Tech, Software Development, Science, History, Economics, Politics
https://blog.robbowley.net
https://www.linkedin.com/in/robertbowley
https://pragmaticpartners.co.uk
Manchester, UK
This is me, without hat, in my garden, on a rainy morning in Manchester 🐝, UK
Been working in tech for 25 years - software engineer then various leadership roles. Nowadays I'm a product & tech leadership advisor, coach, consultant.
1/4
hannahstulberg.substack.com/p/claude-cod...
hannahstulberg.substack.com/p/claude-cod...
Fred Brooks, "No Silver Bullet"
Fred Brooks, "No Silver Bullet"
Already many decades behind modern technologies & practices
Ofc learning fundamentals very important, more so even but only a small part of the gig
Like many, I never did a CS degree & self-teaching now vs late 90s...
Already many decades behind modern technologies & practices
Ofc learning fundamentals very important, more so even but only a small part of the gig
Like many, I never did a CS degree & self-teaching now vs late 90s...
It is now, of course, at least 3 years away (as it always is)
It is now, of course, at least 3 years away (as it always is)
You may have read 1st version of this already - I've significantly updated/re-written, going back to the 1940s.
Full timeline below 👇
blog.robbowley.net/2026/01/05/c...
You may have read 1st version of this already - I've significantly updated/re-written, going back to the 1940s.
Full timeline below 👇
blog.robbowley.net/2026/01/05/c...
It never was.
I wrote this as something to point people to, showing many practitioners have been saying this for decades.
blog.robbowley.net/2026/01/05/b...
It never was.
I wrote this as something to point people to, showing many practitioners have been saying this for decades.
blog.robbowley.net/2026/01/05/b...
simonwillison.net/2025/Dec/31/...
This year it's divided into 26 sections! This is the table of contents:
simonwillison.net/2025/Dec/31/...
This year it's divided into 26 sections! This is the table of contents:
Better scores on narrow reasoning and benchmarks, but trade offs elsewhere like consistency & hallucinations.
Better scores on narrow reasoning and benchmarks, but trade offs elsewhere like consistency & hallucinations.
Any future industrial-revolution-scale shift will almost certainly involve a comparable change in energy availability, not information technology alone.
Any future industrial-revolution-scale shift will almost certainly involve a comparable change in energy availability, not information technology alone.
GenAI operates through a narrow, lossy interface. Good at helping with slices of work, but real constraints sit elsewhere
Better models don't change the boundary. So it doesn’t really matter how “smart” models get
GenAI operates through a narrow, lossy interface. Good at helping with slices of work, but real constraints sit elsewhere
Better models don't change the boundary. So it doesn’t really matter how “smart” models get
1/4
1/4
GenAI = more like faster horses - better versions of what we already had: writing, code, analysis, planning
Useful, but not the kind of shift
GenAI = more like faster horses - better versions of what we already had: writing, code, analysis, planning
Useful, but not the kind of shift
AI will more likely mean more with the same rather than the same or more with less.
AI will more likely mean more with the same rather than the same or more with less.
Only one thing I strongly disagree with:
"Claude is trained on real-world code. Real-world code has crappy tests."
Most real-world code has NO tests.
Only one thing I strongly disagree with:
"Claude is trained on real-world code. Real-world code has crappy tests."
Most real-world code has NO tests.
(> next)
(> next)
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
rfd.shared.oxide.computer/rfd/0576