Rio, Market Catnician
@musingtrader.bsky.social
Following the trading herd
So Shaw is the actual father of the simulation theory.
🤣👊🍻
🤣👊🍻
September 1, 2025 at 4:08 PM
So Shaw is the actual father of the simulation theory.
🤣👊🍻
🤣👊🍻
So too woke or not woke enough Frankenstein? You never can win with these people.🤣👊🍻
September 1, 2025 at 4:05 PM
So too woke or not woke enough Frankenstein? You never can win with these people.🤣👊🍻
That's "stable" coins for you.
June 23, 2025 at 3:14 PM
That's "stable" coins for you.
I'm posting this chart here for no reason whatsoever.
It has absolutely no relevance to current events and therefore cannot, I repeat, cannot be taken as a cautionary tale.
/s
h/t: Kyla Scanlon
It has absolutely no relevance to current events and therefore cannot, I repeat, cannot be taken as a cautionary tale.
/s
h/t: Kyla Scanlon
April 8, 2025 at 2:57 PM
I'm posting this chart here for no reason whatsoever.
It has absolutely no relevance to current events and therefore cannot, I repeat, cannot be taken as a cautionary tale.
/s
h/t: Kyla Scanlon
It has absolutely no relevance to current events and therefore cannot, I repeat, cannot be taken as a cautionary tale.
/s
h/t: Kyla Scanlon
Best comments of the day (so far):
"Yeah, but if tariffs cure the woke mind virus, it'll all have been worth it."
"Also, I told you tariffs weren't inflationary. Stagflationary or deflationary but not inflationary."
"Yeah, but if tariffs cure the woke mind virus, it'll all have been worth it."
"Also, I told you tariffs weren't inflationary. Stagflationary or deflationary but not inflationary."
April 7, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Best comments of the day (so far):
"Yeah, but if tariffs cure the woke mind virus, it'll all have been worth it."
"Also, I told you tariffs weren't inflationary. Stagflationary or deflationary but not inflationary."
"Yeah, but if tariffs cure the woke mind virus, it'll all have been worth it."
"Also, I told you tariffs weren't inflationary. Stagflationary or deflationary but not inflationary."
Hahaha. Do they know who you are?
March 12, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Hahaha. Do they know who you are?
The following is an absurd and grotesque illustration of a ridiculous potential slippery slope:
1. "Every person who vandalizes a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
2,3,4,5. Use your imagination
6. "Every person who does not buy a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
🤣😭🤣😭🤣😭
1. "Every person who vandalizes a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
2,3,4,5. Use your imagination
6. "Every person who does not buy a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
🤣😭🤣😭🤣😭
March 12, 2025 at 2:16 PM
The following is an absurd and grotesque illustration of a ridiculous potential slippery slope:
1. "Every person who vandalizes a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
2,3,4,5. Use your imagination
6. "Every person who does not buy a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
🤣😭🤣😭🤣😭
1. "Every person who vandalizes a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
2,3,4,5. Use your imagination
6. "Every person who does not buy a Tesla is a domestic terrorist"
🤣😭🤣😭🤣😭
Word to the wise:
If you think that by giving feedback to the chatbot of your choice will make it smarter or more personalized, i.e. that chatbots use real-time Reinforcement Learning, think again.
Gemini and DeepSeek both confirmed that it's way too computationally onerous.
Sad.
If you think that by giving feedback to the chatbot of your choice will make it smarter or more personalized, i.e. that chatbots use real-time Reinforcement Learning, think again.
Gemini and DeepSeek both confirmed that it's way too computationally onerous.
Sad.
March 12, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Word to the wise:
If you think that by giving feedback to the chatbot of your choice will make it smarter or more personalized, i.e. that chatbots use real-time Reinforcement Learning, think again.
Gemini and DeepSeek both confirmed that it's way too computationally onerous.
Sad.
If you think that by giving feedback to the chatbot of your choice will make it smarter or more personalized, i.e. that chatbots use real-time Reinforcement Learning, think again.
Gemini and DeepSeek both confirmed that it's way too computationally onerous.
Sad.
Me to Gemini (with "thinking"):
"Thank you for your useful input."
Gemini "thoughts":
"The user is expressing gratitude, which signals the end of the current line of questioning."
Chatbots are off-the-charts autistic and how can it not rub off on us?
"Thank you for your useful input."
Gemini "thoughts":
"The user is expressing gratitude, which signals the end of the current line of questioning."
Chatbots are off-the-charts autistic and how can it not rub off on us?
March 10, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Me to Gemini (with "thinking"):
"Thank you for your useful input."
Gemini "thoughts":
"The user is expressing gratitude, which signals the end of the current line of questioning."
Chatbots are off-the-charts autistic and how can it not rub off on us?
"Thank you for your useful input."
Gemini "thoughts":
"The user is expressing gratitude, which signals the end of the current line of questioning."
Chatbots are off-the-charts autistic and how can it not rub off on us?
It might've been a tumultuous week in DC but on Wall Street, after a hotter-than-expected CPI followed by a cooler-than-expected PPI, lethargic is more like it.
5800-ish is still key $SPX support and 6400-ish is still the measured move target, should 6100-ish capitulate.
Thank you for reading.
5800-ish is still key $SPX support and 6400-ish is still the measured move target, should 6100-ish capitulate.
Thank you for reading.
February 17, 2025 at 2:06 PM
It might've been a tumultuous week in DC but on Wall Street, after a hotter-than-expected CPI followed by a cooler-than-expected PPI, lethargic is more like it.
5800-ish is still key $SPX support and 6400-ish is still the measured move target, should 6100-ish capitulate.
Thank you for reading.
5800-ish is still key $SPX support and 6400-ish is still the measured move target, should 6100-ish capitulate.
Thank you for reading.
The index will have to finally shake free of that 5850-ish to 6100-ish zone it's been stuck in for two months.
Below that, we have the all-important 5700-ish support.
Above, we logically (not that there's that much logic in markets!) now have a measured move target of 6250-ish.
🙏🙏👊🍻
Below that, we have the all-important 5700-ish support.
Above, we logically (not that there's that much logic in markets!) now have a measured move target of 6250-ish.
🙏🙏👊🍻
January 5, 2025 at 8:07 PM
The index will have to finally shake free of that 5850-ish to 6100-ish zone it's been stuck in for two months.
Below that, we have the all-important 5700-ish support.
Above, we logically (not that there's that much logic in markets!) now have a measured move target of 6250-ish.
🙏🙏👊🍻
Below that, we have the all-important 5700-ish support.
Above, we logically (not that there's that much logic in markets!) now have a measured move target of 6250-ish.
🙏🙏👊🍻
lore but the next few trading days are important at the very least sentiment-wise.
Can the market recapture the post-election euphoric mood and keep it until we get a look at what the incoming administration's initial moves are?
Can the market recapture the post-election euphoric mood and keep it until we get a look at what the incoming administration's initial moves are?
January 5, 2025 at 8:07 PM
lore but the next few trading days are important at the very least sentiment-wise.
Can the market recapture the post-election euphoric mood and keep it until we get a look at what the incoming administration's initial moves are?
Can the market recapture the post-election euphoric mood and keep it until we get a look at what the incoming administration's initial moves are?
You know the saying "as goes January, so goes the year", modified by some into "as goes the first week of January, so goes January and therefore the year?"
I'm not sure about the statistical significance of this classic piece of
I'm not sure about the statistical significance of this classic piece of
January 5, 2025 at 8:07 PM
You know the saying "as goes January, so goes the year", modified by some into "as goes the first week of January, so goes January and therefore the year?"
I'm not sure about the statistical significance of this classic piece of
I'm not sure about the statistical significance of this classic piece of
The Bears had their shot this week. Repeatedly. But the 5850-ish $SPX support is still holding and we finished the week on a positive note right at the 10-week SMA @ 5950-ish.
So we're still long-term and medium-term bullish, short-term neutral.
So we're still long-term and medium-term bullish, short-term neutral.
January 5, 2025 at 8:07 PM
The Bears had their shot this week. Repeatedly. But the 5850-ish $SPX support is still holding and we finished the week on a positive note right at the 10-week SMA @ 5950-ish.
So we're still long-term and medium-term bullish, short-term neutral.
So we're still long-term and medium-term bullish, short-term neutral.
Socrates knew about the normal distribution!
This from Plato's The Last Days of Socrates:
This from Plato's The Last Days of Socrates:
November 13, 2024 at 9:06 PM
Socrates knew about the normal distribution!
This from Plato's The Last Days of Socrates:
This from Plato's The Last Days of Socrates:
Is there anybody out there?
November 13, 2024 at 9:03 PM
Is there anybody out there?
The potential double-top is goading us, the potential measured move to 6200-ish is enticing us, and the August 5th low @ 5100-ish is daring us.
Enjoy the Labor Day weekend!
🙏🙏👊🍻
Enjoy the Labor Day weekend!
🙏🙏👊🍻
August 31, 2024 at 8:53 PM
The potential double-top is goading us, the potential measured move to 6200-ish is enticing us, and the August 5th low @ 5100-ish is daring us.
Enjoy the Labor Day weekend!
🙏🙏👊🍻
Enjoy the Labor Day weekend!
🙏🙏👊🍻
The enormous work that has been accomplished to repair the technical damage in the weekly chart (2nd below) and bring the index back to ATH territory @ 5650-ish has also put it in a somewhat equivocal spot.
August 31, 2024 at 8:52 PM
The enormous work that has been accomplished to repair the technical damage in the weekly chart (2nd below) and bring the index back to ATH territory @ 5650-ish has also put it in a somewhat equivocal spot.
But is it forgotten, or will its memory linger in the form of higher volatility and, more specifically, a much heightened sensitivity to disappointing labor statistics now that the glare has almost totally shifted from inflation to unemployment?
August 31, 2024 at 8:51 PM
But is it forgotten, or will its memory linger in the form of higher volatility and, more specifically, a much heightened sensitivity to disappointing labor statistics now that the glare has almost totally shifted from inflation to unemployment?
August 2024 is now consigned to the dustbin of trading history, with its “VIX at 66” and its long lower wick/tail (also known in Japanese Candlestick parlance as a shadow - how poetic and maybe prophetic?) on the monthly $SPX chart (1st below.)
August 31, 2024 at 8:50 PM
August 2024 is now consigned to the dustbin of trading history, with its “VIX at 66” and its long lower wick/tail (also known in Japanese Candlestick parlance as a shadow - how poetic and maybe prophetic?) on the monthly $SPX chart (1st below.)