Oliver Alexander
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Oliver Alexander
@oalexanderdk.bsky.social
Danish All Source Intelligence Analyst
The initial plan for limited strikes was crippled by the extremely harsh crackdown on the protesters. Had the protests still had the momentum of the 9th/10th, even limited strikes could have had a major impact.

Given the situation now, a large air campaign will be needed.
February 1, 2026 at 11:56 AM
The U.S. was prepared to launch a strike on Iran as early as January 14

Given the assets being moved into the region, it is clear that any strike will be a large-scale operation. A likely objective will be to decapitate the regime, hence the preparation for full Iranian retaliation.
February 1, 2026 at 11:56 AM
Several U.S. Air Force combat search and rescue (CSAR) assets are currently flying from the U.S. towards Europe/Middle East.

Two HC-130J Combat Kings out of Patrick Space Force Base, FL and a C-17 left Moody Air Force Base likely carrying 41st Rescue Squadron assets.
January 27, 2026 at 5:38 PM
The video also shows that the agent who fired the shots drew his weapon as the other agent, wearing a grey jacket, removed the victim’s handgun from the holster in his waistband.
January 24, 2026 at 10:06 PM
The agent grabs his arm, startling him and causing him to fire one round. After being shot, the victim attempts to get up and is able to do so because the other agents release him, having also been startled. The shooting agent then fires rounds two, three, and four at the victim.
January 24, 2026 at 10:06 PM
🧵The final agent to enter the frame approaches the agent who fired the shots from behind. During this approach, he accidentally grabs the other agent’s left arm. This leads the agent to believe that someone is trying to grab his weapon, causing him to discharge the first shot.
January 24, 2026 at 10:06 PM
Imagine going back 15 years and telling Republicans this:

One day, you will cheer federal agents for killing people who were carrying firearms while exercising their Second Amendment rights.
January 24, 2026 at 6:04 PM
Trump has reached a deal with the Iranian regime. The U.S. will not launch an attack on Iran, in return Iran sends IRGC instructors to the U.S. to teach ICE how to deal with protesters.
January 24, 2026 at 6:01 PM
Looks very likely that the man killed by ICE was disarmed by an ICE agent prior to being shot several times.

An agent walks away with a handgun that matches the handgun the man was carrying.
January 24, 2026 at 5:14 PM
The pistol the officer walks away with has an optic mounted on it and looks very likely to be a match to the weapon it is stated that the man was carrying.
January 24, 2026 at 5:10 PM
The officer in the grey jacket enters the altercation unarmed, reaches over the man as others hold him down and then walks away with a pistol in his hand.

It appears that this officer managed to disarm the suspect prior to the first shots.
January 24, 2026 at 5:09 PM
Immediately after the first shots, the officer can be seen some distance from the man, but the bottle of mace is seen dropping at the feet of the man.

There is the possibility that the man attempted to (and possibly succeeded in) grabbing the bottle of mace.
January 24, 2026 at 4:38 PM
Another officer wearing a coyote colored beanie is armed with a bottle of mace in his right hand. Just prior to the shooting in screenshot 2 he can be seen beating the man with the bottle of mace several times.
January 24, 2026 at 4:38 PM
Immediately after the first shots, the officer's scatter and the initial shooter fires several more rounds while backing up, as the man is lying motionless on the ground.
January 24, 2026 at 4:38 PM
First shots were fired by this officer as the person attempts to get back to his feet. The shots were fired into the man's back from the officer as seen in screenshot 2.
January 24, 2026 at 4:38 PM
🧵What does the video of the latest ICE shooting show us? A break down of what is visible:
January 24, 2026 at 4:38 PM
Trump's "Board of Peace" is just a list of countries where you can't safely drink tap water.
January 22, 2026 at 11:49 AM
January 17, 2026 at 10:31 PM
Peter Thiel's Polymarket reporting made up bullshit about an offer to purchase Greenland, which incidentally happens to align with one of Peter Thiel’s long-standing ambitions.?

Nothing suspicious about that at all.
January 14, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Peter Thiel's Polymarket reporting made up bullshit about an offer to purchase Greenland, which incidentally happens to align with one of Peter Thiel’s long-standing ambitions.?

Nothing suspicious about that at all.
January 14, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Trump actually kidnapped Maduro for advice on financial policy.
January 12, 2026 at 11:10 AM
Let’s see if MAGA continues to hold this opinion during their next January 6th once they get sweeped in the midterms
WELKER: Noem called it an "act of domestic terrorism." What's the evidence?

HOMAN: If they didn't have sanctuary policies--

W: To be clear, is anyone who protests ICE a domestic terrorist?

HOMAN: It's case by case. If you look at the definition of terrorism, it certainly could fall within it
January 11, 2026 at 4:51 PM
The funniest part of the “we need Greenland to defend the Arctic from Russia” argument is that the U.S. already has a far more practical and effective way to limit Russia’s threat, and it is actively choosing not to use it.
January 11, 2026 at 4:49 PM
The Russians don’t want you to know this but the oil tankers in the Atlantic are free you can take them home I have 5 oil tankers.
January 10, 2026 at 12:27 AM
Russia is going to have to come to terms with being a regional power soon.
January 7, 2026 at 2:46 PM