Space Weather TREC
@spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
130 followers 24 following 9 posts
Space Weather Technology, Research, and Education Center at the University of Colorado Boulder
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alycearmstrong.bsky.social
Astro #photography
Paul Zizka photographed the International Space Station as it cruised through the northern lights and above Mount Rundle on a peaceful night at Vermillion Lakes, Banff National Park, Canada
Reposted by Space Weather TREC
vincentledvina.bsky.social
Wow, insane movement and colors in the aurora over Finland happening now. Check it out on this YouTube stream that is showing real-time video:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3LK...

Additional webcams: theauroraguy.com/pages/webcams

#heliophysics ☀️
Reposted by Space Weather TREC
mathewjowens.bsky.social
We (Rachel Howe, Anne-Marie Broomhall, Paul Bushby and me) are hosting a @royalastrosoc.bsky.social discussion meeting in London on 10 Jan, on "Dynamos, Dynamics, and the Solar Cycle at Cycle 25 Maximum. "

Abstract deadline is 16 Dec and the link is: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Foreground: Time series of sunspot number over the last 200 years. 
Background: Two extreme ultraviolet images of the Sun. Left is solar minimum, when there is little large-scale structure. Right is solar maximum, when large, bright active regions are present.
spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Another truism from the field:

Model validation is not forecast verification.

Model Validation: use data from time t0, predict state at t0

Forecast Verification: use data at t0, predict state at t0+L, where L = forecast lead time

Many models that validate well fail to forecast skillfully
Reposted by Space Weather TREC
snhwx.bsky.social
Heads up that SDO imagery will seemingly be unavailable for any unknown amount of time.
craig.deforest.org
Sushant Mahajan reports that the SDO JSOC is shut down due to flooding at Stanford University! ☀️🛰️
Flooded hallway at Stanford University (photo:  Sushant Mahajan)
Reposted by Space Weather TREC
eelcodoornbos.bsky.social
Very interesting Veritasium movie about Amelia Earhart's last flight, with some great info about 1930s radio navigation methods, mentioning the frequency-dependent role of the ionosphere. Highly recommended! bsky.app/profile/veri...
spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Thanks for the heads up. Sometimes there’s hiccups in the databases that can cause that. We don’t download any data - just pull from the native bases and display it. Goddard or one of the other servers may have been down. Let me know if it persists and we’ll look into it here.
spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Kinda sad that we have to say “if it had an EUV camera…”

Note to NASA: include cameras on all of your Helio missions! Look to the Juno mission to see what an off-the-shelf camera can for you mission’s wider appeal.
Reposted by Space Weather TREC
snhwx.bsky.social
Happy Sunday from the Sun! ☀️

We have quite a few active regions spread across the disk, but based on complexity, AR3906 has the highest probability for producing a notable flare (25% for M-class & 5% for X-class). For now, we watch and wait!
spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Hey Power Grid operators! Tired of just getting the same old useless dB/dt? Want a useful prediction of actual geoelectric field?

SWx TREC has got you covered with our LiveWire machine learning model!

swx-trec.com/geoelectric/
LiveWire Geoelectric Field Model
Visualize and explore space weather data on the Earth’s surface
swx-trec.com
spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Want the most sophisticated machine learning prediction of geomagnetic storming on the planet?

SWx TREC’s LiveDst model gives 1- and 6-hour forecasts of the geomagnetic Dst index with quantified uncertainty - a first in the space weather forecasting world!

swx-trec.com/dst/
LiveDst: CU Space Weather Forecast
A real-time machine-learning model to predict the geomagnetic disturbance storm time index (Dst) up to six hours ahead
swx-trec.com
spaceweathertrec.bsky.social
Hello BlueSky from the University of Colorado Boulder’s space weather center.

Check out our Space Weather Data Portal - the go-to tool for viewing hundreds of space weather datasets without having to download anything!

lasp.colorado.edu/space-weathe...
SWx TREC Space Weather Data Portal
Discover, access, visualize, and download diverse data describing space weather events
lasp.colorado.edu
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snhwx.bsky.social
For all things space weather, check out my Team Space Weather starter pack! 🌞

go.bsky.app/JZtspFe