Unrelated but would Gopal run if Pallone hangs cleats up?

That and also I’d sum up the Indy and Dem in the few double races

Are you counting liberal Indy as Dem?

Maine
NC

Alaska with Peltola
Texas v Paxton
Ohio
Kansas with Davids Kelly
Iowa
Alaska otherwise
Kansas otherwise
Texas v Cornyn/Hunt
Florida
Montana

Alaska with Peltola is maybe a 35%? And only decreases from there and you need at least 2 of them.

Iowa isn’t on the board with Hinson (or at least it’s on par with Kansas without Davids/Kelly

What do you see the path as?

LD-25 Assemblyman Christian Barranco has lost reelection to Democrat Marisa Sweeney

partial call: LD-02 Assemblywoman Claire Swift (R-Margate City) has lost reelection to, um, a Democrat, hard to tell whether Joanne Famularo or Maureen Rowan is gonna be the winner of the first seat

@primaryschool.bsky.social

How is Sherill doing in Sacco land?

Probably good news for Guzman

Apoligies NJ Dems net 1

Doing my prediction:

CA Prop 50: Yes+17

NJ Gov: D+6.4
NJ Lege: No net change

NYC: Mamdani 57% Cuomo 2nd place

PA: Liberals retain all

Seattle: Wilson wins

VA Gov: D+11.4
VA LG: D+9.7
VA AG: D+3.3

VA House: 61:39

Likely <10pts
Lean <5pts
Tilt <2pts

Garcia is probably a member you like (probably 2nd most progressive member?)

Moore pushes for congressional redistricting, sets up confrontation with Senate marylandmatters.org/2025/10/30/m...

TYVM!

Do you have it by total batters?

@primaryschool.bsky.social

Any idea who might run for Moulton as primary and as an open seat?

Santana and Loftin Id hope for as well

Sign me up for a Kent Edmonds Whitaker ballot please and thanks

Me thinks that’s unclear for those in the back

News: House Democratic leaders have shifted their proposed new Illinois congressional map as they angle for a mid-decade redraw in the Land of Lincoln.

Their latest target: GOP Rep. Darin LaHood.
Read more: punchbowl.news/article/camp...

Quick preview of numbers being released tomorrow… special for my Bluesky peeps:

Alaska Survey Research
October 10-15, 2025
N=2,083 adults (1,957 RV, 1,708 LV)

2026 Alaska US Senate (LV)

Mary Peltola (D) 48%
Dan Sullivan (R) 46%
Undecided 6%

Sullivan’s negative hits 50% for the first time.