Niels de Winter
nielsjdewinter.bsky.social
Niels de Winter
@nielsjdewinter.bsky.social
Assistant Professor @ VU Amsterdam & @ VUBrussel

#Paleoclimate, short-term #climate variability 🌦️, mollusks🐚, #running, popular #science, #gamer, plant-based #vegan 🌱

Sharing new #paleoclimate, #geology and #sclerochronology #science papers + own results
DIfferent climate models project different temperature outcomes for the same Net Zero Emission scenario:
bg.copernicus.org/articles/22/...
A normalised framework for the Zero Emissions Commitment
Abstract. The Zero Emissions Commitment (ZEC) measures the transient climate response after carbon emissions cease, defined by whether there is a continued rise or decrease in global surface temperatu...
bg.copernicus.org
November 25, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Temperature extremes are amongst the most dangerous consequences of climate change. This study shows the (modelled) impact of warming on day-to-day temperature swings.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Global warming intensifies extreme day-to-day temperature changes in mid–low latitudes - Nature Climate Change
Climate change is expected to lead to higher day-to-day temperature variability in mid- to low latitudes. Here the authors show that extreme day-to-day temperature changes have distinct impacts on hum...
www.nature.com
November 25, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Reposted by Niels de Winter
Extreme day-to-day temperature swings are becoming more frequent and intense due to Global warming, impacting human health, ecosystems, and resilience.

By 2100, these changes could increase by 17%, affecting 80% of the global population.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Global warming intensifies extreme day-to-day temperature changes in mid–low latitudes - Nature Climate Change
Climate change is expected to lead to higher day-to-day temperature variability in mid- to low latitudes. Here the authors show that extreme day-to-day temperature changes have distinct impacts on hum...
www.nature.com
November 24, 2025 at 5:44 AM
Starting the week well with a new paper! 🧑‍🔬 Here we show remarkable evidence of rudist bivalves in the hot, Late Cretaceous (75 Ma) tropics mineralizing their shells at temperatures of over 40 degrees C, hotter than any mollusc living today.
cp.copernicus.org/articles/21/...
Living on the edge: Response of Late Cretaceous rudist bivalves (Hippuritida) to hot and highly seasonal climate in the low-latitude Saiwan site, Oman
Abstract. Earth's climate history serves as a natural laboratory for testing the effect of warm climates on the biosphere. The Cretaceous period featured a prolonged greenhouse climate characterized b...
cp.copernicus.org
November 24, 2025 at 6:12 AM
Reposted by Niels de Winter
There is a long list of reasons why one might want a non-animal-based protein-rich foodstuff. Getting something that could also be grown compactly (maybe on a spaceship or a submarine) is a bit more challenging, but these gene-edited mushrooms might fit the bill. 🧪
Link: www.cell.com/trends/biote...
November 22, 2025 at 7:27 AM
After a long and tense period of negotiations and protests, we have finally got some news this week, and it is overall positive: It seems we will after all keep our bachelor's and master's degrees and our department will remain. What reorganizations will be done remains unclear
vu.nl/en/news/2025...
VU continues offering Earth Sciences Bachelor’s Programme  - Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
The Bachelor’s programme in Earth Sciences at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam will remain in place.
vu.nl
November 21, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Gigantic brachiopods may have been (partly) photosymbiotic and are untapped archives of climate change in deep geological time:
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Brachiopod giants from the Mississippian (Asbian) of western Ireland: Fossil bioarchives of seasonality and symbiosis and far-field harbingers of climate change
Brachiopod species of Gigantoproductus have long fascinated researchers, not only because of their exceptional size and thick shell, but also as unpar…
www.sciencedirect.com
November 13, 2025 at 8:22 AM
Nice contribution in @science.org Advances on the importance of reef ecosystems for biodiversity. Reefs were persistent hotspots of biodiversity throughout most of the Phanerozoic (last ~550 million years), it seems!
doi.org/10.1126/scia...
Reefal regions were biodiversity hotspots throughout the Phanerozoic
Geographic regions that support reefal environments have been key hotspots of marine animal diversity for over 400 million years.
doi.org
November 10, 2025 at 12:23 PM
I'm guiding the review process of this interesting @Biogeosciences manuscript about trace element incorporation into fish otoliths. Feel free to check out the preprint and contribute to the open review discussion if you're interested!

egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Ideas and perspectives: Mineralizing Fluid Control on Minor Elements in Biogenic CaCO3: Insights from Otoliths
Abstract. The minor element composition of calcium carbonate (CaCO3) biominerals from marine calcifying organisms leaving a sedimentary record has been used for decades to reconstruct various biogeoch...
egusphere.copernicus.org
November 7, 2025 at 8:03 AM
⏰New paper⏰

Proud to be part of this work led by Alex Quizon & Sierra Petersen where we show that most snails (we tested) precipitate their shells in isotopic equilibrium with seawater, enabling climate reconstructions like the one published earlier this week.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Clumped isotope thermometry (Δ47) measurements in marine gastropods suggest equilibrium precipitation
The clumped isotope paleothermometer (Δ47) has been used to reconstruct temperatures from various biogenic carbonate archives. Calibration studies dem…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 31, 2025 at 7:30 AM
Alkenone-based #temperature #reconstructions from marine sediments based on #spectral #imaging seems to be a very promising technique for high-resolution climate reconstructions. Looking forward to seeing this develop further!
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Microscale Alkenone Heterogeneity and Replicability of Ultra-High-Resolution Temperature Records from Marine Sediments
Abstract. The alkenone-derived UK37 proxy is crucial for the reconstruction of past sea surface temperatures in marine sedimentary archives. Recent advances in mass spectrometry imaging (MSI) now allo...
egusphere.copernicus.org
October 30, 2025 at 6:48 AM
⏰New paper⏰

Very excited to share our more recent paper published today in @nature.com Communications, where we show based on #clumped #isotope measurements in a giant sea #snail 🐚 that Europe experienced a monsoon-like climate during the #Eocene high-CO2 period.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A European monsoon-like climate in a warmhouse world - Nature Communications
Daily climate 45 million years ago is reconstructed using fossil snail shells, revealing monsoon-like conditions in Europe. The findings help predict how future warming could affect rainfall and seaso...
www.nature.com
October 28, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Very cool, and just in time to make it into my lecture on Ocean Acidification! 😀
www.science.org/content/arti...
Ambient noise can track dangerous ocean acidification
Acoustic technique could make it easier to monitor threat to marine life stemming from rising carbon emissions
www.science.org
October 28, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Clumped isotope evidence for coupled changes in sea surface temperature in the Bay of Bengal with rainfall patterns over eastern India.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Sensitivity of South Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall to Bay of Bengal Sea Surface Temperature over the past 31 kiloyears
Warmer Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) in the Bay of Bengal relative to the surrounding northern Indian Ocean sustain deep atmospheric convection, stre…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 28, 2025 at 6:33 AM
Quite innovative to use paleontological records to reconstruct tectonic plate movements in the past! @egubg.bsky.social
bg.copernicus.org/articles/22/...
Early Permian longitudinal position of the South China Block from brachiopod paleobiogeography
Abstract. Knowledge of the past location of tectonic plates is essential to understanding the evolution of climate, ocean systems, and mantle flow. Tectonic reconstructions become increasingly uncerta...
bg.copernicus.org
October 28, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Do you have exciting research to share on the interface between #climate reconstructions and #paleontology? Please consider submitting an abstract for upcoming year's #EGU2026. We have a very nice session lined up:
October 24, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Modern global mean sea-level rise rate since 1900 has exceeded any century over at least the past four millennia
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Modern sea-level rise breaks 4,000-year stability in southeastern China - Nature
Spatiotemporal hierarchical modelling of geological sea-level proxies and tide gauge data suggest that the modern global mean sea-level rise rate since 1900 has exceeded any century over at least...
www.nature.com
October 24, 2025 at 6:26 AM
I love these types of detailed studies into the chemistry of biomineralization. I think we paleoclimatologists all need regular reminders that carbonate skeletons are biominerals and that their non-carbonate compounds are (chemically) important!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
NanoSIMS mapping of skeletal organic matrix relative to aragonite formation in a scleractinian cold-water coral
Organic matrix (OM) molecules are found in coral skeletons and make up ∼ 1 % of the coral skeleton by weight. These molecules play an important role i…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 24, 2025 at 6:17 AM
Dinosaurs were abundant and diverse right up to the astroid impact. This study highlights the important of dating in geological and paleontological studies
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Dinosaur diversity before the asteroid
Evidence for low dinosaur diversity ahead of extinction event grows dimmer
www.science.org
October 24, 2025 at 6:14 AM
This very neat study into stalagmite shapes provides insight into isotope fractionation due to changes in growth rate
doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
Shapes of ideal stalagmites | PNAS
Stalagmites are isolated columns of calcium carbonate growing on a cave floor; their growth is driven by the constant dripping of supersaturated so...
doi.org
October 22, 2025 at 11:35 AM
Such a cool study gaining seasonal temperature variability from detailed chemical measurements in single-celled (!) foraminifera building carbonate shells. We tried doing this back @amgc-vub.bsky.social some years ago but could not pull it off. Impressive work!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Intra-annually -resolved sea surface temperature variability at the onset of the Oligocene icehouse based on Nummulites geochemistry
Corals, otoliths, molluscs, and foraminifera all produce growth-banded shells, which can be subsampled to produce records of intra-annual variation in…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 17, 2025 at 6:22 AM
It was (and still is) an absolute pleasure to work with the brilliant Ana Lores Padin (UGent) to develop and calibrate this very cool "time of flight" laser ablation-application which allows us to map the chemistry of shell cross sections, such as the oyster shell below:
pubs.rsc.org/en/content/a...
LA-ICP-TOF-MS for quantitative mapping of biogenic carbonate samples using matrix-matched nanoparticulate pressed powder pellets
This study evaluated the micro-homogeneity of seven different commercially available nanoparticulate pressed pellets based on a CaCO3 matrix and their utility for quantitative elemental mapping of bio...
pubs.rsc.org
October 17, 2025 at 5:11 AM