avdiivka
November 3, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Terrarasha Avdiivka
The front has a limit.
You cannot cover everything. Each army can only handle a certain capacity - men, logistics, command, and attention. Once you exceed it, you lose control and start wasting people. 🔽
You cannot cover everything. Each army can only handle a certain capacity - men, logistics, command, and attention. Once you exceed it, you lose control and start wasting people. 🔽
November 2, 2025 at 9:43 PM
The front has a limit.
You cannot cover everything. Each army can only handle a certain capacity - men, logistics, command, and attention. Once you exceed it, you lose control and start wasting people. 🔽
You cannot cover everything. Each army can only handle a certain capacity - men, logistics, command, and attention. Once you exceed it, you lose control and start wasting people. 🔽
Gorushko October - 10360 new records.
November 1, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Gorushko October - 10360 new records.
October in two pictures
November 1, 2025 at 4:41 PM
October in two pictures
GSUA Summary
Over the month, Russians carried out 5378 attacks, expanded by 360km2 across all the fronts: capturing 253km2, graying out 106km2 at a cost of 31270 IvanZ.
They attacked 239 different settlements, 41 of them for the first time, and 66 not mentioned since September.
Over the month, Russians carried out 5378 attacks, expanded by 360km2 across all the fronts: capturing 253km2, graying out 106km2 at a cost of 31270 IvanZ.
They attacked 239 different settlements, 41 of them for the first time, and 66 not mentioned since September.
October 31, 2025 at 9:48 AM
GSUA Summary
Over the month, Russians carried out 5378 attacks, expanded by 360km2 across all the fronts: capturing 253km2, graying out 106km2 at a cost of 31270 IvanZ.
They attacked 239 different settlements, 41 of them for the first time, and 66 not mentioned since September.
Over the month, Russians carried out 5378 attacks, expanded by 360km2 across all the fronts: capturing 253km2, graying out 106km2 at a cost of 31270 IvanZ.
They attacked 239 different settlements, 41 of them for the first time, and 66 not mentioned since September.
Striking October
October 31, 2025 at 9:47 AM
Striking October
Donbas after Pokrovsk
Dont expect big changes after Pokrovsk. Yeah its a hit but not a turning point. Just another town on the long road west. Russians will keep crawling 100-200 meters a day spreading pressure along the 60 km front slipping between defense points and grinding through positions.
Dont expect big changes after Pokrovsk. Yeah its a hit but not a turning point. Just another town on the long road west. Russians will keep crawling 100-200 meters a day spreading pressure along the 60 km front slipping between defense points and grinding through positions.
October 30, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Donbas after Pokrovsk
Dont expect big changes after Pokrovsk. Yeah its a hit but not a turning point. Just another town on the long road west. Russians will keep crawling 100-200 meters a day spreading pressure along the 60 km front slipping between defense points and grinding through positions.
Dont expect big changes after Pokrovsk. Yeah its a hit but not a turning point. Just another town on the long road west. Russians will keep crawling 100-200 meters a day spreading pressure along the 60 km front slipping between defense points and grinding through positions.
The Green Belt Update.
23000km2: a death zone 450km in length and up to 85km deep.
23000km2: a death zone 450km in length and up to 85km deep.
October 28, 2025 at 12:43 PM
The Green Belt Update.
23000km2: a death zone 450km in length and up to 85km deep.
23000km2: a death zone 450km in length and up to 85km deep.
Leaked russian missile prices
9М728 Iskander-K: ~ $1.5 M
9М729 Iskander-K ER: $1.4 – $1.8 M
3М14 Kalibr: ~ $2 M
3М-14С Kalibr: $2 – $2.3 M
Kh-101: $2 – $2.4 M
Product 506: $4.2 M
9М723 Iskander-M: $2.4 - $3 M
9-С-7760 Kinzhal: $4.5 M
3М22 Zirkon $5.2 – $5.6 M
militarnyi.com/uk/articles/...
9М728 Iskander-K: ~ $1.5 M
9М729 Iskander-K ER: $1.4 – $1.8 M
3М14 Kalibr: ~ $2 M
3М-14С Kalibr: $2 – $2.3 M
Kh-101: $2 – $2.4 M
Product 506: $4.2 M
9М723 Iskander-M: $2.4 - $3 M
9-С-7760 Kinzhal: $4.5 M
3М22 Zirkon $5.2 – $5.6 M
militarnyi.com/uk/articles/...
Від «Калібра» до «Кинжала»: скільки насправді коштують російські ракети
Скільки насправді коштують російські крилаті ракети «Калибр» та Х-101, балістичний «Искандер», а також гіперзвукові «Кинжал» та «Циркон».
militarnyi.com
October 23, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Leaked russian missile prices
9М728 Iskander-K: ~ $1.5 M
9М729 Iskander-K ER: $1.4 – $1.8 M
3М14 Kalibr: ~ $2 M
3М-14С Kalibr: $2 – $2.3 M
Kh-101: $2 – $2.4 M
Product 506: $4.2 M
9М723 Iskander-M: $2.4 - $3 M
9-С-7760 Kinzhal: $4.5 M
3М22 Zirkon $5.2 – $5.6 M
militarnyi.com/uk/articles/...
9М728 Iskander-K: ~ $1.5 M
9М729 Iskander-K ER: $1.4 – $1.8 M
3М14 Kalibr: ~ $2 M
3М-14С Kalibr: $2 – $2.3 M
Kh-101: $2 – $2.4 M
Product 506: $4.2 M
9М723 Iskander-M: $2.4 - $3 M
9-С-7760 Kinzhal: $4.5 M
3М22 Zirkon $5.2 – $5.6 M
militarnyi.com/uk/articles/...
Shell army
There is this idea that people below a certain level should not serve in the army, that they are too dumb for it. But it is not really about intelligence. It is about how complex the job is. Big armies always settle around the population median anyway.
⬇️⬇️⬇️
There is this idea that people below a certain level should not serve in the army, that they are too dumb for it. But it is not really about intelligence. It is about how complex the job is. Big armies always settle around the population median anyway.
⬇️⬇️⬇️
October 22, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Shell army
There is this idea that people below a certain level should not serve in the army, that they are too dumb for it. But it is not really about intelligence. It is about how complex the job is. Big armies always settle around the population median anyway.
⬇️⬇️⬇️
There is this idea that people below a certain level should not serve in the army, that they are too dumb for it. But it is not really about intelligence. It is about how complex the job is. Big armies always settle around the population median anyway.
⬇️⬇️⬇️