FPL Schaden
@schadenball.com
youtube.com/@fplscript co-host 🇮🇳,🇪🇸.
ManUtd fan. Bruno zealot.
Chess, Cricket, Maths.
EV modeller. Correlation ≠ Causation.
SHINZOU WO SASAGEYO.
UCL Fantasy model - uclmodel.com
#FPL | #UCLFantasy | #SDT | #FanTeam
ManUtd fan. Bruno zealot.
Chess, Cricket, Maths.
EV modeller. Correlation ≠ Causation.
SHINZOU WO SASAGEYO.
UCL Fantasy model - uclmodel.com
#FPL | #UCLFantasy | #SDT | #FanTeam
Pinned
FPL Schaden
@schadenball.com
· Sep 7
schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26!
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26!
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
September 7, 2025 at 5:13 PM
schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26!
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
👀 Adjustable Mins Points model
📺Improved data viz
📈 Enhanced xPoints model
💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.)
🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds
Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️
#UCL
Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players)
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
August 20, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players)
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs
Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season
xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
August 1, 2025 at 2:50 PM
xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs
Position-wise viz in the comments 👇
#FPL
Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data)
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
July 30, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data)
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz
xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
July 30, 2025 at 5:40 PM
xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data)
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*.
*Includes the newest FPL additions
#CWCFantasy
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
June 10, 2025 at 6:08 PM
#CWCFantasy
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available:
➡️Team Strength Model
➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD)
➡️Team-level eG & odds movement
FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n
Reposted by FPL Schaden
#UCLFantasy
Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough
However, well done to @schadenball.com
who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall!
Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social
who pushed them to the end
Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough
However, well done to @schadenball.com
who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall!
Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social
who pushed them to the end
June 1, 2025 at 7:04 AM
#UCLFantasy
Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough
However, well done to @schadenball.com
who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall!
Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social
who pushed them to the end
Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough
However, well done to @schadenball.com
who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall!
Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social
who pushed them to the end
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
May 6, 2025 at 5:08 PM
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD16
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline
#UCLFantasy #MD16
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
May 6, 2025 at 4:36 PM
#UCLFantasy #MD16
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
*Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93
Reposted by FPL Schaden
I know Indian food is much better than British food, but I had no idea they were eating jewellery and gems! No wonder our cooking doesn't have that same sparkle.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
May 6, 2025 at 2:17 PM
I know Indian food is much better than British food, but I had no idea they were eating jewellery and gems! No wonder our cooking doesn't have that same sparkle.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
April 29, 2025 at 4:29 PM
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
Captaincy choices* for #MD15
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
*ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline
April 29, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Reposted by FPL Schaden
Imo, the most effective ways to gain leverage on FH is not to chase low EO punts, but to build team stacks - particularly in defence. It's such a powerful strategy that DFS (daily fantasy sports) tournaments have stacking penalties to combat this
There was only one def triple up in these drafts...
There was only one def triple up in these drafts...
April 24, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Imo, the most effective ways to gain leverage on FH is not to chase low EO punts, but to build team stacks - particularly in defence. It's such a powerful strategy that DFS (daily fantasy sports) tournaments have stacking penalties to combat this
There was only one def triple up in these drafts...
There was only one def triple up in these drafts...
#UCLFantasy #MD14 61 POINTS
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
April 17, 2025 at 1:35 AM
#UCLFantasy #MD14 61 POINTS
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
RANK: 88
OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1)
TV: 108.2m
Chips used: LL6, WC13
A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me.
The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
April 15, 2025 at 5:18 AM
#UCLFantasy #UCL
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
Captaincy choices* for #MD14
Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com
DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline
*Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85
#UCLFantasy #MD14
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
April 15, 2025 at 5:11 AM
#UCLFantasy #MD14
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Ferran Torres eA not priced
** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable
April 15, 2025 at 3:41 AM
2 years since we released E1 of the FPL Script (youtube.com/@fplscript) !
- 72 episodes
- 50,000 views
- 1070+ subs (and counting 🤞🏿)
Thank you, everyone, for your support ♥️ we have some amazing viewers and hope the support continues and grows 🙏
- @fplfran.bsky.social and @schadenball.com
- 72 episodes
- 50,000 views
- 1070+ subs (and counting 🤞🏿)
Thank you, everyone, for your support ♥️ we have some amazing viewers and hope the support continues and grows 🙏
- @fplfran.bsky.social and @schadenball.com
a penguin wearing a number 2 shirt holds balloons
ALT: a penguin wearing a number 2 shirt holds balloons
media.tenor.com
April 13, 2025 at 2:16 AM
2 years since we released E1 of the FPL Script (youtube.com/@fplscript) !
- 72 episodes
- 50,000 views
- 1070+ subs (and counting 🤞🏿)
Thank you, everyone, for your support ♥️ we have some amazing viewers and hope the support continues and grows 🙏
- @fplfran.bsky.social and @schadenball.com
- 72 episodes
- 50,000 views
- 1070+ subs (and counting 🤞🏿)
Thank you, everyone, for your support ♥️ we have some amazing viewers and hope the support continues and grows 🙏
- @fplfran.bsky.social and @schadenball.com
#MD13 Market odds eG trends since 20-March
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
April 8, 2025 at 3:11 PM
#MD13 Market odds eG trends since 20-March
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible
#UCL #UCLFantasy
#UCLFantasy #MD13 : QF
Proj. Goals - MD13
🥇Barcelona 2.52
🥈Paris S-G 2.4
🥉Bayern M. 1.57
Proj. Cleansheet - MD13
🥇Paris S-G 38%
🥈Barcelona 37%
🥉Bayern M. 36%
Outright Winner - Odds
🥇Barcelona 23%
🥈Paris S-G 22%
🥉Real Madrid 18%
MD15-17 data can be found at schadenball.com
Proj. Goals - MD13
🥇Barcelona 2.52
🥈Paris S-G 2.4
🥉Bayern M. 1.57
Proj. Cleansheet - MD13
🥇Paris S-G 38%
🥈Barcelona 37%
🥉Bayern M. 36%
Outright Winner - Odds
🥇Barcelona 23%
🥈Paris S-G 22%
🥉Real Madrid 18%
MD15-17 data can be found at schadenball.com
April 8, 2025 at 3:07 PM
#UCLFantasy #MD13 : QF
Proj. Goals - MD13
🥇Barcelona 2.52
🥈Paris S-G 2.4
🥉Bayern M. 1.57
Proj. Cleansheet - MD13
🥇Paris S-G 38%
🥈Barcelona 37%
🥉Bayern M. 36%
Outright Winner - Odds
🥇Barcelona 23%
🥈Paris S-G 22%
🥉Real Madrid 18%
MD15-17 data can be found at schadenball.com
Proj. Goals - MD13
🥇Barcelona 2.52
🥈Paris S-G 2.4
🥉Bayern M. 1.57
Proj. Cleansheet - MD13
🥇Paris S-G 38%
🥈Barcelona 37%
🥉Bayern M. 36%
Outright Winner - Odds
🥇Barcelona 23%
🥈Paris S-G 22%
🥉Real Madrid 18%
MD15-17 data can be found at schadenball.com
April 7, 2025 at 6:33 PM
March 27, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Any fellow #PokemonTCGP players got a spare Pachirisu 4♦️, Shieldon, or Cranidos ?
March 22, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Any fellow #PokemonTCGP players got a spare Pachirisu 4♦️, Shieldon, or Cranidos ?
#UCLFantasy #MD12 DAY TWO
Top 25 Market eGI points* (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions)
140-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨
*Arsenal assets have dicey xMins, proceed with caution
Top 25 Market eGI points* (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions)
140-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨
*Arsenal assets have dicey xMins, proceed with caution
March 12, 2025 at 3:25 PM
#UCLFantasy #MD12 DAY TWO
Top 25 Market eGI points* (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions)
140-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨
*Arsenal assets have dicey xMins, proceed with caution
Top 25 Market eGI points* (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions)
140-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨
*Arsenal assets have dicey xMins, proceed with caution
#UCLFantasy #MD12
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
85-minute deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Lewandowski eA not priced
** LIL v DOR, AVL v BRU, ATM v RMA markets are not available
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
85-minute deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Lewandowski eA not priced
** LIL v DOR, AVL v BRU, ATM v RMA markets are not available
March 11, 2025 at 4:21 PM
#UCLFantasy #MD12
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
85-minute deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Lewandowski eA not priced
** LIL v DOR, AVL v BRU, ATM v RMA markets are not available
Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players)
85-minute deadline KLAXON** 🚨
*Lewandowski eA not priced
** LIL v DOR, AVL v BRU, ATM v RMA markets are not available