Dr. Ronan Connolly
@ronanconnolly.bsky.social
70 followers 27 following 37 posts
Independent scientist & environmentalist Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (www.ceres-science.com)
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ronanconnolly.bsky.social
🧪Interesting!
Fuentes & Pawlik (2025) ask were humans building boats in SE Asia 44,000 years ago.

They suggest that intentional boat-building (as opposed to bamboo rafts/dugout canoes) for seafaring and fishing then was quite plausible.

Paper: doi.org/10.1016/j.ja...
Summary: tinyurl.com/2s3maahh
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
🧪In 1956, an ornithologist was tagging some Laysan albatrosses. Many years later, biologists discovered one of them was still alive and kicking. They called her "Wisdom". In November 2024, she returned to lay a new egg. She is at least 74 years old.

www.cnn.com/2024/12/05/u...
Wisdom the albatross is 74 years old. She’s found a new partner and just laid another egg | CNN
The world’s oldest known wild bird has sparked “special joy” among scientists after she laid an egg – her first in four years – at the age of 74.
www.cnn.com
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
It's one of the last weeks of Venus as "the evening star" (first "star" after sunset) before it shifts to being "the morning star" (last "star" before sunrise) for the next few months.

So, I was happy to grab this shot of Venus beside a crescent moon, while out for a jog this weekend. 🧪🔭
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
The editors DON'T get any financial reward whether papers are published or not. They are supposed to be independent. Hence, these scammers are apparently targeting editors and bribing them with an incentive.
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
Then this decision is usually sent on to the journal staff who handle the publication itself. And charge publication fees. But, the peer review process is usually handled by the editor (usually unpaid).
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
The publishers would definitely not approve of editors taking bribes. The editors are independent of the publishers. They decide which manuscripts get sent for peer review, which reviewers are invited & the final decision to reject, or approve for publication after major/minor revisions.
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
FYI, Prof. Tol is the editor-in-chief of the journal. He is NOT "the publisher" (that's Elsevier - one of "the big 5"). I haven't spoken to him - just reading his Substack. But, it seems he decided to reply to the unsolicited invitation & see how far it went.

www.sciencedirect.com/journal/ener...
Energy Economics | Journal | ScienceDirect.com by ElsevierScienceDirect
Read the latest articles of Energy Economics at ScienceDirect.com, Elsevier’s leading platform of peer-reviewed scholarly literature
www.sciencedirect.com
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
The "$5k price" was him pretending it was the minimum bribe he would accept. The scammer said, yes, we'll be willing to Paypal you that much for each paper... and we could send you up to 500 per year. (i.e., it was a good price)

Again, this is a bribe to the editor. Separate from any journal fees.
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
I gather he was following along with the scammers to see how far they were prepared to go. When the scammers submitted the first paper, this confirmed it was a serious "enterprise". He never took any money or approved any papers, but played along until then. Apparently, he's reporting real-time.
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
By the way, that $5k would have been direct PayPal to the editor & separate from any publication fees for the journal. It was a bribe to get him to approve for publication "after minor revisions" whatever manuscript was sent to him ($5k/paper).

Plus:
"Do manuscripts need real data?"
"Nah."
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
From what I can tell, the scammers are being paid by "co-authors" trying to boost their resume with multiple "peer-reviewed papers" in high profile journals.

Being a co-author on a paper in an IF=13.6 journal is great for your CV (translation: dishonest people would pay scammers good money for it)
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
🧪A disturbing trend.

The editor-in-chief of a high profile journal (IF=13.6) was recently offered the opportunity to make up to $250k/year to approve fake papers in his journal ($5k per paper). He declined & reported it. 👍

But, would other editors be tempted? 😬
richardtol.substack.com/p/crime-pays
Crime pays
A paper mill offered me $250,000 per year
richardtol.substack.com
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
I get what you're saying. I think though, if we compare to the proposed D-K effect, it's probably more the inverse of D-K. That is, experts overestimating the ability (or rather in this case, knowledge base) of non-experts.

I think it dovetails quite well with "imposter syndrome" though... 🤔
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
Currently, I'm at stage 3... 🙈😉
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
🧪The 5 stages of grief for trying to finish projects in December:
1. Denial. "I'll finish it all this year!"
2. Anger. "Why's it taking so long?"
3. Bargaining. "Ok, let's just get THIS part finished."
4. Depression. "🙄..."
5. Acceptance. "The rest can wait until January!"
🥳🎉
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
Brenda Ueland (1891-1985) writing in 1941 about the importance of learning to listen to others.
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
🧪 I just read the "science fiction in a science journal" 🤔 article of: Mostofi & Peyravi (2024) "Practice of neurosurgery on Saturn" doi.org/10.1016/j.ij... 👽🚀🛸

Unusual.

Still it reminded me of my recent Substack about Galileo Galilei's discovery of Saturn's rings.

substack.com/home/post/p-...
Home | Substack
Discover and discuss great writing with the world’s smartest readers on Substack.
substack.com
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
Got it! Yes, I see it in the feed now - it must have just been slow to update. "The site is under stress at the moment". Gotcha! Looking at the recent dramatic uptick in BSky membership, I can understand why! Thanks, Manu!
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
ronanconnolly.bsky.social
🧪In this video, I summarise our new article where we analysed 45 years of satellite measurements of the Sun's energy reaching the Earth ("TSI").

Has it risen, fallen or stayed the same? And what are the implications?

Video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Evbi...

Link to paper: doi.org/10.3847/1538...
Thumbnail image for a Youtube video with the title "Watching the Sun: 45 years of satellite observations". The background includes an image of a satellite orbiting the Earth and a figure showing three graphs suggesting different possible histories of the changes in solar activity since 1978.