Oliver Alexander
@oalexanderdk.bsky.social
Danish All Source Intelligence Analyst
The U.S. was prepared to launch a strike on Iran as early as January 14
Given the assets being moved into the region, it is clear that any strike will be a large-scale operation. A likely objective will be to decapitate the regime, hence the preparation for full Iranian retaliation.
Given the assets being moved into the region, it is clear that any strike will be a large-scale operation. A likely objective will be to decapitate the regime, hence the preparation for full Iranian retaliation.
February 1, 2026 at 11:56 AM
The U.S. was prepared to launch a strike on Iran as early as January 14
Given the assets being moved into the region, it is clear that any strike will be a large-scale operation. A likely objective will be to decapitate the regime, hence the preparation for full Iranian retaliation.
Given the assets being moved into the region, it is clear that any strike will be a large-scale operation. A likely objective will be to decapitate the regime, hence the preparation for full Iranian retaliation.
Several U.S. Air Force combat search and rescue (CSAR) assets are currently flying from the U.S. towards Europe/Middle East.
Two HC-130J Combat Kings out of Patrick Space Force Base, FL and a C-17 left Moody Air Force Base likely carrying 41st Rescue Squadron assets.
Two HC-130J Combat Kings out of Patrick Space Force Base, FL and a C-17 left Moody Air Force Base likely carrying 41st Rescue Squadron assets.
January 27, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Several U.S. Air Force combat search and rescue (CSAR) assets are currently flying from the U.S. towards Europe/Middle East.
Two HC-130J Combat Kings out of Patrick Space Force Base, FL and a C-17 left Moody Air Force Base likely carrying 41st Rescue Squadron assets.
Two HC-130J Combat Kings out of Patrick Space Force Base, FL and a C-17 left Moody Air Force Base likely carrying 41st Rescue Squadron assets.
🧵The final agent to enter the frame approaches the agent who fired the shots from behind. During this approach, he accidentally grabs the other agent’s left arm. This leads the agent to believe that someone is trying to grab his weapon, causing him to discharge the first shot.
January 24, 2026 at 10:06 PM
🧵The final agent to enter the frame approaches the agent who fired the shots from behind. During this approach, he accidentally grabs the other agent’s left arm. This leads the agent to believe that someone is trying to grab his weapon, causing him to discharge the first shot.
Imagine going back 15 years and telling Republicans this:
One day, you will cheer federal agents for killing people who were carrying firearms while exercising their Second Amendment rights.
One day, you will cheer federal agents for killing people who were carrying firearms while exercising their Second Amendment rights.
January 24, 2026 at 6:04 PM
Imagine going back 15 years and telling Republicans this:
One day, you will cheer federal agents for killing people who were carrying firearms while exercising their Second Amendment rights.
One day, you will cheer federal agents for killing people who were carrying firearms while exercising their Second Amendment rights.
Trump has reached a deal with the Iranian regime. The U.S. will not launch an attack on Iran, in return Iran sends IRGC instructors to the U.S. to teach ICE how to deal with protesters.
January 24, 2026 at 6:01 PM
Trump has reached a deal with the Iranian regime. The U.S. will not launch an attack on Iran, in return Iran sends IRGC instructors to the U.S. to teach ICE how to deal with protesters.
Looks very likely that the man killed by ICE was disarmed by an ICE agent prior to being shot several times.
An agent walks away with a handgun that matches the handgun the man was carrying.
An agent walks away with a handgun that matches the handgun the man was carrying.
January 24, 2026 at 5:14 PM
Looks very likely that the man killed by ICE was disarmed by an ICE agent prior to being shot several times.
An agent walks away with a handgun that matches the handgun the man was carrying.
An agent walks away with a handgun that matches the handgun the man was carrying.
🧵What does the video of the latest ICE shooting show us? A break down of what is visible:
January 24, 2026 at 4:38 PM
🧵What does the video of the latest ICE shooting show us? A break down of what is visible:
Trump's "Board of Peace" is just a list of countries where you can't safely drink tap water.
January 22, 2026 at 11:49 AM
Trump's "Board of Peace" is just a list of countries where you can't safely drink tap water.
Peter Thiel's Polymarket reporting made up bullshit about an offer to purchase Greenland, which incidentally happens to align with one of Peter Thiel’s long-standing ambitions.?
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
January 14, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Peter Thiel's Polymarket reporting made up bullshit about an offer to purchase Greenland, which incidentally happens to align with one of Peter Thiel’s long-standing ambitions.?
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
Peter Thiel's Polymarket reporting made up bullshit about an offer to purchase Greenland, which incidentally happens to align with one of Peter Thiel’s long-standing ambitions.?
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
January 14, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Peter Thiel's Polymarket reporting made up bullshit about an offer to purchase Greenland, which incidentally happens to align with one of Peter Thiel’s long-standing ambitions.?
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
Nothing suspicious about that at all.
Trump actually kidnapped Maduro for advice on financial policy.
January 12, 2026 at 11:10 AM
Trump actually kidnapped Maduro for advice on financial policy.
Let’s see if MAGA continues to hold this opinion during their next January 6th once they get sweeped in the midterms
WELKER: Noem called it an "act of domestic terrorism." What's the evidence?
HOMAN: If they didn't have sanctuary policies--
W: To be clear, is anyone who protests ICE a domestic terrorist?
HOMAN: It's case by case. If you look at the definition of terrorism, it certainly could fall within it
HOMAN: If they didn't have sanctuary policies--
W: To be clear, is anyone who protests ICE a domestic terrorist?
HOMAN: It's case by case. If you look at the definition of terrorism, it certainly could fall within it
January 11, 2026 at 4:51 PM
Let’s see if MAGA continues to hold this opinion during their next January 6th once they get sweeped in the midterms
The funniest part of the “we need Greenland to defend the Arctic from Russia” argument is that the U.S. already has a far more practical and effective way to limit Russia’s threat, and it is actively choosing not to use it.
January 11, 2026 at 4:49 PM
The funniest part of the “we need Greenland to defend the Arctic from Russia” argument is that the U.S. already has a far more practical and effective way to limit Russia’s threat, and it is actively choosing not to use it.
The Russians don’t want you to know this but the oil tankers in the Atlantic are free you can take them home I have 5 oil tankers.
January 10, 2026 at 12:27 AM
The Russians don’t want you to know this but the oil tankers in the Atlantic are free you can take them home I have 5 oil tankers.
Russia is going to have to come to terms with being a regional power soon.
January 7, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Russia is going to have to come to terms with being a regional power soon.
Riding the side of an MH-6 250NM off the coast of Iceland in January is a vibe.
Hope they layered up.
Hope they layered up.
January 7, 2026 at 1:42 PM
Riding the side of an MH-6 250NM off the coast of Iceland in January is a vibe.
Hope they layered up.
Hope they layered up.
Official reporting that a U.S. boarding operation is underway.
The BELLA 1 / MARINERA just made an odd turn due south and decelerated.
Now technically sailing in the direction of the Ireland and the UK rather than towards Russia.
No indication as of yet as to why.
Now technically sailing in the direction of the Ireland and the UK rather than towards Russia.
No indication as of yet as to why.
January 7, 2026 at 12:37 PM
Official reporting that a U.S. boarding operation is underway.
The BELLA 1 / MARINERA just made an odd turn due south and decelerated.
Now technically sailing in the direction of the Ireland and the UK rather than towards Russia.
No indication as of yet as to why.
Now technically sailing in the direction of the Ireland and the UK rather than towards Russia.
No indication as of yet as to why.
January 7, 2026 at 12:02 PM
The BELLA 1 / MARINERA just made an odd turn due south and decelerated.
Now technically sailing in the direction of the Ireland and the UK rather than towards Russia.
No indication as of yet as to why.
Now technically sailing in the direction of the Ireland and the UK rather than towards Russia.
No indication as of yet as to why.
If the U.S. ultimately refrains from seizing the tankers it previously said it would because they were reflagged at sea, it would hand Putin and Russia a major propaganda victory at a moment when they badly need one.
January 7, 2026 at 9:03 AM
If the U.S. ultimately refrains from seizing the tankers it previously said it would because they were reflagged at sea, it would hand Putin and Russia a major propaganda victory at a moment when they badly need one.
The drama around the heap of scrap metal known as the BELLA 1 / MARINERA is so excessive that it raises the possibility that it is carrying a shipment of Russian weapons from Iran originally destined for Venezuela.
January 7, 2026 at 12:50 AM
The drama around the heap of scrap metal known as the BELLA 1 / MARINERA is so excessive that it raises the possibility that it is carrying a shipment of Russian weapons from Iran originally destined for Venezuela.
“So grandpa, was the man who ended American hegemony a once-in-a-generation orator?”
January 6, 2026 at 4:35 PM
“So grandpa, was the man who ended American hegemony a once-in-a-generation orator?”
International relations theory is rendered meaningless once a state ceases to act on rational strategic reasoning and instead follows the pseudohistorical delusions of an individual leader.
Russia reached this point in 2022. The United States has now done the same.
Russia reached this point in 2022. The United States has now done the same.
January 6, 2026 at 7:14 AM
International relations theory is rendered meaningless once a state ceases to act on rational strategic reasoning and instead follows the pseudohistorical delusions of an individual leader.
Russia reached this point in 2022. The United States has now done the same.
Russia reached this point in 2022. The United States has now done the same.
Hey Trump, I hear Russia has a lot of oil and natural resources
How about you send those CAG boys on a quick trip to the Kremlin and make Marco Rubio the new Tsar?
How about you send those CAG boys on a quick trip to the Kremlin and make Marco Rubio the new Tsar?
January 5, 2026 at 1:45 AM
Hey Trump, I hear Russia has a lot of oil and natural resources
How about you send those CAG boys on a quick trip to the Kremlin and make Marco Rubio the new Tsar?
How about you send those CAG boys on a quick trip to the Kremlin and make Marco Rubio the new Tsar?