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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 8h

Flash flooding can escalate quickly, whether you’re on the road or camping. If flooding occurs while you’re outdoors, immediately get to higher ground, and NEVER enter flood waters in a vehicle or on foot.

For more safety tips visit: www.weather.gov/safety/flood

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 8h

A MODERATE risk of excessive rainfall is in effect across portions of Arizona and Utah today. Heavy rain will continue to pose a threat, especially across vulnerable areas, including steep terrain, slot canyons and burn scars.

Keep up to date with the latest forecast at weather.gov.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 13h

Risk of rip currents is high today, especially off the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coast. This means that life-threatening rip currents are likely and swimming conditions are unsafe for all levels of swimmers.

For more information visit weather.gov/safety/ripcurrent.

High risk of rip current along much of the East Coast on Friday October 10

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 14h

Potentially damaging wind gusts could lead to scattered power outages. Now is the time to make sure that you are prepared.

Visit weather.gov/safety for more weather safety tips.

Text that says "Be prepared for power outages. Strong winds can knock out power. Check your emergency kit to make sure it has everything you need" overlaid on an image of downed power lines.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 14h

Read the latest key messages regarding the development of a strong coastal low this weekend. Significant coastal impacts are expected along much of the U.S. East Coast through early next week.

Find your local forecast office to keep up with the latest at weather.gov.

Graphic relaying the Key Messages for a forecast strong coastal low expected along the east coast this weekend.
- A coastal low is expected to develop off the coast of the Southeast US early Saturday and strengthen through the weekend, bringing significant coastal impacts to parts of the US East Coast through early next week.
- The combination of persistent, strong onshore winds, high surf, and high astronomical tides may lead to major coastal flooding for some Mid-Atlantic communities. Coastal residents are urged to heed warnings for their local National Weather Service office and always follow guidance from local officials.
- High surf is expected on many East Coast beaches, which will generate strong rip currents and likely lead to areas of beach erosion.
- There is an increasing threat of wind gusts in excess of 55mph and periods of heavy rain for coastal areas of the Mid-Atlantic. This may lead to scattered power outages and isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

Deep tropical moisture surging into the Southwest U.S. will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding the next several days. For more info, visit www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.php#pa...

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

A strong coastal low will develop late this week & will bring significant impacts to much of the U.S. East Coast through early next week.

There is potential for significant coastal flooding, strong rip currents & beach erosion, damaging wind gusts, & heavy rain.

Stay up to date at weather.gov.

Key Messages for Strong Coastal Low
- A coastal low is expected to form off the Southeast U.S. coast on Friday night and strengthen into the weekend, impacting the East Coast through early next week.
- Strong onshore winds, high surf, and high astronomical tides could cause significant coastal flooding. Residents should follow local official guidance.
- High surf is expected on many East Coast beaches, increasing the risk of rip currents and erosion.
- Wind gusts over 55mph and heavy rainfall may hit coastal areas of the Mid-Atlantic and Long Island, possibly reaching southern New England. Risks include power outages and inland flooding.

Also includes two maps showing the chance of 55mph wind gusts on Sunday, Oct 12. The highest chances areas include parts of the Mid-Atlantic coast. And the most likely storm total rainfall. Areas in dark green to orange indicate rainfall between 1 to 6 inches, with heaviest rain projected along the coast of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

Be sure to follow forecast updates from local National Weather Service forecast offices in the southwest U.S. at weather.gov and the Weather Prediction Center at wpc.ncep.gov through the weekend.
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National Weather Service

NWS All NOAA

weather.gov

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

Moisture associated with Priscilla will lead to a significant heavy rainfall and a flash flood risk across portions of Arizona, southern Utah, southwest Colorado, and far northwest New Mexico through Saturday.
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Key Messages for Tropical Storm Priscilla.
1. Moisture from Priscilla will cause significant heavy rainfall and flash flooding across parts of Arizona, southern Utah, southwest Colorado, and far northwest New Mexico through Saturday.
2. Large swells from Priscilla are impacting the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur and parts of the southwestern and west-central Mexico coast. These swells may cause dangerous surf, rip currents, and some coastal flooding.

The graphic also includes:
- A map showing the projected path of Tropical Storm Priscilla moving northeast from the Pacific Ocean toward the Baja California Peninsula and western Mexico.
- A rainfall and flash flood risk map highlighting the highest threat areas in red (moderate risk) over Arizona and surrounding states.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

While La Niña is currently expected to remain weak, it could still influence the 2025-26 winter season. See what a typical winter La Niña pattern looks like across the U.S.

For more information visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov.
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A graphic with text overlaid on the U.S. La Niña winter impact map. The text reads: "A weak La Niña is less likely to result in typical La Niña winter impacts. However, it could still influence the 2025-26 winter season."

A map of North America showing the typical weather patterns during a La Niña winter. A blue arrow shows the polar jet stream dipping southward over the northwestern U.S., bringing colder and wetter conditions to the Pacific Northwest and northern U.S. A "blocking high pressure" system is shown off the West Coast. The southern U.S. is shown with warmer and drier conditions.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

La Niña conditions are expected to continue through the December 2025 to February 2026 timeframe. A transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, meaning neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions, is most likely in the January 2026 to March 2026 timeframe.
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A bar chart titled "ENSO Probabilities, Issued October 2025." It shows the percent chance of La Niña (blue), Neutral (gray), and El Niño (red) conditions for different three-month seasons from September 2025 to July 2026. The chart indicates a high probability of La Niña in the fall, decreasing over time, while the probability of neutral conditions increases beginning in January 2026.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 1d

A La Niña Advisory has been issued, meaning that La Niña conditions have been observed in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
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A graphic announcing the issuance of a La Niña Advisory on October 9, 2025. The text reads: "La Niña conditions have been observed in the tropical Pacific Ocean and are expected to continue through the December 2025 to February 2026 timeframe."

A graphic showing a map of the Pacific Ocean with sea surface temperatures. A rectangular box labeled "key monitoring region" highlights a band of cooler-than-average water along the equator, indicating La Niña conditions.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 2d

An ongoing flux of moisture from the Tropical Pacific into the Southwest will foster locally heavy rainfall through early next week, brining daily flash flooding risks. Follow your local weather forecast office for specific information.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 2d

WPC has initiated Key Messages for an impending coastal storm that will look to generate strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and significant coastal impacts that include coastal flooding, rip currents, and beach erosion along portions of the East Coast over the upcoming weekend.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 2d

Here are the updated Key Messages for Tropical Storm #Jerry

nhc.noaa.gov

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 2d

A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop late this week along the East Coast, bringing a renewed surge of onshore winds and moderate-to-major coastal flooding to the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic shores.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 3d

The Southwest, centered around New Mexico, will continue to see showers and thunderstorms. Some isolated flash flooding threat may exist . Rain will become more abundant later in the week and into the weekend as the tropical feed from the East Pacific increases.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 3d

Heavy rains and scattered thunderstorms will bring a hail, isolated severe wind gusts, and localized flash flooding threat this afternoon and evening across parts of central New Mexico. This is the start of a multi-day period of thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall across the Southwest.

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook that highlights a marginal to slight risk for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding across central and eastern New Mexico today mainly for areas near and south of I-40.

SPC Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook that highlights the Marginal scattered thunderstorms threat across parts of central New Mexico.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 3d

Most flood fatalities occur in vehicles. It only takes 12in of water to sweep a car away.

Small decisions like turning around, not driving through a flooded roadway, around barricades, & delaying travel until conditions improve, can make a big impact.

Turn Around, Don’t Drown.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 3d

Tropical Storm #Jerry forms over the tropical central Atlantic. Here is the Key Message.

Tropical Storm Jerry Key messages, issued at 11:00 AM AST on Tuesday, October 7, 2025. The key message states that Tropical Storm Jerry is forecast to pass near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday night and Friday. People in that area should monitor the storm for potential wind, surf, and rainfall impacts. Watches may be issued later today or tonight.

The graphic includes two maps:

Top-right map: A forecast cone showing the projected path of Tropical Storm Jerry, which moves west-northwest across the Atlantic, approaching the northern Leeward Islands by Thursday night.

Bottom-right map: A colored probability map displaying the likelihood of tropical-storm-force winds over the next 120 hours.

For more information go to hurricanes.gov.

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 3d

Heavy rain and storms are forecast across parts of the Ohio River Valley today. The slow moving nature of these storms combined with the possibility of backbuilding or training storms (when storms repeatedly develop over the same area) could lead to flash flooding. Check the forecast at weather.gov.

A weather graphic titled “Heavy Rain and Flood Threat – Tuesday, October 7, 2025”.

The National Weather Service warns of heavy rainfall across Kentucky and the Ohio River Valley. A map on the top left shows rainfall amounts with colors indicating 2 to 4 inches of rain across Kentucky. A second map at the bottom right shows flash flood risk levels, with areas shaded in green (level 1 out of 4), yellow (level 2 out of 4).

Text on the graphic states:
“Heavy rain, of 2 to 4 inches, is forecast across Kentucky today.”
“A Level 2 out of 4 risk of excessive rain, which could lead to flash flooding, is in effect across parts of the Ohio River Valley through tonight.”

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 4d

Periods of heavy rainfall today and tomorrow (Tuesday) could lead to isolated to scattered flash flooding across portions of the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians. Avoid flloded roadways and turn around, dont drown!

weather.gov

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 4d

Mid 80s? In October? In Maine?! You betcha.

In addition to the record heat, gusty winds bring an elevated threat for wildfires through this afternoon.

weather.gov

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 5d

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some with locally very heavy rain, continue across the central Gulf Coast and Florida. A storm system will bring mountain snow, locally heavy rain, thunderstorms, gusty winds and much cooler temperatures to portions of the western and central U.S.

WPC National Forecast Chart for Sunday, October 5, 2025

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 7d

Flood watches are already in effect along the East Coast of Florida through Sunday morning. Heavy rainfall rates could lead to rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches in some areas.

Remember, never drive into flood waters, turn around, don't drown.
Keep up to date with the latest forecast at weather.gov.

Forecast heavy rainfall across Florida and the Southeast U.S. Friday morning through Monday morning, showing heavy rainfall forecast across the U.S. Southeast coast and eastern Florida coast.

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