@osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
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osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
It's awful she appeasing too much for Trump, but it's not like there's any country will help rather than offering solidarity & prayers.

It's not like next Democrat president will help freeing Venezuela if the regime still there.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Her Twitter post praised Trump.

I find it bad, what else she can do? It's not like EU or Brazil/other LATAM countries will do not more than just throw in solidarity.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
US-Qatar diplomatic ties that we see today is the is result due to lack of policy change in ME.

Fumbled nation building on Afghanistan - Top Taliban stayed there until 4 years ago.

2SS dying - Top Hamas stays there.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Eating non-bland food to be precise here.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Normal People : Great food.

Raw Egg Nationalist : How dare you allowing white people to be genocide!
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Establishment leadership definitely will rally around her.

The question, where do primary voters stand?

Undeniable that Mills is the frontrunner, but that means opponents like Platner needs a solid case why he's the choice over her to be nominee.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Macron appointed new PM that can gather stable coalition majority challenge (impossible).
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
100% against China, they might retaliate with 150%.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Unsure, but stock market panicking due to uncertainty state.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Another day in Trump presidency, another day of new stupid tariff.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
He really thought Takaichi won the leadership election meant she could be Prime Minister next day.

He might call Ishiba ‘Mr. Japan’ all over again.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
How does this district vote in '20? Trump ≤+5?
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
I treat this the same situation Zelenskyy facing, except EU is too far to extend their hand to help & Trump does stupidest thing by simply bomb any boat heading to America that considered suspicious.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
I think it's fine people work for defense contractors depending on the record.

It's just some who decides to villianize all defense contractors as evil but suddenly fall in love Platner as working class hero.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
So, CDP + Komeito + Ishin + DPFP?

If Ishin-DPFP gap is bridgeable, that's basically possible coalition if they target majority.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Is it because you don't expect Komeito quit the coalition that makes hatred sentiment against her is being underestimated?
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Also thinks about that too.

bsky.app/profile/osak...
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
So far;

- CDP opens possiblity of government change (though this one is hard).
- DPFP calls Komeito for cooperation to impose stricter rules.

It feels like a 90s political dial back but in reverse?
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
So far;

- CDP opens possiblity of government change (though this one is hard).
- DPFP calls Komeito for cooperation to impose stricter rules.

It feels like a 90s political dial back but in reverse?
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
And it seems Ishiba will hold a press conference.

Interesting.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
She is really from Japan's Margaret Thatcher to Japan's Liz Truss real fast.

Her only hope is pulling in both DPFP & Ishin into the government.

Keeping LDP minority government isn't feasible for her.

Can't believe we're not passing a week yet.

bsky.app/profile/osak...
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Unless she can prove the critics wrong, not surprised if election will be held next year.

There's non-zero chance snap election can be called immediately.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Not even passing a week yet, but Takaichi stumbles in her first test.

bsky.app/profile/osak...
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
Unless she can prove the critics wrong, not surprised if election will be held next year.

There's non-zero chance snap election can be called immediately.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
There has been call they will do it, but damn that's really huge shockwave.

Takaichi needs both DPFP & Ishin to be in government.

Either snap election or LDP minority until the party decides to kick her if she fails to deliver.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
He's progressive leaning with weirdest quirks.
osakakanagawa50.bsky.social
In alternate timeline where the electoral system is way more proportional than the current ones, Komeito might be one of swing parties.