Tarun Gopalakrishnan
tarungk91.bsky.social
Tarun Gopalakrishnan
@tarungk91.bsky.social

Climate policy, negotiations, finance.
PhD candidate, Fletcher School, Tufts University | Pre-doctoral Fellow, Climate Policy Lab
1.5 seems to be textually alive in the #G20 Leaders' Declaration out of Johannesberg. Reconciling that ambition with current emissions trajectories is another question.
November 24, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
🆕 #COP30 Global goal on adaptation text

- "takes note of" Glasgow goal to 2x adaptation finance/2025
- "calls for efforts to at least" 3x adaptation finance/2035
- "urges" developed countries to "increase trajectory of collective provision" of climate $$ for adaptation
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
November 22, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
TL;DR: COP30 delivers a very weak outcome on adaptation finance, at what was supposed to finally be the Adaptation COP.

Tripling goal pushed back five years. Still might be framed as a "win" by some, but far from the $120bn/yr by 2030 that least developed countries pushed for.
🆕 #COP30 Global goal on adaptation text

- "takes note of" Glasgow goal to 2x adaptation finance/2025
- "calls for efforts to at least" 3x adaptation finance/2035
- "urges" developed countries to "increase trajectory of collective provision" of climate $$ for adaptation
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
November 22, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
Fletcher experts offer insight into the politics and priorities driving international climate talks at @cop30brazil.bsky.social. @tarungk91.bsky.social @katehkchi.bsky.social #COP30noBrasil #COP30

fletcher.tufts.edu/news-events/...
November 6, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
Exxon lawyer: "We are not going to lose this fight."

The US Supreme Court, he said, needs to step in to shut the door on this litigation once and for all

#SCOTUS will soon decide whether to take up Exxon's petition in Boulder's climate deception case

www.eenews.net/articles/exx...
Exxon lawyer vows to crush climate lawsuits
Oil companies are once again pushing the Supreme Court to stop a flood of cases that could force them to pay billions.
www.eenews.net
November 10, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
Brazil’s $125bn forest fund – framed as the “biggest thing to come out of COP30” – goes live tomorrow.

Critics point out that TFFF “puts private investors first”, forest payouts last + sets a 🌳 bar too low to be “scientifically credible”.

@yaninequiroz.bsky.social and I 🕵🏽‍♀️, for @carbonbrief.org.
November 5, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
🚨 NEW ISSUE: Issue 7 is out now, with the latest on emissions trading systems #ETS, #netzero transition, transformational #adaptation, oil + gas superprofits & more ✅

📣 Insights from @michaeljgrubb.bsky.social @tarungk91.bsky.social @maksympolyakov.bsky.social @robbieorvis.bsky.social & more ⬇️
Climate Policy, Volume 25, Issue 7 (2025)
www.tandfonline.com
August 4, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
New analysis for @suspol.bsky.social exploring the fragility of fossil fuel-producing states in an age of competitive decarbonisation from Jared Miller and @tarungk91.bsky.social of @fletcherschool.bsky.social at Tufts University.

Quick 🧵 on the main arguments

www.sussex.ac.uk/research/pro...
How Energy Transitions Challenge the Political Economy of Fragile Fossil Fuel-Producing Countries
Jared Miller & Tarun Gopalakrishnan (Fletcher School, Tufts University) examine the political and economic impacts on fossil fuel producers.
www.sussex.ac.uk
April 7, 2025 at 12:20 PM
The #Climate Ambition Scenario - a mix of financial incentives and regulation - could reduce greenhouse emissions in #Mexico by 77.1% below business-as-usual in 2050 while also increasing GDP growth, creating jobs and reducing the national debt.

sites.tufts.edu/cierp/files/...
January 29, 2025 at 11:57 PM
"Purely on economic and security grounds it is simply contrary to the U.S. national interest to restrict the continued growth of clean energy technologies."

(Not paywalled)

www.nytimes.com/2025/01/23/c...
Trump’s Retreat From Clean Energy Puts the U.S. Out of Step With the World (Gift Article)
Most major economies are investing in ever-cheaper solar and wind power. The United States risks further ceding a global market to China.
www.nytimes.com
January 23, 2025 at 6:41 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
REPLUG: In EPW, Shibani Ghosh draws on an in-depth review of India’s pollution control boards to examine why these front-line regulators have struggled to curb air & water pollution. Recent amendments to the Water and Air Acts are designed to facilitate ease of doing business. bit.ly/4fWvnFR
Pollution Regulation in India
Recent reports on capacity constraints faced by the state pollution control boards have revealed serious systemic issues—problematic board structure and composition, lack of competence in the boards’ ...
bit.ly
January 20, 2025 at 7:22 AM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
What’s next for US energy after US President Trump's inauguration?

In this episode from November, the gang discussed:
- Potential shifts in energy policy
- Potential impacts on renewables like wind and solar
- Changes to the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits

#EnergySky #ClimateSky #GreenSky
What’s next for energy after the US elections? |
With a new Trump administration set to steer US energy policy, what changes lie ahead for energy? Join Ed Crooks and expert guests as they break down the impacts on energy policy, renewables and the I...
www.woodmac.com
January 21, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
Cop29 deal fails to consider inflation so is not tripling of target, economists say
Cop29 deal fails to consider inflation so is not tripling of target, economists say
Experts say financial movements mean poor nations will in effect get billions less in value from £300bn pledge A failure to factor in inflation means the $300bn (£240bn) climate finance deal agreed at Cop29 is not the tripling of pledges that has been…
www.theguardian.com
November 25, 2024 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Tarun Gopalakrishnan
NEW – COP29: Key outcomes agreed at the UN climate talks in Baku

#COP29

➡️ https://buff.ly/3V5jndk
November 24, 2024 at 5:35 PM
As global emissions rise, staying within the Paris #climate goals seems a pipe dream. It is not.

Our new brief outlines India's progress on #climateaction and projects the next phase for climate policy - if national ambition meets ambitious finance. #COP29

sites.tufts.edu/cierp/files/...
November 19, 2024 at 4:15 PM
Prioritizing a new climate finance goal over fossil phaseout at this COP makes sense. The finance goal should have been agreed three years ago, the can was kicked down the road.

Get finance right, ambitious NDCs will follow.
As the UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres touched down in Rio de Janeiro for the G20 leaders meeting last night, his mind was back in Azerbaijan. “I am concerned about the state of the negotiations at COP29 in Baku,” he told a Brazilian press conference.
www.climatechangenews.com/2024/11/18/c...
COP29: G20 sends hope on finance but mitigation nears collapse
UN climate negotiations in Baku received a boost of hope on finance from G20 leaders, but talks on fossil fuels collapsed.
www.climatechangenews.com
November 18, 2024 at 5:12 PM
Some previous work:

‘New climate dis-economies: The political economy of energy transitions in fragile fossil fuel producers’, with Jared Miller in the journal Environment and Security (2024).

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
New climate dis-economies: The political economy of energy transitions in fragile fossil fuel producers - Tarun Gopalakrishnan, Jared Miller, 2024
A global energy transition from carbon-based fuels to renewable energy will have major political and economic ramifications around the world, especially for fra...
journals.sagepub.com
November 18, 2024 at 5:06 PM