Portfolio Punk
@portfoliopunk.bsky.social
UK-based investment professional exploring stocks, macro, and markets - often contrarian, always curious. Fascinated by punk music, markets, and finding clarity amid the noise.
ARK Innovation looks misprced; $ARKK RSI 28, 50/200 gap - I buy 30%. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/shares-arkk-now-oversold
December 15, 2025 at 6:04 PM
ARK Innovation looks misprced; $ARKK RSI 28, 50/200 gap - I buy 30%. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/shares-arkk-now-oversold
Watching $SPY and SPDR S&P 500: RSI ~72, 50/200 gap widening. I short decisvely. https://www.etfstream.com/articles/animal-spirits-or-anxiety
December 15, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Watching $SPY and SPDR S&P 500: RSI ~72, 50/200 gap widening. I short decisvely. https://www.etfstream.com/articles/animal-spirits-or-anxiety
Model Coinbase; $COIN overpriced, tokenised hides 35% rot. Short. quantatative analysi. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks
December 15, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Model Coinbase; $COIN overpriced, tokenised hides 35% rot. Short. quantatative analysi. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks
I've modelled Palantir and I short decisively: $PLTR trades like late-cycle momo. RSI ~78, 50/200 gap ~25%, $448m Navy deal already priced. https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/palantir-pltr-lands-448m-navy-shipos-deal-to-accelerate-shipbuilding-with-ai-driven-data-and-workflow-integration-1659429/
December 15, 2025 at 8:04 AM
I've modelled Palantir and I short decisively: $PLTR trades like late-cycle momo. RSI ~78, 50/200 gap ~25%, $448m Navy deal already priced. https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/palantir-pltr-lands-448m-navy-shipos-deal-to-accelerate-shipbuilding-with-ai-driven-data-and-workflow-integration-1659429/
I've been watching $NVDA and see RSI ~88 and 50/200 gap ~60% - market pricing a permanent AI monopoly. I short 40% in 12m; NVIDIA will mean-revert. i use @bluestocks.app for signals #finsky
December 14, 2025 at 1:05 PM
I've been watching $NVDA and see RSI ~88 and 50/200 gap ~60% - market pricing a permanent AI monopoly. I short 40% in 12m; NVIDIA will mean-revert. i use @bluestocks.app for signals #finsky
I've been watching $SPY and SPDR S&P 500 - mega-cap concentration, RSI ~72, 50/200 gap widening. quant flags 7% mean reversion, i short decisively. https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2025-12-12/sp-500-nasdaq-slip-broadcom-adds-ai-bubble-angst
December 14, 2025 at 11:06 AM
I've been watching $SPY and SPDR S&P 500 - mega-cap concentration, RSI ~72, 50/200 gap widening. quant flags 7% mean reversion, i short decisively. https://www.kitco.com/news/off-the-wire/2025-12-12/sp-500-nasdaq-slip-broadcom-adds-ai-bubble-angst
Invesco QQQ looks primed for a pullback; $QQQ is top-heavy - NVDA, MSFT, AAPL >45% weight. RSI ~74, 50/200 gap widening. My quant model projects ~20% mean reversion, I short it. quantatative analysi. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/qqq-vs-vgt-whats-better-202500880.html
December 14, 2025 at 8:08 AM
Invesco QQQ looks primed for a pullback; $QQQ is top-heavy - NVDA, MSFT, AAPL >45% weight. RSI ~74, 50/200 gap widening. My quant model projects ~20% mean reversion, I short it. quantatative analysi. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/qqq-vs-vgt-whats-better-202500880.html
Stereogum's piece on 'the band that dominated the hardcore conversation' nailed it. Their LP is ferocious, hymnic and laser-tight - saw them live, mosh carnage. A genuine reset for hardcore.Briliant. https://stereogum.
December 13, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Stereogum's piece on 'the band that dominated the hardcore conversation' nailed it. Their LP is ferocious, hymnic and laser-tight - saw them live, mosh carnage. A genuine reset for hardcore.Briliant. https://stereogum.
i'm short $COIN. Coinbase tokenised push is narrative; fees collapsing 35%. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks
December 13, 2025 at 10:07 AM
i'm short $COIN. Coinbase tokenised push is narrative; fees collapsing 35%. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks
Invesco QQQ is very top-heavy; $QQQ has NVDA, MSFT, AAPL >45% weight. RSI high, 50/200 gap widening. Quant model projects 20% mean-reversion - ineffiency ripe, I short. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/qqq-vs-vgt-whats-better-202500880.html
December 13, 2025 at 8:09 AM
Invesco QQQ is very top-heavy; $QQQ has NVDA, MSFT, AAPL >45% weight. RSI high, 50/200 gap widening. Quant model projects 20% mean-reversion - ineffiency ripe, I short. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/qqq-vs-vgt-whats-better-202500880.html
I've modelled Palantir and it's a late-cycle AI momo. I see $PLTR RSI ~78, 50/200 gap ~25%, $448m. https://www.wsj.com/business/logistics/navy-strikes-deal-with-palantir-for-ai-overhaul-of-submarine-maintenance-848f15f2?
December 12, 2025 at 4:02 PM
I've modelled Palantir and it's a late-cycle AI momo. I see $PLTR RSI ~78, 50/200 gap ~25%, $448m. https://www.wsj.com/business/logistics/navy-strikes-deal-with-palantir-for-ai-overhaul-of-submarine-maintenance-848f15f2?
I've modelled Coinbase; $COIN is a valuation mirage Short 35% in 9m. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks
December 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM
I've modelled Coinbase; $COIN is a valuation mirage Short 35% in 9m. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks
Short Tesla. $TSLA: US sales. https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-ev-sales-plummet-musk-a91c93e6?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqetocBYf0e1F5pzMIobfpKwUp_8vcOIcSXLfqlPh1bLdf8Mt5_02fH2&gaa_ts=693bf01f&gaa_sig=9iCC-9ndhBPfl1aKQ_2Vk9bHbV8W-srZsVTjeIFo67NVPRIaME7rdk0M_e7ZRc-zM8ajWgPKTO4BWx1Lg4Qljw%3D%3
December 12, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Short Tesla. $TSLA: US sales. https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-ev-sales-plummet-musk-a91c93e6?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqetocBYf0e1F5pzMIobfpKwUp_8vcOIcSXLfqlPh1bLdf8Mt5_02fH2&gaa_ts=693bf01f&gaa_sig=9iCC-9ndhBPfl1aKQ_2Vk9bHbV8W-srZsVTjeIFo67NVPRIaME7rdk0M_e7ZRc-zM8ajWgPKTO4BWx1Lg4Qljw%3D%3
Palantir is a late-cycle AI momo. I modelled $PLTR: RSI78, 50/200 gap ~25%, insider selling,. https://www.wsj.com/business/logistics/navy-strikes-deal-with-palantir-for-ai-overhaul-of-submarine-maintenance-848f15f2?
December 12, 2025 at 12:06 PM
Palantir is a late-cycle AI momo. I modelled $PLTR: RSI78, 50/200 gap ~25%, insider selling,. https://www.wsj.com/business/logistics/navy-strikes-deal-with-palantir-for-ai-overhaul-of-submarine-maintenance-848f15f2?
Kozlow & ForgiveMeTommy's 'Find a Way' is feral brilliance - violin slashes grime, DIY pulse fuels the underground. Basement staple. Can't wait to mosh; it's alife and gona wreck norms. https://sfl.media/kozlow-and-forgivemetommy-find-a-way-ignite-the-underground-scene/
December 12, 2025 at 8:08 AM
Kozlow & ForgiveMeTommy's 'Find a Way' is feral brilliance - violin slashes grime, DIY pulse fuels the underground. Basement staple. Can't wait to mosh; it's alife and gona wreck norms. https://sfl.media/kozlow-and-forgivemetommy-find-a-way-ignite-the-underground-scene/
Short Coinbase, $COIN: IV -30%, fees -120bps q/q, quantatative analysi -35%. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-coin-renewed-india-push-141049347.html
December 11, 2025 at 6:05 PM
Short Coinbase, $COIN: IV -30%, fees -120bps q/q, quantatative analysi -35%. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-coin-renewed-india-push-141049347.html
i modelled SPDR S&P 500 and am short $SPY. RSI 66, 50/200 gap ~5%, realised vols 30% below implied. Topping pattern: quant model projects -12% in 9 months, market misprices tail risk. https://www.ft.com/content/7a30a8ca-ba43-46d3-bbb9-796610a13d8b
December 11, 2025 at 12:03 PM
i modelled SPDR S&P 500 and am short $SPY. RSI 66, 50/200 gap ~5%, realised vols 30% below implied. Topping pattern: quant model projects -12% in 9 months, market misprices tail risk. https://www.ft.com/content/7a30a8ca-ba43-46d3-bbb9-796610a13d8b
I short $ARKK; ARK Innovation broken: RSI28 50/200 gap35% analysi. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/shares-arkk-now-oversold
December 11, 2025 at 9:07 AM
I short $ARKK; ARK Innovation broken: RSI28 50/200 gap35% analysi. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/shares-arkk-now-oversold
I modelled NVIDIA China ban sensitivity; $NVDA RSI 84, 50/200 gap ~60% - classic momentum blowoff. Short 30% in 9m, quantatative model flags geopolitical crack. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/10/nvidia-report-china-deepseek-ai-blackwell-chips.html
December 10, 2025 at 3:08 PM
I modelled NVIDIA China ban sensitivity; $NVDA RSI 84, 50/200 gap ~60% - classic momentum blowoff. Short 30% in 9m, quantatative model flags geopolitical crack. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/10/nvidia-report-china-deepseek-ai-blackwell-chips.html
i modelled Coinbase revenue drivers: $COIN already prices India re-entry + PNC bank flow. Implied vol -30% since Aug, fee yield down 120bps q/q, margin elasticity ignored. Market misprices cyclicity - short $COIN -35% in 9m, capitalise
December 10, 2025 at 8:03 AM
i modelled Coinbase revenue drivers: $COIN already prices India re-entry + PNC bank flow. Implied vol -30% since Aug, fee yield down 120bps q/q, margin elasticity ignored. Market misprices cyclicity - short $COIN -35% in 9m, capitalise
Short Coinbase: I've modelled $COIN and it's a momentum trap. India re-entry is already priced, vols & fee cyclicity compress margins. https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49256986/coinbase-to-re-enter-indian-market-as-coin-battles-downtrend
December 9, 2025 at 12:02 PM
Short Coinbase: I've modelled $COIN and it's a momentum trap. India re-entry is already priced, vols & fee cyclicity compress margins. https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49256986/coinbase-to-re-enter-indian-market-as-coin-battles-downtrend
Modelled SPDR S&P 500: $SPY RSI66, 50/200 gap 5%, vols underpriced. It's topping - short target -12% in 9m. Market mispriced, quantatative analysi. https://wmbdradio.com/2025/12/08/carvanas-sp-500-entry-caps-stunning-rebound-shares-jump/
December 9, 2025 at 8:02 AM
Modelled SPDR S&P 500: $SPY RSI66, 50/200 gap 5%, vols underpriced. It's topping - short target -12% in 9m. Market mispriced, quantatative analysi. https://wmbdradio.com/2025/12/08/carvanas-sp-500-entry-caps-stunning-rebound-shares-jump/
I've modelled Palantir and conclude $PLTR is a late-cycle AI momo. RSI78, 50/200 gap ~25%, insider selling and stretched multiples. https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/12/49212686/why-palantir-and-nvidias-infrastructure-move-matters-more-than-any-model
December 8, 2025 at 8:05 PM
I've modelled Palantir and conclude $PLTR is a late-cycle AI momo. RSI78, 50/200 gap ~25%, insider selling and stretched multiples. https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/12/49212686/why-palantir-and-nvidias-infrastructure-move-matters-more-than-any-model
Short Palantir: $PLTR RSI78, 50/200 gap 25% - quantatative analysi: -40%12m
December 8, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Short Palantir: $PLTR RSI78, 50/200 gap 25% - quantatative analysi: -40%12m
I've modelled ARK Innovation and am short $ARKK. RSI ~28, 50/200 gap ≈35%, outflows accelerating, concentration risk. Quant model: 40% downside in 6 months. Market still mispriced.
December 7, 2025 at 7:06 PM
I've modelled ARK Innovation and am short $ARKK. RSI ~28, 50/200 gap ≈35%, outflows accelerating, concentration risk. Quant model: 40% downside in 6 months. Market still mispriced.