StatsChat Bot
@statschat.bsky.social
A blog (statschat.org.nz) on statistics in the media. Also does predictions for various types of football.
@tslumley.bsky.social is the human in the room
@tslumley.bsky.social is the human in the room
50-year mortgages and avocado toast
Sometimes society or government faces a problem where not enough money is being spent on something. Kiwis on average aren't allocating enough money to retirement, or councils aren't investing enough money on water infrastructure. In that scenario, you want to…
Sometimes society or government faces a problem where not enough money is being spent on something. Kiwis on average aren't allocating enough money to retirement, or councils aren't investing enough money on water infrastructure. In that scenario, you want to…
50-year mortgages and avocado toast
Sometimes society or government faces a problem where not enough money is being spent on something. Kiwis on average aren't allocating enough money to retirement, or councils aren't investing enough money on water infrastructure. In that scenario, you want to spend more money. Kiwisaver was supposed to get people to save more. Making people save more was the initial effort of the "nudge" industry.
www.statschat.org.nz
November 16, 2025 at 3:03 AM
50-year mortgages and avocado toast
Sometimes society or government faces a problem where not enough money is being spent on something. Kiwis on average aren't allocating enough money to retirement, or councils aren't investing enough money on water infrastructure. In that scenario, you want to…
Sometimes society or government faces a problem where not enough money is being spent on something. Kiwis on average aren't allocating enough money to retirement, or councils aren't investing enough money on water infrastructure. In that scenario, you want to…
Top 14 Predictions for Postponed Games
Team Ratings for Postponed Games The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Postponed Games The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Postponed Games
Team Ratings for Postponed Games The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
November 11, 2025 at 1:24 AM
Top 14 Predictions for Postponed Games
Team Ratings for Postponed Games The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Postponed Games The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 10
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 10
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
November 11, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 10
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 10
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 10
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
November 2, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 10
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 10 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 6
Team Ratings for Week 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 6
Team Ratings for Week 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 27, 2025 at 11:23 PM
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 6
Team Ratings for Week 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 9
Team Ratings for Round 9 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 9 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 9
Team Ratings for Round 9 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 27, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 9
Team Ratings for Round 9 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 9 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 6
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 6
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 27, 2025 at 11:21 PM
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 6
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 5
Team Ratings for Week 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 5
Team Ratings for Week 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 20, 2025 at 11:46 PM
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 5
Team Ratings for Week 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 8
Team Ratings for Round 8 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 8 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 8
Team Ratings for Round 8 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 20, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 8
Team Ratings for Round 8 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 8 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 5
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 5
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 20, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 5
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Final
Team Ratings for the Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Final
Team Ratings for the Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 20, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Final
Team Ratings for the Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Briefly
It's World Statistics Day (which only happens every five years). Well, because time zones it's not actually World Statistics Day for another half-hour as I write this. The US Secretary of Health has claimed teenage boys have sperm counts half of those in 65-year old men. Angela Rasmussen…
It's World Statistics Day (which only happens every five years). Well, because time zones it's not actually World Statistics Day for another half-hour as I write this. The US Secretary of Health has claimed teenage boys have sperm counts half of those in 65-year old men. Angela Rasmussen…
Briefly
It's World Statistics Day (which only happens every five years). Well, because time zones it's not actually World Statistics Day for another half-hour as I write this. The US Secretary of Health has claimed teenage boys have sperm counts half of those in 65-year old men. Angela Rasmussen looks at this claim. If you think about it, as she points out, there's no plausible way there could be good worldwide evidence on sperm counts in teenagers -- how would you get those data?!
www.statschat.org.nz
October 19, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Briefly
It's World Statistics Day (which only happens every five years). Well, because time zones it's not actually World Statistics Day for another half-hour as I write this. The US Secretary of Health has claimed teenage boys have sperm counts half of those in 65-year old men. Angela Rasmussen…
It's World Statistics Day (which only happens every five years). Well, because time zones it's not actually World Statistics Day for another half-hour as I write this. The US Secretary of Health has claimed teenage boys have sperm counts half of those in 65-year old men. Angela Rasmussen…
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 4
Team Ratings for Week 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 4
Team Ratings for Week 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 13, 2025 at 11:18 PM
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 4
Team Ratings for Week 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 7
Team Ratings for Round 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 7
Team Ratings for Round 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 13, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 7
Team Ratings for Round 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 4
Team Ratings for Round 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 4
Team Ratings for Round 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 13, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 4
Team Ratings for Round 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 4 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Semi-Finals
Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Semi-Finals
Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 13, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Semi-Finals
Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 3
Team Ratings for Week 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 3
Team Ratings for Week 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 7, 2025 at 3:00 AM
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 3
Team Ratings for Week 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 6
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department
Top 14 Predictions for Round 6
<h2>Team Ratings for Round 6</h2> The basic method is described on my Department <a href=' page</a>. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.<br/> <br/> <center><table border = '1' rules = 'all'> <tr> <th> </th> <th> Current Rating </th> <th> Rating at Season Start </th> <th> Difference </th> </tr>
www.statschat.org.nz
October 7, 2025 at 2:59 AM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 6
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department
Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 3
Team Ratings for Round 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 3
Team Ratings for Round 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 7, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 3
Team Ratings for Round 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 3 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-Finals
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-Finals
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
October 7, 2025 at 2:57 AM
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-Finals
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 2
Team Ratings for Week 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 2
Team Ratings for Week 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
September 30, 2025 at 7:10 AM
United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 2
Team Ratings for Week 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Week 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 5
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Top 14 Predictions for Round 5
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
September 30, 2025 at 7:09 AM
Top 14 Predictions for Round 5
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 2
Team Ratings for Round 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 2
Team Ratings for Round 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
September 30, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 2
Team Ratings for Round 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for Round 2 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-Finals
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-Finals
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
September 30, 2025 at 7:06 AM
Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-Finals
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Quarter-Finals The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
NRL Predictions for the Grand Final
Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
NRL Predictions for the Grand Final
Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
www.statschat.org.nz
September 30, 2025 at 7:05 AM
NRL Predictions for the Grand Final
Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Team Ratings for the Grand Final The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week's games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.